Alert archive / North Carolina / Frost Advisories in 2016

Frost Advisory 1, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

March 19, 20165 counties in North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this frost advisory at Mar 19, 2016, 3:10 PM EDT for 5 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Mar 20, 2016, 4:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2016, 3:10 PM EDT (19:10 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 20, 2016, 4:00 AM EDT
Expired
Mar 20, 2016, 9:00 AM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

Counties Graham County, NC, Haywood County, NC, Jackson County, NC, Macon County, NC, Swain County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 245 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2016-03-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2016-03-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 114 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
968 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
134 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

226 
WWUS72 KGSP 191910
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
310 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...FREEZE AND FROST POSSIBLE...

.COOLER AIR ARRIVING OVER THE AREA WILL SUPPORT FROST IN THE
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...UPSTATE SOUTH
CAROLINA...AND THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY..

NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-200315-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FR.Y.0001.160320T0800Z-160320T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.A.0001.160321T0800Z-160321T1400Z/
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...
LAKE JUNALUSKA...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
HIGHLANDS...CASHIERS
310 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT
SUNDAY. A FREEZE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FREEZE WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...BETWEEN 33 AND 36 DEGREES.

* WINDS...LIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ035>037-048-053-056-057-064-065-068>070-502-504-
506>510-SCZ001>003-005>007-011-012-019-200315-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.A.0001.160321T0800Z-160321T1400Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-
SPARTANBURG-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...BETHLEHEM...
TAYLORSVILLE...STONY POINT...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...HICKORY...
NEWTON...ST. STEPHENS...SALISBURY...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...
FLETCHER...EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...
FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...SALUDA...COLUMBUS...WALHALLA...
PUMPKINTOWN...TIGERVILLE...GOWENSVILLE...CAESARS HEAD...
CLEVELAND...MARIETTA...EASLEY...CLEMSON...TAYLORS...GREER...
MAULDIN...SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...SPARTANBURG...ABBEVILLE...
CALHOUN FALLS...LAURENS...CLINTON
310 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FREEZE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF WESTER NORTH CAROLINA...UPSTATE SOUTH
  CAROLINA...AND THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$
07
4 follow-up statements
429 
WWUS72 KGSP 200152
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
952 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...FREEZE AND FROST POSSIBLE...

.COOLER AIR ARRIVING OVER THE AREA WILL SUPPORT FROST IN THE
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
AND THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY..

NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-201000-
/O.CON.KGSP.FR.Y.0001.160320T0800Z-160320T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0001.160321T0800Z-160321T1400Z/
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...
LAKE JUNALUSKA...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
HIGHLANDS...CASHIERS
952 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT
SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...BETWEEN 33 AND 36 DEGREES TONIGHT. UPPER 20S
  SUNDAY NIGHT

* WINDS...BECOMING LIGHT DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ035>037-048-053-056-057-064-065-068>070-502-504-
506>510-SCZ001>003-005>007-011-012-019-201000-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0001.160321T0800Z-160321T1400Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-
SPARTANBURG-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...BETHLEHEM...
TAYLORSVILLE...STONY POINT...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...HICKORY...
NEWTON...ST. STEPHENS...SALISBURY...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...
FLETCHER...EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...
FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...SALUDA...COLUMBUS...WALHALLA...
PUMPKINTOWN...TIGERVILLE...GOWENSVILLE...CAESARS HEAD...
CLEVELAND...MARIETTA...EASLEY...CLEMSON...TAYLORS...GREER...
MAULDIN...SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...SPARTANBURG...ABBEVILLE...
CALHOUN FALLS...LAURENS...CLINTON
952 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF WESTER NORTH CAROLINA...UPSTATE SOUTH 
  CAROLINA...AND THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$
358 
WWUS72 KGSP 200231 CCA
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1031 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...FREEZE AND FROST POSSIBLE...

.COOLER AIR ARRIVING OVER THE AREA WILL SUPPORT FROST IN THE
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES
ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...
AND THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY..

NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-201445-
/O.CON.KGSP.FR.Y.0001.160320T0800Z-160320T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0001.160321T0800Z-160321T1400Z/
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...
LAKE JUNALUSKA...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
HIGHLANDS...CASHIERS
1031 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM EDT
SUNDAY...
...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...BETWEEN 33 AND 36 DEGREES TONIGHT. UPPER 20S
  SUNDAY NIGHT

* WINDS...BECOMING LIGHT DURING THE PRE DAWN HOURS.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ035>037-048-053-056-057-064-065-068>070-502-504-
506>510-SCZ001>003-005>007-011-012-019-201445-
/O.COR.KGSP.FZ.A.0001.160321T0800Z-160321T1400Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-
SPARTANBURG-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...BETHLEHEM...
TAYLORSVILLE...STONY POINT...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...HICKORY...
NEWTON...ST. STEPHENS...SALISBURY...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...
FLETCHER...EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...
FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...SALUDA...COLUMBUS...WALHALLA...
PUMPKINTOWN...TIGERVILLE...GOWENSVILLE...CAESARS HEAD...
CLEVELAND...MARIETTA...EASLEY...CLEMSON...TAYLORS...GREER...
MAULDIN...SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...SPARTANBURG...ABBEVILLE...
CALHOUN FALLS...LAURENS...CLINTON
1031 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...UPSTATE SOUTH 
  CAROLINA...AND THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$
795 
WWUS72 KGSP 200748
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
348 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...FROST EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS
MORNING...
...FREEZING CONDITIONS MAY BE MORE WIDESPREAD OVER THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT...

.COOLER AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL
SUPPORT INCREASING CHANCES OF FROST AND FREEZE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF MORNINGS. A LIGHT FROST IS EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHWEST
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN SHELTERED
VALLEY LOCATIONS. A MORE WIDESPREAD FREEZE IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT
THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...UPSTATE SOUTH
CAROLINA...AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT...POSSIBLY EXTENDING OUT
ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PARTS OF THE PIEDMONT AS WELL ON MONDAY
MORNING. ADDITIONAL FROST OR FREEZE PRODUCTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
FOR MONDAY NIGHT.

NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-201615-
/O.UPG.KGSP.FZ.A.0001.160321T0800Z-160321T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.W.0001.160321T0400Z-160321T1400Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FR.Y.0001.160320T0800Z-160320T1300Z/
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...
LAKE JUNALUSKA...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
HIGHLANDS...CASHIERS
348 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
10 AM EDT MONDAY. A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM
EDT THIS MORNING.

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S THIS
  MORNING...AND IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S MONDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS THIS MORNING. BREEZY NORTHWEST
  WINDS AT 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH SOME GUSTS TO 30 MPH...TONIGHT INTO
  MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...A LIGHT FROST THIS MORNING MAY ENDANGER TENDER
  VEGETATION. A HARD FREEZE TONIGHT WILL CAUSE MORE WIDESPREAD
  DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ035-048-053-056-064-065-068-069-502-504-506>510-
SCZ001>003-005-201615-
/O.UPG.KGSP.FZ.A.0001.160321T0800Z-160321T1400Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.FZ.W.0001.160321T0400Z-160321T1400Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-MADISON-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER PICKENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...BETHLEHEM...
TAYLORSVILLE...STONY POINT...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...
HICKORY...NEWTON...ST. STEPHENS...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...
FLETCHER...EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...
LINCOLNTON...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...
FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...SALUDA...COLUMBUS...WALHALLA...
PUMPKINTOWN...TIGERVILLE...GOWENSVILLE...CAESARS HEAD...
CLEVELAND...MARIETTA...EASLEY...CLEMSON
348 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
10 AM EDT MONDAY. THE FREEZE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...THE
  MOUNTAINS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH
  CAROLINA...INCLUDING ALL OF PICKENS COUNTY...AS WELL AS THE FAR
  WESTERN PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* WINDS...BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH SOME GUSTS
  TO 30 MPH...ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10 MPH OR
  LESS ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN PIEDMONT. THESE WINDS
  SHOULD LIMIT FROST FORMATION.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ036-037-057-070-SCZ006-007-011-012-019-201615-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0001.160321T0800Z-160321T1400Z/
IREDELL-DAVIE-ROWAN-GASTON-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...SALISBURY...GASTONIA...TAYLORS...GREER...MAULDIN...
SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...SPARTANBURG...ABBEVILLE...CALHOUN FALLS...
LAURENS...CLINTON
348 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE NORTHWEST
  NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT...AS WELL AS GASTON COUNTY IN NORTH
  CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. THE WIND SHOULD HELP LIMIT
  FROST FORMATION SOMEWHAT.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GERAPETRITIS
956 
WWUS72 KGSP 201305
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
905 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...FREEZING CONDITIONS MAY BE MORE WIDESPREAD OVER THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT...

