Alert archive / Kansas / Red Flag Warnings in 2016

Red Flag Warning 19, NWS Goodland, KS

October 15, 20166 counties in Kansas; Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado

NWS Goodland, KS issued this red flag warning at Oct 15, 2016, 2:36 PM MDT for 6 counties in Kansas; Cheyenne County, Kit Carson County, Yuma County, Colorado. It took effect at Oct 16, 2016, 11:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 15, 2016, 2:36 PM MDT (20:36 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 16, 2016, 11:00 AM MDT
Expired
Oct 16, 2016, 6:13 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Goodland, KS

Counties Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Greeley County, KS, Logan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-10-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-10-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 41 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3330 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

490 
WWUS83 KGLD 152036
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
236 PM MDT SAT OCT 15 2016

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY...

.A WARM AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE SUNDAY AND THIS
RAISES THE POSSIBILITY FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
EAST CENTRAL COLORADO AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS. THE SAME
TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY FOR THE SAME REGION.

COZ253-254-KSZ027-041-042-160500-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0014.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0019.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0015.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE-WALLACE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
236 PM MDT SAT OCT 15 2016 /336 PM CDT SAT OCT 15 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 7 PM
MDT /8 PM CDT/ SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 027...041...042...253 AND 254...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 027...041...042...253 AND 254...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ SUNDAY. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 CHEYENNE. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TIMING...AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS SUNDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

KSZ013-028-160500-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0014.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0019.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
/O.EXA.KGLD.FW.A.0015.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
SHERMAN-LOGAN-
236 PM MDT SAT OCT 15 2016 /336 PM CDT SAT OCT 15 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 7 PM
MDT /8 PM CDT/ SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 013 AND 028...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 013 AND 028...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ SUNDAY. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN.

* WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TIMING...AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS SUNDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 9 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

KSZ014-160500-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0014.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0019.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
THOMAS-
336 PM CDT SAT OCT 15 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT SUNDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TIMING...AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS SUNDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 11 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ252-160500-
/O.EXA.KGLD.FW.A.0015.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
YUMA-
236 PM MDT SAT OCT 15 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 252...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOW TO MID 90S.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
6 follow-up statements
202 
WWUS83 KGLD 160500
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1100 PM MDT SAT OCT 15 2016

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...

.A WARM AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE SUNDAY AND THIS
RAISES THE POSSIBILITY FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
EAST CENTRAL COLORADO AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS. THE SAME
TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY FOR THE SAME REGION.

COZ253-254-KSZ013-027-028-041-042-161800-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0019.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0015.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE-SHERMAN-WALLACE-LOGAN-GREELEY-WICHITA-
1100 PM MDT SAT OCT 15 2016 /1200 AM CDT SUN OCT 16 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 013...027...028...041...042...253 AND
254...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 013...027...028...041...042...253 AND 254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 CHEYENNE. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 013 SHERMAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 027 WALLACE...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TIMING...AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS SUNDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 60S.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

KSZ014-161800-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0019.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
THOMAS-
1200 AM CDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT
SUNDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
014...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014 THOMAS.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TIMING...AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS SUNDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 11 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 80S.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ252-161800-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0015.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
YUMA-
1100 PM MDT SAT OCT 15 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 70S.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
550 
WWUS83 KGLD 161019
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
419 AM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...

.A WARM AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY AND THIS
RAISES THE POSSIBILITY FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
EAST CENTRAL COLORADO AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS. THE SAME
TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY FOR THE SAME REGION.

KSZ013-161800-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.W.0019.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0015.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
SHERMAN-
419 AM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING.

THE WIND SPEEDS TODAY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
CAUSE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN SHERMAN COUNTY.
THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HOWEVER
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN.

* WINDS...ON MONDAY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
  GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.

* TIMING...LATE MONDAY MORNING INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 13 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

KSZ014-161130-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.W.0019.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
THOMAS-
519 AM CDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 014...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING.

WIND SPEEDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$

COZ253-254-KSZ027-028-041-042-161800-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0019.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0015.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE-WALLACE-LOGAN-GREELEY-WICHITA-
419 AM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016 /519 AM CDT SUN OCT 16 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 027...028...041...042...
253 AND 254... 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 027...028...041...042...253 AND 254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 CHEYENNE. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS SUNDAY. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ252-161800-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0015.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
YUMA-
419 AM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
934 
WWUS83 KGLD 161654
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1054 AM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...

.A WARM AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY AND THIS
RAISES THE POSSIBILITY FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
EAST CENTRAL COLORADO AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS. THE SAME
TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY FOR THE SAME REGION.

