Red Flag Warning 6, NWS Grand Junction, CO

641 
WWUS85 KGJT 162140
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
340 PM MDT THU JUN 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...FOR WESTERN COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203...207...290 AND 294...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...FOR WESTERN
COLORADO FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200 AND 202...

COZ200-202-170545-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160617T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0006.160617T1800Z-160618T0200Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
340 PM MDT THU JUN 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200 AND 202...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 200 AND 202...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE 
  SNAKE FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER 
  FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...11 TO 16 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD UPON IGNITION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ203-207-290-294-170200-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160617T0200Z/
LOWER COLORADO RIVER-SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA-
PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA-
340 PM MDT THU JUN 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 203...207...290 AND 294...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 LOWER 
  COLORADO RIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 SOUTHWEST COLORADO 
  LOWER FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY 
  FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 294 SOUTHWEST COLORADO 
  UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...9 TO 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD UPON IGNITION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT

411 
WWUS85 KGJT 170155
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
755 PM MDT THU JUN 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...FOR WESTERN COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...203...207...290 AND 294...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...FOR WESTERN
COLORADO FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200 AND 202...

COZ200-202-171000-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160617T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0006.160617T1800Z-160618T0200Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
755 PM MDT THU JUN 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MDT
FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 200 AND 202...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
200 AND 202...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE 
  SNAKE FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER 
  FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD UPON IGNITION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ203-207-290-294-170300-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160617T0200Z/
LOWER COLORADO RIVER-SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA-
PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA-
755 PM MDT THU JUN 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
203...207...290 AND 294...

WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO DIMINISH AND SHOULD BE LIGHT IN MOST AREAS
TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE SLOW TO
RECOVER...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT.

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT

799 
WWUS85 KGJT 170836
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
236 AM MDT FRI JUN 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...FOR WESTERN COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200 AND 202...

COZ200-202-172100-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0006.160617T1800Z-160618T0200Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
236 AM MDT FRI JUN 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200 AND 202...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE 
  SNAKE FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER 
  FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD UPON IGNITION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT

782 
WWUS85 KGJT 172034
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
234 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...FOR COLORADO FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 200 AND 202 IN NORTHWEST COLORADO...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 IN FAR NORTHWEST COLORADO...

COZ200-180445-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.A.0006.160618T1800Z-160619T0200Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160618T0200Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-
234 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 200 IN FAR NORTHWEST COLORADO...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 IN FAR NORTHWEST COLORADO...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING REMAINS
IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE 
  SNAKE FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. WINDS WILL
  DIMINISH THIS EVENING. GUSTY WINDS MAY REDEVELOP SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY...8 TO 13 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD UPON IGNITION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ202-180200-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160618T0200Z/
WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
234 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 202 IN NORTHWEST COLORADO...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE 
  RIVER FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...9 TO 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS MAY 
  CAUSE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD UPON IGNITION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT

728 
WWUS85 KGJT 180207
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
807 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2016

COZ200-180315-
/O.CAN.KGJT.FW.A.0006.160618T1800Z-160619T0200Z/
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160618T0200Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-
807 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...
AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS CANCELLED THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

WIND GUSTS GENERALLY WERE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW CRITERIA AGAIN ON SATURDAY. THEREFORE
THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR FRIDAY AND FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR
SATURDAY HAVE BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

COZ202-180315-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160618T0200Z/
WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
807 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...
AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202...

WINDS ARE DIMINISHING AND HUMIDITY IS BEGINNING TO RISE.
THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1046 AM MDT THU JUN 16 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Friday)
Issued at 235 AM MDT Thu Jun 16 2016

Very similar conditions are expected today, like we saw yesterday, due
to little change to the two features causing the warm and dry
conditions. The area of low pressure centered just off the Oregon
coast will slowly drop south today while the high pressure remains
to our south. Our CWA remains between these two areas as does the
jet stream with little to no moisture making its way to the area.
With that, we can expect sunny skies, dry conditions and another
breezy day though wind speeds and gusts will be a little bit
lighter. Latest guidance also suggesting H7 winds stronger north
of I-70 with somewhat lighter down south. Even so, the Red Flag
Warning remains in effect for all of extreme western Colorado.

For Friday, more of the same with breezier winds, again, favored
north of I-70 so went ahead and issued Fire Weather Watch for CO
fire zones 200 and 202 to account for dry fuels, winds, and low
humidity keeping critical fire weather conditions in place.
Temperatures will inch up a few degrees as the sunny skies
continue.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 254 PM MDT Wed Jun 15 2016

The high pressure center will shift northward to become centered
over Colorado, Arizona, and western Kansas by Saturday. This means
that temperatures will rise a few more degrees over the weekend with
H7 temps just shy of 20C. This will translate into temperatures near
100 F in the Grand Valley and definitely in the Moab to Four
Corners low valley corridor Sunday and Monday.

Sunday will be the first day with any cloud cover possible. A sliver
of high level moisture will wrap clockwise into Utah and Colorado,
but will be rather insignificant in the grand scheme of things. By
the middle of next week it will be possible to see a stray shower or
thunderstorm over the highest mountains in the afternoons but
coverage will be very isolated. Summertime is here.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1046 AM MDT Thu Jun 16 2016

VFR conditions will remain in place today and over the next 24
hours as a dry, southwest flow continues with clear skies. Winds
will be the primary concern with gusts as high as 35 mph this
afternoon. Winds should lessen after sunset and become more
terrain driven.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 235 AM MDT Thu Jun 16 2016

Another day on tap for breezy conditions with low relative
humidities and with dry fuels in place, critical fire conditions
will remain in place. Winds will be a bit weaker today than seen
yesterday but fire weather concerns will remain high so a Red Flag
Warning continues for today. The stronger winds look to shift
northward on Friday and with similar conditions in place, issued
a Fire Weather Watch for CO zones 200 and 202.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 254 PM MDT Wed Jun 15 2016

A warming trend through at least early next week will accelerate
melting of the high elevation snowpack. Therefore, streams and
rivers throughout the region will continue to run high, fast, and
cold. Increased flows of area waterways will continue throughout
the week. Keep advised on the latest river forecasts by visiting
our website at weather.gov/gjt.

&&

.GJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
CO...Red Flag Warning until 8 PM MDT this evening for COZ200-202-203-
     207-290-294.

     Fire Weather Watch from Friday afternoon through Friday evening
     for COZ200-202.

UT...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...TGR
LONG TERM...JAM
AVIATION...MDA
FIRE WEATHER...TGR
HYDROLOGY...TGJT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
545 AM MDT THU JUN 16 2016

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-171200-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
545 AM MDT THU JUN 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS
WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER
PORTIONS OF FAR WESTERN COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS UP
TO 30 MPH THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN COLORADO FRIDAY
AS STRONGER WINDS SHIFT TO THAT AREA. SUNNY SKIES AND HOT
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND BEYOND.

ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO
THE HIGHER TERRAIN SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MELT OFF HIGH MOUNTAIN
SNOWPACK. THIS WILL KEEP MANY OF THE AREA RIVERS RUNNING HIGH,
COLD AND FAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.