Special Weather Statement, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
108 AM EDT THU APR 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES OUR REGION TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY UNSEASONABLE COOL TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE NEXT TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
0515 UTC UPDATE...WINDS WERE UPDATED TO INCORPORATE THE LATEST NAM
GUIDANCE...WIHT GUSTS PRESERVED DUE TO THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BOTH
AHEAD OF AND BEHIND THE FRONT.

AS OF 1040 PM...PREFRONTAL PRECIP ACTIVITY HAS GROWN INTO A REGION
OF APPARENTLY STRATIFORM RAIN NOW MOVING INTO THE APPALACHIANS OF
EASTERN TN/KY. FURTHER SOUTH IN MORE UNSTABLE AIR...A NARROW QLCS
EXTENDS FROM AROUND CHATTANOOGA SOUTHWEST TO CENTRAL ALABAMA. THIS
FEATURE IS PROPAGATING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO A REGION OF NEARLY 1000
J/KG OF SBCAPE. A COUPLE OF DISCRETE CELLS HAVE FORMED AHEAD
OF THE MAIN LINE AND THESE ARE TRACKING EASTWARD TOWARD OUR GA
ZONES. UNSEASONABLY LOW FREEZING LEVELS COMBINED WITH THE STRONG
ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR HAVE ALLOWED ONE OF THESE LEADING CELLS TO
PRODUCE UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. HOWEVER AS THESE MOVE TOWARD
OUR AREA THEY WILL ENCOUNTER INCREASINGLY STABLE AIR WHICH APPEARS
LIKELY TO LEAD TO THEIR DEMISE. THIS IS THE TREND SHOWN FROM MESO
GUIDANCE. I HAVE REVISED POPS TO REFLECT THE CURRENT NATURE OF
THE ACTIVITY. THOUGH THE PREVIOUS FCST TRENDS WERE CLOSE TO THE
LATEST HRRR TIMING...THE ACTIVITY HAS OUTPACED THE HRRR SO FAR THIS
EVENING...SO SOME ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE. ALSO REVISED OVERNIGHT
TEMPS IN

THOUGH THE PREFRONTAL INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO BE QUITE
LIMITED...PEAKING PERHAPS AT 100-200 J/KG IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF
IT...HIGH 0-3KM BULK SHEAR VALUES AND VERY HIGH 0-1KM HELICITY WILL
BE PRESENT.  GIVEN THESE STRONG LLVL WIND FIELDS AND POTENTIAL
QLCS STORM STRUCTURE...ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE BAND OF SHOWERS AND ISO TSRA. MILD
LOW TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TONIGHT...MID 40S WITHIN THE MTN VALLEYS
TO LOW 50S EAST.

