Alert archive / North Carolina / Wind Advisories in 2016

Wind Advisory 12, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

October 7, 2016Chester County, York County, South Carolina; Cabarrus County, Mecklenburg County, Union County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this wind advisory at Oct 7, 2016, 3:01 PM EDT for Chester County, York County, South Carolina; Cabarrus County, Mecklenburg County, Union County, North Carolina. It took effect at Oct 8, 2016, 12:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 26 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 7, 2016, 3:01 PM EDT (19:01 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 8, 2016, 12:00 AM EDT
Expired
Oct 9, 2016, 2:00 AM EDT
In force
26 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Cabarrus County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Union County, NC, Chester County, SC, York County, SC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-10-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-10-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 375 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
505 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
375 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
415 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

276 
WWUS72 KGSP 071901
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
301 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...GUSTY WINDS SURROUNDING HURRICANE MATTHEW...

.WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND PEAK IN STRENGTH SATURDAY AS
HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVES ALONG THE CAROLINA COASTLINE. WITH SOILS
BECOMING SATURATED DUE TO PROLONGED RAINFALL, SOME TREES AND POWER
LINES WILL FALL.

NCZ071-072-082-SCZ009-014-080300-
/O.NEW.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.161008T0400Z-161009T0600Z/
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...
MONROE...TRINITY...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...CATAWBA...
ROCK HILL...CHESTER...CORNWELL...GREAT FALLS
301 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 2 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
2 AM EDT SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...METRO CHARLOTTE AND ADJACENT AREAS TO THE EAST AND
  SOUTH.

* HAZARDS...DOWNED TREES AND UTILITY LINES CAUSED BY STRONG WIND
  GUSTS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL PICK UP OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND REMAIN BRISK
  THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
  SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS. TREE 
  LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN AND A FEW POWER OUTAGES MAY RESULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$
WIMBERLEY
6 follow-up statements
315 
WWUS72 KGSP 080224
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1024 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...GUSTY WINDS SURROUNDING HURRICANE MATTHEW...

.WINDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND PEAK IN STRENGTH SATURDAY AS
HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVES ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COASTLINE. WITH
SOILS BECOMING SATURATED DUE TO PROLONGED RAINFALL...SOME TREES
AND POWER LINES WILL FALL.

NCZ071-072-082-SCZ009-014-081000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.161008T0400Z-161009T0600Z/
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...
MONROE...TRINITY...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...CATAWBA...
ROCK HILL...CHESTER...CORNWELL...GREAT FALLS
1024 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...METRO CHARLOTTE AND ADJACENT AREAS TO THE EAST AND 
  SOUTH.

* HAZARDS...DOWNED TREES AND UTILITY LINES CAUSED BY STRONG WIND 
  GUSTS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL PICK UP LATE TONIGHT AND REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH
  SATURDAY NIGHT. THE STRONGEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SATURDAY
  MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS. TREE 
  LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN AND A FEW POWER OUTAGES MAY RESULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$
891 
WWUS72 KGSP 080735
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
335 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...GUSTY WINDS SURROUNDING HURRICANE MATTHEW...

.WINDS WILL PEAK IN STRENGTH TODAY AS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVES
ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COASTLINE. WITH SOILS BECOMING SATURATED
DUE TO PROLONGED RAINFALL...SOME TREES AND POWER LINES WILL FALL. 

NCZ071-072-082-SCZ009-014-081600-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-161009T0600Z/
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...
MONROE...TRINITY...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...CATAWBA...
ROCK HILL...CHESTER...CORNWELL...GREAT FALLS
335 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...METRO CHARLOTTE AND ADJACENT AREAS TO THE EAST AND 
  SOUTH.

* HAZARDS...DOWNED TREES AND UTILITY LINES CAUSED BY STRONG WIND 
  GUSTS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST
  GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE DURING THE DAY TODAY.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS. TREES
  AND LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN AND A FEW POWER OUTAGES MAY
  RESULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$
052 
WWUS72 KGSP 081513
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1113 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...GUSTY WINDS SURROUNDING HURRICANE MATTHEW...

.WINDS WILL PEAK IN STRENGTH THIS AFTERNOON AS HURRICANE MATTHEW
MOVES ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COASTLINE. WITH SOILS BECOMING
SATURATED AFTER PROLONGED RAINFALL...SOME TREES AND POWER LINES
WILL FALL.

NCZ071-072-082-SCZ009-014-082200-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-161009T0600Z/
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...
MONROE...TRINITY...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...CATAWBA...
ROCK HILL...CHESTER...CORNWELL...GREAT FALLS
1113 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...METRO CHARLOTTE AND ADJACENT AREAS TO THE EAST AND 
  SOUTH.

