Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2016
Special Weather Statement, NWS Goodland, KS
NWS Goodland, KS issued this special weather statement at Jun 30, 2016, 7:45 PM MDT for Greeley County, Kansas. It was in force for 15 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 30, 2016, 7:45 PM MDT (01:45 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 30, 2016, 8:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 15 min
- Issued by
- NWS Goodland, KS
County Greeley County, KS
The radar
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 180 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1093 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -12 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1956 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 2 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 130 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 3.3
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 30, 5:37 PM MDT, 2 hours 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 5:37 PM MDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
537 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2016
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 148 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2016
As of 2 PM CDT, 1 PM MDT, skies across the Tri-State Region were
partly to mostly cloudy. Temperatures are in the low to mid 80s.
A weak cold front, currently located from Yuma, Colorado to Russell
Springs, Kansas, is moving south-southwest. Winds south of the front
are light and variable. Winds behind the front are from the
northeast at 10-15 mph with a few gusts to 20 mph reported by local
mesonet sites. This cold front should continue it's slow movement to
the southwest through this afternoon. Aloft, a weak MCV (mesoscale
convective vortex) was moving across the Rockies and is now sliding
east over the High Plains.
For this afternoon through tonight, have grown more concerned about
the potential for flash flooding. The remnant MCV (mentioned above)
should move across the region tonight. In addition, moisture influx
from the southeast should begin ahead of this system's arrival (and
is already underway per latest SPC Mesoanalysis). Finally, recent
rainfall have moistened the soils, thus lowering flash flood
guidance produced by the river forecast centers. All in all, this
means there is a heightened threat for flash flooding tonight.
Thunderstorms are initiating along the Rockies as I type this
discussion. Further development/intensification is anticipated as
these storms move across the plains. Increasing frontogenesis across
eastern Colorado this evening should also lead to an uptick in the
thunderstorm intensity and precipitation rates. Overall, high
resolution guidance has been quite persistent in showing this
initial development forming into a large, slow moving thunderstorm
complex/line. Severe weather parameters are not too favorable today
so if any severe weather is to be expected, it should be similar to
yesterday (a few severe downbursts are possible).
Am not overly concerned with the severe weather threat this evening
due to weak winds aloft, lower amounts of instability and reduced
wind shear. However, the flooding threat remains with sufficient
instability, increasing moisture, thunderstorm organization, slow
storm movement, and wet soils. Therefore, had enough confidence to
issue a flash flood watch from 6 pm MDT this evening to 4 am MDT
tomorrow for portions of the forecast area.
Thunderstorms gradually exit the region early tomorrow morning as
the upper level disturbance slides east. Attention will then turn to
the next round of thunderstorms that develops along the Rockies.
This should be another repeat of the evening arrival so kept
relatively lower pops through the day tomorrow until more widespread
thunderstorms arrive tomorrow evening, outside of the short-term
forecast period. Cool and cloudy weather should be expected due to
precipitation chances, bountiful atmospheric moisture, and the recent
front passage.
.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 224 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2016
Thunderstorm are likely across the region Friday night with
isolated severe storms possible. Westerly flow aloft continues to
bring short wave impulses ahead of a deepening upper short wave
trough east of the Rockies and across the High Plains. East
Southeast near surface return flow around the Plains high pressure
area converge moisture in the vicinity of a frontal boundary
stalled across the region.
The upper short wave trough deepening over the Rockies moves east
across the plains Saturday and Saturday night while the surface
low consolidating over northeast New Mexico finally moves through
the panhandle region of west Texas Saturday night. This will bring
another round of isolated to scattered thunderstorms to the
central high plains region. The focus of the stronger storms
should remain south of the forecast area in closer proximity to
the frontal boundary that is expected to be over the southern high
plains.
A few thunderstorm will linger into Sunday morning over central
Kansas with isolated storms possible over far eastern Colorado
by Sunday evening as a short wave ridge builds over the region.
Temperatures will steadily warm through the weekend and into the
beginning of next week with generally drier conditions and only a
few thunderstorms expected each afternoon and evening. High
temperatures will warm from the 70s and lower 80s on Saturday back
into the 90s by Tuesday and Wednesday as west to northwest flow
aloft encourages the development of a lee trough that remains in
place over the western high plains, which will keep warm south to
southwest flow in place near at the surface.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 537 PM MDT Thu Jun 30 2016
Aviation concerns continue to focus on thunderstorm activity
(currently in eastern Colorado) expected to spread across KGLD
then KMCK tonight. Heavier rain and brief strong gusts are still
possibilities, however timing/coverage of these threats is
difficult to pin down at this point. Guidance is still showing
potential for reduced vis/cigs as a result of moist upslope flow
across the plains, and low level moisture pooling over over CWA by
Friday morning lingering through much of the day.
