Alert archive / Minnesota / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 1, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this river flood warning at Mar 13, 2016, 10:06 AM CDT for Kittson County, Minnesota. It took effect at Mar 13, 2016, 8:54 PM CDT. It was in force for 8 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 13, 2016, 10:06 AM CDT (15:06 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 13, 2016, 8:54 PM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 22, 2016, 3:49 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 days
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Kittson County, MN
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Two Rivers River at Hallock (HLLM5).
- Action stage
- 800 ft
- Minor stage
- 802 ft
- Moderate stage
- 806 ft
- Major stage
- 810 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05095000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
679 WGUS43 KFGF 131506 FLWFGF BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 1006 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 ...The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a flood warning (new) for these river locations in Minnesota... new flooding is forecast to occur at... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County. .Based on releases from Lake Bronson, river stages on the Two Rivers River at Hallock are expected to reach minor flood stage by late Monday. *** A follow-up flood statement with more detailed flooding information will be issued shortly. *** PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-131606- /O.NEW.KFGF.FL.W.0001.160314T2100Z-160319T0600Z/ /HLLM5.1.ER.160314T2100Z.160315T1200Z.160318T0000Z.NO/ 1006 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a new Flood Warning for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River * from Monday afternoon to late Friday night. * At 9:00 AM Sunday the stage was 800.6 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet. * For the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Monday afternoon and continue to rise to near 802.4 feet by Tuesday morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Thursday evening. && LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
19 follow-up statements
102 WGUS83 KFGF 131515 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 1015 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County .Based on releases from Lake Bronson...river stages on the Two Rivers River at Hallock are expected to reach minor flood stage by late Monday. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-141515- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.160314T2100Z-160319T0600Z/ /HLLM5.1.ER.160314T2100Z.160315T1200Z.160318T0000Z.NO/ 1015 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * from Monday afternoon to late Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:00 AM Sunday the stage was 800.6 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Monday afternoon and continue to rise to near 802.4 feet by Tuesday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Thursday evening. * Impact Statement(s) - At 802.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage for Minor flooding.NWS starts to issue Flood Warnings and 7-day river level forecasts.Hallock Dam spillway at Gilbert Park is closed to the Public.Culvets with flappers are checked.Bankfull Stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun (month/day) 03/14 03/15 03/16 03/17 03/18 03/19 03/20 Two Rivers River Hallock 801.5 802.4 802.4 802.2 801.7 801.1 800.3 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
407 WGUS83 KFGF 131524 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 1024 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County .Based on releases from Lake Bronson...river stages on the Two Rivers River at Hallock are expected to reach minor flood stage by late Monday. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-141524- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.160314T2100Z-160319T0600Z/ /HLLM5.1.SM.160314T2100Z.160315T1200Z.160318T0000Z.NO/ 1024 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * from Monday afternoon to late Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:00 AM Sunday the stage was 800.7 feet. * Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet. * Forecast...rise above Flood Stage by Monday afternoon and continue to rise to near 802.4 feet by Tuesday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage by Thursday evening. * Impact Statement(s) - At 802.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage for Minor flooding.NWS starts to issue Flood Warnings and 7-day river level forecasts.Hallock Dam spillway at Gilbert Park is closed to the Public.Culvets with flappers are checked.Bankfull Stage. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun (month/day) 03/14 03/15 03/16 03/17 03/18 03/19 03/20 Two Rivers River Hallock 801.5 802.4 802.4 802.2 801.7 801.1 800.3 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
209 WGUS83 KFGF 140155 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 855 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-151355- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.160314T0154Z-160319T1500Z/ /HLLM5.1.SM.160313T2345Z.160314T1800Z.160318T0900Z.NO/ 855 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:00 PM Sunday the stage was 802.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 803.6 feet sometime Monday early afternoon. The river will fall below Flood Stage Friday morning. * The river is forecast to crest at 803.6 on Monday early afternoon during this 7-day period. * The river is forecast to crest between **** and **** Feet Early/Later/Next/This Week. * Impact Statement(s) - At 804.5 feet, Backup at Reach 2 Dike, Cemetery road at 6th St. S. - Shut Storm Valve. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun (month/day) 03/14 03/15 03/16 03/17 03/18 03/19 03/20 Hallock 803.6 803.4 803.0 802.3 801.5 800.8 800.1 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
784 WGUS83 KFGF 141355 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 855 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County .The Two Rivers River at Hallock continues to rise due to releases from Lake Bronson. The river is forecast to crest tonight or early Tuesday before beginning to decline. Possible impacts from expected precipitation tonight through mid-week will need to be monitored. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-151355- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160321T1400Z/ /HLLM5.1.SM.160313T2345Z.160315T0600Z.160320T0800Z.NO/ 855 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until Monday March 21...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:00 AM Monday the stage was 805.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 805.7 feet sometime early Tuesday morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage late this coming weekend. * Impact Statement(s) - At 806.0 feet, Moderate FLood Stage.Storm sewers start backing up.Storm sewer valve at T.H. 175 Bridge closed. Lift Pump inspected. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon (month/day) 03/15 03/16 03/17 03/18 03/19 03/20 03/21 Two Rivers River Hallock 805.7 805.1 804.4 803.6 802.9 801.8 800.7 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
193 WGUS43 KFGF 150221 FLWFGF BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 921 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 ...The National Weather Service in Grand Forks, ND has issued a flood WARNING (extension) FOR these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County. * Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate Severity and increased in duration. .Releases from Lake Bronson continue to impact the Two Rivers River at Hallock. *** A follow-up flood statement with more detailed flooding information will be issued shortly. *** PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-150321- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160322T1330Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160315T1200Z.160321T0730Z.NO/ 921 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 ...forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * At 9:00 PM Monday the stage was 805.8 feet. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and for the next 7 days...Moderate flooding is forecast. * Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 806.4 feet by Tuesday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage early Monday morning. && LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