.COOLER AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL
SUPPORT INCREASING CHANCES OF FROST AND FREEZE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF MORNINGS. A MORE WIDESPREAD FREEZE IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...UPSTATE SOUTH
CAROLINA...AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT...POSSIBLY EXTENDING OUT
ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PARTS OF THE PIEDMONT AS WELL ON MONDAY
MORNING. ADDITIONAL FROST OR FREEZE PRODUCTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
FOR MONDAY NIGHT.

NCZ051-052-058-059-062-063-202115-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160320T1300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0001.160321T0400Z-160321T1400Z/
SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...
LAKE JUNALUSKA...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
HIGHLANDS...CASHIERS
905 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
10 AM EDT MONDAY...
...FROST ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S MONDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...A HARD FREEZE TONIGHT WILL CAUSE MORE WIDESPREAD
  DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

GAZ010-017-NCZ035-048-053-056-064-065-068-069-502-504-506>510-
SCZ001>003-005-202115-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.W.0001.160321T0400Z-160321T1400Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-MADISON-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER PICKENS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...BETHLEHEM...
TAYLORSVILLE...STONY POINT...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...
HICKORY...NEWTON...ST. STEPHENS...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...
FLETCHER...EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...
LINCOLNTON...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...
FOREST CITY...RUTHERFORDTON...SALUDA...COLUMBUS...WALHALLA...
PUMPKINTOWN...TIGERVILLE...GOWENSVILLE...CAESARS HEAD...
CLEVELAND...MARIETTA...EASLEY...CLEMSON
905 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
10 AM EDT MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...THE 
  MOUNTAINS OF EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE SOUTH 
  CAROLINA...INCLUDING ALL OF PICKENS COUNTY...AS WELL AS THE 
  FAR WESTERN PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

* WINDS...BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH SOME 
  GUSTS TO 30 MPH...ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10 
  MPH OR LESS ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND WESTERN PIEDMONT. THESE 
  WINDS SHOULD LIMIT FROST FORMATION.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

NCZ036-037-057-070-SCZ006-007-011-012-019-202115-
/O.CON.KGSP.FZ.A.0001.160321T0800Z-160321T1400Z/
IREDELL-DAVIE-ROWAN-GASTON-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...SALISBURY...GASTONIA...TAYLORS...GREER...MAULDIN...
SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...SPARTANBURG...ABBEVILLE...CALHOUN FALLS...
LAURENS...CLINTON
905 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...MUCH OF UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE NORTHWEST 
  NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT...AS WELL AS GASTON COUNTY IN NORTH 
  CAROLINA.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. THE WIND SHOULD HELP 
  LIMIT FROST FORMATION SOMEWHAT.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE TO TENDER VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this frost advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this frost advisory went out at Mar 19, 2:51 PM EDT, 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 19, 2:51 PM EDT, 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
251 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A MOIST UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE FORECAST
AREA SUNDAY AND BRING IN COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES. DRIER
WEATHER WILL ARRIVE EARLY IN THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES SLOWLY
WARMING ABOVE NORMAL BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 2:30 PM SATURDAY...COMPLICATED FORECAST FOR THE NEAR TERM
AS UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI VALLEY DIVES SOUTHEAST
TOWARD THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. AT AFD TIME...SURFACE LOW OVER
THE SOUTHWEST NC MOUNTAINS IS SLOWLY PUSHING SOUTHEAST AHEAD
OF THE UPPER LOW...WITH WARM/WEDGE FRONT EXTENDING TO THE EAST
ALONG OR JUST SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE SC/NC STATE LINE. DAMMING
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST NC PIEDMONT WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
THE PERIOD...KEEPING HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY BELOW NORMAL ACROSS
THOSE AREAS.

