Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2016

Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

June 29, 2016Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jun 29, 2016, 1:15 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 29, 2016, 1:15 PM MST (20:15 UTC)
Expired: Jun 29, 2016, 4:15 PM MST
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 152 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 13 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -269 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2095 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

485 
WGUS55 KFGZ 292015
FFWFGZ
AZC025-292315-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0002.160629T2015Z-160629T2315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
115 PM MST WED JUN 29 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FLAGSTAFF HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  WEST CENTRAL YAVAPAI COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ARIZONA...

* UNTIL 415 PM MST

* AT 113 PM MST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
  HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
  ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  WALNUT CREEK RANGER STATION.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING STREAMS AND DRAINAGES...SOUTH FORK WALNUT
CREEK...NORTH FORK WALNUT CREEK...QUARTZ LEAD WASH...BIG CHINO
WASH...WALNUT CREEK...PARTRIDGE CREEK...INDIAN SPRINGS WASH...
ANTELOPE WASH...TURKEY CANYON...APACHE CREEK...PINE CREEK...MUD TANK
WASH...GRAVER WASH AND MUDDY CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

REMAIN ALERT FOR FLOODING EVEN IN LOCATIONS NOT RECEIVING RAIN. DRY
WASHES...STREAMS...AND RIVERS CAN BECOME RAGING KILLER CURRENTS IN A
MATTER OF MINUTES...EVEN FROM DISTANT RAINFALL.

&&

LAT...LON 3512 11270 3502 11261 3494 11261 3487 11296
      3504 11299 3510 11284

$$


MAS

1 follow-up statement

015 
WGUS75 KFGZ 292244
FFSFGZ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
344 PM MST WED JUN 29 2016

AZC025-292250-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160629T2315Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
YAVAPAI AZ-
344 PM MST WED JUN 29 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL YAVAPAI COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED. FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A
THREAT. TURKEY CANYON AND PINE CREEK MAY CONTINUE TO HAVE WATER
FLOWING THROUGH THE WASH AND TRIBUTARIES. IF A LOW WATER CROSSING OR
ROADWAY HAS WATER FLOWING ACROSS IT, IT IS BEST TO WAIT FOR THE
WATER TO RECEDE. 


LAT...LON 3512 11270 3502 11261 3494 11261 3487 11296
      3504 11299 3510 11284

$$

TC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 28, 5:15 PM MST	Flash Flood Warning	FGZ	Gila	3 hr
Jun 28, 5:21 PM MST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGZ	Gila	24 min
Jun 29, 12:27 PM MST	Special Weather Statement	FGZ	Yavapai	33 min
Jun 29, 12:48 PM MST	Special Weather Statement	FGZ		27 min
Jun 29, 1:06 PM MST	Special Weather Statement	FGZ		39 min
Jun 29, 1:31 PM MST	Special Weather Statement	FGZ		44 min
Jun 29, 1:34 PM MST	Special Weather Statement	FGZ		26 min
Jun 29, 2:31 PM MST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGZ	Yavapai	29 min
Jun 29, 2:57 PM MST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FGZ	Yavapai	18 min
Jun 29, 3:30 PM MST	Special Weather Statement	FGZ		30 min
Jun 29, 4:03 PM MST	Areal Flood Advisory	FGZ	Coconino, Gila, Navajo	3 hr
Jun 29, 4:54 PM MST	Flash Flood Warning	FGZ	Coconino, Gila	111 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2016 Every flash flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.