THURSDAY...BY SUNRISE...THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST OF THE
CWA...RESULTING IN DECREASING SHOWER COVERAGE AND THINNING CLOUDS.
GUSTY WINDS WILL VEER FROM THE WSW DURING THE DAY...PEAKING ACROSS
THE NC NRN AND CENTRAL MTNS DURING THE AFTERNOON. MOMENTUM TRANSFER
FROM THE MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATES THAT GUSTS ABOVE 46 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MTNS...WITH VALUES BETWEEN 30 TO 40 MPH ACROSS
THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. IT IS POSSIBLE A WIND ADVISORY WILL
BE NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NC MTNS THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WE
WILL HIGHLIGHT IN THE HWO AT THIS TIME. OTHERWISE...CHANNELIZED H5
VORTICITY IS EXPECTED TO RACE SE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE COMBINATION OF THE MID LEVEL FEATURE
AND LLVL NW WINDS SHOULD MAINTAIN SCT TO NUM SHOWERS ALONG THE TN
LINE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY. A FEW PATCHES OF WEAK SHOWERS MAY
DEVELOP EAST OF THE MTNS DURING THE AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES
ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM NEAR 60 AT KAVL TO UPPER 60S EAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 235 PM WEDNESDAY...THE FOCUS OF THE SHORT TERM IS THE RETURN
TO WINTER EXPECTED ACROSS MAINLY THE NC MOUNTAINS THIS WEEKEND.
COOLER AIR WILL SPILL DOWN FROM THE NW AS THE MAIN UPPER TROF AXIS
SWINGS ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. THICKNESS TUMBLES STEADILY AS
RELATIVELY DEEP MOISTURE IS FORCED UP THE TN SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS.
THE PASSAGE OF A FOLLOW-UP SHORT WAVE...THOUGH WITH MOSTLY CHANNELED
VORTICITY...WILL STILL PROVIDE SOME MID/UPPER SUPPORT FOR
PRECIP...SOME OF WHICH COULD SPREAD OUT EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE
THURSDAY NIGHT. MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS/PARTIAL THICKNESS SUPPORT
MAINLY RAIN TO START WITH...BUT SNOW LEVELS WILL PROBABLY FALL FROM
ABOUT 5K FEET AT 00Z FRIDAY DOWN ALMOST TO THE VALLEY FLOORS BY
DAYBREAK FRIDAY....AND WILL THEN STAY SOMEWHERE IN THE 2K-3K FT
RANGE THROUGH FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...SURGES OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF PRECIP MAINLY NEAR THE TN
BORDER THROUGH UNTIL AROUND DAYBREAK SATURDAY. THIS WOULD NOT BE TOO
MUCH OF A PROBLEM IF THE QPF GUIDANCE HAD NOT MADE A TREND TOWARD A
WETTER SYSTEM. AFTER TAKING INTO ACCOUNT A BLEND OF THE WETTER WPC
GUIDANCE AND THE SOMEWHAT MORE SUBDUED NAM/SREF...WE STILL GET THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW ON THE HIGHEST RIDGETOPS NEAR
THE TN BORDER...AND PERHAPS 1-3 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS MANY PARTS OF
THE NRN MOUNTAINS. FOR NOW...THE TIMING OF ONSET BEING THE THIRD
PERIOD MEANS WE HAVE THE LUXURY OF WAITING FOR ANOTHER CYCLE OR TWO
BEFORE ISSUING ANY WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES. IF THE TREND
CONTINUES...AN ADVISORY MAY BE NECESSARY FOR THE NRN MOUNTAINS AND
HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE SMOKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 32F
ACROSS MUCH OF THE NRN MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY AVERY COUNTY...AROUND
SUNRISE ON FRIDAY. OUTSIDE THE MTNS...EXPECT OCCASIONAL
CLOUDS...PERHAPS SOME OROGRAPHIC CIRRUS...TO HELP KEEP HIGH TEMPS
ABOUT TEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON FRIDAY.

FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS COLD ACROSS THE NC MTNS/FOOTHILLS AS NW FLOW
CONTINUES. MIN TEMPS ARE FCST TO BE BELOW 32F ACROSS ALL THE HIGHER
TERRAIN. LINGERING STRONG WINDS WILL PROBABLY PREVENT FROST OUTSIDE
THE MTNS. SATURDAY SHOULD BE RELATIVELY QUIET AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER DROPS DOWN INTO THE OH VALLEY...BUT TEMPS WILL BE ON THE
ORDER OF 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL...OR MORE TYPICAL FOR MID-FEBRUARY.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 235 PM WEDNESDAY...HEIGHTS RISE THROUGH MONDAY AS UPPER
RIDGING TAKES THE PLACE OF THE DEEP UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN
US. AT THE SURFACE...COLD HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA SUNDAY SLIDES
EAST AND MODERATES ON MONDAY WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPING. SHOULD
BE DECENT RADIATIONAL CONDITIONS SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS COMBINED WITH
THE COLD AIR MASS WILL LEAD TO YET ANOTHER FREEZE OR NEAR FREEZE
ACROSS THE CWFA. THE RISING HEIGHTS...MODERATING AIR MASS AND
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL LEAD TO A WARMING TREND SUNDAY AND MONDAY. HIGHS
SUNDAY WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THEN AROUND 5 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL MONDAY. LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BE NEAR NORMAL.