FIRST ITEM OF NOTE FOR THE NEAR TERM IS ACTUALLY FOR THIS
AFTERNOON WITH CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. MESOANALYSIS IS SHOWING
250J/KG SBCAPE ACROSS THE UPSTATE...WITH RAP FORECASTING THAT
TO DOUBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. A LINE OF CONVECTION
/THOUGH NO CGS OBSERVED YET/ HAS DEVELOPED GENERALLY ALONG THE
NC/TN STATE LINE AND EXTENDING INTO NORTHWEST GA. AS THE UPPER
LOW DIPS DOWN...DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OF 40-50KTS MAY BRIEFLY COINCIDE
WITH THE BEST INSTABILITY SO WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW
STORMS. DO NOT REALLY EXPECT ANYTHING SEVERE BUT AN ISOLATED STRONG
STORM OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

AS THE SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO WORK ITS WAY SOUTHEAST...CAA WILL
KICK IN BEHIND THE FRONT. STILL A BIT OF A CHALLENGE TO JUXTAPOSE
TEMPERATURES VERSUS CLOUD COVER BUT FOR NOW BEST GUESS IS THAT
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NC MOUNTAINS WILL BE SOLIDLY BELOW
FREEZING...WITH FROST POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEYS. FOR ASHEVILLE AND
THE FRENCH BROAD VALLEY...TEMPERATURES LOOK JUST A TOUCH TOO WARM
FOR FROST...BUT OVER THE LITTLE TENNESSEE SHOULD SEE LOWS DROP
ENOUGH TO WARRANT FROST MENTION IN THE GRIDS. SINCE ALL BUT THE
NORTHERN NC MOUNTAINS HAD THEIR FROST/FREEZE PROGRAM TURNED ON
YESTERDAY...WILL ISSUE A FROST ADVISORY FOR THE FIVE SOUTHWEST NC
COUNTIES FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

FOR THE MOST PART...PRECIPITATION SHOULD MOVE OUT THIS EVENING
AND EARLY OVERNIGHT BEHIND THE DEPARTING SURFACE LOW...BUT AS THE
UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES...SHOULD SEE A RESURGENCE IN PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. THAT SAID...MODELS HAVE PERFORMED QUITE
POORLY TODAY SO CONFIDENCE ON TIMING AND AMOUNTS IS PRETTY LOW
GIVEN WE ARE TALKING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PRECIPITATION ON SUNDAY
MAY REMAIN ALL SNOW AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS BUT MOST AREAS SHOULD
CHANGE OVER TO RAIN DURING THE DAY...AND THEN BACK OVER TO SNOW IN
THE EVENING. THROUGH THE END OF THE NEAR TERM...LOOKS LIKE A GOOD
INCH OR SO ACROSS MAINLY THE SMOKIES BUT COMBINED WITH SNOW PAST
00Z SUNDAY AS WE PUSH INTO THE SHORT TERM...COULD SEE A COUPLE OF
INCHES...WHICH LINES UP WELL WITH WPC SNOW FORECASTS. THIS IS BELOW
ADVISORY CRITERIA AND ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE CONFIDENCE LEVELS AND
THE FACT THAT ANY ACCUMULATING SNOW SHOULD BE CONFINED TO HIGHER
ELEVATIONS...FOR NOW WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY SPS MENTION AND WILL LET
LATER SHIFTS EVALUATE THE HI-RES GUIDANCE TO REFINE THE FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT 230 PM SATURDAY...ON SUNDAY EVENING AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE OVER
THE EASTERN USA...AND A TROUGH RIDGE WILL BE OVER THE WESTERN USA. A
ROBUST SHORTWAVE WILL BE ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH OVER THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...AND WILL EXIT OUR AREA TO THE EAST BY MONDAY
MORNING. BY TUESDAY THE UPPER PATTERN PROGRESSES AND DEAMPLIFIES
RESULTING IN NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE CONUS.

