Severe Thunderstorm Warning 177, NWS Grand Forks, ND

602 
WWUS53 KFGF 162045
SVSFGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
345 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016

NDC077-162054-
/O.CAN.KFGF.SV.W.0177.000000T0000Z-160816T2115Z/
RICHLAND ND-
345 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN RICHLAND COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 4636 9727 4647 9704 4607 9657 4593 9689
      4594 9696
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 327DEG 21KT 4624 9702 

$$
SPEICHER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
305 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2016

Fcst going as expected with main t-storm activity forming in west
central MN and far southeastern ND along the main short wave
trough. Other more isolated activity north with risk of isolated
storms til early evening nearly all areas. Evening t-storms will
disspiate with skies mainly clear overnight. Light winds will
bring patchy fog to mainly areas east of the Red River.

Wednesday should be a quiet day as surface high is overhead though
do expect some cumulus. But drier airmass in place means less
instability and no progged short waves to move through so kept dry
fcst.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2016

An upper low over Hudson Bay through much of the long term should
keep precip north of the border from Fri through Tue, with fall like
temperatures as northerly winds usher in Canadian air through the
weekend before return flow sets up on Monday and temps return to the
80s by Tuesday.  Prior to the FROPA bringing the cooler air on
Friday, a boundary will set up in the Wed night to Thu night
timeframe from central SD to wrn Ontario.  This will bring the best
chance for convection this week, mainly late Thu aftn into the
evening as temps near peak heating combined with a surface boundary
bring a chance for strong to severe storms across the southern
valley and portions of W Central MN.  The surface low will pull out
by Fri morning as cooler air sinks into the northern tier CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1256 PM CDT Tue Aug 16 2016

Most sites to see low end VFR Cumulus broken deck this aftn in the
3000 to 5000 ft range. More scattered GFK and DVL. Light winds
today..more west at DVL and more south at Fargo and BJI and
variable GFK/TVF. Based on short range models and light winds
tonight did include patchy fog for areas east of the RRV
overnight.

&&

.FGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Riddle
LONG TERM...Speicher
AVIATION...Riddle

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
620 AM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-171130-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
620 AM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TODAY SOUTH AND EAST
OF A LINE ROUGHLY FROM BRAMPTON NORTH DAKOTA TO MIDDLE RIVER
MINNESOTA TO BAUDETTE MINNESOTA. THE STORM WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR
FROM 3 PM CDT TO 9 PM CDT. THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE SOME LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND PRODUCE THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

FOR THURSDAY A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ROUGHLY ENGLEVALE NORTH DAKOTA TO PARKERS
PRAIRIE MINNESOTA. A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
FORECAST NORTH OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA OR SOUTH OF A LINE ROUGHLY
FROM URBANA NORTH DAKOTA TO CHAMBERLAIN MINNESOTA. THE STORMS MAY
PRODUCE SOME LARGE HAIL,...DAMAGING WINDS AND A TORNADO. THE STORM
WILL OCCUR IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE RED RIVER VALLEY THURSDAY WITH
UNSTABLE AIR IN PLACE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

HOPPES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1143 AM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016

MNZ002-003-NDZ030-039-161745-
NORMAN MN-CLAY MN-CASS ND-TRAILL ND-
1143 AM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN NORMAN...NORTHWESTERN
CLAY...SOUTHEASTERN TRAILL AND NORTHEASTERN CASS COUNTIES UNTIL 1245
PM CDT...

AT 1143 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR HALSTAD...OR 30 MILES NORTH OF FARGO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10
MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HALSTAD AROUND 1150 AM CDT.
  HENDRUM AROUND 1210 PM CDT.
  PERLEY AROUND 1230 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN GRAND FORKS.

&&

LAT...LON 4722 9719 4751 9694 4737 9641 4704 9664
TIME...MOT...LOC 1643Z 292DEG 8KT 4731 9689

SPEICHER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
316 PM CDT TUE AUG 16 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0246 PM     HAIL             5 W LAWNDALE            46.56N 96.47W
08/16/2016  E0.25 INCH       WILKIN             MN   PUBLIC

            HAILED FOR SEVERAL MINUTES.

&&

JMAKOWSK