Severe Thunderstorm Warning 482, NWS Goodland, KS

734 
WWUS53 KGLD 262132
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
332 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

COC125-262145-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0482.000000T0000Z-160826T2145Z/
YUMA CO-
332 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM MDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL YUMA COUNTY...

AT 331 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTH OF
ECKLEY...OR 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WRAY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HEARTSTRONG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
GOODLAND.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3990 10278 4010 10277 4009 10234 3983 10243
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 278DEG 20KT 3998 10246 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LOCKHART

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
147 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This afternoon through Tonight)
Issued at 1142 AM MDT Fri Aug 26 2016

17Z Water Vapor Imagery and RAP analysis indicated two short wave
troughs approaching the area...one system approaching from the
Texas panhandle while the second was currently moving to the east
over northwest Colorado. The latter trough will likely be the
primary trigger for precipitation chances this afternoon and
evening.

Thunderstorm chances will be the primary concern as expected
forcing has been slower than expected...resulting in a significant
delay in precipitation onset across the CWA. Last few scans of
visible satellite show an increase in cumulus ahead of short wave
trough and its sfc reflection...and imagine this more widespread
convective initiation will develop over next 2 hours. How far
east things get remain in question...and have a few doubts if
storms will make a great eastward push...or build south along
instability gradient and into stronger low level waa. Do not
really have a favored solution at this point but will trend PoPs
this evening to more of a compromise unless data leading to a more
preferred solution presents itself. Otherwise as storms end
across the area may see a brief period of clearing...but with
favorable humidity profiles expect fog and stratus to develop
during the overnight hours.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Friday)
Issued at 146 PM MDT Fri Aug 26 2016

Theta-e boundary will be draped across the CWA from southwest to
northeast Saturday morning and will remain stationary through the
day. Relatively high mixing ratios and CAPE in the 1000 to 1500 J/Kg
range along and southeast of this boundary will allow thunderstorm
development mainly during the afternoon and will focus in the
eastern and southeastern portions of the CWA where instability is
the highest. Deep layer shear is modest and severe thunderstorms, if
any, will be isolated. Southwest flow aloft becomes southerly as we
head into Sunday. The theta-e boundary will pull northwestward,
allowing moisture to be advected into the region through the
afternoon along the western flank of a broad area of high pressure.
Could see showers and thunderstorms form once more as instability
will be enough to allow afternoon/evening convective development
along a shortwave, especially in eastern portions of the CWA. PoPs
remain in the forecast on Monday with high pressure to the
east/southeast and H5 low pressure just off the northwest Pacific
coast. Pattern remains in place on Tuesday and into early Wednesday,
keeping PoPs in the forecast mainly for eastern portions of the CWA.
High pressure builds into the region on Thursday and Friday with dry
weather expected both days.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1134 AM MDT Fri Aug 26 2016

Complicated aviation forecast expected for next 24 hours as area
of thunderstorms will impact area this afternoon and
evening...followed by potential IFR conditions in fog and stratus
overnight. Precipitation has been slow to develop...but expect
storms to form before 20z across eastern Colorado and slowly
expand to the east southeast ahead of next disturbance. Storms
should clear area by 03z...but as clouds clear out behind todays
system expect fog and stratus to develop across much of the area.
A period of IFR conditions looks possible at both MCK and GLD.

&&

.GLD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JRM
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...JRM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1051 AM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-271700-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1051 AM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016 /1151 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE BETWEEN 2 PM MDT (3 PM CDT) AND 9 PM MDT (10
PM CDT) ALONG AND SOUTH OF A BENKELMAN TO HILL CITY LINE.

THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL,
DAMAGING WINDS, AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

PATCHY FOG SHOULD DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. VISIBILITIES
BELOW ONE MILE ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

PATCHY FOG WITH REDUCED VISIBILITY WILL PERSIST SATURDAY MORNING
BEFORE DISSIPATING BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS.

A FEW STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY. THE PRIMARY THREATS ARE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED AFTER 2 PM MDT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
132 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

COZ092-KSZ027-261945-
CHEYENNE COUNTY CO-WALLACE KS-
132 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL CHEYENNE COUNTY IN
EAST CENTRAL COLORADO AND SOUTHWESTERN WALLACE COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL KANSAS UNTIL 145 PM MDT...

AT 132 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6
MILES SOUTHWEST OF WESKAN...OR 15 MILES EAST OF CHEYENNE
WELLS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WESKAN AND ARAPAHOE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3876 10223 3897 10217 3890 10183 3871 10202
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 204DEG 8KT 3882 10207

JRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
148 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

KSZ027-262000-
WALLACE KS-
148 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL WALLACE COUNTY UNTIL
200 PM MDT...

AT 148 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
WESKAN...OR 13 MILES WEST OF SHARON SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WESKAN.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3881 10205 3901 10204 3892 10175 3876 10197
TIME...MOT...LOC 1948Z 207DEG 9KT 3886 10199

JRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
157 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

KSZ027-262030-
WALLACE KS-
157 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN WALLACE COUNTY UNTIL 230
PM MDT...

AT 157 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
WESKAN...OR 10 MILES WEST OF SHARON SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SHARON SPRINGS AND WESKAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3886 10205 3894 10205 3907 10190 3886 10169
      3876 10195
TIME...MOT...LOC 1957Z 231DEG 14KT 3888 10195

JRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
222 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

COZ090-262100-
YUMA COUNTY CO-
222 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL YUMA COUNTY UNTIL
300 PM MDT...

AT 222 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES SOUTH OF OTIS...OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF YUMA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
YUMA.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4008 10255 3996 10280 4000 10280 4000 10279
      4027 10280 4029 10277
TIME...MOT...LOC 2022Z 241DEG 17KT 4003 10290

JRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
235 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

KSZ027-262100-
WALLACE KS-
235 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL WALLACE COUNTY UNTIL 300
PM MDT...

AT 235 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
SHARON SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SHARON SPRINGS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3879 10180 3896 10191 3906 10174 3884 10157
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 240DEG 17KT 3891 10179

JRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
256 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

COZ090-262115-
YUMA COUNTY CO-
256 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL YUMA COUNTY UNTIL
315 PM MDT...

AT 256 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTH OF YUMA...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
YUMA...ECKLEY AND HEARTSTRONG.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3988 10241 3990 10280 4000 10280 4000 10279
      4013 10279 4015 10243
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 267DEG 23KT 4001 10272

JRM