AN UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN US OPENS UP AND MOVES INTO THE MS
VALLEY MONDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. AT THE SURFACE...
MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IN THE SOUTH
TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA TUESDAY THAN
EAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FORECAST
TRENDS...SO HAVE POP INCREASING TO LIKELY WEST AND CHANCE EAST
MONDAY NIGHT...WITH LIKELY ALL AREAS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...THEN
TAPERING OFF TUESDAY NIGHT. LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE ENOUGH LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE RECOVERY AND INSTABILITY FOR THUNDER MENTION OVER THE
UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER VALLEY TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS
TUESDAY NEAR NORMAL.

THE GFS THEN OPENS UP YET ANOTHER SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN US MOVING IT INTO THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE
06/00Z ECMWF KEEPS THE LOW CLOSED AND ONLY SLOWLY MOVES IT EASTWARD
DURING THIS PERIOD. NATURALLY...THE GFS IS MUCH FASTER WITH THE
ASSOCIATED SURFACE GULF LOW PRESSURE...BRINGING PRECIP BACK INTO THE
AREA BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE ECMWF IS SLOWER...KEEPING THE CWFA
DRY UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HAVE BLENDED THE TIMING OF THE
MODELS AND KEEP THE AREA DRY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH POP INCREASING
TO SLIGHT CHANCE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT AROUND 5
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...WITH HIGHS WEDNESDAY NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...MVFR OR LOWER CIGS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH
PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT. MVFR OR LOWER VSBY
RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL DUE TO RAIN. BASED MODEL CLOUD COVER
AND TIME HEIGHTS...SCATTERED LOW VFR CAN BE EXPECTED EAST OF THE
MOUNTAINS BY MID MORNING...WITH SCATTERED MVFR AT KAVL. AS MOISTURE
CROSSES THE MOUNTAINS WITH A SECOND SYSTEM LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY THIS EVENING...CIGS WILL RETURN...WITH MVFR AT KAVL...AND LOW
VFR AT SITE TO THE EAST. ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION WILL
ACCOMPANY THE SECOND SYSTEM...WITH THE BEST CHANCE AT KAVL...WHERE
VSBY RESTRICTIONS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY AS WELL. WINDS WILL VEER FROM
S TO WSW BY DAWN...EXCEPT NW AT KAVL...REMAINING GUSTY THROUGH THE
DAY...WITH GUSTS DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING.

OUTLOOK...PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVING OVER
THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT SHOULD RETREAT TO THE WESTERN NC
MOUNTAINS...AND WITH WINDS UP SLIGHTLY AND RELATIVELY DRY
AIR...CHANCES FOR RESTRICTIONS SHOULD DECREASE.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            05-11Z        11-17Z        17-23Z        23-00Z
KCLT       MED   64%     MED   66%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       LOW   57%     LOW   55%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       MED   71%     MED   66%     LOW   56%     LOW   57%
KHKY       HIGH  85%     MED   61%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       LOW   57%     LOW   55%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       MED   64%     LOW   55%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULE TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY.  COMPLET HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...JAT/NED/WIMBERLEY
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...RWH
AVIATION...JAT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
414 PM EDT WED APR 6 2016