AT THE SURFACE...ON SUNDAY EVENING A SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED LOW
WILL BE OFF THE EAST COAST. COLD MOIST NW FLOW BEHIND THE LOW WILL
SUPPORT A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW IN THE NC MOUNTAINS...PERHAPS SPREADING
WELL EAST OF THE TN BORDER. THERE ARE SUGGESTIONS OF MOISTURE EVEN
SPILLING OVER INTO THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT...BUT MODEL SOUNDINGS
ARE MORE SUPPORTIVE OF RAIN IN THOSE LOCATIONS. DRYING SHOULD OCCUR
EAST OF THE TN BORDER ON MONDAY...BUT COLD MOIST FLOW WILL CONTINUE
ALONG THE TN BORDER THROUGH THE DAY...FINALLY ENDING OVERNIGHT. AT
THIS POINT IT APPEARS THAT SNOW TOTALS WILL NOT MEET ADVISORY OR
WARNING CRITERIA...AND THE GREATEST AMOUNTS WILL BE AT THE VERY
HIGHEST MOUNTAIN ELEVATIONS. TUESDAY FEATURES DRY HIGH PRESSURE
MOVING FROM THE SOUTHEAST STATES TO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC.

SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RUN BELOW NORMAL...WITH NIGHTTIME
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING...UNTIL ZONAL FLOW AND SURFACE
RIDGING ARRIVE ON TUESDAY. WITH PLANT LIFE AT AN ADVANCED STAGE DUE
TO WARM TEMPERATURES EARLIER IN THE MONTH...FREEZE WARNINGS MAY BE
NEEDED. FROST ADVISORIES ARE LESS CERTAIN...AS DRIER AIR MAY LIMIT
FROST POTENTIAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 215 PM SATURDAY...IT LOOKS LIKE BY TUESDAY EVENING THE CHANGE
IN WEATHER REGIME WILL HAVE HAPPENED...WITH THE AXIS OF A BROAD
UPPER RIDGE MOVING IN FROM THE WEST AND PUSHING THE SURFACE HIGH
WELL OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST BY SUNDOWN. THAT SHOULD LEAVE US WITH A
FAIRLY SPECTACULAR EARLY SPRING DAY ON WEDNESDAY...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR
SKY AND TEMPS ABOUT FIVE DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. BY THURSDAY...WE
SHOULD SEE SOME MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM...SO CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY. AFTER THAT...OUR ATTENTION TURNS TO
THE WEATHER SYSTEM EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. THE MODELS HAVE NOT HAD THE
BEST CONTINUITY WITH THAT ONE...AND SHOW A MUCH LESS AMPLIFIED UPPER
TROF TO OUR WEST ON FRIDAY. THE UPPER SYSTEM AND SURFACE LOW ARE
MUCH FARTHER TO THE NORTH AND NOW A COLD FRONT GETS MORE STRUNG OUT
SW TO NE...AND THEN MOVES ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY. THE TIMING
HAS NOT REALLY CHANGED ALL THAT MUCH...BUT THE MID/UPPER FORCING
DOES NOT LOOK NEARLY AS IMPRESSIVE AS IT HAD IN EARLIER MODEL RUNS.
LOW LEVEL FORCING ALSO DIMINISHES AS THE FRONT CROSSES THE REGION.
WILL LIMIT THE PRECIP PROBABILITY TO THE CHANCE RANGE BECAUSE OF THE
MODEL FORCING TREND. THE GFS STILL BRINGS A PLUME OF WEAK
INSTABILITY ACROSS NE GA AND UPSTATE SC...ALONG WITH MODERATE
SHEAR...SO THUNDER WILL BE INCLUDED...AND WILL NOT RULE OUT SOME
SEVERE STORMS ON THAT DAY JUST YET. THE SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE OUT
FRIDAY NIGHT...SO NEXT SATURDAY LOOKS QUIET AGAIN.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AT KCLT...CIGS CONTINUE VFR AT TAF TIME AND HAVE CONTINUED THAT
TREND FOR THE FIRST FEW HOURS. WEDGE FRONT JUST PUSHED THROUGH THE
AIRPORT SWINGING WINDS AROUND TO THE NORTH...FRONT CAN BE SEEN ON
TCLT AND ON VISIBLE SATELLITE BUT UNFORTUNATELY THIS WAS ONLY AFTER
IT HAD SWUNG THE WINDS AROUND. WITH KCLT NOW IN THE MORE STABLE
AIR...HAVE REMOVED THE TEMPO BUT KEPT VCSH...AND WILL KEEP AN EYE
OUT IN CASE QUICK TEMPO TSRA NEEDS TO BE ADDED. CIGS SHOULD DROP TO
MVFR AROUND 00Z...GIVE OR TAKE AN HOUR OR SO. SOME GUIDANCE WANTS TO
DROP CIGS TO IFR OVERNIGHT BUT GIVEN RECENT MODEL PERFORMANCE /WHICH
WAS PRETTY ABYSMAL TODAY/ HAVE NOT BITTEN OFF ON THAT...PREFERRING
INSTEAD TO WATCH TRENDS AND UPDATE IF NECESSARY. WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN NE THROUGH THE PERIOD AROUND 10KT OR JUST SLIGHTLY BELOW.

