Special Weather Statement, NWS Green Bay, WI

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Green Bay WI
232 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

Forecast discussion for routine afternoon forecast issuance

.SHORT TERM...Tonight
Issued at 230 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2016

Tornado watch #259 is in effect until 8 pm for much of central and
northeast Wisconsin, generally south of a Kewaunee to Rhinelander
line. Thunderstorms were rapidly developing across northwest and
west-central Wisconsin. Some of the these storms will become
strong or severe with damaging winds, large hail and possibly a
tornado. The strongest storms will exit east-central and northeast
Wisconsin by mid evening. Lingering showers and isolated storms
will linger into the overnight hours.

.LONG TERM...Thursday Through Wednesday
Issued at 230 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2016

Heading into the weekend, an upper level high pressure ridge will
expand northeast over the Northern Midwest and bring a short
respite from shower/thunderstorm activity. The ridge will flatten
out over the weekend though, and may permit some enhancement of
storm development by Saturday or Sunday.
&&

.AVIATION...for 18Z TAF Issuance
Issued at 107 PM CDT Wed Jun 15 2016

VFR/MVFR cigs expected early this afternoon. Meanwhile, clusters
of thunderstorms will develop across northwest Wisconsin by mid
afternoon, then shift southeast and reach the lakeshore region
by 02z. Some of the stronger storms will be capable of producing
wind gusts to around 50 knots, large hail and possibly a tornado.
The stronger storms should exit the area by 02z. Lingering
chances of showers will continue into the overnight hour, along
with areas of low clouds and fog. The low cigs and visibilities
will gradually improve late tonight into Thursday morning.
Northerly winds could gust to around 20 knots on Thursday.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM.....Eckberg
LONG TERM......ML
AVIATION.......Eckberg

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
1153 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-161700-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY-LINCOLN-
LANGLADE-MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-
WOOD-PORTAGE-WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-
CALUMET-MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY-
SOUTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-
1153 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST RISK OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE TO
THE SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM RHINELANDER TO MARINETTE TO
STURGEON BAY BETWEEN 2 PM AND 9 PM. THE PRIMARY RISK WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH THE LARGE SCALE ATMOSPHERIC
PATTERN APPEARS TO BE FAVORABLE FOR STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS DURING
THAT PERIOD...THE ACTUAL SEVERE RISK WILL DEPEND ON SMALLER SCALE
DETAILS WHICH ARE ELUSIVE THIS FAR IN ADVANCE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING. SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH
OR WIND DAMAGE...HAIL A HALF INCH IN DIAMETER OR GREATER AND
TORNADOES.

LMZ521-522-541>543-161700-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
1153 AM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO MID EVENING THAT MAY POSE A SIGNIFICANT RISK FOR MARINERS.
STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER 35 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LARGE
HAIL.

FOG COULD REDUCE THE VISIBILITY SUFFICIENTLY TO POSE A HAZARD TO
BOATERS AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY ON
LAKE MICHIGAN.

INCREASING NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW LATE TONIGHT COULD BE STRONG
ENOUGH TO POSE A HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW THURSDAY COULD BE STRONG ENOUGH TO POSE A
HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

ECKBERG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
218 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

WIZ005-010-018-151945-
LINCOLN-ONEIDA-VILAS-
218 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN VILAS...WESTERN
ONEIDA AND NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES...

AT 216 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED STRENGTHENING THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES SOUTH OF TURTLE FLAMBEAU FLOWAGE TO 7
MILES WEST OF WILLOW RESERVOIR TO 5 MILES WEST OF NEW WOOD WILDLIFE
AREA. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAC DU FLAMBEAU...WINCHESTER...SQUIRREL LAKE...WILLOW RESERVOIR...
TRIPOLI...MANITOWISH WATERS...CLIFFORD...MCCORD AND SPIRIT FALLS.

LAT...LON 4591 8970 4539 8981 4525 9004 4598 9005
      4598 8993 4627 8993
TIME...MOT...LOC 1916Z 222DEG 19KT 4598 9017 4569 8999 4532 9007

ECKBERG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
301 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

WIZ010-152030-
ONEIDA-
301 PM CDT WED JUN 15 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN ONEIDA COUNTY...

AT 300 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF
WILLOW RESERVOIR...OR 23 MILES SOUTH OF TURTLE FLAMBEAU FLOWAGE...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SQUIRREL LAKE...WILLOW RESERVOIR...MINOCQUA...WOODRUFF...HAZELHURST AND
GOODNOW.

LAT...LON 4590 8983 4590 8967 4567 8959 4565 9004
      4584 9005
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 257DEG 19KT 4575 9000

ECKBERG