NCZ033-049-050-072015-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
414 PM EDT WED APR 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE
SHOWERS PASS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KNOCK DOWN
A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...HIGH WINDS POSSIBLE. STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS IN THE AFTERNOON.
..FRIDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE. SNOW MAY ALSO ACCUMULATE AT ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 3500 FEET.
..SATURDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..SUNDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ048-051>053-058-059-072015-
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-
414 PM EDT WED APR 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE SMOKIES.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. GUSTY WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE AS THE SHOWERS PASS. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS COULD
HAVE WIND GUSTS HIGH ENOUGH TO KNOCK DOWN A FEW TREES AND POWER
LINES...ALONG WITH CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
..FRIDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE. SNOW MAY ALSO ACCUMULATE AT ELEVATIONS
ABOVE 3500 FEET.
..SATURDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..SUNDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-NCZ062>065-SCZ001>003-072015-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
414 PM EDT WED APR 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND THE UPPER FRENCH BROAD
VALLEY OF NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. GUSTY WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE AS THE SHOWERS PASS. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS COULD
HAVE WIND GUSTS HIGH ENOUGH TO KNOCK DOWN A FEW TREES AND POWER
LINES...ALONG WITH CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..SUNDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ501>507-509-072015-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
POLK MOUNTAINS-
414 PM EDT WED APR 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE BLUE RIDGE AND NORTHERN
FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS LATE
TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE AS
THE SHOWERS PASS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KNOCK
DOWN A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..SUNDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-068-069-508-510-072015-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-
414 PM EDT WED APR 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND NORTHWEST PIEDMONT
OF NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. GUSTY WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE AS THE SHOWERS PASS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG
ENOUGH TO KNOCK DOWN A FEW TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...FROST POSSIBLE.
..SUNDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ057-070>072-082-SCZ004>014-019-072015-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ROWAN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
414 PM EDT WED APR 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE PIEDMONT OF THE
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
PIEDMONT OF THE CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE SHOWERS PASS. THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS COULD HAVE WIND GUSTS HIGH ENOUGH TO KNOCK DOWN A
FEW TREES AND POWER LINES...ALONG WITH CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

PM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1239 AM EDT THU APR 7 2016

GAZ017-018-026-SCZ001-002-004-005-070515-
FRANKLIN GA-STEPHENS GA-HABERSHAM GA-GREATER OCONEE SC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-GREATER PICKENS SC-
1239 AM EDT THU APR 7 2016

...AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF
STEPHENS...SOUTHERN HABERSHAM...NORTHERN FRANKLIN...OCONEE AND
PICKENS COUNTIES UNTIL 115 AM EDT...

AT 1237 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF AN AREA
OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8
MILES NORTH OF TOCCOA TO 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF CARNESVILLE...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOCCOA...SENECA...WALHALLA...PICKENS...CLEMSON...EASLEY...CENTRAL...
CORNELIA...LIBERTY AND BALDWIN.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL RATES UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3472 8337 3472 8335 3473 8335 3503 8299
      3505 8291 3490 8251 3431 8335 3433 8339
      3443 8338 3446 8340 3448 8347 3449 8354
      3444 8361 3446 8364 3448 8365
TIME...MOT...LOC 0437Z 222DEG 82KT 3470 8331 3453 8313

KRENTZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
113 AM EDT THU APR 7 2016

GAZ018-026-028-029-SCZ001>006-010-070600-
FRANKLIN GA-HART GA-STEPHENS GA-ELBERT GA-GREATER OCONEE SC-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-GREATER GREENVILLE SC-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS SC-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-GREATER PICKENS SC-ANDERSON SC-
113 AM EDT THU APR 7 2016

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL IMPACT PORTIONS
OF HART...WESTERN ELBERT...STEPHENS...FRANKLIN...SOUTHERN OCONEE...
PICKENS...GREENVILLE AND ANDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 200 AM EDT...

AT 111 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTH OF TOCCOA TO 6
MILES SOUTHWEST OF HARTWELL...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREENVILLE DOWNTOWN...ANDERSON...EASLEY...CLEMSON...SENECA...ELBERTON...
HARTWELL...PICKENS...CARNESVILLE AND TOCCOA.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND RAINFALL RATES
AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3415 8306 3417 8310 3423 8308 3427 8312
      3424 8317 3424 8325 3426 8331 3433 8339
      3443 8338 3448 8344 3519 8238 3519 8235
      3491 8222 3485 8223 3477 8215 3473 8217
      3426 8265 3421 8274 3419 8273 3401 8293
TIME...MOT...LOC 0511Z 226DEG 40KT 3449 8330 3428 8301

KRENTZ