Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2016

Red Flag Warning 18, NWS Grand Junction, CO

July 16, 201617 counties in Colorado; Grand County, San Juan County, Uintah County, Utah

NWS Grand Junction, CO issued this red flag warning at Jul 16, 2016, 6:17 PM MDT for 17 counties in Colorado; Grand County, San Juan County, Uintah County, Utah. It took effect at Jul 17, 2016, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 10 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2016, 6:17 PM MDT (00:17 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 17, 2016, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Jul 17, 2016, 9:42 PM MDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Junction, CO

Counties Archuleta County, CO, Delta County, CO, Dolores County, CO, Eagle County, CO, Garfield County, CO, Gunnison County, CO, Hinsdale County, CO, La Plata County, CO, Mesa County, CO, Moffat County, CO, Montezuma County, CO, Montrose County, CO, Ouray County, CO, Pitkin County, CO, Rio Blanco County, CO, San Juan County, CO, San Miguel County, CO, Grand County, UT, San Juan County, UT, Uintah County, UT

The radar

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 17, 9:30 PM MDTTSTM WND GST 50Delta, COVERY STRONG WINDS ON HIGHWAY 92 JUST EAST OF DOWNTOWN DELTA. BRIEF RAIN SHOWER.
Jul 17, 9:40 PM MDTTSTM WND GST 551 W Delta, COOUTFLOW WINDS FROM NEARBY THUNDERSTORMS KNOCKED DOWN SOME 20 FOOT LONG BRANCHES ABOUT 3 TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER AND TOSSED LIGHT LAWN FURNITURE AROUND. NO DAMAGE OBSERVED.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 00:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 00:00Z on 2016-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 27 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 00:00Z on 2016-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
27 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
4698 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-22 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

524 
WWUS85 KGJT 170017 CCB 
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
617 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

CORRECTED TYPO IN SECOND HEADLINE

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200...201...202...203...205...207...290...291...292...294
AND 295 IN WESTERN COLORADO...AND FIRE WEATHER ZONES
486...487...490 AND 491 IN EASTERN UTAH...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY
NIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 200...202 IN NORTHWEST COLORADO AND FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 487 AND 490 IN EAST-CENTRAL UTAH...

...RED FLAD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY
NIGHT FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY...AFTER A
PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
203...205...207...290...291...292...293...294 AND 295 ACROSS
SOUTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL COLORADO...AND FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
491 IN SOUTHEAST UTAH...

.DRY...HOT AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE COMBINATION OF WIND...
HEAT...DRY FUELS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDIY WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO AND MOST OF EASTERN UTAH
UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH ON SUNDAY LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR THE FIRST
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD. DRY LIGHTNING
FROM DEVELOPING STORMS IS THE MAIN CONCERN. IN ADDITION GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP OVER EAST-CENTRAL UTAH AND
NORTHWEST COLORADO IN THE AFTERNOON.  ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM
OUTFLOW WINDS MAY ALSO DEVELOP IN MANY LOCATIONS AREA-WIDE LATE
IN DAY AND MAY PERSIST UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT.

COZ200-202-UTZ487-490-171230-
/O.UPG.KGJT.FW.A.0015.160717T1800Z-160718T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0018.160717T1800Z-160718T0600Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160717T0300Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-BOOK CLIFFS-
COLORADO RIVER BASIN-
617 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200...202...487 AND 490...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...487 AND 490...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY NIGHT.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE 
  SNAKE FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER 
  FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 487 BOOK CLIFFS AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 490 COLORADO RIVER BASIN.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...6 TO 11 PERCENT.

* SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH WILL
  AGAIN DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...VIRGA OR ISOLATED
  THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY WITH DRY LIGHTNING...MAY FORM OVER THE
  HIGHER TERRAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR IN THE EARLY EVENING.
  ANY CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS
  THAT MAY IMPACT LOWER ELEVATION. 

