Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Fort Worth, TX

917 
WWUS54 KFWD 240622
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
122 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

TXC213-240632-
/O.EXP.KFWD.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-160324T0630Z/
HENDERSON TX-
122 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HENDERSON COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 130 AM CDT...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND HAVE EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL
BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3201 9605 3203 9606 3208 9606 3208 9608
      3216 9611 3236 9594 3236 9552 3234 9545
      3229 9545 3223 9549 3220 9546 3218 9546
      3215 9548 3214 9546 3211 9546 3208 9543
TIME...MOT...LOC 0619Z 294DEG 35KT 3235 9575 3202 9606 

$$

92

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1213 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

.AVIATION...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS PRECEDING A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM PRX
SOUTHWEST TO LZZ. STORMS HAVE ALREADY CLEARED THE DFW AREA TAF
SITES...BUT WILL AFFECT KACT DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THE ACTUAL
COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS TO THE METROPLEX
DURING THE NEXT HOUR AND TO THE WACO AREA AROUND 09Z. SURFACE
WINDS WILL REMAIN NORTHWEST AND GUSTY THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...FINALLY DROPPING BELOW 10 KT AROUND 25/00Z.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 347 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016/
FOR THE REMAINDER OF TODAY AND TONIGHT...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
ARE EXPECTED FROM THE UPDATE ISSUED AROUND MIDDAY AND HAVE
APPENDED THE UPDATE DISCUSSION BELOW FOR REFERENCE. BOTH THE RED
FLAG WARNING AND WIND ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT TROUGH 7 PM
CDT EVEN THOUGH MANY SITES ARE NOT CONSISTENTLY MEETING CRITERIA.
THE THREAT FOR FIRES AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING HOURS.

WE CONTINUE TO TRACK THE LOCATION OF THE DRYLINE...VISIBLE ON
AREA RADARS...WHICH AT 3 PM WAS LOCATED NEAR A LINE FROM OKLAHOMA
CITY TO GRAHAM TO FORT STOCKTON. SOME CUMULUS CLOUDS HAVE BEEN
DEVELOPING ALONG THE DRYLINE FROM OLNEY/GRAHAM TO ABILENE BUT
THERE IS LITTLE VERTICAL EXTENT TO THESE CLOUDS AND NO CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. ACARS SOUNDINGS AT KDFW AIRPORT INDICATE THE CAP HAS
WEAKENED BUT IS STILL IN PLACE. HOWEVER...BY 22-23Z...THE HRRR
CONTINUES TO DEVELOP CONVECTION NEAR THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND RAPIDLY
INCREASES THE INTENSITY OF THESE STORMS WHICH WOULD BE EXPECTED
GIVEN THE UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT AND SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS
IF THE CAP CAN BE WEAKENED/ERODED.

THE COLD FRONT CAN ALSO BE TRACKED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
AND AREA RADARS SWEEPING DOWN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND WESTERN
OKLAHOMA. AS THE FRONT OVERTAKES THE DRYLINE IN OUR AREA THIS
EVENING AND LARGE SCALE LIFT INCREASES AS THE BASE OF THE UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THIS FRONT/DRYLINE INTERACTION AND
POSSIBLY THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE DRYLINE. AT FIRST...THESE
STORMS MAY FORM A BROKEN LINE BUT ARE EXPECTED TO CONGEAL INTO A
MORE SOLID LINE AS THE FRONT PROGRESSES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
AREA. BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY MORNING...THE STORMS SHOULD HAVE EXITED
THE AREA LEAVING COOL AND BREEZY CONDITIONS IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT.

THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING WILL BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES. FOR THE STORMS ALONG THE FRONT LATER...INITIAL
THREATS WILL ALSO BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES. HOWEVER...AS THE STORMS CONGEAL INTO A LINE...THE MAIN
THREAT MAY BECOME DAMAGING WINDS...BUT THERE WILL STILL BE A LOWER
THREAT FOR HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES GIVEN THE SHEAR VALUES
AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S BUT
IT WILL FEEL COOLER THAN THAT WITH BREEZY NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20
MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. BROAD TROUGHING IN THE MID LEVELS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CONTINUE BUT WEAK RIDGING FROM THE SURFACE TO
H700 AND A RETURN OF SOUTH WINDS FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN WARMING
TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ARE EXPECTED
TO BE PLEASANT...SUNNY...AND DRY BUT IT WILL BE A LITTLE BREEZY IN
SOME AREAS WITH WINDS OF 10-15 MPH AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER GUSTS.

ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
AND ACROSS THE PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT SENDING ANOTHER COLD FRONT
INTO NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS ON SUNDAY. THERE ARE TIMING
DIFFERENCES WITH THE FRONT BUT THE LATEST TRACK HAS IT MOVING
THROUGH THE REGION LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. THERE
MAY BE SOME WEAK INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE FRONT FOR A FEW STRONG
STORMS BUT CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS LOW AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE INSTABILITY AND TIMING LEADING UP TO THIS NEXT SYSTEM.
SUNDAY WILL BE A COOL DAY FOR MOST WITH TEMPERATURES DEPENDING ON
THE TIMING OF THE FRONT.

EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL BE DRY WITH INCREASING TEMPERATURES BUT
ANOTHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM MAY DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN CONUS
BY MIDWEEK BRINGING ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES BY MID TO LATE WEEK.

JLDUNN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  44  72  52  75  56 /   0   0   5  10  30
WACO, TX              40  72  49  75  58 /   0   0   5  10  20
PARIS, TX             40  68  47  73  53 /   0   0   5  10  30
DENTON, TX            39  70  50  75  53 /   0   0   5  10  30
MCKINNEY, TX          39  69  49  73  55 /   0   0   5  10  30
DALLAS, TX            44  72  52  75  57 /   0   0   5  10  30
TERRELL, TX           41  70  49  74  56 /   0   0   5  10  20
CORSICANA, TX         43  71  50  75  59 /   0   0   5  10  20
TEMPLE, TX            42  71  49  76  59 /   0   0   5  10  20
MINERAL WELLS, TX     39  73  50  77  51 /   0   0   5  10  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

30/58

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
331 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-241200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
331 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CRITICAL THREAT FOR FIRES ALONG AND WEST OF A
GAINESVILLE TO GLEN ROSE TO GOLDTHWAITE LINE THROUGH 7 PM. THERE
IS ALSO A WIND ADVISORY FOR MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH 7 PM.

ISOLATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG A DRYLINE THIS EVENING BETWEEN
4 AND 8 PM. IF STORMS DEVELOP...THEY WILL LIKELY BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ISOLATED TORNADOS CAN
NOT BE RULED OUT EITHER. A COLD FRONT WILL REACH NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS LATER THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE AFTER 7 PM
AS THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT OVERTAKES THE DRYLINE...AND THE CAP
IN PLACE OVER THE REGION ERODES. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO FORM
ALONG THE COLD FRONT...AND WILL LIKELY IMPACT AREAS EAST OF A
GAINESVILLE TO LAMPASAS LINE. THESE STORMS WILL SUBSEQUENTLY MOVE
ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS OVERNIGHT...EXITING THE
AREA PRIOR TO DAYBREAK THURSDAY.

ANY STORMS THAT FORM LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RETURN SUNDAY AND EARLY MONDAY. AS OF
NOW...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1144 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 PM     HAIL             5 SSE GREENVILLE        33.06N  96.09W
03/23/2016  E0.88 INCH       HUNT               TX   PUBLIC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1153 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016

TXZ156-157-240545-
LAMPASAS TX-CORYELL TX-
1153 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAMPASAS AND
SOUTHWESTERN CORYELL COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 AM CDT...

AT 1153 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR LAMPASAS...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COPPERAS COVE...LAMPASAS AND KEMPNER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT FOR
CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3104 9834 3126 9830 3130 9779 3107 9790
      3106 9791 3104 9792
TIME...MOT...LOC 0453Z 270DEG 27KT 3113 9826

STALLEY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1202 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

TXZ144-145-159-161-240600-
MCLENNAN TX-HILL TX-BOSQUE TX-LIMESTONE TX-
1202 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LIMESTONE...
SOUTHEASTERN BOSQUE...SOUTHERN HILL AND CENTRAL MCLENNAN COUNTIES
UNTIL 100 AM CDT...

AT 1201 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR VALLEY MILLS...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CLIFTON...MOVING EAST AT
55 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WACO...BELLMEAD...LACY-LAKEVIEW...WEST...MART...BEVERLY HILLS...HUBBARD...
VALLEY MILLS...CRAWFORD...HALLSBURG...NORTHCREST...GHOLSON...ABBOTT...
LEROY...MOUNT CALM...ROSS...PENELOPE AND AQUILLA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 332 AND 358.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT FOR
CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3166 9766 3192 9743 3187 9680 3152 9681
      3152 9756
TIME...MOT...LOC 0501Z 272DEG 50KT 3170 9750

STALLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1207 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1037 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MURPHY                  33.02N  96.62W
03/23/2016                   COLLIN             TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            WIND DESTROYED A BARN AND BLEW DEBRIS INTO POWER LINES
            IN MURPHY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1236 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0836 PM     HAIL             4 N WEATHERFORD         32.83N  97.80W
03/23/2016  E1.00 INCH       PARKER             TX   PUBLIC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1239 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1035 PM     HAIL             ALLEN                   33.10N  96.68W
03/23/2016  E1.00 INCH       COLLIN             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            INTERSECTION OF MAIN ST AND SOUTH JUPITER RD