Flash Flood Warning 22, NWS Hastings, NE

214 
WGUS73 KGID 290817
FFSGID

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
317 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

NEC001-181-291145-
/O.CON.KGID.FF.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160829T1145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEBSTER NE-ADAMS NE-
317 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 AM CDT FOR
NORTHERN WEBSTER AND SOUTHERN ADAMS COUNTIES...

AT 315 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED 3 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
FALLEN IN SOUTHERN ADAMS AND NORTHERN WEBSTER COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL OF ONE HALF OF AN INCH IS POSSIBLE BY MORNING. COUNTY
OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT WATER WAS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 281
NEAR AYR.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BLUE HILL...BLADEN...ROSELAND...HOLSTEIN...AYR AND ROSEMONT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4050 9829 4024 9828 4019 9871 4047 9872
      4052 9854

$$

FAY

080 
WGUS73 KGID 291102
FFSGID

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
602 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

NEC001-181-291107-
/O.CAN.KGID.FF.W.0022.000000T0000Z-160829T1145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WEBSTER NE-ADAMS NE-
602 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN WEBSTER AND SOUTHERN ADAMS
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING IS
NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A THREAT. THIS WARNING IS BEING REPLACED
BY AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 1145 AM CDT...AS RUNOFF WILL RESULT
IN ELEVATED WATER LEVELS. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY REMAINING ROAD
CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 4050 9829 4024 9828 4019 9871 4047 9872
      4052 9854

$$

ADP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1231 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2016

Rain chances remain the challenging issue for the forecast area.
In general...confidence is low even in the short term. Weak upper
wave on visible satellite looks decent...but has done little to
produce more than sprinkles. Greater coverage of storms in short
term is across areas of more instability to our east/south. More
than one model...HRRR/RAP/NAM...suggest redevelopment overnight
tonight with this system. NSSL WRF has nothing developing. Have
kept 30%-ish type rain chanced late tonight. Several models
suggest late Monday afternoon will bring a rise in shower and
storm coverage...similar to what is occur our south/east this
afternoon. There may some weak support aloft in the weakish
southwest upper level flow as well. Temperatures will be dependent
upon cloud cover...but have opted a bit above guidance in general.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 218 PM CDT Sun Aug 28 2016

This period remains an elusive moving target as we have seen in
recent days. In general...there appears to a bit better...if you
want to call it that...rain chances in the mid week time frame as
opposed to the end of the week.

The region is initially influence by a weak southwest flow around
an upper level high pressure near Arkansas. We may also see
some remnants of an upper level low in the 4-corners regain
meander East as it dissipates. The combination of the two warrant
the slightly higher precipitation chances Tuesday and Wednesday,
although it seems there is no solid feature to latch onto other
than whatever late afternoon heating we have. Should note mid
level lapse rates are sub 6 degrees/KM and not conducive to
severe weather or even a lot of thunderstorm coverage. Have opted
for isolated nature of storms with any rain chances.

Best guess for now for Thursday/Friday is a weak upper ridge will
migrate across the Central Plains and thus lowering our rain
risk while bumping temperatures up a bit by Saturday. There has
been some long term consistency with a frontal boundary starting
to influence the region Labor Day weekend so precipitation chances
may sneak up a bit.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1226 AM CDT Mon Aug 29 2016

Main concern for the tafs is the potential for convection which
has already developed near the terminals and activity looks hit or
miss through the next 24 hours. Cloud cover is expected to be
prevalent primarily at mvfr or vfr levels.

&&

.GID Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...NOAA/NWS/Moritz
LONG TERM...NOAA/NWS/Moritz
AVIATION...Fay

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
244 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
291200-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
244 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SMALL CHANCES FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST
FOR TONIGHT. WHILE A STRONG STORM MAY OCCUR...SEVERE WEATHER
IS GENERALLY NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THERE IS AT LEAST SOME RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR NEARLY ALL
PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH
MOST OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. AT ANY ONE SPOT...CHANCES ARE FAIRLY
LOW...BUT CAN'T BE RULED OUT. SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBILITIES REMAIN
LOW AS WELL...THANKS TO LIMITED WIND SHEAR...LIMITED INSTABILITY
AND THE LACK OF A FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR DEVELOPMENT. SHOULD
STORMS DEVELOP...THE FAVORED TIME IS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

THE OVERALL THUNDERSTORM CHANCE DOES DIMINISH THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
823 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016

NEZ061-290215-
BUFFALO NE-
823 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL BUFFALO COUNTY
UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

AT 822 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
PLEASANTON...OR 13 MILES NORTH OF KEARNEY...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PLEASANTON AND POOLE.

LAT...LON 4082 9892 4079 9923 4105 9929 4105 9894
TIME...MOT...LOC 0122Z 172DEG 13KT 4089 9909

HEINLEIN