Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Hastings, NE

615 
WWUS53 KGID 102242
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
542 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

NEC093-102251-
/O.CAN.KGID.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-160510T2315Z/
HOWARD NE-
542 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOWARD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4112 9788 4109 9795 4109 9798 4101 9809
      4095 9833 4105 9839 4105 9829 4125 9828
      4126 9826 4126 9810 4128 9810 4128 9806
      4129 9805 4129 9790 4131 9789 4118 9782
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 258DEG 18KT 4106 9822 

$$

NEC079-121-102315-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-160510T2315Z/
HALL NE-MERRICK NE-
542 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN HALL AND MERRICK COUNTIES...

AT 541 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CHAPMAN...OR 12
MILES NORTHEAST OF GRAND ISLAND...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CENTRAL CITY...AND CHAPMAN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4112 9788 4109 9795 4109 9798 4101 9809
      4095 9833 4105 9839 4105 9829 4125 9828
      4126 9826 4126 9810 4128 9810 4128 9806
      4129 9805 4129 9790 4131 9789 4118 9782
TIME...MOT...LOC 2241Z 258DEG 18KT 4106 9822 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

WESELY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
310 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM IS THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND BEHIND THE
FRONT THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HIGH-RESOLUTION GUIDANCE HAS
BEEN CONSISTENT IN THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EVENING. AS OF 19Z (2PM) SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED SIMILAR TO GUIDANCE. THE FRONT IS ROUGHLY EAST OF BROKEN
BOW SOUTH TO MCCOOK. WITH THIS...EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES EASTWARD. THIS WILL IMPACT
THE WHOLE AREA. SHEAR IS ADEQUATE...BUT INSTABILITY IS
STRUGGLING BETWEEN 500-1500 J/KG...HOWEVER PLENTIFUL SUNSHINE AND
HIGHER THAN EXPECTED DEW POINTS ARE PROVIDING SLIGHTLY HIGHER
INSTABILITY THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGH. THINK AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES
EASTWARD INSTABILITY MAY INCREASE SLIGHTLY INTO THE EVENING HOURS
THEN OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH ELEVATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT.
DURING THE EVENING THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS. MAINLY ANYTIME AFTER 3PM THROUGH JUST AFTER SUNSET.
SEVERE STORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL UP TO
PING-PONG BALL SIZE.

THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH INTO THE LATE EVENING
AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE THREAT TRANSITIONS TO
FLOODING. SHOWERS WITH SCATTERED THUNDER ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
IMPACTING MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. A
PORTION OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS COULD SEE SOME STRONGER STORMS AS
MOISTURE TRANSPORT INCREASES IN THE MIDDLE OF THE NIGHT...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS NOT AS HIGH ON THIS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 1-2
INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WITH SOME AREAS
GETTING HIGHER AMOUNTS AND SOME AREAS LESS.

THESE SHOWERS/STORMS ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING ESPECIALLY OVER EASTERN AREAS AS THE UPPER WAVE
ENCROACHES ON THE AREA. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO PUSH
EAST...OUT OF THE AREA BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.

HIGHS WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER BEHIND THE COOL FRONT FOR WEDNESDAY.
HIGHS IN THE 60S ARE EXPECTED. THIS IS SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN
SEASONAL NORMS FOR EARLY/MID MAY.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

ALOFT: ONE LAST SHORTWAVE TROF WILL MOVE THRU THU THEN A PATTERN
CHANGE WILL BE COMPLETE...WITH SVRL DAYS OF NW FLOW. THE CLOSED LOW
CURRENTLY STALLED BETWEEN AK/HI WILL MOVE TO THE W COAST SAT AND
OPEN UP INTO A TROF AND BROADEN OVER THE WRN USA SUN-MON. IT WILL
PROBABLY HAVE MULTIPLE WEAKER EMBEDDED VORT MAXIMA THAT SHOULD BEGIN
TO EJECT ONTO THE PLAINS TUE.

SURFACE: CANADIAN HIGH PRES WILL SLIDE SE ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS
THU. A STRONG CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL PLUNGE S CROSSING THE FCST
AREA FRI FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRES SAT. ANOTHER COOL FRONT WILL SLIP
THRU SAT...PART OF A CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM DIVING INTO THE GREAT
LAKES...BUT THE CORE OF THE COOLER AIR WILL MISS TO THE E. A NEW
HIGH BUILDS OVER MUCH OF THE NRN USA MON-TUE.