* HAZARDS...DOWNED TREES AND UTILITY LINES CAUSED BY STRONG WIND 
  GUSTS.

* TIMING...THE STRONGEST GUSTS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS
  WILL TAPER OFF GRADUALLY AFTER SUNSET BUT REMAIN BREEZY INTO
  SUNDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH.
  SOME GUSTS WILL BE AS HIGH AS 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS. TREE 
  LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN AND A FEW POWER OUTAGES MAY RESULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$
WIMBERLEY
115 
WWUS72 KGSP 081844
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
244 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...GUSTY WINDS SURROUNDING HURRICANE MATTHEW...

.AS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVES ALONG THE CAROLINA COASTLINE...WINDS
WILL REMAIN GUSTY. SOILS ARE NOW SATURATED FROM PROLONGED
RAINFALL...AND SOME TREES AND POWER LINES COULD FALL DUE TO THE
STRONGER GUSTS.

NCZ071-072-082-SCZ009-014-090300-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-161009T0600Z/
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...
MONROE...TRINITY...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...CATAWBA...
ROCK HILL...CHESTER...CORNWELL...GREAT FALLS
244 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...METRO CHARLOTTE AND ADJACENT AREAS TO THE EAST AND 
  SOUTH.

* HAZARDS...DOWNED TREES AND UTILITY LINES CAUSED BY STRONG WIND 
  GUSTS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL TAPER OFF GRADUALLY TONIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS. TREE 
  LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN AND A FEW POWER OUTAGES MAY RESULT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$
WIMBERLEY
395 
WWUS72 KGSP 081931 
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
331 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...GUSTY WINDS SURROUNDING HURRICANE MATTHEW...

.AS HURRICANE MATTHEW MOVES ALONG THE CAROLINA COASTLINE...WINDS
WILL REMAIN GUSTY. SOILS ARE NOW SATURATED FROM PROLONGED
RAINFALL...AND SOME TREES AND POWER LINES COULD FALL DUE TO THE
STRONGER GUSTS.

NCZ071-072-082-SCZ009-014-090600-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-161009T0600Z/
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...
MONROE...TRINITY...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...CATAWBA...
ROCK HILL...CHESTER...CORNWELL...GREAT FALLS
331 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...METRO CHARLOTTE AND ADJACENT AREAS TO THE EAST AND 
  SOUTH.

* HAZARDS...DOWNED TREES AND UTILITY LINES CAUSED BY STRONG WIND 
  GUSTS.

* TIMING...WINDS WILL TAPER OFF GRADUALLY TONIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL BLOW AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS. TREE 
  LIMBS COULD BE BLOWN DOWN AND A FEW POWER OUTAGES MAY RESULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP.

&&

$$
774 
WWUS72 KGSP 090532
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
132 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...WINDS DIMINISHING ACROSS THE PIEDMONT...

NCZ071-072-082-SCZ009-014-090645-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-161009T0600Z/
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...
MONROE...TRINITY...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...CATAWBA...
ROCK HILL...CHESTER...CORNWELL...GREAT FALLS
132 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

WINDS ARE DIMINISHING ACROSS THE PIEDMONT AND SHOULD STAY BELOW
ADVISORY LEVELS. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY THROUGH THE
REST OF THE NIGHT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Oct 7, 2:47 PM EDT, 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 7, 2:47 PM EDT, 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
247 PM EDT Fri Oct 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Hurricane Matthew will move very near the Georgia and South Carolina
coasts tonight and tomorrow before tracking east late Saturday. A
cold front will sweep across the western Carolinas and Northeast
Georgia Sunday, with cool and dry high pressure settling over the
region through the middle of next week. Cooler than normal
conditions will start the week, with temperatures rebounding to
above average by the end of the next work week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 230 PM Fri: Wedging high pressure remains centered over
New England, and Hurricane Matthew is currently just northeast
of Daytona Beach. The wedge has become shallow, and while warm
upglide continues atop it, moisture is becoming a bit harder to come
by. While a broad area of light to moderate rainfall is ongoing
over the middle of the CWFA attm, as one might expect there is an
appreciable area upstream of it which has only isolated showers and
areas of drizzle. The consensus from most of the hi-res guidance
suggests the more robust showers will persist thru the afternoon
as they move upslope toward the Blue Ridge, with more scattered
activity over the Piedmont until the first "real" precip bands
blow in this evening.

