Alert archive / North Carolina / Red Flag Warnings in 2016
Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this red flag warning at Apr 8, 2016, 4:07 PM EDT for 10 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Apr 9, 2016, 10:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 8, 2016, 4:07 PM EDT (20:07 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 9, 2016, 10:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 9, 2016, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Counties Cabarrus County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Davie County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Union County, NC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1495 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 91 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -34 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 11 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
790 WWUS82 KGSP 082007 RFWGSP URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 407 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2016 ...WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT ON SATURDAY... .WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AS A DRY CANADIAN AIRMASS SETTLES SOUTHEAST OVER THE REGION. DESPITE RECENT LIGHT RAINFALL...FINE FUELS AND BRUSH CONTINUE TO DRY OUT...AND THESE FUELS SHOULD REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS ALONG WITH THE WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL GREATLY INCREASE THE RISK OF WILDFIRES DEVELOPING AND SPREADING. NCZ036-037-056-057-068>072-082-090415- /O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0001.160409T1400Z-160410T0000Z/ IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG- CABARRUS-UNION- 407 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2016 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. * LOCATIONS...THE PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. * TIMING...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH CRITICAL HUMIDITY CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * HUMIDITY...IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S PERCENT RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. * FUEL MOISTURE...MOSTLY IN THE 5 TO 10 PERCENT RANGE AND FALLING. * IMPACTS...WILDFIRES WILL DEVELOP AND SPREAD RAPIDLY UNDER THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL GREATLY ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR FIRE GROWTH. && $$ GERAPETRITIS
3 follow-up statements
553 WWUS82 KGSP 090248 RFWGSP URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1048 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2016 ...WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT ON SATURDAY... .WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH SATURDAY AS A DRY CANADIAN AIRMASS SETTLES SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION. DESPITE RECENT LIGHT RAINFALL...FINE FUELS AND BRUSH CONTINUE TO DRY OUT...AND THESE FUELS SHOULD REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS ALONG WITH THE WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL GREATLY INCREASE THE RISK OF WILDFIRES DEVELOPING AND SPREADING. NCZ036-037-056-057-068>072-082-091400- /O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0001.160409T1400Z-160410T0000Z/ IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG- CABARRUS-UNION- 1048 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2016 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY. * LOCATIONS...THE PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. * TIMING...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH CRITICAL HUMIDITY CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * HUMIDITY...BECOMING AS LOW AS 18 TO 22 PERCENT DURING THE WARMEST PART OF THE AFTERNOON. * FUEL MOISTURE...MOSTLY IN THE 5 TO 10 PERCENT RANGE AND FALLING. * IMPACTS... WILDFIRES WILL DEVELOP AND SPREAD RAPIDLY UNDER THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL GREATLY ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR FIRE GROWTH. && $$ WIMBERLEY
