Severe Thunderstorm Warning 286, NWS Hastings, NE

427 
WWUS53 KGID 232350
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
650 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

NEC081-185-240015-
/O.CON.KGID.SV.W.0286.000000T0000Z-160824T0015Z/
HAMILTON NE-YORK NE-
650 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON AND SOUTHWESTERN YORK COUNTIES...

AT 648 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH
OF HAMPTON...OR 16 MILES WEST OF YORK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HENDERSON AND BRADSHAW. 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 335 AND 350.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4074 9781 4076 9795 4080 9797 4086 9790
      4095 9773 4077 9762
TIME...MOT...LOC 2348Z 233DEG 10KT 4081 9791 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

WESELY

302 
WWUS53 KGID 240011
SVSGID

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
711 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

NEC081-185-240020-
/O.EXP.KGID.SV.W.0286.000000T0000Z-160824T0015Z/
HAMILTON NE-YORK NE-
711 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON AND
SOUTHWESTERN YORK COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4074 9781 4076 9795 4080 9797 4086 9790
      4095 9773 4077 9762
TIME...MOT...LOC 0009Z 230DEG 12KT 4081 9791 

$$

WESELY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
630 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2016

We have a small window late this afternoon into the evening where
we stand the slight chance of a shower/thunderstorm. Taking a look
at the cumulus field currently, it will take another couple of
hours before we have much of a chance of thunderstorm development,
as vertical extend is limited. Latest meso-analysis indicates that
we have plenty of CAPE in our eastern CWA (more than 4000 J/kg)
and loss of, or in the process of losing convective inhibition.
Wind shear is weak, however. The time window is limited as we will
enter a region of subsidence in between two waves, as the cumulus
field we currently have is associated with the departing first
wave within southwest flow.

By overnight, short-wave ridging aloft should preclude
precipitation, despite a cold front that will be cutting through
the CWA. This front will give us quite a range of dewpoints by
early Wednesday morning, with near 50 expected in our northwest to
mid 60s in our southeast, ahead of the cold front. The next
shortwave trough will arrive Sunday, and with generous MUCAPE, I
expect a good chance of precipitation to occur north of the front
as it stalls somewhere near the state line. By afternoon, we
should have sufficient instability and shear to be aware of severe
potential as well. Any severe weather would mainly be in the
afternoon and evening. The location of severe weather will be
highly dependent on where, when, and if the front stalls. We also
have the potential for some heavy rain with some cells. Expect
slightly cooler than normal temperatures north of the front as sky
cover along with airmass change will make it seem a bit more like
fall.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 345 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2016

More chances of rain are on the way as we receive multiple waves
of energy are still expected. A slow warming trend will occur as
temperatures eventually rebound to near normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Tue Aug 23 2016

Besides a brief period of thunderstorms close to the terminal
which may bring cloud bases below 10,000 ft, expect VFR conditions
at the terminals throughout the valid TAF period. The
thunderstorms and the lower cloud bases should not bring
conditions to MVFR, but it may be close. Otherwise, the wind will
shift to from the north with relatively light speeds overnight.
Wind speeds pick back up from the north late tomorrow
morning/afternoon to around 12 knots. Tomorrow afternoon there
will be a chance for thunderstorms which will bring conditions to
MVFR, if not worse. Since this is still far out, will not mention
this in the current TAF. Look for subsequent TAFs to address these
thunderstorms chances to finer detail.

&&

.GID Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Heinlein
LONG TERM...Heinlein
AVIATION...Guerrero

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
333 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
241200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
333 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS SLIGHT CHANCE OF LATE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS FOR AREAS
GENERALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 IN SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND FOR
MUCH OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. BETWEEN 7 PM TO AROUND
MIDNIGHT...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM OSCEOLA NEBRASKA TO STOCKTON KANSAS. THIS
AREA DOES NOT INCLUDE THE TRI-CITIES. THERE IS SOME RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER IF STORMS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH PING
PONG BALL SIZE HAIL...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...AND
BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL THAT COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

AT LEAST SMALL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES EXIST WITHIN ALL...OR AT
LEAST SOME PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...DURING EACH DAY AND NIGHT
FORECAST PERIOD. SOME OF THE OVERALL HIGHEST THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
ARE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

FOCUSING ON SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL...AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM PHILLIPSBURG KANSAS TO YORK
NEBRASKA STAND AT LEAST A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
MAINLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE QUARTER SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 60
MPH...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

BEYOND WEDNESDAY...IT IS TOO SOON TO CONFIDENTLY ASSESS ANY SEVERE
STORM POTENTIAL THAT MIGHT EXIST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ON AT LEAST AN ISOLATED BASIS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...PRIMARILY EASTERN AND SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

HEINLEIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
424 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

KSZ019-232200-
MITCHELL KS-
424 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN MITCHELL COUNTY UNTIL 500
PM CDT...

AT 424 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES NORTHEAST OF VICTOR...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF BELOIT...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ASHERVILLE...SIMPSON AND SCOTTSVILLE.

LAT...LON 3929 9829 3957 9811 3957 9793 3926 9793
      3922 9796 3922 9809
TIME...MOT...LOC 2124Z 211DEG 26KT 3932 9814

WESELY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
521 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

KSZ019-232245-
MITCHELL KS-
521 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MITCHELL COUNTY
UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

AT 520 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR SIMPSON...OR 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BELOIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
25 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ASHERVILLE AND SIMPSON.

LAT...LON 3931 9813 3952 9793 3922 9793 3922 9804
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 222DEG 20KT 3931 9798

WESELY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
544 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

NEZ075-076-085-086-232315-
CLAY NE-WEBSTER NE-ADAMS NE-NUCKOLLS NE-
544 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN NUCKOLLS...
SOUTHWESTERN CLAY...NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER AND SOUTHEASTERN ADAMS
COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

AT 543 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR ROSEMONT...OR 16 MILES SOUTH OF HASTINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EDGAR...FAIRFIELD...AND...DEWEESE.

LAT...LON 4022 9835 4038 9848 4060 9815 4037 9795
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 236DEG 19KT 4035 9834

WESELY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
600 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

NEZ063-076-232330-
CLAY NE-HAMILTON NE-
600 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN CLAY AND
SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

AT 559 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
STOCKHAM...OR 19 MILES NORTHEAST OF HASTINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
STOCKHAM.

LAT...LON 4063 9809 4073 9820 4093 9786 4090 9783
      4069 9783
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 236DEG 19KT 4070 9806

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