Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Watches in 2016

Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 2, 20165 counties in Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood watch at Aug 2, 2016, 2:55 AM MST for 5 counties in Arizona. It took effect at Aug 2, 2016, 10:00 AM MST. It was in force for 56 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2016, 2:55 AM MST (09:55 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 2, 2016, 10:00 AM MST
Expired
Aug 4, 2016, 6:00 PM MST
In force
56 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Flood severity
None

Counties Apache County, AZ, Coconino County, AZ, Gila County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2016-08-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2016-08-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -3 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1704 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

775 
WGUS65 KFGZ 020955
FFAFGZ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
255 AM MST TUE AUG 2 2016


AZZ011-014-017-022300-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.160802T1700Z-160803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...ST. JOHNS...
SPRINGERVILLE...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP
255 AM MST TUE AUG 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MST THIS MORNING
THROUGH 5 AM MST WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A

* A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS ISSUED FOR NORTHEASTERN
  ARIZONA...INCLUDING APACHE AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NAVAJO
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING: 10 AM MST THROUGH 5 AM MST WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL CREATE
  CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH
  FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA.

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOOD ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$

RB
11 follow-up statements
567 
WGUS65 KFGZ 021454
FFAFGZ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
754 AM MST TUE AUG 2 2016

AZZ011-014-017-030700-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.160802T1700Z-160803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...ST. JOHNS...
SPRINGERVILLE...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP
754 AM MST TUE AUG 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MST THIS MORNING
THROUGH 5 AM MST WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A

* A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WAS ISSUED FOR NORTHEASTERN
  ARIZONA...INCLUDING APACHE AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NAVAJO
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING: 10 AM MST THROUGH 5 AM MST WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL CREATE
  CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH
  FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA.

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOOD ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$
143 
WGUS65 KFGZ 021543
FFAFGZ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
843 AM MST TUE AUG 2 2016

AZZ011-014-017-022345-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.160802T1700Z-160803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...ST. JOHNS...
SPRINGERVILLE...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP
843 AM MST TUE AUG 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM MST THIS MORNING
THROUGH 5 AM MST WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHEAST ARIZONA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU...LITTLE 
  COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY AND WHITE MOUNTAINS. 

* 1000 AM MST THROUGH 5 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL 
  CREATE CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND 
  FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA. 

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING 
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOOD ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$
833 
WGUS65 KFGZ 021706
FFAFGZ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1006 AM MST TUE AUG 2 2016

AZZ011-014-017-030115-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160803T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...ST. JOHNS...
SPRINGERVILLE...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP
1006 AM MST TUE AUG 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 5 AM MST WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHEAST ARIZONA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU...LITTLE 
  COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY AND WHITE MOUNTAINS. 

* THROUGH 5 AM MST WEDNESDAY MORNING

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL 
  CREATE CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND 
  FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA. 

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING 
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOOD ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$
853 
WGUS65 KFGZ 022125
FFAFGZ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
225 PM MST TUE AUG 2 2016

AZZ006>008-012-013-015-016-018-037-038-040-030530-
/O.EXB.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160804T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...
NORTH RIM...VALLE...PRESCOTT...SELIGMAN...ASH FORK...
WUPATKI N.M....TUBA CITY...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
FLAGSTAFF...WILLIAMS...MUNDS PARK...HEBER...HAPPY JACK...
FOREST LAKES...PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG...COTTONWOOD...
CAMP VERDE...CORDES JUNCTION...BAGDAD...SEDONA...DILKON...
KYKOTSMOVI
225 PM MST TUE AUG 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE YAVAPAI COUNTY...NORTHERN GILA
  COUNTY...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL COCONINO COUNTY...SOUTHERN AND
  CENTRAL NAVAJO COUNTY AND MUCH OF APACHE COUNTY.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
  WILL CREATE CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND
  FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA.

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOOD ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$

AZZ011-014-017-030530-
/O.EXT.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160804T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...ST. JOHNS...
SPRINGERVILLE...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP
225 PM MST TUE AUG 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED IN TIME FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHEAST ARIZONA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU...LITTLE 
  COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY AND WHITE MOUNTAINS. 

