Flash Flood Warning 23, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

383 
WGUS72 KGSP 081951
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
351 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

NCC025-159-082315-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-161008T2315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROWAN NC-CABARRUS NC-
351 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT FOR
ROWAN AND EASTERN CABARRUS COUNTIES...

AT 348 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED
AREA.  SOME FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED IN THE WARNED AREA WITH
CREEKS OUT OF THEIR BANKS.  PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA IS BEGINNING
TO DECLINE, BUT SOME FLOOD RISK WILL CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
KANNAPOLIS...DOWNTOWN CONCORD...SALISBURY...CHINA GROVE...SPENCER...
LANDIS...ENOCHVILLE...GRANITE QUARRY...ROCKWELL AND MT PLEASANT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
WATER-COVERED ROADWAYS...BRIDGES...OR LOW-LEVEL CROSSINGS. ONLY A FEW
INCHES OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. IT IS
NOT WORTH THE RISK. PLEASE TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE REPORT FLOOD WATERS OR LANDSLIDES
FLOWING OVER ROADS OR THREATENING PROPERTY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...BY
POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR VIA TWITTER USING HASHTAG NWSGSP.
YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION
WHERE IT OCCURRED...INCLUDING ROADWAYS...NEARBY CROSS
STREETS...STREAM NAMES AND OTHER LANDMARKS.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8030 3524 8047 3553 8073 3577 8073
      3581 8056 3578 8051 3578 8048 3573 8045
      3572 8038 3572 8034 3571 8032 3568 8033
      3558 8021 3555 8021 3551 8018

$$

WJM

943 
WGUS72 KGSP 082312
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
712 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

NCC025-159-082320-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FF.W.0023.000000T0000Z-161008T2315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ROWAN NC-CABARRUS NC-
712 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR ROWAN AND EASTERN CABARRUS COUNTIES
WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM EDT...

THOUGH CREEKS REMAIN AT CAPACITY, LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED AND CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE. PLEASE
CONTINUE TO HEED ANY REMAINING ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 3550 8030 3524 8047 3553 8073 3577 8073
      3581 8056 3578 8051 3578 8048 3573 8045
      3572 8038 3572 8034 3571 8032 3568 8033
      3558 8021 3555 8021 3551 8018

$$

WJM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1042 AM EDT Sat Oct 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Hurricane Matthew will move along the South Carolina coast today and
near the southern North Carolina coast tonight as it moves east.
Matthew is forecast to weaken during the next few days as it is
expected to turn southward toward the Bahamas. A cold front will
sweep across the western Carolinas and Northeast Georgia by Sunday,
with cool and dry high pressure settling over the region through the
middle of next week. Cooler than normal conditions will start the
week, with temperatures rebounding to above normal by the end of the
work week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1030 AM: Matthew's eye was located just south of
Georgetown. Its position over the past few hours has allowed
the expanse of rainfall in our CWFA to remain nearly steady,
pivoting as opposed to shifting west/east. PoPs into tonight have
been revised based on short-term model consensus, which had to
be adjusted a bit as it appeared to take the precip shield out a
bit too fast from the I-77 corridor. Rainfall rates are generally
a tenth to third of an inch an hour; we are keeping an eye on
the 6-hour totals at this point, as precip estimates are getting
very close to FFG in parts of Union NC and Chester counties. So
far, the areas with the greatest accums being rather un-flashy,
we have adequately handled the threat with flood advisories and
SPSs. Stream gages are responding, particularly in the Charlotte
metro area, but they remain well below flood stage. We won't be out
of the woods for a few more hours, however. As noted in a morning
MPD from WPC, a band of frontogenesis is progged to develop NW of
Matthew as it moves up the coast, and this could enhance rates
along our southeastern fringe in the next few hours even as the
precip shield retreats out of the area.

With this update winds have also been updated to be a little more
brisk over the area, as winds have been reported a bit stronger than
previously progged. However the wind advisory area looks good as-is.

As Matthew begins to pivot later on this morning...llvl winds
will back across the wrn CWFA and by 18Z a good downslope flow
will be in place. This will help erode cloud cover quicker than
the ern zones while the main moisture field finally begins to
shift ne with the TC. Thus...pops will be reduced to less than
chance across the wrn Upstate and sw/rn mtns arnd 18Z. With
increased insolation and compressional warming flow...max temps
will reach the L80s across the wrn Upstate with L70s reached over
the ne/rn zones. Good clearing overnight will instigate good rad
cooling...however persistent sfc winds will keep things mixed enuf
for mins held to arnd or a bit above normal levels.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 310 AM Saturday, conditions improve rapidly in the short term
as Matthew continues to move east away from the area. That said,
breezy conditions will remain across the area during the day Sunday
with very gusty winds across the higher elevations of the NC
mountains. For now, gusts appear to remain below wind advisory level
but will need to keep an eye on this as we move closer in time.
Upper ridging builds in Sunday and remains in place on Monday. The
ridge axis begins moving east on Tuesday. At the surface, high
pressure builds in from the NW as the center of the high moves into
New England. The high remains ridged into the area from Tuesday.
Some low level moisture may move in on the northeasterly flow
bringing clouds each morning. Otherwise, mostly clear skies and dry
conditions expected. Highs Sunday will be near normal over NC and a
little above normal over most of the Upstate and NE GA. Highs then
fall to a little below normal for Monday and Tuesday. Lows remain
nearly steady from near to a little below normal. Still not quite
cool enough yet to worry about frost.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 140 AM Saturday, the extended period begins Wednesday morning
with surface high pressure ridging down from eastern Canada.  A cold
front will be crossing the Great Lakes and Mississippi Valley and
that will cross the western Carolinas and northeast Georgia
Thursday.  Expecting high pressure behind the front to move from the
Great Lakes Thursday to New England late Friday.  An upper trough is
shown to reach our region Friday night which only slight to low
chance POPs for the northern NC Mtns at the end of the current
forecast.
Temperatures will vary a bit through the period but be within a
category of normal for nearly all of the forecast area.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
At KCLT: Tropical rain bands continue across the airfield and
are becoming a little heavier to the southeast. These bands will
maintain MVFR cigs thru 21Z before scattering out. The bands
are also mixing down gusty winds which will strengthen into the
25kt-30kt range through the afternoon. Improving conds begin by
mid afternoon as TC Matthew move northeast.