The progged track of Matthew continues to vary from run to run and
model to model, and though the changes are quite small, there are
significant implications as far as the QPF over our lower Piedmont
zones, including the Charlotte metro. While the 12z NAM and EC
trended drier for those areas, GFS track moves the eye briefly
onshore, and thus tightens the QPF gradient in the aforementioned
area. Latest WPC QPF reflects that, and in collaboration with our
southern and eastern neighboring offices we went with that over the
southeast portion of the area. In anticipation of the increased
forecast, we expanded the Flash Flood Watch to Mecklenburg and
Cabarrus earlier today. However, the official track having shifted
more in our direction, we edged winds up a bit. Furthermore we
can now more confidently say that winds combined with saturated
soils will be enough for trees and powerlines to come down. A Wind
Advisory is being hoisted with this package for the same zones as
are in the FFA to highlight the potential.

Meanwhile, overnight tonight, low pressure moving across northern
Ontario will pull a cold front toward the Appalachian chain. Upslope
flow is progged to develop some precip along the NC/TN border which
will enhance PoPs there Over the course of the day Saturday as
the upper trough associated with the Ontario low swings east. This
brings the cold front more into the area, and Matthew heads back out
to the Atlantic. Drying occurs from the foothills to Piedmont as a
result, with some PoPs lingering along the spine of the mountains
into late day. Max temps will rise back slightly above climo over
the western Upstate (sunshine), but near climo elsewhere.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 230 PM Friday, we continue to have some concern about Matthew
lingering into Saturday evening depending on the eventual track and
how quickly the storm exits to the east. If the GFS is correct, we
would have to retain a higher precip chance over the eastern zones.
However, we will stay fairly close to the previous forecast which
had a chance across the area along/east of I-77. Either way, the
precip is expected to taper off quickly and be done by late evening,
with sky clearing as dry air wraps down from the N and NW. The
remainder of the weekend and into early next week should be dry and
relatively benign weather-wise. There will be some concern for wind
on Sunday, at least early in the day, as some higher momentum air
could mix down as the boundary layer deepens in the wake of the
storm. For now, the gust fcst will not meet Advisory criteria, but
this is perhaps the most pressing issue with the short range and
will be further evaluated. Temps will rebound a bit over the wrn
Piedmont and the fcst could be too cool east of the Blue Ridge if
strong enough downslope develops. Upper ridging will build in from
the west Sunday night with high pressure coming in from the NW. This
will bring some of the coolest temps thus far over the mtns with
low/mid 40s common...not quite cool enough yet to worry about frost.
The cold advection with the high building in Monday should keep high
temps just below normal.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 230 PM Friday, the extended period begins with the SE under
the influence of benign upper ridging, with dry high pressure in
control at the surface. Heights aloft will generally fall beginning
Tuesday night and Wednesday, though a wedge of high pressure will
persist over our area at the surface. An upper trough will arrive
Thursday with an accompanying surface front, but with little
moisture to work with, the frontal passage should be dry. High and
low temperatures will begin slightly below normal Tuesday before
increasing to a few degrees above normal through the end of next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
At KCLT: Expect IFR to prevail through most of the TAF
period. Though the wedge of high pressure currently over the field
will weaken tonight, there will remain enough upglide and moisture
on the north side of Hurricane Matthew to keep the cig locked
in. Brief periods of MVFR cigs are possible during periods of
heavier rain early this aftn, but with a lull in precip expected,
the cigs should return to IFR. Tonight, Matthew's precip bands
will start to swing through. Precip coverage near the field will
be greatest between midnight and daybreak, but remains categorical
essentially thru the end of the period. NE-ly winds will pick up
and become quite gusty overnight and especially Saturday. A few
gusts upwards of 30 kt are not out of the question.

Elsewhere: Precip this afternoon will transition to more of a
Blue Ridge upslope event, providing a lull across portions of
the Piedmont before rain returns tonight with the approach of
Hurricane Matthew. Except for periods of higher cigs associated
with heavier rainfall early on, IFR conditions will persist thru the
night. Areas of fog (and additionally drizzle) will cause periodic
vsby restrictions as well. Peak coverage of Matthew rainfall is
expected in the late evening to early morning hours across the
SC sites and KAVL, slightly later at KHKY. MVFR, perhaps even VFR
cigs return in the wake of the storm, closer to midday.

Outlook: Conditions generally will improve late day Saturday as
Hurricane Matthew moves away from the area, though breezy/gusty
winds will persist into Sunday. Dry high pressure will settle back
over the region in Matthew's wake, with VFR lasting thru early
next week.

Confidence Table...