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
  WILL CREATE CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND
  FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA.

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING 
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOOD ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$
121 
WGUS65 KFGZ 030550
FFAFGZ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1050 PM MST TUE AUG 2 2016

AZZ006>008-011>018-037-038-040-031800-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160804T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...
NORTH RIM...VALLE...PRESCOTT...SELIGMAN...ASH FORK...
WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...WUPATKI N.M....TUBA CITY...WINSLOW...
HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...FLAGSTAFF...
WILLIAMS...MUNDS PARK...HEBER...HAPPY JACK...FOREST LAKES...
SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP...PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG...
COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...CORDES JUNCTION...BAGDAD...SEDONA...
DILKON...KYKOTSMOVI
1050 PM MST TUE AUG 2 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS NORTHERN ARIZONA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...NORTHERN GILA COUNTY...COCONINO PLATEAU...EASTERN
  MOGOLLON RIM...GRAND CANYON COUNTRY AND LITTLE COLORADO RIVER
  VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY...CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE
  PLATEAU...LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY...LITTLE
  COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY...NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND
  MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264...WHITE MOUNTAINS...OAK CREEK AND
  SYCAMORE CANYONS...WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM...YAVAPAI COUNTY
  MOUNTAINS AND YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM 
  WILL CREATE CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN 
  AND FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA. 

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING 
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOOD ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$
333 
WGUS65 KFGZ 031022
FFAFGZ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
322 AM MST WED AUG 3 2016


AZZ006>008-011>018-037-038-040-032300-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160804T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...
NORTH RIM...VALLE...PRESCOTT...SELIGMAN...ASH FORK...
WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...WUPATKI N.M....TUBA CITY...WINSLOW...
HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...FLAGSTAFF...
WILLIAMS...MUNDS PARK...HEBER...HAPPY JACK...FOREST LAKES...
SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP...PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG...
COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...CORDES JUNCTION...BAGDAD...SEDONA...
DILKON...KYKOTSMOVI
322 AM MST WED AUG 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF APACHE, COCONINO, GILA, NAVAJO AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES. 

* TIMING: IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CREATE CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH
  RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA.

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING 
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOOD ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$

RB
228 
WGUS65 KFGZ 031647
FFAFGZ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
947 AM MST WED AUG 3 2016

AZZ004-005-009-010-039-040100-
/O.EXA.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160804T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
BLACK MESA AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACOB LAKE...FREDONIA...PAGE...
LEES FERRY...KEAMS CANYON...KAIBITO...CANYON DE CHELLY...CHINLE...
KAYENTA...NAVAJO N.M.
947 AM MST WED AUG 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA 
  AND NORTHEAST ARIZONA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...KAIBAB PLATEAU AND MARBLE AND GLEN 
  CANYONS. IN NORTHEAST ARIZONA...BLACK MESA AREA...CHINLE 
  VALLEY AND NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CREATE CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH 
  RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA. 

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING 
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOOD ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$

AZZ006>008-011>018-037-038-040-040100-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160804T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...
NORTH RIM...VALLE...PRESCOTT...SELIGMAN...ASH FORK...
WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...WUPATKI N.M....TUBA CITY...WINSLOW...
HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...FLAGSTAFF...
WILLIAMS...MUNDS PARK...HEBER...HAPPY JACK...FOREST LAKES...
SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP...PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG...
COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...CORDES JUNCTION...BAGDAD...SEDONA...
DILKON...KYKOTSMOVI
947 AM MST WED AUG 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* YAVAPAI COUNTY...NORTHERN GILA COUNTY...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
  COCONINO COUNTY...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NAVAJO COUNTY AND MUCH OF
  APACHE COUNTY.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CREATE CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH 
  RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA. 