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE NEW OR 
  EXISTING FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY BECOMING DIFFICULT TO CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ203-205-207-290>295-UTZ491-171230-
/O.UPG.KGJT.FW.A.0015.160717T1800Z-160718T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0018.160717T1800Z-160718T0600Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160717T0300Z/
LOWER COLORADO RIVER-COLORADO RIVER HEADWATERS-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA-
PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA-
NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER EAST FORECAST AREA-SOUTHEAST UTAH-
617 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 203...205...207...290...291...292...293...294...295 AND
491...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
SUNDAY NIGHT FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME
DRY...AFTER A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD...FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 203...205...207...290...291...292...293... 294...295 AND
491...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY NIGHT.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 LOWER
  COLORADO RIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 205 COLORADO RIVER
  HEADWATERS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER
  FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST
  AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 291 NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER
  ZONE 293 GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 294
  SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER
  ZONE 295 SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER EAST FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 491 SOUTHEAST UTAH.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...7 TO 12 PERCENT.

* SUNDAY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH DRY
  LIGHTNING POSSIBLE. ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE
  LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING FROM ANY CONVECTION THAT
  DEVELOPS.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE NEW OR 
  EXISTING FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY BECOMING DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. 
  LIGHTNING SUNDAY MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ201-UTZ486-170300-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160717T0300Z/
ROUTT FORECAST AREA-EASTERN UINTA BASIN-
617 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 201 AND 486...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 201 ROUTT 
  FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 486 EASTERN UINTA 
  BASIN.

* WIND...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...9 TO 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE NEW OR 
  EXISTING FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY BECOMING DIFFICULT TO CONTROL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT
5 follow-up statements
506 
WWUS85 KGJT 170259
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
859 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

CORRECTED TYPO IN SECOND HEADLINE

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING IN FIRE WEATHER ZONES
200...201...202...203...205...207...290...291...292... 294 AND 295
IN WESTERN COLORADO...AND FIRE WEATHER ZONES 486... 487...490 AND
491 IN EASTERN UTAH ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY
NIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 200...202 IN NORTHWEST COLORADO AND FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 487 AND 490 IN EAST-CENTRAL UTAH...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY
NIGHT FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY...AFTER
A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 203...
205...207...290...291...292...293...294 AND 295 ACROSS SOUTHWEST
AND WEST-CENTRAL COLORADO...AND FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 491 IN
SOUTHEAST UTAH...

.WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND THE HUMIDITY HAS BEGUN RISING SO THE
RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS EVENING WILL EXPIRE AS PLANNED AT 9 PM.

MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH ON SUNDAY LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR THE FIRST
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD. DRY LIGHTNING
FROM DEVELOPING STORMS IS THE MAIN CONCERN. IN ADDITION GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP OVER EAST-CENTRAL UTAH AND
NORTHWEST COLORADO IN THE AFTERNOON.  ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM
OUTFLOW WINDS MAY ALSO DEVELOP IN MANY LOCATIONS AREA-WIDE LATE
IN DAY AND MAY PERSIST UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT.

COZ200-202-UTZ487-490-171300-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160717T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0018.160717T1800Z-160718T0600Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-BOOK CLIFFS-
COLORADO RIVER BASIN-
859 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY NIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND
DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...487 AND 490...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
200...202...487 AND 490...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE 
  SNAKE FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER 
  FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 487 BOOK CLIFFS AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 490 COLORADO RIVER BASIN.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...6 TO 11 PERCENT.

* SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH WILL
  AGAIN DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...VIRGA OR ISOLATED
  THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY WITH DRY LIGHTNING...MAY FORM OVER THE
  HIGHER TERRAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR IN THE EARLY EVENING.
  ANY CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS
  THAT MAY IMPACT LOWER ELEVATION.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE NEW OR
  EXISTING FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY BECOMING DIFFICULT TO CONTROL.
  THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS AND OUTFLOW WINDS MAY
  CAUSE CONTROL PROBLEMS ON ANY FIRES THE STORM'S VICINITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ203-205-207-290>295-UTZ491-171300-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160717T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0018.160717T1800Z-160718T0600Z/
LOWER COLORADO RIVER-COLORADO RIVER HEADWATERS-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA-
PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA-
NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER EAST FORECAST AREA-SOUTHEAST UTAH-
859 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY NIGHT FOR FIRST THUNDERSTORMS AFTER A
PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
203...205...207...290...291... 292...293...294...295 AND 491...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY
WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
203...205...207...290...291...292...293...294...295 AND 491...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 LOWER 
  COLORADO RIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 205 COLORADO RIVER 
  HEADWATERS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER 
  FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST 
  AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 291 NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA...
   FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 293 GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 294 
  SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 295 SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER EAST FORECAST AREA. IN 
  UTAH... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 491 SOUTHEAST UTAH.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...7 TO 12 PERCENT.

