Alert archive / Wisconsin / Areal Flood Advisories in 2016

Areal Flood Advisory 13, NWS Green Bay, WI

October 17, 2016Oneida County, Wisconsin

NWS Green Bay, WI issued this areal flood advisory at Oct 17, 2016, 8:38 PM CDT for Oneida County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 17, 2016, 8:38 PM CDT (01:38 UTC)
Expired: Oct 17, 2016, 11:30 PM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Green Bay, WI
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Oneida County, WI

The radar

The Green Bay radar (KGRB), 174 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 401 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -77 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 728 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 287 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 342 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.7
Supercell composite: 2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Green Bay, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Oct 17, 7:29 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 17, 7:29 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 17, 3:18 PM CDT, 5 hours 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
318 PM CDT MON OCT 17 2016

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-182030-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY-LINCOLN-
LANGLADE-MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-
WOOD-PORTAGE-WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-
CALUMET-MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY-
SOUTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-
318 PM CDT MON OCT 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND NORTH OF A
WARM FRONT AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE
HAIL...AND HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL...NORTH CENTRAL
AND FAR NORTHEAST WISCONSIN. THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS OVER EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

LMZ521-522-541>543-182030-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
318 PM CDT MON OCT 17 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND HIGH WAVES WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT ON LAKE MICHIGAN.

DENSE MARINE FOG WILL IMPACT NAVIGATION THROUGH THIS EVENING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...HAIL
AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT.

MG/TDH

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 17, 6:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
600 PM CDT MON OCT 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0554 PM     HAIL             SUMMIT LAKE             45.38N 89.19W
10/17/2016  E0.50 INCH       LANGLADE           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KURIMSKI

Special weather statement, Oct 17, 6:10 PM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
610 PM CDT MON OCT 17 2016

WIZ010>013-180000-
NORTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY WI-FLORENCE WI-ONEIDA WI-FOREST WI-
610 PM CDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ONEIDA...FOREST...
FLORENCE AND NORTHERN MARINETTE COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM CDT...

AT 610 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES EAST OF RHINELANDER TO 6 MILES EAST OF
GOODMAN. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CRANDON...KINGSFORD...FLORENCE...PEMBINE...GOODMAN...HOMESTEAD...
TIPLER...POPPLE RIVER...NIAGARA AND LAONA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4593 8814 4592 8810 4588 8810 4587 8807
      4582 8814 4578 8809 4578 8805 4579 8799
      4577 8799 4575 8787 4573 8786 4568 8778
      4566 8783 4560 8777 4557 8779 4557 8783
      4555 8782 4544 8802 4550 8942 4595 8881
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 243DEG 42KT 4562 8921 4562 8821

KURIMSKI

Special weather statement, Oct 17, 6:24 PM CDT, 2 hours 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
624 PM CDT MON OCT 17 2016

WIZ011>013-180015-
NORTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY WI-FLORENCE WI-FOREST WI-
624 PM CDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FOREST...FLORENCE AND NORTHERN
MARINETTE COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

AT 624 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTH OF POPPLE RIVER TO NEAR PEMBINE.
MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CRANDON...KINGSFORD...FLORENCE...PEMBINE...GOODMAN...HOMESTEAD...
TIPLER...POPPLE RIVER...NIAGARA AND LAONA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4602 8878 4603 8873 4598 8864 4602 8860
      4602 8856 4592 8810 4588 8810 4587 8807
      4582 8814 4578 8809 4579 8799 4576 8796
      4575 8787 4568 8778 4566 8783 4561 8778
      4557 8779 4550 8800 4549 8904 4603 8884
TIME...MOT...LOC 2324Z 240DEG 36KT 4568 8870 4567 8799

KURIMSKI

Special weather statement, Oct 17, 6:49 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
649 PM CDT MON OCT 17 2016

WIZ005-010-180030-
ONEIDA WI-VILAS WI-
649 PM CDT MON OCT 17 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 649 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES SOUTHWEST OF EAGLE RIVER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RHINELANDER...EAGLE RIVER...PHELPS...THREE LAKES...SUGAR CAMP...
CONOVER...MC NAUGHTON...CLEARWATER LAKE...
LAND O LAKES AND ST GERMAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4614 8909 4607 8893 4606 8893 4598 8899
      4598 8905 4590 8905 4558 8928 4574 8961
      4618 8932
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 218DEG 28KT 4579 8936

KURIMSKI

Local storm report, Oct 17, 7:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before

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Local storm report, Oct 17, 7:18 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Green Bay, WI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 18, 12:35 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GRB	Lincoln	25 min
Oct 18, 2:22 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GRB	Florence	23 min
Oct 18, 7:24 AM CDT	River Flood Advisory	GRB	Florence, Marinette	36 hr
Oct 18, 2:28 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GRB	Dickinson	32 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in Wisconsin, 2016 Every areal flood advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.