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING 
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOOD ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$
300 
WGUS65 KFGZ 032245
FFAFGZ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
345 PM MST WED AUG 3 2016

AZZ004>018-037>040-040645-
/O.EXT.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160805T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACOB LAKE...FREDONIA...PAGE...
LEES FERRY...GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...NORTH RIM...VALLE...
PRESCOTT...SELIGMAN...ASH FORK...KEAMS CANYON...KAIBITO...
CANYON DE CHELLY...CHINLE...KAYENTA...WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...
WUPATKI N.M....TUBA CITY...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...FLAGSTAFF...WILLIAMS...MUNDS PARK...
HEBER...HAPPY JACK...FOREST LAKES...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP...
PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG...COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...
CORDES JUNCTION...BAGDAD...SEDONA...NAVAJO N.M....DILKON...
KYKOTSMOVI
345 PM MST WED AUG 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* YAVAPAI COUNTY...COCONINO COUNTY...NAVAJO COUNTY...APACHE
  COUNTY AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTY.

* THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CREATE CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH 
  RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA. 

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL 
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING 
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOOD ACTIVITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$
568 
WGUS65 KFGZ 040446
FFAFGZ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
946 PM MST WED AUG 3 2016


AZZ004>018-037>040-041315-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160805T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACOB LAKE...FREDONIA...PAGE...
LEES FERRY...GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...NORTH RIM...VALLE...
PRESCOTT...SELIGMAN...ASH FORK...KEAMS CANYON...KAIBITO...
CANYON DE CHELLY...CHINLE...KAYENTA...WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...
WUPATKI N.M....TUBA CITY...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...FLAGSTAFF...WILLIAMS...MUNDS PARK...
HEBER...HAPPY JACK...FOREST LAKES...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP...
PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG...COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...
CORDES JUNCTION...BAGDAD...SEDONA...NAVAJO N.M....DILKON...
KYKOTSMOVI
946 PM MST WED AUG 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 600 PM EARLY THURSDAY
EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* YAVAPAI COUNTY...COCONINO COUNTY...NAVAJO COUNTY...APACHE
  COUNTY...AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTY.

* THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY EVENING UNTIL 600 PM

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CREATE CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH 
  RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA. 

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOOD ACTIVITY AGAIN BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING
  THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$
711 
WGUS65 KFGZ 041010
FFAFGZ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
310 AM MST THU AUG 4 2016

AZZ004>018-037>040-050100-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160805T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACOB LAKE...FREDONIA...PAGE...
LEES FERRY...GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...NORTH RIM...VALLE...
PRESCOTT...SELIGMAN...ASH FORK...KEAMS CANYON...KAIBITO...
CANYON DE CHELLY...CHINLE...KAYENTA...WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...
WUPATKI N.M....TUBA CITY...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...FLAGSTAFF...WILLIAMS...MUNDS PARK...
HEBER...HAPPY JACK...FOREST LAKES...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP...
PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG...COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...
CORDES JUNCTION...BAGDAD...SEDONA...NAVAJO N.M....DILKON...
KYKOTSMOVI
310 AM MST THU AUG 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* YAVAPAI COUNTY...COCONINO COUNTY...NAVAJO COUNTY...APACHE
  COUNTY...AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTY.

* THROUGH 600 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

* DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL CREATE CONDITIONS THAT POSE A HIGH 
  RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING IN THE WATCH AREA. 

* IMPACTS: SLOW MOVING HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
  CAUSE EXCESSIVE RUNOFF ALONG AREA WASHES AND STREAMS RESULTING
  IN PERIODIC FLASH FLOODING FROM LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
  EARLY THURSDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT DEVELOPING CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. PEOPLE...ESPECIALLY THOSE
LOCATED ALONG AREA CREEKS...RIVERS OR OTHER FLASH FLOOD PRONE
AREAS...SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE
ISSUED.