            18-24Z        00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z
KCLT       Med   76%     High  86%     High  81%     Med   72%
KGSP       Low   55%     Med   69%     Med   79%     Med   73%
KAVL       Med   65%     High  87%     Med   78%     Med   72%
KHKY       High  84%     Med   70%     High  80%     Med   74%
KGMU       Med   64%     Low   52%     Med   60%     Med   77%
KAND       Med   67%     Low   46%     High  83%     High  92%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...Flash Flood Watch from 6 PM EDT this evening through late
     Saturday night for NCZ071-072-082.
     Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to 2 AM EDT Sunday for
     NCZ071-072-082.
SC...Flash Flood Watch from 6 PM EDT this evening through late
     Saturday night for SCZ009-014.
     Wind Advisory from midnight tonight to 2 AM EDT Sunday for
     SCZ009-014.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LEV
NEAR TERM...Wimberley
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...LEV
AVIATION...Wimberley
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 7, 12:35 PM EDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1235 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035-048>053-058-059-062>065-
501>510-SCZ001>007-010>012-019-081645-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-GREENWOOD-
1235 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...THE
FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND UPSTATE SOUTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ036-037-056-057-068>070-SCZ008-013-081645-
IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-CHEROKEE-UNION-
1235 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA AND EASTERN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER EDGE OF THE CIRCULATION
AROUND HURRICANE MATTHEW MAY MOVE INTO PARTS OF THE WESTERN
PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA AND THE EASTERN UPSTATE TONIGHT.
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENTS WITH THE TRACK OF MATTHEW AND THE LOCATION
OF OUTER RAIN BANDS WILL DETERMINE IF AND WHEN A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS ISSUED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

..SATURDAY...HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE MATTHEW MAY CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE
RAIN...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ071-072-082-SCZ009-014-081645-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
1235 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

..SATURDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY. IN
ADDITION TO THE RAIN...WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 7, 1:26 PM EDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
126 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

NCZ508-510-SCZ003-006>008-013-071800-
GREATER RUTHERFORD NC-EASTERN POLK NC-GREATER GREENVILLE SC-
SPARTANBURG SC-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-CHEROKEE SC-UNION SC-
126 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN RUTHERFORD...SOUTHEASTERN
POLK...NORTHWESTERN UNION...SPARTANBURG...NORTHEASTERN GREENVILLE AND
WESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM EDT...

AT 123 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER 7
MILES EAST OF SPARTANBURG...OR NEAR PACOLET MILLS...MOVING NORTHWEST
AT 40 MPH.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...GREER...TAYLORS...BOILING SPRINGS SC...
DUNCAN...LYMAN...PACOLET...LANDRUM AND COWPENS.

AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY AND MAKE TRAVEL
DIFFICULT.

LAT...LON 3498 8152 3470 8178 3490 8238 3533 8210
TIME...MOT...LOC 1723Z 131DEG 37KT 3491 8181

WJM
Special weather statement, Oct 7, 2:06 PM EDT, 55 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
206 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

NCZ510-SCZ003-006-007-071830-
EASTERN POLK NC-GREATER GREENVILLE SC-SPARTANBURG SC-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-
206 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL POLK...NORTHERN
SPARTANBURG AND NORTHEASTERN GREENVILLE COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM EDT...

AT 204 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER NEAR
SPARTANBURG...OR NEAR CEDAR SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPARTANBURG...COLUMBUS...GREER...BOILING SPRINGS SC...DUNCAN...
LYMAN...LANDRUM...WELLFORD...INMAN AND ROEBUCK.

HEAVY RAINFALL RATES IN THESE AREAS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO VERY
LOW LEVELS AT TIMES AND MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS.

LAT...LON 3492 8176 3477 8188 3500 8243 3533 8215
TIME...MOT...LOC 1804Z 123DEG 32KT 3490 8190

WJM
Special weather statement, Oct 7, 2:37 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
237 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

SCZ006-007-071930-
GREATER GREENVILLE SC-SPARTANBURG SC-
237 PM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016

...A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN SPARTANBURG AND EAST
CENTRAL GREENVILLE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

AT 236 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A HEAVY RAIN SHOWER 4
MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPARTANBURG...OR NEAR ROEBUCK...MOVING NORTHWEST
AT 10 MPH.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPARTANBURG...GREER...TAYLORS...BOILING SPRINGS SC...DUNCAN...
LYMAN...WELLFORD...INMAN...CAMPOBELLO AND REIDVILLE.

HEAVY RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS WILL RESULT IN VERY LOW VISIBILITY AND
DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

LAT...LON 3490 8233 3518 8215 3500 8191 3479 8202
TIME...MOT...LOC 1836Z 117DEG 9KT 3492 8200

WJM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 7, 3:58 AM EDTFlash Flood WatchGSPChester, York41 hr
Oct 7, 1:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPSpartanburg34 min
Oct 7, 2:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPSpartanburg24 min
Oct 7, 2:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementGSPSpartanburg53 min
Oct 7, 11:35 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPUnion115 min

Nearby

Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2016Wind Advisories in South Carolina, 2016Every wind advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.