COZ252-KSZ013-170100-
/O.EXA.KGLD.FW.W.0019.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0015.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
YUMA-SHERMAN-
1054 AM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 013 AND
252...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 013 AND 252...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA. IN 
  KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO EARLY EVENING HOURS. LATE
  MONDAY MORNING INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 TO 10 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ253-254-KSZ027-028-041-042-170100-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0019.161016T1700Z-161017T0100Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0015.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE-WALLACE-LOGAN-GREELEY-WICHITA-
1054 AM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016 /1154 AM CDT SUN OCT 16 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 027...028...041...042...253 AND 254...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 027...028...041...042...253 AND 254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 CHEYENNE. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA.

* WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS SUNDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
914 
WWUS83 KGLD 161953
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
153 PM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...

.A WARM AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY AND THIS
RAISES THE POSSIBILITY FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
EAST CENTRAL COLORADO AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS. THE SAME
TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY FOR THE SAME REGION.

COZ252>254-KSZ013-027-028-041-042-170400-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-161017T0100Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.A.0015.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE-SHERMAN-WALLACE-LOGAN-GREELEY-WICHITA-
153 PM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016 /253 PM CDT SUN OCT 16 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 013...027...028...041...042...252...253 AND 254...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 013...027...028...041...042...252...253 AND
254...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS SUNDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 9 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
603 
WWUS83 KGLD 162002
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
202 PM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...

.A WARM AND VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY AND THIS
RAISES THE POSSIBILITY FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
EAST CENTRAL COLORADO AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS. THE SAME
TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY FOR THE SAME REGION.

COZ252>254-KSZ013-027-028-041-042-170415-
/O.UPG.KGLD.FW.A.0015.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0020.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-161017T0100Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE-SHERMAN-WALLACE-LOGAN-GREELEY-WICHITA-
202 PM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016 /302 PM CDT SUN OCT 16 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 013...027...028...041...042...252...253 AND 254...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 7 PM
MDT /8 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 013...027...028...041...042...252...253 AND 254...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ MONDAY. THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS SUNDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 9 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

KSZ001>004-014>016-029-NEZ079>081-170415-
/O.NEW.KGLD.FW.W.0020.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-GOVE-DUNDY-
HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
202 PM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016 /302 PM CDT SUN OCT 16 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 7 PM
MDT /8 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...014...015...016...029...
079...080 AND 081...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/ TO 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ MONDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  014 THOMAS... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 016 GRAHAM AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 029 GOVE. IN NEBRASKA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED WILLOW.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)
080 
WWUS83 KGLD 170013
RFWGLD

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
613 PM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY...

.WARM, DRY, AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON MONDAY ACROSS
MUCH OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION.

COZ252>254-KSZ013-027-028-041-042-171215-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.W.0019.000000T0000Z-161017T0100Z/
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0020.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE-SHERMAN-WALLACE-LOGAN-GREELEY-WICHITA-
613 PM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016 /713 PM CDT SUN OCT 16 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 013...027...028...041...042...252...
253 AND 254...
...RED FLAG WARNING THAT WAS IN PLACE TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 013...027...028...041...042... 252...253
AND 254...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING THAT WAS IN PLACE TODAY.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 252 YUMA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 253 KIT CARSON AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 254 
  CHEYENNE. IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 013 SHERMAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 027 WALLACE...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 028 LOGAN...FIRE 
  WEATHER ZONE 041 GREELEY AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 042 WICHITA.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...MID DAY MONDAY THROUGH EARLY EVENING MONDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 8 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

KSZ001>004-014>016-029-NEZ079>081-171215-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0020.161017T1700Z-161018T0100Z/
CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-GOVE-DUNDY-
HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
613 PM MDT SUN OCT 16 2016 /713 PM CDT SUN OCT 16 2016/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT /NOON CDT/
TO 7 PM MDT /8 PM CDT/ MONDAY FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001...002...003...004...014...015...016...
029...079...080 AND 081...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN KANSAS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 001 CHEYENNE... 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 002 RAWLINS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 003 
  DECATUR... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 004 NORTON...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  014 THOMAS... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 015 SHERIDAN...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 016 GRAHAM AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 029 GOVE. IN NEBRASKA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 079 DUNDY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 080 HITCHCOCK 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 081 RED WILLOW.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...MID DAY MONDAY THROUGH EARLY EVENING MONDAY.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR 
  AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT ADVISED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GLD (ALL LOWER CASE)

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 15, 2:30 PM MDT, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 2:30 PM MDT, 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
230 PM MDT Sat Oct 15 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 221 PM MDT Sat Oct 15 2016

Across the forecast area on this warm Saturday afternoon...above
normal temps persist for the entire region with locales currently
seeing a range of upper 70s thru the mid 80s. Surface winds are out
of the NNE with a thin veil of cirrus moving thru the region.

Going into tonight...looking for above normal conditions to ensue
with a surface boundary meandering along the northern border of the
CWA. As this system interacts with the CWA and in particular NNE
zones...do expect an increase low level clouds and fog development.
Most of the CWA will remain dry as this system traverses the area.
Overnight lows will drop down into the upper 40s to low 50s from
west to east.