* SUNDAY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH DRY 
  LIGHTNING POSSIBLE. ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE 
  LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING FROM ANY CONVECTION THAT 
  DEVELOPS.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE NEW OR 
  EXISTING FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY BECOMING DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. 
  LIGHTNING SUNDAY MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ201-UTZ486-170400-
/O.EXP.KGJT.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-160717T0300Z/
ROUTT FORECAST AREA-EASTERN UINTA BASIN-
859 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 201 AND 486...

WINDS HAVE DECREASED AND HUMIDITY HAS BEGUN TO RISE SO THE RED
FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AS PLANNED AT 9 PM MDT.

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT
670 
WWUS85 KGJT 170320
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
920 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY
NIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 200...202 IN NORTHWEST COLORADO AND FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 487 AND 490 IN EAST-CENTRAL UTAH...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY
NIGHT FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY...AFTER
A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 203...
205...207...290...291...292...293...294 AND 295 ACROSS SOUTHWEST
AND WEST-CENTRAL COLORADO...AND FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 491 IN
SOUTHEAST UTAH...

.MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH ON SUNDAY LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR THE FIRST
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD. DRY LIGHTNING
FROM DEVELOPING STORMS IS THE MAIN CONCERN. IN ADDITION GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP OVER EAST-CENTRAL UTAH AND
NORTHWEST COLORADO IN THE AFTERNOON. ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW
WINDS MAY ALSO DEVELOP IN MANY LOCATIONS AREA-WIDE LATE IN DAY AND
MAY PERSIST UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT.

COZ200-202-UTZ487-490-171300-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0018.160717T1800Z-160718T0600Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-BOOK CLIFFS-
COLORADO RIVER BASIN-
920 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY NIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND
DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...487 AND 490...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE 
  SNAKE FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER 
  FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 487 BOOK CLIFFS AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 490 COLORADO RIVER BASIN.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...6 TO 11 PERCENT.

* SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH 
  WILL AGAIN DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...VIRGA OR 
  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY WITH DRY LIGHTNING...MAY FORM 
  OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR IN THE EARLY 
  EVENING. ANY CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC 
  OUTFLOW WINDS THAT MAY IMPACT LOWER ELEVATION.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE NEW OR 
  EXISTING FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY BECOMING DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. 
  THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS AND OUTFLOW WINDS MAY 
  CAUSE CONTROL PROBLEMS ON ANY FIRES THE STORM'S VICINITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ203-205-207-290>295-UTZ491-171300-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0018.160717T1800Z-160718T0600Z/
LOWER COLORADO RIVER-COLORADO RIVER HEADWATERS-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA-
PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA-
NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER EAST FORECAST AREA-SOUTHEAST UTAH-
920 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY NIGHT FOR FIRST THUNDERSTORMS AFTER A
PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 203...205...
207...290...291...292...293...294...295 AND 491...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 LOWER 
  COLORADO RIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 205 COLORADO RIVER 
  HEADWATERS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER 
  FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST 
  AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 291 NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA...
   FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 293 GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 294 
  SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 295 SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER EAST FORECAST AREA. IN 
  UTAH... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 491 SOUTHEAST UTAH.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...7 TO 12 PERCENT.