&&

$$
547 
WGUS65 KFGZ 050102
FFAFGZ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
602 PM MST THU AUG 4 2016



AZZ004>018-037>040-050215-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160805T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACOB LAKE...FREDONIA...PAGE...
LEES FERRY...GRAND CANYON VILLAGE...SUPAI...NORTH RIM...VALLE...
PRESCOTT...SELIGMAN...ASH FORK...KEAMS CANYON...KAIBITO...
CANYON DE CHELLY...CHINLE...KAYENTA...WINDOW ROCK...GANADO...
WUPATKI N.M....TUBA CITY...WINSLOW...HOLBROOK...SNOWFLAKE...
ST. JOHNS...SPRINGERVILLE...FLAGSTAFF...WILLIAMS...MUNDS PARK...
HEBER...HAPPY JACK...FOREST LAKES...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP...
PAYSON...STRAWBERRY...YOUNG...COTTONWOOD...CAMP VERDE...
CORDES JUNCTION...BAGDAD...SEDONA...NAVAJO N.M....DILKON...
KYKOTSMOVI
602 PM MST THU AUG 4 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MST THIS EVENING...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL ARIZONA...
NORTH CENTRAL ARIZONA...NORTHEAST ARIZONA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARIZONA WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

THERE ARE A FEW STORMS ALONG THE EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM, WHITE
MOUNTAINS, UPPER LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY, AND PORTIONS OF
EASTERN GILA COUNTY NORTH OF THE SALT RIVER THAT ARE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL THIS EVENING. STORMS CONTINUE TO WEAK AND
REMAIN SHORT LIVED SO THAT THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING HAS
DIMINISHED.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Aug 1, 8:05 PM MST, 6 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 1, 8:05 PM MST, 6 hours 50 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
805 PM MST MON AUG 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Deep monsoon moisture will remain across northern
Arizona through Friday. Daytime showers and thunderstorms are likely
with locally heavy rain at times. There is a risk for localized
flash flooding each day. A downward trend in showers and
thunderstorms is expected this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Shower and thunderstorm coverage is decreasing across northern AZ at
8 pm. Have updated the overnight forecast to show this trend. Strong
storms may again develop across NW Coconino county due to outflow
winds moving southward out of Utah and rich low level moisture.

&&

.Previous Discussion 345 pm....Numerous showers and thunderstorms
developed over northern Arizona late this morning and afternoon.
Some of the heavier thunderstorms dropped 2-3 inches of rain in an
hour over small areas. Storms are expected to diminish by dark with
some lingering well into the evening. Some thunderstorm clusters
could self sustain through the night.

Conditions on Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to be similar to
today.

A downward trend in showers and thunderstorms is expected late
in the week and into the weekend as a drier southwest flow
moves over Arizona.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z PACKAGE...til 17z Tues...Widely sct -shra and
isold Tsra. Aft 17z tues scattered thunderstorms first over the
higher elevations of northern Arizona with ocnl MVFR or IFR
conditions...as well as produce lightning and variable wind gusts.
Storms moving to the lower elevations aft 20z Tues. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...DL/ MAS
AVIATION...DL / AT

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 1, 3:30 AM MST, 23 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
330 AM MST MON AUG 1 2016

AZZ004>018-037>040-020700-
KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-
COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-
OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
330 AM MST MON AUG 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...
NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN
ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DEEP MONSOON MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA. SOME AREAS MAY SEE HEAVY SHOWERS AT TIMES
RESULTING IN AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...CLIMATOLOGICALLY HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS
ACROSS THE STATE WILL ELEVATE THE RISK FOR LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

RB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 1, 5:14 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZGila3 hr
Aug 1, 6:43 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ47 min
Aug 2, 11:45 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai3 hr
Aug 2, 12:17 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai3 hr
Aug 2, 12:34 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZCoconino26 min
Aug 2, 12:43 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZYavapai2 hr
Aug 2, 1:26 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai3 hr
Aug 2, 1:45 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZYavapai3 hr
Aug 2, 2:11 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZApache3 hr
Aug 2, 2:24 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai3 hr
Aug 2, 2:48 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZGila3 hr
Aug 2, 3:05 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZCoconino, Yavapai3 hr
Aug 2, 3:12 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai33 min
Aug 2, 4:59 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZGila3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Arizona, 2016Every flash flood watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.