Elsewhere: Widely scattered tropical showers will persist this
morning...with drier conds developing by early afternoon. Low cigs
will prevail the longest at KHKY and KAVL...likely thru 22Z...with
the SC sites going VFR shortly after noon. Moderate to strong n/ly
to ne/ly gusty winds will prevail all sites thru most of the period.

Outlook: Breezy/gusty winds will persist into Sunday with dry
high pressure settling back across the region. VFR conds return
and will remain thru the middle of next week.

Confidence Table...

            14-20Z        20-02Z        02-08Z        08-12Z
KCLT       Med   68%     High  84%     High 100%     High 100%
KGSP       High  82%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAVL       High  80%     High  97%     High 100%     High 100%
KHKY       High  81%     High  95%     High 100%     High 100%
KGMU       High  86%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%
KAND       High  97%     High 100%     High 100%     High 100%

The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the scheduled TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:

www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for NCZ057-071-072-082.
     Wind Advisory until 2 AM EDT Sunday for NCZ071-072-082.
SC...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for SCZ009-014.
     Wind Advisory until 2 AM EDT Sunday for SCZ009-014.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...SBK/Wimberley
SHORT TERM...RWH
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...SBK/Wimberley

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
435 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035-036-056-068>070-502-504-506-508-
510-SCZ001>008-010>013-019-090845-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
CATAWBA-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-ANDERSON-
ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION-GREENWOOD-
435 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ071-072-082-SCZ009-014-090845-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
435 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ057-090845-
ROWAN-
435 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN...WINDS MAY GUST TO 40 MPH THROUGH
THE EVENING. ISOLATED TREES AND POWER LINES MAY FALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ037-090845-
DAVIE-
435 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING. ISOLATED
FLOODING OR A DOWNED TREE IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-090845-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
435 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ISOLATED DOWNED TREES ARE
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
818 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

NCZ057-071-072-082-SCZ009-014-081430-
ROWAN-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALISBURY...CHARLOTTE...HUNTERSVILLE...
MATTHEWS...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...MONROE...TRINITY...
INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...CATAWBA...ROCK HILL...BLACKSTOCK...
CHESTER...CORNWELL...GREAT FALLS
818 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...AN AREA OF MODERATE RAIN WILL IMPACT THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA
THROUGH MID MORNING...

AT 8 AM...RADAR SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER EDGE OF THE CIRCULATION AROUND HURRICANE
MATTHEW. THE RAIN AREA WAS NEARLY STATIONARY...WHILE WAVES OF MORE
INTENSE RAINFALL WERE MOVING WEST AND NORTHWEST INTO METRO
CHARLOTTE. IN GENERAL...RAINFALL RATES WERE ONE-QUARTER INCH PER
HOUR OR LESS...BUT SOME HEAVIER RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH RATES UP TO
ONE INCH PER HOUR. AT THIS RATE...CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL RESPOND
RELATIVELY SLOWLY...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH THE MORNING.
IF HIGHER RAINFALL RATES DEVELOP...SOME CREEKS AND STREAMS COULD
RISE OUT OF THEIR BANKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE RAIN MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

MOORE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1031 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

NCZ036-037-057-070>072-082-SCZ009-014-081700-
IREDELL-DAVIE-ROWAN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-YORK-
CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...
FARMINGTON...FORK CHURCH...MOCKSVILLE...ADVANCE...SALISBURY...
GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...HUNTERSVILLE...MATTHEWS...CONCORD...
KANNAPOLIS...MONROE...TRINITY...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...
CATAWBA...ROCK HILL...BLACKSTOCK...CHESTER...CORNWELL...
GREAT FALLS
1031 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016

...AN AREA OF MODERATE RAIN WILL IMPACT THE WESTERN PIEDMONT OF
THE CAROLINAS AND METRO CHARLOTTE THROUGH MID DAY...

AT 1030 AM...RADAR SHOWED A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTER EDGE OF THE CIRCULATION AROUND HURRICANE
MATTHEW. THE RAIN AREA WAS SLOWLY PIVOTING AROUND THE CHARLOTTE
METRO AREA...WHILE WAVES OF MORE INTENSE RAINFALL WERE MOVING
WEST AND NORTHWEST INTO METRO CHARLOTTE AND THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT.
IN GENERAL...RAINFALL RATES WERE ONE-QUARTER INCH PER HOUR...BUT
SOME HEAVIER RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH RATES UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR.
AT THIS RATE...CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL RESPOND RELATIVELY
SLOWLY...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
IF HIGHER RAINFALL RATES DEVELOP...SOME CREEKS AND STREAMS COULD
RISE OUT OF THEIR BANKS. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS IN POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS SHOULD BE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE RAIN MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

MOORE