288 WWUS82 KGSP 090909 RFWGSP URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 509 AM EDT SAT APR 9 2016 ...WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT TODAY... .WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH TODAY AS A DRY CANADIAN AIRMASS SETTLES SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION. DESPITE RECENT LIGHT RAINFALL...FINE FUELS AND BRUSH CONTINUE TO DRY OUT...AND THESE FUELS SHOULD REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS ALONG WITH THE WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY TODAY. THIS WILL GREATLY INCREASE THE RISK OF WILDFIRES DEVELOPING AND SPREADING. NCZ036-037-056-057-068>072-082-092000- /O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0001.160409T1400Z-160410T0000Z/ IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG- CABARRUS-UNION- 509 AM EDT SAT APR 9 2016 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... * LOCATIONS...THE PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. * TIMING...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH CRITICAL HUMIDITY CONDITIONS THROUGH MUCH OF TODAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * HUMIDITY...BECOMING AS LOW AS 18 TO 22 PERCENT DURING THE WARMEST PART OF THE AFTERNOON. * FUEL MOISTURE...MOSTLY IN THE 5 TO 10 PERCENT RANGE AND FALLING. * IMPACTS... WILDFIRES WILL DEVELOP AND SPREAD RAPIDLY UNDER THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL GREATLY ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR FIRE GROWTH. && $$
993 WWUS82 KGSP 091511 RFWGSP URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1111 AM EDT SAT APR 9 2016 ...WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT TODAY... .WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS A DRY CANADIAN AIR MASS SETTLES SOUTHEAST INTO THE REGION. DESPITE RECENT LIGHT RAINFALL...FINE FUELS AND BRUSH CONTINUE TO DRY OUT...AND THESE FUELS SHOULD REACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS ALONG WITH THE WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY TODAY. THIS WILL GREATLY INCREASE THE RISK OF WILDFIRES DEVELOPING AND SPREADING. NCZ036-037-056-057-068>072-082-100000- /O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160410T0000Z/ IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG- CABARRUS-UNION- 1111 AM EDT SAT APR 9 2016 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... * LOCATIONS...THE PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. * TIMING...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH CRITICAL HUMIDITY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * HUMIDITY...BECOMING AS LOW AS 18 TO 22 PERCENT DURING THE WARMEST PART OF THE AFTERNOON. * FUEL MOISTURE...MOSTLY IN THE 5 TO 10 PERCENT RANGE AND FALLING. * IMPACTS... WILDFIRES WILL DEVELOP AND SPREAD RAPIDLY UNDER THESE CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL GREATLY ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR FIRE GROWTH. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 8, 2:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 8, 2:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
259 PM EDT FRI APR 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
BRISK...BLUSTERY AND COOL AIR WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION
INTO THIS WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND FOR THE BEGINNING OF
THE WORK WEEK BEFORE ANOTHER COLD FRONT ARRIVES ON TUESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM...A CHANNELED VORT LOBE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST OF THE
AREA THIS EVENING...WHILE THE CENTER OF THE UPPER JET STREAK WILL
REMAIN INTO SATURDAY. IN THE LLVLS...YET ANOTHER CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL
DIVE INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND INCREASE THE PRES GRADIENT ATOP THE
CWFA. A PERIOD OF VERY STRONG CAA WILL OCCUR ACRS THE MTNS EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING...WITH BOTH THE GFS AND NAM SHOWING 850 MB WINDS OF
40-50 KTS OVER THE NC MTNS. THE GFS-BASED GUIDANCE IS MORE BULLISH
ON THE WINDS...ESP UP THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY. I AM SKEPTICAL OF
THIS...AND OPTED TO TAKE A BLEND WHICH ONLY BUMPS UP WINDS SLIGHTLY
TONIGHT THRU SATURDAY. WITH THAT SAID...THE WIND ADVISORY LOOKS WELL
PLACED. THE GUSTY WINDS LINGERING INTO SATURDAY WILL MAKE FOR FIRE
WX CONCERNS (SEE FIRE WX SECTION BELOW).
THE OTHER ISSUE IN THE NEAR TERM IS NW FLOW SNOW. LOOKING AT THE
LATEST GUIDANCE...IT STILL LOOKS LIKE A SUB-ADVISORY EVENT...WITH
GENERALLY A TRACE TO 2 INCHES ALONG THE TN BORDER IN THE USUAL NW
FLOW UPSLOPE AREAS. WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT IN THE HWO.
OTHERWISE...THE CONVECTIVE CLOUD DECK SHOULD DISSIPATE EAST OF THE
MTNS THIS EVENING...BECOMING MORE CONFINED TO THE UPSLOPE AREAS IN
THE NC MTNS. TEMPS WILL FALL INTO THE 20S TO LWR 30S IN THE MTNS
(WHERE IN THE FREEZE WARNING LOOKS GOOD). MIN TEMPS IN THE MID 30S
TO AROUND 40 ACRS THE PIEDMONT.
