Severe Thunderstorm Warning 290, NWS Hastings, NE

425 
WWUS53 KGID 060230
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
930 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

NEC047-073-060300-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0290.000000T0000Z-160906T0300Z/
DAWSON NE-GOSPER NE-
930 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL DAWSON AND NORTHEASTERN GOSPER COUNTIES...

AT 929 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER ELWOOD...OR 12
MILES SOUTHWEST OF LEXINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELWOOD...SMITHFIELD AND JOHNSON LAKE. 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 228 AND 243.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4077 9998 4089 9972 4076 9965 4068 9964
      4051 9964 4050 9998 4070 9998 4070 10005
      4071 10005
TIME...MOT...LOC 0229Z 257DEG 39KT 4063 9987 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

WESELY

555 
WWUS53 KGID 060236
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
936 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

NEC047-073-060300-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0290.000000T0000Z-160906T0300Z/
DAWSON NE-GOSPER NE-
936 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL DAWSON AND NORTHEASTERN GOSPER COUNTIES...

AT 935 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER ELWOOD...OR 12
MILES SOUTHWEST OF LEXINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
         WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELWOOD...SMITHFIELD AND JOHNSON LAKE. 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 228 AND 243.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

THIS THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ALL TYPES OF SEVERE
WEATHER INCLUDING EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL...DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS AND TORNADOES. MOVE QUICKLY TO A SAFE SHELTER...SUCH AS AN
INTERIOR ROOM... A BATHROOM OR CLOSET OR BASEMENT.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4077 9998 4089 9972 4076 9965 4068 9964
      4051 9964 4050 9998 4070 9998 4070 10005
      4071 10005
TIME...MOT...LOC 0235Z 249DEG 25KT 4061 9984 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

WESELY

900 
WWUS53 KGID 060251
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
951 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

NEC047-073-060300-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0290.000000T0000Z-160906T0300Z/
DAWSON NE-GOSPER NE-
951 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL DAWSON AND NORTHEASTERN GOSPER COUNTIES...

AT 950 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
SMITHFIELD...OR 8 MILES SOUTH OF LEXINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SMITHFIELD. 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 236 AND 243.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4073 9989 4077 9967 4076 9965 4068 9964
      4051 9964 4050 9983 4072 9993
TIME...MOT...LOC 0250Z 248DEG 26KT 4066 9973 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

WESELY

603 
WWUS53 KGID 060258
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
958 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

NEC047-073-060308-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0290.000000T0000Z-160906T0300Z/
DAWSON NE-GOSPER NE-
958 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL DAWSON AND
NORTHEASTERN GOSPER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1000 PM CDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS. THEREFORE...THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER
SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4073 9989 4077 9967 4076 9965 4068 9964
      4051 9964 4050 9983 4072 9993
TIME...MOT...LOC 0256Z 243DEG 32KT 4066 9973 

$$

WESELY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
642 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 632 PM CDT Mon Sep 5 2016

Thunderstorms have formed in the McCook area and will track
northeast into Furnas/Gosper/Dawson counties over the next few
hours. Some of these thunderstorms could be severe.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 354 PM CDT Mon Sep 5 2016

Southwesterly flow aloft continues through the short term period.
With most of the upper level energy farther north across the
Northern Great Plains, chances for rainfall are not great across the
forecast area the next 24 hours. That being said, there is a small
chance for thunderstorms to develop across portions of the outlook
area tonight, mainly after 7 pm and will likely be scattered and
isolated with only a few counties receiving any appreciable
rainfall. Not a good chance but nevertheless a chance. Most unstable
CAPE values tonight are going to range around a couple thousand J/kg
(NAM is closer to 3000), but this is really the best parameter we
have to work with. Forcing is weak, there is a mid-level cap in
place, and overall mid-level lapse rates are not impressive at all.
However, if thunderstorms develop there is enough CAPE and shear to
support some storms capable of strong to marginally severe criteria.
Some of these storms could produce large hail and wind gusts around
60 mph. The stronger storms should be between 7pm and 11 pm,
coming to an end and northeast of our area by 1 am for any storms
that do develop.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 354 PM CDT Mon Sep 5 2016

Tuesday night is our best chance at receiving some appreciable
rainfall across portions of the forecast area. With upwards near
3000 J/kg of most unstable CAPE around Tuesday during the day then
around two thousand at night. Bulk shear around 25 to 35 knots and a
stalled out boundary in the area, we could potential have a set up
for decent rainfall in some areas. Sounding climatology between LBF
and OAX averages almost an inch for this time of year, and both the
NAM and GFS are indicating precipitable water values between 1.50
inches and around 1.90 inches roughly, which would be well into
daily max territory. All of this would indicate the chance for
decent rainfall for those areas that do get thunderstorms to develop
between Tuesday and Wednesday (mainly east of highway 281).

Otherwise, there are multiple chances for thunderstorms through the
week except for this weekend. Friday night through Sunday night
appears to be dry at this time. There are severe weather chances
each day through at least Wednesday night.

Temperatures in the extended are currently looking to be close to
normal or perhaps even below normal for this time of year. Tuesday
and Wednesday are the only days forecast to be noticeable above
normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 632 PM CDT Mon Sep 5 2016

Will have to watch the thunderstorms off to the west of KEAR and
KGRI this evening. At this time it appears that these
thunderstorms will more than likely remain west of these
terminals. Strong low level wind shear will again be a concern
tonight. VFR conditions will prevail during the day on Tuesday.

&&

.GID Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

UPDATE...Wesely
SHORT TERM...Guerrero
LONG TERM...Guerrero
AVIATION...Wesely

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
336 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
062045-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
336 PM CDT MON SEP 5 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY AFTER 7 PM
NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM OSBORNE KANSAS TO YORK NEBRASKA. LARGE
HAIL AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP.

EXTENSIVE RIVER FLOODING IS ON-GOING OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS...WITH MANY CREEKS OUT OF THEIR BANKS AS WELL.
PLEASE REFER TO THE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

FLOODING OF RIVERS AND CREEKS WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...BUT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH
UNLESS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OCCURS. PLEASE REFER TO THE FLOOD
WARNINGS FOR DETAILED INFORMATION.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT VARIOUS TIMES AND
LOCATIONS TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK THAT
SOME STORMS COULD BE SEVERE LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT FOR
MOST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...AND THEN EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS
AND DAMAGING WINDS AROUND 60 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

GUERRERO