* SUNDAY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH DRY 
  LIGHTNING POSSIBLE. ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE 
  LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING FROM ANY CONVECTION THAT 
  DEVELOPS.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE NEW OR 
  EXISTING FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY BECOMING DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. 
  LIGHTNING SUNDAY MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT
821 
WWUS85 KGJT 171030
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
430 AM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200...202 IN NORTHWEST COLORADO AND FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
487 AND 490 IN EAST-CENTRAL UTAH...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY...AFTER A
PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD...FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 203...
205...207...290...291...292...293...294 AND 295 ACROSS SOUTHWEST
AND WEST-CENTRAL COLORADO...AND FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 491 IN
SOUTHEAST UTAH...

.MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH TODAY LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR THE FIRST THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD. DRY LIGHTNING FROM
DEVELOPING STORMS IS THE MAIN CONCERN. IN ADDITION...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP OVER EAST-CENTRAL UTAH AND
NORTHWEST COLORADO IN THE AFTERNOON. ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW
WINDS ARE LIKELY AREA-WIDE LATE IN DAY AND MAY PERSIST UNTIL
CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT.

COZ200-202-UTZ487-490-171830-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0018.160717T1800Z-160718T0600Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-BOOK CLIFFS-
COLORADO RIVER BASIN-
430 AM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT
MDT TONIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202...487 AND 490...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE 
  SNAKE FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER 
  FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 487 BOOK CLIFFS AND 
  FIRE WEATHER ZONE 490 COLORADO RIVER BASIN.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...6 TO 11 PERCENT.

* SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH 
  WILL AGAIN DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...VIRGA OR 
  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY WITH DRY LIGHTNING...MAY FORM 
  OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR IN THE EARLY 
  EVENING. ANY CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC 
  OUTFLOW WINDS THAT MAY IMPACT LOWER ELEVATION.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE NEW OR 
  EXISTING FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY BECOMING DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. 
  THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS AND OUTFLOW WINDS MAY 
  CAUSE CONTROL PROBLEMS ON ANY FIRES THE STORM'S VICINITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ203-205-207-290>295-UTZ491-171830-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0018.160717T1800Z-160718T0600Z/
LOWER COLORADO RIVER-COLORADO RIVER HEADWATERS-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA-
PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA-
NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER EAST FORECAST AREA-SOUTHEAST UTAH-
430 AM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT
MDT TONIGHT FOR FIRST THUNDERSTORMS AFTER A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY
PERIOD FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 203...205...207...290...291...292...
293...294...295 AND 491...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 LOWER 
  COLORADO RIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 205 COLORADO RIVER 
  HEADWATERS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER 
  FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST 
  AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 291 NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA...
   FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 293 GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 294 
  SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 295 SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER EAST FORECAST AREA. IN 
  UTAH... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 491 SOUTHEAST UTAH.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...7 TO 12 PERCENT.

* SUNDAY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH DRY 
  LIGHTNING POSSIBLE. ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN THE 
  LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING FROM ANY CONVECTION THAT 
  DEVELOPS.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE NEW OR 
  EXISTING FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY BECOMING DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. 
  LIGHTNING SUNDAY MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT
932 
WWUS85 KGJT 171812
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1212 PM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR
NORTHWEST COLORADO FIRE WEATHER ZONES 200...202 AND FOR EASTERN
UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 487 AND 490...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY...
AFTER A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD...FOR WESTERN COLORADO FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 203... 205...207...290...291...292...293...294 AND
295...AND FOR SOUTHEASTERN UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONE 491...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT MONDAY UNTIL 10 PM
MONDAY EVENING FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME
DRY...AFTER A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD...FOR WESTERN COLORADO
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 203...205...207...290...291...292...293...294
AND 295...AND FOR EASTERN UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 487...490 AND
491...

.MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH TODAY LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR THE FIRST THUNDERSTORMS
AFTER A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD. DRY LIGHTNING FROM
DEVELOPING STORMS IS THE MAIN CONCERN. IN ADDITION...GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP OVER EAST-CENTRAL UTAH AND
NORTHWEST COLORADO IN THE AFTERNOON. ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW
WINDS ARE LIKELY AREA-WIDE LATE IN DAY AND MAY PERSIST UNTIL
CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

UTZ487-490-180600-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.A.0016.160718T1800Z-160719T0400Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160718T0600Z/
BOOK CLIFFS-COLORADO RIVER BASIN-
1212 PM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200...202...487 AND 490...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR FIRST THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AFTER
A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 487 AND
490...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR DRY THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS. 