IFR conditions appear to be most likely at KGLD Friday morning,
with KMCK possibly on the northeast edge of best low level
moisture. I am not confident enough to include LIFR conditions as
lingering showers/thunderstorms may improve low level mixing and
keep vis/cigs within IFR criteria. Timing of improvement is also
in question as some guidance is showing IFR lingering through the
day, while other guidance is showing improvement to MVFR or VFR.
I leaned towards positive end of guidance as there doesn't seem to
be a reliable consensus favoring standard climate trends.
&&
.GLD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...Flash Flood Watch until 4 AM MDT /5 AM CDT/ Friday for KSZ001-
013-014-027-028-041-042.
CO...Flash Flood Watch until 4 AM MDT Friday for COZ090>092.
NE...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM...RRH
LONG TERM...LOCKHART
AVIATION...DRHazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 10:22 AM MDT, 9 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 1022 AM MDT THU JUN 30 2016 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-011630- YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS- DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE- GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW- 1022 AM MDT THU JUN 30 2016 /1122 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO... EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY THREAT. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO FORECAST WITH THESE STORMS. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN...PARTICULARLY FOR LOCATIONS THAT RECENTLY OBSERVED HEAVY RAIN OR OBSERVE TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE TRI-STATE REGION. THE PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE FLASH FLOODING AS A COUPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 30, 6:16 PM MDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 616 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2016 COZ091-KSZ013-027-010045- KIT CARSON COUNTY CO-WALLACE KS-SHERMAN KS- 616 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL KIT CARSON... NORTHWESTERN WALLACE AND SOUTHWESTERN SHERMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM MDT... AT 616 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR KANORADO. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... KANORADO. THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS... INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 9. INTERSTATE 70 IN COLORADO BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 447 AND 450. LAT...LON 3926 10217 3940 10202 3924 10170 3904 10192 TIME...MOT...LOC 0016Z 351DEG 3KT 3929 10203 024
Local storm report, Jun 30, 6:58 PM MDT, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
658 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0649 PM HAIL 7 S KANORADO 39.24N 102.02W
06/30/2016 E1.75 INCH SHERMAN KS PUBLIC
HAILED FOR ABOUT 10 MINUTES. A LOT OF HAIL. LARGEST SIZE
WAS GOLF BALL.
&&
HILLLocal storm report, Jun 30, 7:19 PM MDT, 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
719 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0708 PM TORNADO 13 NW BETHUNE 39.44N 102.60W
06/30/2016 KIT CARSON CO PUBLIC
INDIVIDUAL WAS AT COUNTY ROADS 40 AND HH LOOKING NORTH.
REPORT RELAYED THROUGH LAW ENFORCEMENT.
&&
DRLocal storm report, Jun 30, 7:25 PM MDT, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
725 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0637 PM HEAVY RAIN 12 S COPE 39.49N 102.82W
06/30/2016 E0.93 INCH KIT CARSON CO COCORAHS
0.93 INCHES WITHIN 15 MINUTES ENDING AT EVENT TIME.
&&
HILLSpecial weather statement, Jun 30, 7:45 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS 745 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2016 KSZ041-010200- GREELEY KS- 745 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL GREELEY COUNTY UNTIL 800 PM MDT... AT 745 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR TRIBUNE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... TRIBUNE AND HORACE. LAT...LON 3836 10187 3858 10192 3859 10162 3838 10157 TIME...MOT...LOC 0145Z 257DEG 25KT 3848 10170 024
The office that day
Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 6:16 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Sherman | 29 min |
| Jun 30, 6:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Sherman | 49 min |
| Jun 30, 7:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Sherman, Wallace | 47 min |
| Jun 30, 7:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Wallace | 49 min |
| Jun 30, 8:01 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | GLD | Greeley | 14 min |
| Jun 30, 8:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Greeley, Logan, Wallace, Wichita | 39 min |
| Jul 1, 4:00 AM MDT | Flash Flood Watch | GLD | Greeley, Logan, Sherman, Wallace, Wichita | 20 hr |
| Jun 30, 6:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson, Yuma | 39 min |
| Jun 30, 6:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 44 min |
| Jun 30, 7:15 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Kit Carson | 30 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.