ON SATURDAY...AS MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY IT WILL BE ANOTHER BREEZY TO
WINDY DAY ACRS THE AREA. TEMPS WILL BE GENERALLY 12-15 DEG BELOW
NORMAL UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD TAPER OFF BY
LATE MORNING.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM EDT FRIDAY...IN AN OTHERWISE ZONAL UPPER FLOW PATTERN
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...A WEAK EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION LATE SUNDAY...WITH ANOTHER BRUSHING THE NORTHERN
TIER LATE MONDAY. NEITHER OF THESE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY MUCH DEEP
MOISTURE...AND POP WILL BE KEPT AT SUB SLIGHT CHANCES UNTIL VERY
LATE IN THE DAY ON MONDAY AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLOWLY STARTS TO
APPROACH FROM THE NW. EVEN THEN...SLIGHT CHANCE SHOWER POPS WILL BE
CONFINED TO THE FAR WESTERN MOUNTAINS THROUGH SUNDOWN MONDAY.
THE MAIN STORY FOR THE PERIOD WILL BE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES
SETTLING IN OVER THE REGION SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS. A FREEZE OR
HARD FREEZE LOOKS QUITE LIKELY WITH PLENTY OF 20S MINS EXPECTED.
SOME PATCHY FROST TO AREAS OF FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL AS
WINDS SLACKEN SUNDAY MORNING...BUT DRY AIR MAY KEEP FROST FROM
BECOMING TOO WIDESPREAD DESPITE THE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. THE
CURRENT WATCHES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. SOUTH TO SW FLOW AROUND THE
OFFSHORE HIGH CENTER WILL THEN ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND QUICKLY
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...WITH MONDAY AFTERNOON MAXES NEAR CLIMO.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 255 PM FRIDAY...GUIDANCE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT EARLY IN THE
LONG TERM...THEN DISAGREEMENT DEVELOPS FOR LATER IN THE PERIOD. A
SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW THAT PREVIOUSLY OPENS UP AND MOVES EAST...
PHASES WITH A NORTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE MONDAY NIGHT AND MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. THIS PUSHES A COLD FRONT TO THE SPINE OF
THE APPALACHIANS MONDAY NIGHT AND ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY. GOOD
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM BRINGING IN DEEP
MOISTURE AND SOME INSTABILITY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-85 CORRIDOR.
THEREFORE...HAVE KEPT SIMILAR TRENDS WITH INCREASING POP MONDAY
NIGHT...WITH LIKELY POP ALL AREAS TUESDAY AND THUNDER CHANCE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN TIER. PRECIP TAPERS OFF QUICKLY TUESDAY NIGHT AS DRY
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NW. LOWS 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL MONDAY NIGHT DROP TO NEAR NORMAL FOR TUESDAY NIGHT. HIGHS
TUESDAY WILL BE NEAR NORMAL.