* AFFECTED AREA...IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 487 BOOK CLIFFS 
  AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 490 COLORADO RIVER BASIN.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...8 TO 13 PERCENT.

* TODAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE
  EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION...VIRGA OR ISOLATED
  THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY WITH DRY LIGHTNING...MAY FORM OVER THE
  HIGHER TERRAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. ANY
  CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC AND GUSTY OUTFLOW
  WINDS.

* MONDAY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME DRY...ARE
  EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY
  EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND
  NEAR STORMS.  

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE NEW OR 
  EXISTING FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY BECOMING DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. 
  THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS AND OUTFLOW WINDS MAY 
  CAUSE CONTROL PROBLEMS ON ANY FIRES THE STORM'S VICINITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ203-205-207-290>295-UTZ491-180600-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.A.0016.160718T1800Z-160719T0400Z/
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160718T0600Z/
LOWER COLORADO RIVER-COLORADO RIVER HEADWATERS-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA-
PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA-
NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER EAST FORECAST AREA-SOUTHEAST UTAH-
1212 PM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR FIRST THUNDERSTORMS AFTER A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 203...205...207...290...291...292...293...
294...295 AND 491...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS AFTER A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 203...205...207...290...291...292...293...294...295
AND 491...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS AFTER A PROLONGED DRY AND HOT PERIOD...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS AFTER A PROLONGED
HOT AND DRY PERIOD...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 LOWER 
  COLORADO RIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 205 COLORADO RIVER 
  HEADWATERS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER 
  FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST 
  AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 291 NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA...
   FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 293 GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 294 
  SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 295 SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER EAST FORECAST AREA. IN 
  UTAH... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 491 SOUTHEAST UTAH.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...11 TO 16 PERCENT.

* TODAY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH DRY
  LIGHTNING POSSIBLE. ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
  THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FROM ANY CONVECTION THAT
  DEVELOPS.

* MONDAY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH DRY
  LIGHTNING POSSIBLE. ERRATIC OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
  IN AND NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THROUGH MONDAY
  EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS AND OUTFLOW
  WINDS MAY CAUSE CONTROL PROBLEMS ON ANY FIRES THE STORM'S
  VICINITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ200-202-180600-
/O.CON.KGJT.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160718T0600Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
1212 PM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200...202...487 AND 490...

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE 
  SNAKE FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER 
  FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...9 TO 14 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...HOT...DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS COULD CAUSE NEW OR 
  EXISTING FIRES TO GROW RAPIDLY BECOMING DIFFICULT TO CONTROL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT
524 
WWUS85 KGJT 180342
RFWGJT

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
942 PM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT MONDAY FOR
LIGHTNING AFTER AN EXTREMELY DRY PERIOD FOR WESTERN COLORADO FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 200...201...202...203...205...207...290...291...
292...293...294...295... AND FOR EASTERN UTAH FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
486...487...490 AND 491...

.MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH TONIGHT LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD. DRY LIGHTNING
FROM DEVELOPING STORMS IS THE MAIN CONCERN AS WELL AS ERRATIC
THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL INITIALLY BE DRY
WITH INCREASING CHANCES OF WETTING RAIN BY LATE MONDAY EVENING. 

COZ203-205-207-290>295-UTZ487-490-491-181200-
/O.CAN.KGJT.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160718T0600Z/
/O.UPG.KGJT.FW.A.0016.160718T1800Z-160719T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0019.160718T1600Z-160719T0400Z/
LOWER COLORADO RIVER-COLORADO RIVER HEADWATERS-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER FORECAST AREA-
PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST AREA-NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA-
NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA-GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA-
SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER EAST FORECAST AREA-BOOK CLIFFS-
COLORADO RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-
942 PM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT MONDAY FOR
LIGHTNING AFTER AN EXTREMELY DRY PERIOD FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
203...205...207...290...291...292...293...294...295...487...490
AND 491...

