Flash Flood Warning 10, NWS Goodland, KS

148 
WGUS73 KGLD 241417
FFSGLD

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
917 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

KSC065-179-241427-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FF.W.0010.000000T0000Z-160524T1415Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRAHAM KS-SHERIDAN KS-
917 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR GRAHAM AND EASTERN SHERIDAN COUNTIES
HAS EXPIRED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED. FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A
THREAT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY REMAINING ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 3914 10021 3932 10044 3951 10037 3953 10017
      3946 9960 3913 9961

$$

HUSTED

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
253 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Thursday night)
Issued at 249 AM MDT Tue May 24 2016

Due to current ongoing storms and severe weather will wait to issue
the morning forecast until severe watch 202 is cancelled.

Southwest flow will persist across the central plains from today
through Thursday night.  A surface trough will exist over eastern
Colorado today and tonight.  The trough will move into northwest
Kansas Wednesday and Wednesday night and then align itself along the
Colorado/Kansas border Thursday night.

a shortwave is advertised to come through the flow this afternoon
and evening. The surface wind field suggests convergence to support
thunderstorm initiation across the northern fa. There is good
instability and shear to produce severe thunderstorms.  Subsidence
moves into the fa Wednesdays morning behind the exiting shortwave.
Even through there is an apparent weak disturbance in the flow
WEDNESDAY afternoon, dynamics and instability are weak so will make
pops nil until late evening when some lift is shown mainly across
the far north fa.  Subsidence follows Thursday morning so pops will
be nil.  A strong shortwave comes into the area Thursday afternoon
and night.  Good dynamics with this feature warrant higher chance
pops.

Max temperatures today through Thursday should range from the upper
70s in eastern Colorado to the lower 80s across northwest Kansas.
Min temperatures tonight should cool to the 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 249 AM MDT Tue May 24 2016

Heading into the weekend a meandering surface boundary sets up over
the Central Plains out ahead of a upper level trough over the
Rockies. Models show this system shifting eastward of the region
Friday night, before lifting into North Central Nebraska.

Potential for rainshowers and thunderstorms increases over the
holiday weekend as remnants from the prior boundary looks to remain
over the region and another upper level low moving through the North
Central Rockies.

look for much the same at the begining of the work week as
another system looks to move through the region.

With a general southwesterly upper flow over the region, look for
near to above normal temperatures through the extened as decent warm
air advection over the area. Daytime highs will range from the mid
70s thru the mid 80s. Overnight lows will range from the upper 40s
thru the mid 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday night)
Issued at 1045 PM MDT Mon May 23 2016

For KGLD...mvfr cigs expected at or very near taf issuance as
stratus moves in from the southeast with surface winds from the
east near 10kts. sfc based thunderstorms expected around the
terminal as well. Thunderstorm chances decrease around 09z with
stratus and vlifr cigs and/or vis expected through about 17z.
models differ on how fast the stratus lifts north with the nam the
slower and gfs more progressive. Trended toward previous forecast
then favored the gfs which would bring vfr conditions to the
terminal after 21z as winds veer to the southeast near 10kts.

For KMCK...vfr conditions expected from taf issuance through 07z
or so with winds from the east around 5kts. from 08z-11z
thunderstorms possible from the south and west before dissipating
and/or moving northeast away from the terminal. Cigs will lower to
vlifr category. From 12z-18z am expecting vlifr cigs and possibly
vis. From 19z-21z cigs expected to slowly rise to mvfr category
then vfr from 22z through the rest of the taf period with winds
from the east-southeast around 11kts.

&&

.GLD Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...FS
LONG TERM...BW
AVIATION...99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
935 PM MDT MON MAY 23 2016

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-241200-
YUMA COUNTY-KIT CARSON COUNTY-CHEYENNE COUNTY-CHEYENNE-RAWLINS-
DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-
GREELEY-WICHITA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
935 PM MDT MON MAY 23 2016 /1035 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND INCREASE IN
COVERAGE THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...PRIMARILY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. A TORNADO OR TWO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN
THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND A FEW TORNADOES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
142 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2016

COZ090-240845-
YUMA COUNTY CO-
142 AM MDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN YUMA COUNTY UNTIL 245 AM
MDT...

AT 141 AM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES NORTH OF COPE...OR 22 MILES SOUTH OF YUMA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
YUMA...ABARR AND HEARTSTRONG.

LAT...LON 4038 10255 3970 10257 3968 10280 4026 10279
TIME...MOT...LOC 0741Z 238DEG 13KT 3982 10286

LOCKHART

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
249 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

KSZ003-004-240830-
DECATUR KS-NORTON KS-
249 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DECATUR AND WEST
CENTRAL NORTON COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

AT 249 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
JENNINGS...OR 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OBERLIN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORCATUR...JENNINGS...CLAYTON AND REAGER.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3962 10037 3968 10047 3991 10020 3978 9998
      3962 10024
TIME...MOT...LOC 0749Z 228DEG 21KT 3969 10036

LOCKHART

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
301 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

KSZ014-240845-
THOMAS KS-
301 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN THOMAS COUNTY UNTIL 345
AM CDT...

AT 301 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES SOUTH OF COLBY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLBY...MINGO AND HALFORD.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 49 AND 70.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3916 10087 3914 10136 3937 10116 3942 10076
TIME...MOT...LOC 0801Z 217DEG 19KT 3925 10100

LOCKHART

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
309 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

KSZ014-015-240900-
THOMAS KS-SHERIDAN KS-
309 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN THOMAS AND WESTERN
SHERIDAN COUNTIES UNTIL 400 AM CDT...

AT 309 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6
MILES NORTH OF GRINNELL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOXIE...GRINNELL...REXFORD...SELDEN...MENLO...ANGELUS AND SEGUIN.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3913 10053 3913 10064 3919 10082 3956 10072
      3955 10031
TIME...MOT...LOC 0809Z 210DEG 31KT 3923 10064

LOCKHART

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
343 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

KSZ015-016-029-240945-
GOVE KS-GRAHAM KS-SHERIDAN KS-
343 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN GOVE...GRAHAM AND
SHERIDAN COUNTIES UNTIL 445 AM CDT...

AT 343 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6
MILES NORTH OF VODA...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HILL CITY...HOXIE...MORLAND...BOGUE...NICODEMUS...TASCO AND SAINT PETER.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3913 10015 3907 10015 3920 10060 3956 10044
      3957 9960 3913 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0843Z 200DEG 26KT 3914 10000

LOCKHART

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
351 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

KSZ014-015-240930-
THOMAS KS-SHERIDAN KS-
351 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN THOMAS AND WESTERN
SHERIDAN COUNTIES UNTIL 430 AM CDT...

AT 350 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
MENLO...OR 14 MILES NORTH OF OAKLEY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLBY...REXFORD...SELDEN...GEM...MENLO...MINGO AND HALFORD.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 56 AND 68.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3919 10057 3921 10082 3916 10129 3956 10079
      3957 10048 3957 10041
TIME...MOT...LOC 0850Z 247DEG 25KT 3932 10075

LOCKHART