CONFUSION REIGNS FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD...BUT THE GFS DOES
CONTINUE ITS TREND OF THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. IT SHOWS ANOTHER
SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER LOW OVER THE SW US OPENING UP AND SLIDING EAST
ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES AS IT PHASES WITH A NORTHERN STREAM
SYSTEM AND CROSSING THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. RIDGING
BUILDS TO THE WEST ON FRIDAY WITH NORTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPING OVER OUR
AREA BETWEEN IT AND THE DEPARTING TROUGH. THE ECMWF STARTS OUT LIKE
THE GFS BUT KEEPS A MORE CLOSED AND SLOWER MOVING UPPER LOW. THIS
LOW NEVER PHASES WITH THE NORTHERN STREAM...AND NOW REMAINS WEST OF
THE AREA AS THE NORTHERN STREAM WAVE MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RIDGING THEN BUILDS OVER THE SE
THURSDAY WHICH KEEPS THE UPPER LOW TO OUR WEST FRIDAY...BUT SOME
ENERGY DOES UNDERCUT AN ANTICYCLONE WITH DEVELOPS FROM THE RIDGING
OVER THE GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY. AT THE SURFACE...THERE IS AGREEMENT
THAT THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED DRY HIGH PRESSURE CENTER BUILDS OVER
THE NE US AND TAKES ON A COLD AIR DAMMING CONFIGURATION THROUGH THE
END OF THE PERIOD. THE GFS HAS A FAST MOVING GULF LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM THAT DOES BRING SOME MOISTURE AND PRECIP ACROSS THE AREA
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN DRY THE REST OF THE PERIOD. THE
ECMWF IS WETTER AND SLOWER WITH THE GULF LOW...BUT NOT AS WET AS
PREVIOUS RUNS. GIVEN ALL THE UNCERTAINTY...HAVE GONE WITH A MODEL
BLEND WHICH BRINGS GENERALLY SLIGHT CHANCE POP BACK INTO THE AREA
WEDNESDAY AND LINGERS THAT THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. HAVE TEMPS
BELOW NORMAL...WITH A SLIGHT WARMING TREND ON FRIDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...VFR. THE MAIN CONCERN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WILL BE WINDS...AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA WITH A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACRS THE REGION. THE NW LLVL WINDS WILL KEEP A LEE
TROF ACRS THE PIEDMONT THAT WILL MAKE FOR MORE VARIABLE WINDS AT THE
UPSTATE SITES AND KHKY AND KCLT. STILL EXPECT KCLT TO FAVOR 280-290
THRU MOST OF THE AFTN...THEN BRIEFLY FAVOR 260 THIS EVENING...THEN
SHIFT BACK TO 280 BEHIND THE FRONT OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME
QUITE GUSTY AGAIN EAST OF THE MTNS NOT LONG AFTER DAYBREAK OUT OF
THE NW. A HIGH-BASED A SCT-BKN CU DECK WILL DISSIPATE AFTER
SUNSET...LEAVING MAINLY SKC OR A FEW HIGH CLOUDS. THE EXCEPTION IS
AT KAVL...WHERE LOWER VFR CLOUDS AND GUSTY NW WINDS WILL LINGER THRU
THE NIGHT.
OUTLOOK...CHANCES FOR RESTRICTIONS ARE LOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS
COOL/DRY HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS. CHANCES INCREASE ON MONDAY/TUESDAY
AS WARM/MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
19-01Z 01-07Z 07-13Z 13-18Z
KCLT HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KGSP HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAVL HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 97% HIGH 100%
KHKY HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KGMU HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAND HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULE TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLET HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
FOR SC...AFTER COORDINATION WITH SC FORESTRY...A FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE ENTIRE UPSTATE FOR SATURDAY FROM 10
AM TO 8 PM EDT. THE COMBINATION OF RH AND WINDS LOOK CLOSE TO RED
FLAG...BUT FUEL MOISTURES ARE STILL A BIT TOO MOIST FOR A RED FLAG
WARNING.
FOR GA...FUELS ARE MARGINAL AT AROUND 10 PCT TODAY...BUT FURTHER
DRYING WILL LIKELY PUSH THEM TO THE 8 PCT THRESHOLD. BOTH THE RH AND
WINDS SATURDAY WILL BE WITHIN FIRE DANGER STATEMENT CRITERIA...SO AN
SPS WILL BE ISSUED FOR NE GA.
FOR NC...AT TIME OF THIS WRITING...WE ARE STILL COORDINATING FOR
POSSIBLE FIRE DANGER STATEMENT OR FIRE WEATHER WATCH...AS
METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS LOOK SOLID RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA FOR
SATURDAY.
&&
.CLIMATE...
RECORDS FOR 04-09
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAVL 85 2001 35 1916 62 1922 24 1972
KCLT 89 1893 46 2003 64 1908 25 1972
1916
KGSP 89 1965 48 2003 63 1999 27 1972
1938 1922
RECORDS FOR 04-10
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAVL 87 2001 38 1907 60 1959 23 1985
1929
1908
KCLT 90 2001 44 1984 65 1922 28 2007
1893 1985
KGSP 91 1995 44 2003 63 1922 24 1916
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR
GAZ010.