...RED FLAG WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 203...205...207...290...291...292...
293...294...295...487...490 AND 491...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR LIGHTNING AFTER AN EXTREMELY DRY PERIOD... WHICH
IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE RED FLAG WARNING WHICH WAS IN
EFFECT FOR TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 203 LOWER 
  COLORADO RIVER...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 205 COLORADO RIVER 
  HEADWATERS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 207 SOUTHWEST COLORADO LOWER 
  FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 290 PARADOX VALLEY FORECAST 
  AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 291 NORTHERN SAN JUAN FORECAST AREA...
   FIRE WEATHER ZONE 292 NORTH FORK FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 293 GUNNISON BASIN FORECAST AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 294 
  SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER WEST FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER 
  ZONE 295 SOUTHWEST COLORADO UPPER EAST FORECAST AREA. IN 
  UTAH... FIRE WEATHER ZONE 487 BOOK CLIFFS...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 
  490 COLORADO RIVER BASIN AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 491 SOUTHEAST 
  UTAH.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...20 TO 35 PERCENT IN THE VALLEYS. 35 TO 50 PERCENT IN
  THE MOUNTAINS.

* MONDAY...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH DRY LIGHTNING.
  ERRATIC OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR ANY
  THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS AND OUTFLOW
  WINDS MAY CAUSE CONTROL PROBLEMS ON ANY FIRES IN THE VICINITY OF
  THUNDERSTORMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ200-202-181200-
/O.CAN.KGJT.FW.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160718T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0019.160718T1600Z-160719T0400Z/
LITTLE SNAKE FORECAST AREA-WHITE RIVER FORECAST AREA-
942 PM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT MONDAY FOR
LIGHTNING AFTER AN EXTREMELY DRY PERIOD FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
200 AND 202...

...RED FLAG WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 200 AND 202...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR LIGHTNING AFTER AN EXTREMELY DRY PERIOD... WHICH
IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT MONDAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING
THAT WAS IN EFFECT TODAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 200 LITTLE 
  SNAKE FORECAST AREA AND FIRE WEATHER ZONE 202 WHITE RIVER 
  FORECAST AREA.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...20 TO 40 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS AND OUTFLOW
  WINDS MAY CAUSE CONTROL PROBLEMS ON ANY FIRES IN THE VICINITY OF
  THUNDERSTORMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

COZ201-UTZ486-181200-
/O.NEW.KGJT.FW.W.0019.160718T1600Z-160719T0400Z/
ROUTT FORECAST AREA-EASTERN UINTA BASIN-
942 PM MDT SUN JUL 17 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT MONDAY FOR
LIGHTNING AFTER AN EXTREMELY DRY PERIOD FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
201 AND 486...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND JUNCTION HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FOR LIGHTNING AFTER AN EXTREMELY DRY PERIOD... WHICH
IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM MDT MONDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA...IN COLORADO...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 201 ROUTT 
  FORECAST AREA. IN UTAH...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 486 EASTERN UINTA 
  BASIN.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...20 TO 40 PERCENT.

* MONDAY...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH DRY LIGHTNING.
  ERRATIC OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR ANY
  THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOP THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE NEW FIRE STARTS AND OUTFLOW
  WINDS MAY CAUSE CONTROL PROBLEMS ON ANY FIRES IN THE VICINITY OF
  THUNDERSTORMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW....OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM NOAA/NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/GJT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Jul 16, 5:03 PM MDT, 1 hour 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 5:03 PM MDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
503 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday night)
Issued at 410 PM MDT Sat Jul 16 2016

THE WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO A WETTER PATTERN BEGINNING
ON SUNDAY. THIS TAKES PLACE AS THE FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHWEST
THEN SOUTH DUE TO THE UPPER HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN TO
OUR SOUTH/SOUTHWEST SHIFTS SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA.

IN THE MEAN TIME UNTIL AROUND SUNSET...A MODERATE GRADIENT FLOW
WILL CONTINUE TO MIX TO THE SURFACE...RESULTING IN GUSTY SOUTHWEST
WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. THIS IN COMBINATION WITH DRY AND HOT
CONDITIONS HAS PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN RUNNING 1-3 DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY
AND WE HAVE ALREADY REACHED 101F AT THE GRAND JUNCTION AIRPORT.