ELSEWHERE...GENERALLY SIMILAR TREND TO KCLT BUT WITH ADJUSTMENTS
IN TIMING OF THE WIND SHIFT BASED ON MOVEMENT OF THE SURFACE LOW
ACROSS THE AREA...CURRENTLY NEAR KAVL AT TAF TIME. KAVL STILL SEEING
DOWN-VALLEY WINDS BUT ONCE THE LOW PASSES SHOULD SWING AROUND TO
THE N. CONTINUED TEMPO TSRA FOR UPSTATE TAFS GIVEN THEIR LOCATION
SOUTH OF THE WEDGE FRONT AND WITH INCREASING INSTABILITY. ALL
SITES SHOULD BE MVFR OVERNIGHT WITH WINDS SWINGING AROUND TO THE
NE AROUND OR JUST BELOW 10KT.

OUTLOOK...AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY
BEHIND THE DEPARTING SURFACE LOW. RESTRICTIONS MAY CONTINUE WITH
ANY SHOWERS UNDER THE PASSING TROUGH. DRIER HIGH PRESSURE WILL
RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            19-01Z        01-07Z        07-13Z        13-18Z
KCLT       HIGH  92%     HIGH  87%     HIGH  96%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH  98%     HIGH  96%     HIGH  85%     HIGH  93%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  82%     MED   78%
KHKY       MED   78%     HIGH  85%     MED   78%     HIGH  83%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH  98%     HIGH  88%     HIGH  85%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH  98%     HIGH  82%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULE TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY.  COMPLET HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 10 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR NCZ051-052-
     058-059-062-063.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...TDP
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...TDP
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 19, 6:59 AM EDT, 8 hours 11 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
659 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

NCZ033-049-050-501-503-505-201100-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
659 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>064-201100-
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
659 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

INCREASING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BEHIND A DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL USHER IN COLDER TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL
AND WESTERN MOUNTAINS. ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET WILL LIKELY DIP
BELOW FREEZING BEFORE DAYBREAK SUNDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..MONDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..TUESDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-NCZ035>037-056-065-068-069-502-504-506>510-SCZ001>003-
201100-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-
LINCOLN-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
659 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..TUESDAY...FREEZE POSSIBLE.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ057-070>072-082-SCZ004>014-019-201100-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ROWAN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
659 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS NORTHEAST
GEORGIA...THE UPSTATE...AND SOUTHERN NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT. ANY
STORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP WILL PRODUCE A THREAT OF CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...FROST POSSIBLE.
..TUESDAY...FROST POSSIBLE.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 19, 3:10 PM EDTFreeze WatchGSPAlexander, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Cleveland and 16 more24 hr

Nearby

Frost Advisories in North Carolina, 2016Every frost advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.