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029.
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029.
NC...FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR
NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509.
HARD FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING FOR NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
501>507.
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
FOR NCZ068>072-082-508>510.
WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR
NCZ033-048>052-058-059-062>064.
SC...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
FOR SCZ001>014-019.
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR SCZ001>014-019.
&&
SYNOPSIS...CSH
NEAR TERM...ARK
SHORT TERM...HG
LONG TERM...RWH
AVIATION...ARK
FIRE WEATHER...ARK
CLIMATE...HGHazardous weather outlook, Apr 8, 10:22 AM EDT, 5 hours 45 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1022 AM EDT FRI APR 8 2016 NCZ033-049-050-091430- AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL- 1022 AM EDT FRI APR 8 2016 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY... ...HARD FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FREEZE WARNING. WIND ADVISORY. ADDITIONALLY...MOIST NORTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL YIELD MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING TONIGHT TO SUPPORT SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COULD REACH AS HIGH AS 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS. THE EXPECTED GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO BLOWING SNOW AT TIMES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...FREEZE AND HIGH WINDS LIKELY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS. ..SUNDAY...FREEZE LIKELY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO RELAY ANY SNOW OR WIND REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>064-091430- MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON- SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- 1022 AM EDT FRI APR 8 2016 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM EDT SATURDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...HARD FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FREEZE WARNING. WIND ADVISORY. ADDITIONALLY...MOIST NORTHWEST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL YIELD MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING TONIGHT TO SUPPORT SNOW SHOWERS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS COULD REACH AS HIGH AS 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGETOPS. THE EXPECTED GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO BLOWING SNOW AT TIMES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...FREEZE AND HIGH WINDS LIKELY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS. ..SUNDAY...FREEZE LIKELY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO RELAY ANY SNOW AND WIND REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. NCZ065-501-503-505-507-091430- HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- 1022 AM EDT FRI APR 8 2016 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...HARD FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR HENDERSON COUNTY AND THE BLUE RIDGE AREA OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FREEZE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...FREEZE LIKELY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS. ..SUNDAY...FREEZE LIKELY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ010-NCZ509-091430- RABUN-POLK MOUNTAINS- 1022 AM EDT FRI APR 8 2016 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR RABUN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE MOUNTAINS OF POLK COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FREEZE WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...FREEZE LIKELY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS. ..SUNDAY...FREEZE LIKELY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. NCZ035>037-056-057-502-504-506-091430- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE- EASTERN MCDOWELL- 1022 AM EDT FRI APR 8 2016 ...HARD FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND NORTHWEST PIEDMONT OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...FREEZE LIKELY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ068>072-082-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-091430- HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON- MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 1022 AM EDT FRI APR 8 2016 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA...AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...FREEZE LIKELY. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST URGENT WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. HG
In the hours before
Local storm report, Apr 8, 10:29 AM EDT, 5 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1029 AM EDT FRI APR 08 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW 3 SW CASHIERS 35.08N 83.13W
04/08/2016 E0.0 INCH JACKSON NC SOCIAL MEDIA
WHITESIDE MTN.
&&
CSHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 3:59 AM EDT | Freeze Watch | GSP | Cabarrus, Cleveland, Gaston, Lincoln, Mecklenburg, Polk and 2 more | 24 hr |
| Apr 8, 3:59 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | GSP | Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Graham, Haywood and 11 more | 30 hr |
| Apr 8, 3:59 AM EDT | Hard Freeze Watch | GSP | Alexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba and 15 more | 24 hr |
| Apr 8, 3:59 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | GSP | Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Graham, Haywood and 11 more | 38 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in North Carolina, 2016Every red flag warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.