EXPECT THAT OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE A LITTLE WARMER
THAN LAST NIGHT'S. THERE HAS BEEN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE
WITH A FEW MORE CLOUDS MOVING OVER THE AREA. A BETTER BAND THAT
HAS STRETCHED ACROSS THE NORTHERN THIRD WILL GRADUALLY THIN...BUT
SOME HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD REMAIN ACROSS THE NORTH THROUGH THE NIGHT.

THEN ON SUNDAY THE BETTER SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL ALLOW A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. THIS WILL RESULT IN A
SOME THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THESE STORMS WILL FAVOR THE SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS...WHERE THE FIRST
DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ON SUN ARE
EXPECTED TO BE HIGH-BASED AND WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC WIND
GUSTS...BUT LITTLE THAT RAIN. ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING WILL BE
POSSIBLE. SEE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION BELOW. IN
ADDITION...SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS
NORTHEAST UT AND NORTHWEST CO...ALBEIT A LITTLE WEAKER THAN
TODAY'S. THE LITTLE BETTER CLOUD COVER SHOULD SHAVE OFF A COUPLE
DEGREES FROM DAYTIME TEMPERATURES.

THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD PEAK DURING THE EARLY EVENING PERIOD AS
MOISTURE SLOWLY INCREASES...AND BEFORE THE EVENING COOLING GETS
ESTABLISHED. HOWEVER THIS PEAK IN ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
ISOLATED FOR MOST OF THE AREA. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WITH
INTERACTING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MAY KEEP A FEW STORMS POPPING UP
UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT.

THE INCREASED MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER INCREASE IN LOW
TEMPERATURES SUN NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 410 PM MDT Sat Jul 16 2016

MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH THE
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING AS WELL. AND WITH TIME...THESE
STORMS WILL BECOME LESS DRY WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN
EACH DAY. THEN LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED IN THE LARGE SCALE
PATTERN THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT IN INDICATING THIS WILL BE A WEAK TO MODERATE
MONSOONAL SURGE. BUT MOST OF THE AREA SHOULD RECEIVE SOME
RAINFALL. LATER IN THE WEEK MODELS HAVE HINTED THAT THE MOISTURE
TONGUE MAY SHIFT WESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN FOR A
TIME...BUT THERE HAS BEEN DIFFERENCES IN THIS THINKING. SO
CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH.

LOOK FOR LESS OF A DIURNAL SPREAD IN TEMPERATURES DUE TO MORE
MOISTURE/CLOUDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A LITTLE COOLER...OR
NOT AS HOT...AND LOWS WILL BE WARMER.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 500 PM MDT Sat Jul 16 2016

VFR conditions expected thru the period. Moderately gusty
southwesterly winds can be expected this afternoon...diminishing
aft 02Z. SCT-BKN mid to high level ceilings across northeast Utah
and northwest CO and some cumulus build-ups over the central CO
mtns and San Juan Mtns. Areas of gusty winds to about 35 mph over
northwest CO until about 02z.

Sunday afternoon isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected
over all ridges, producing gusty outflows but little rain.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 410 PM MDT Sat Jul 16 2016

HOT AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO OUR
SOUTH AND A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST. THE COMBINATION OF WIND...HEAT...DRY FUELS AND LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDIY WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS. THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO AND MOST OF EASTERN UTAH UNTIL 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING.

THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST OVERNIGHT AS THE PACIFIC
TROUGH STRETCHES ALONG THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL ALLOW A MORE
SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE REGION WHICH WITH TIME WILL BRING AN
INFLUX OF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. THIS MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO
SLOWLY INCREASE ACROSS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE AREA ON
SUNDAY LEADING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR THE FIRST THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
A PROLONGED HOT AND DRY PERIOD. DRY LIGHTNING FROM DEVELOPING
STORMS IS THE MAIN CONCERN. IN ADDITION GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
AGAIN DEVELOP OVER EAST-CENTRAL UTAH AND NORTHWEST COLORADO IN THE
AFTERNOON. ERRATIC THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS MAY ALSO DEVELOP IN
MANY LOCATIONS AREA-WIDE LATE IN DAY AND MAY PERSIST UNTIL AROUND
MIDNIGHT.

MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR A BETTER
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND OF WETTING RAINS.

&&

.GJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
CO...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for COZ200>203-205-
     207-290>295.

     Red Flag Warning from noon Sunday to midnight MDT Sunday night
     for COZ200-202-203-205-207-290>295.

UT...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for UTZ486-487-490-
     491.

     Red Flag Warning from noon Sunday to midnight MDT Sunday night
     for UTZ487-490-491.

&&

SHORT TERM...EH
LONG TERM...EH
AVIATION...CC
FIRE WEATHER...EH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 5:02 AM MDT, 13 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
502 AM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-171115-
LOWER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-CENTRAL YAMPA RIVER BASIN-
ROAN AND TAVAPUTS PLATEAUS-ELKHEAD AND PARK MOUNTAINS-
UPPER YAMPA RIVER BASIN-GRAND VALLEY-DEBEQUE TO SILT CORRIDOR-
CENTRAL COLORADO RIVER BASIN-GRAND AND BATTLEMENT MESAS-
GORE AND ELK MOUNTAINS/CENTRAL MOUNTAIN VALLEYS-
CENTRAL GUNNISON AND UNCOMPAHGRE RIVER BASIN-
WEST ELK AND SAWATCH MOUNTAINS-FLAT TOPS-
UPPER GUNNISON RIVER VALLEY-UNCOMPAHGRE PLATEAU AND DALLAS DIVIDE-
NORTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-
PARADOX VALLEY/LOWER DOLORES RIVER-
FOUR CORNERS/UPPER DOLORES RIVER-ANIMAS RIVER BASIN-
SAN JUAN RIVER BASIN-SOUTHEAST UTAH-EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN UINTA BASIN-TAVAPUTS PLATEAU-ARCHES/GRAND FLAT-
LA SAL AND ABAJO MOUNTAINS-CANYONLANDS/NATURAL BRIDGES-
502 AM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS COMBINE WITH HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS TO
ELEVATE FIRE DANGER ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN UTAH AND WESTERN
COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. MEANWHILE...EXPECT
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SAN JUAN...PARK AND ELKHEAD
MOUNTAINS IN COLORADO AND THE EASTERN UINTA MOUNTAINS IN NORTHEAST
UTAH IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SUNDAY...BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING ELEVATED FIRE DANGER
TO EAST-CENTRAL UTAH AND NORTHWEST COLORADO. MEANWHILE...WIDELY
SCATTERED AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS ARE POSSIBLE. THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE HIGH BASED PRODUCING
STRONG GUSTS WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WITH LITTLE RAIN.
CONSEQUENTLY...THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY OF FIRE STARTS FROM
LIGHTNING.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A SURGE OF MONSOON MOISTURE WILL BRING
INCREASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT THE COMING WEEK. INITIALLY...STORMS WILL
BE HIGH BASED AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DRY LIGHTNING WHICH IS A
FIRE DANGER GIVEN DRY VEGETATION OVER MUCH OF THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 16, 2:03 PM MDT, 4 hours 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
203 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SW SWAMP ANGEL        37.88N 107.74W
07/16/2016  M51 MPH          SAN JUAN           CO   MESONET

            WIND GUST MEASURED AT THE EAGLE SENSOR NEAR RED
            MOUNTAIN PASS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1600744

DC
Local storm report, Jul 16, 4:57 PM MDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
457 PM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0423 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ESE CRAIG             40.51N 107.53W
07/16/2016  M45 MPH          MOFFAT             CO   ASOS

            GUST MEASURED AT THE CRAIG AIRPORT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1600745

DC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Junction, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 12:12 PM MDTFire Weather WatchGJTArchuleta, Delta, Dolores, Eagle, Garfield, Gunnison and 9 more10 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2016Red Flag Warnings in Utah, 2016Every red flag warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.