For Sunday...another above normal dry day is on tap for the area.
Expecting fog low clouds to clear east by late morning. Surface
winds will be mostly from the WSW thru day and combined with H5/H7
WSW flow...downslope conditions will bring about highs ranging mainly
in the lower 90s. Some locales will come close to/exceed records.
Have continued mention of Climate data highlighting records.
Increased winds(20-25 mph) on the western half of the CWA combined
with extremely dry RH readings due to low Td's is allowing for Fire
Wx watch areas to be upgraded to a Red Flag Warning for 17z Sun-00z
Monday.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 221 PM MDT Sat Oct 15 2016

High pressure gradually moves off to the east Sunday night into
Monday. Another day of well above normal high temperatures will
prevail as highs soar into the 90s. A low pressure system and series
of cold fronts will move onshore in the Pacific Northwest Monday
evening and will begin working across the northern and central
Rockies as we head into Tuesday. The first cold front will push
across the CWA on Tuesday with daytime highs expected to be in the
middle 60s to lower 70s. A second cold front will bring showers to
the region on Wednesday with temperatures turning sharply cooler
through the day and especially during the evening hours. There will
be lingering showers on Thursday with a rain/snow mix possible
mainly in the eastern Colorado counties. Lows Wednesday night and
Thursday morning will be near freezing in western portions of
Cheyenne and Kit Carson counties in Colorado to the upper 30s in the
eastern portions of the CWA. Precipitation will taper off through
the morning as temperatures climb into the middle 50s to near 60
degrees. Lows will fall to near freezing Thursday night. A general
warming trend will take shape on Friday and Saturday with dry
weather both days.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1119 AM MDT Sat Oct 15 2016

For KGLD...VFR conditions thru forecast period...w/ a SKC-
SCT200-250 mix. Winds north around 10kts thru 00z Sunday then
shifting to the ESE around 10kts thru 08z Sunday. from 08z Sunday
onward...WSW around 10kts.

For KMCK...Mainly VFR conditions thru forecast period...w/ a SKC-
SCT200-250 mix. 10z-15z Sunday...IFR conditions with below OVC010
and 1-2sm in fog. Winds NNE around 10kts thru 03z Sunday. 03z-15z
Sunday...mainly ESE around 5kts. 15z Sunday onward...WSW around
10kts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 230 PM MDT Sat Oct 15 2016

For Sunday...Relative humidities will be near 10 percent or less
across eastern Colorado and much of western Kansas with slightly
higher humidities just to the east that area. The key to this
forecast will be the wind. Winds are within range to warrant an
upgrade to a Red Flag Warning. The time frame will remain the same
as the Fire Weather Watch. Please refer to the Red Flag Warning
for further information.

For Monday...Again boundary position and its affects on the wind
speed make for a difficult fire weather forecast. Bufkit is showing
deeper mixing and stronger winds for the western portion of my area
than what current wind forecast has. Current thinking is that the
southern third of the area will have the best chance to reach
critical fire weather conditions.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 230 PM MDT Sat Oct 15 2016

Records for Sunday

Goodland.....93 set in 1991
Colby........94 set in 1921
TRIBUNE......89 set in 1936
BURLINGTON...89 set in 1991
YUMA.........88 set in 1991

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM MDT /noon CDT/ to 7 PM MDT /8 PM
     CDT/ Sunday for KSZ013-014-027-028-041-042.

     Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday evening
     for KSZ013-027-028-041-042.

CO...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 7 PM MDT Sunday for COZ253-254.

     Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday evening
     for COZ252>254.

NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...JN
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...JN
FIRE WEATHER...TL
CLIMATE...TL
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 15, 10:24 AM MDT, 4 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1024 AM MDT SAT OCT 15 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-161630-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1024 AM MDT SAT OCT 15 2016 /1124 AM CDT SAT OCT 15 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

AFTER MIDNIGHT...AREAS OF FOG WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST OF
SELKIRK TO BREWSTER TO STRATTON LINE. SOME LOCATIONS COULD HAVE
VISIBILITIES DROP TO A HALF MILE OR LESS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

ON SUNDAY...THE FOG WILL END BY LATE MORNING WITH LOW VISIBILITIES
STILL POSSIBLE.

FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 PERCENT OR LESS
ALONG WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS TO NEAR 25 MPH WILL CREATE NEAR
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTH A LINE
FROM HALFORD TO GOODLAND TO FLAGLER. OUTDOOR BURNING IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 14, 6:09 PM MDTFire Weather WatchGLDCheyenne, Greeley, Logan, Sherman, Thomas, Wallace and 1 more20 hr
Oct 15, 12:58 PM MDTFire Weather WatchGLDGreeley, Logan, Sherman, Wallace, Wichita25 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Kansas, 2016Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2016Every red flag warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.