GIVEN IMPENDING WX...AM FOREGOING A MORE DETAILED DSCN. BOTTOM LINE
IS BELOW NORMAL TEMPS SAT-MON. THE MODELS/POPS SEEM WAYYYY OVERDONE
WITH NO INSTABILITY AND NO FORCING. SO POPS WERE DRASTICALLY CUT IN
COORD WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1244 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

THE MAIN AVIATION FORECAST CONCERNS ARE THE COOL FRONT MOVING
THROUGH WITH ITS ASSOCIATED WIND SHIFT AND STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
THAT WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND PERSIST BEHIND IT. CLOUDS
WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG THE FRONT AFTER 22Z BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD AFTER 00-03Z.
THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT INSTABILITY WILL WANE...TRANSITIONING MORE
TO RAIN VS. THUNDERSTORMS. FLIGHT CONDITIONS COULD DROP TO MVFR
AND EVEN IFR FOR PERIODS IN THE HEAVIER RAINFALL. HAVE KEPT THESE
CONDITIONS OUT AT THIS TIME UNTIL CONFIDENCE INCREASES ON TIMING.

WINDS WILL SWITCH FROM THE SOUTH TO THE WEST AND EVENTUALLY THE
NORTH AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. WINDS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO BE
OVERLY STRONG WITH THE WINDS SWITCH.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...BILLINGS WRIGHT
LONG TERM...HALBLAUB
AVIATION...BILLINGS WRIGHT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
315 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
112015-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
315 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY AFTER 3 PM...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS MOST OF
THE OUTLOOK AREA TOWARDS THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME STORMS COULD BE
STRONG TO SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH HAIL UP TO
AROUND PING PONG BALL SIZE AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH THE
PRIMARY THREATS.

IN ADDITION...PARTS OF THE AREA WILL SEE APPRECIABLE RAINFALL
TONIGHT...WITH TOTALS OF AT LEAST 1 TO 2 INCHES LIKELY IN SEVERAL
COUNTIES...AND LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS COULD
RESULT IN SHORT-TERM FLOODING ISSUES OF LOW-LYING AREAS AND SMALL
STREAMS...ESPECIALLY IF HEAVIER RAIN TARGETS AREAS THAT HAVE
ALREADY RECEIVED OVER 2 INCHES THIS WEEK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

WEDNESDAY MORNING...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ACROSS
MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...AND COULD POSSIBLY LINGER INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 14. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED AFTER SUNRISE WEDNESDAY...BUT SMALL HAIL CANNOT BE
RULED OUT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON AT LEAST A LIMITED BASIS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS

JDH/BILLINGS WRIGHT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
400 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

NEZ061-102130-
BUFFALO NE-
400 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BUFFALO COUNTY UNTIL
430 PM CDT...

AT 400 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTHEAST OF PLEASANTON...OR 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF KEARNEY...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RAVENNA.

LAT...LON 4092 9872 4077 9895 4090 9912 4105 9896
      4105 9872
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 223DEG 25KT 4090 9897

BILLINGS WRIGHT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
501 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

NEZ047-048-062-102230-
HOWARD NE-MERRICK NE-HALL NE-
501 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOWARD...
NORTHEASTERN HALL AND WEST CENTRAL MERRICK COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM
CDT...

AT 459 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ST. LIBORY...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF GRAND ISLAND...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ST. LIBORY.

LAT...LON 4126 9815 4106 9802 4105 9804 4104 9805
      4103 9807 4102 9808 4100 9811 4100 9812
      4099 9814 4090 9851 4107 9860 4127 9816
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 246DEG 27KT 4102 9847

WESELY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
513 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

NEZ082-102245-
FURNAS NE-
513 PM CDT TUE MAY 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN FURNAS COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM CDT...

AT 513 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTHEAST OF HENDLEY...OR 36 MILES NORTHWEST OF PHILLIPSBURG...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BEAVER CITY AND HOLLINGER.

LAT...LON 4026 9963 4000 9963 4000 10000 4008 10004
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 246DEG 26KT 4003 9990

WESELY