471 WGUS83 KFGF 150226 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 926 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County .Releases from Lake Bronson continue to impact the Two Rivers River at Hallock. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-161426- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160322T1330Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160315T1200Z.160321T0730Z.NO/ 926 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until Tuesday March 22...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:00 PM Monday the stage was 805.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 806.4 feet sometime Tuesday mid-morning. The river will fall below Flood Stage early Monday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 806.0 feet, Moderate FLood Stage.Storm sewers start backing up.Storm sewer valve at T.H. 175 Bridge closed. Lift Pump inspected. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon (month/day) 03/15 03/16 03/17 03/18 03/19 03/20 03/21 Hallock 806.4 806.0 805.2 804.3 803.4 802.4 801.2 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
384 WGUS83 KFGF 151411 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 911 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County .Recent rainfall along with releases from Lake Bronson are expected to cause the river to rise near 807.5 feet by Thursday evening. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-161411- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160318T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 911 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 806.4 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days... Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 807.6 feet sometime Thursday evening then begin falling. * Impact Statement(s) - At 808.0 feet, Storm sewer valve at Reach 3 (north Cemetary) is closed. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/16 03/17 03/18 03/19 03/20 03/21 03/22 Two Rivers River Hallock 807.0 807.5 807.6 807.4 806.8 805.8 804.6 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$ jk
814 WGUS83 KFGF 151600 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 1100 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following river location in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County .This updated forecast brings the crest into the the city of Hallock earlier than previously forecast with the peak height in the 807.5 to 808.0 ft range. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-161600- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160316T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 1100 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 806.8 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days... Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 807.7 feet sometime Wednesday mid-morning then begin falling. * Impact Statement(s) - At 808.0 feet, Storm sewer valve at Reach 3 (north Cemetery) is closed. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/16 03/17 03/18 03/19 03/20 03/21 03/22 Two Rivers River Hallock 807.7 807.6 807.4 806.8 806.2 805.2 804.3 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$ jk
184 WGUS83 KFGF 160202 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 902 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County .Recent rainfall of over three quarters of an inch fell in the northern Red River valley. Combined with water releases from Lake Bronson...an ice jam upstream that broke earlier this evening contributed to the quick rise of the river over the past few hours. At this time...the river is only expected to rise another half foot before it begins to recede. The river will be monitored for any significant changes. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-171402- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160316T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 902 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 808.4 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days... Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will rise to a crest near 809.2 feet sometime early Wednesday morning then begin falling. * The river is forecast to crest at 809.2 on early Wednesday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 808.0 feet, Storm sewer valve at Reach 3 (north Cemetery) is closed. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/16 03/17 03/18 03/19 03/20 03/21 03/22 Hallock 808.3 807.8 807.3 806.6 806.0 804.9 803.9 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
708 WGUS83 KFGF 161345 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 845 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-171345- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160316T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 845 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 808.2 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 5 days... Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 808.2 feet by Wednesday early afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter. * The river is forecast to crest at 808.2 this afternoon during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 808.0 feet, Storm sewer valve at Reach 3 (north Cemetary) is closed. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/17 03/18 03/19 03/20 03/21 03/22 03/23 Two Rivers River Hallock 808.1 807.9 807.3 806.5 805.3 804.2 803.4 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
931 WGUS83 KFGF 170206 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 906 PM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-181406- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160316T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 906 PM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 807.6 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days... Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will continue to fall to a stage of 806.9 feet by Friday mid-morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 808.0 feet, Storm sewer valve at Reach 3 (north Cemetery) is closed. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed (month/day) 03/17 03/18 03/19 03/20 03/21 03/22 03/23 Hallock 807.1 806.8 806.0 805.1 804.0 803.0 802.3 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
487 WGUS83 KFGF 171438 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 938 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 ...The flood warning continues for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River ...in Kittson County .The Two Rivers River will continue to recede from runoff due to the rain on frozen ground and ice jamming issues. The river will fall below moderate flood stage this weekend and slowly recede thereafter. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-181438- /O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160316T0345Z.000000T0000Z.NR/ 938 AM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until further notice...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 807.3 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days... Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will continue to fall to a stage of 806.9 feet by Friday mid-morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 807.0 feet, Storm sewer valves at 175 bridge, 4th Street South and the Cemetery, are closed and portable pumps are set up. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/18 03/19 03/20 03/21 03/22 03/23 03/24 Two Rivers River Hallock 806.9 806.4 805.6 804.8 803.9 803.0 802.4 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$ jk
833 WGUS83 KFGF 180136 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 836 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-191336- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160326T0400Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160316T0345Z.160324T2200Z.NR/ 836 PM CDT THU MAR 17 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until Friday March 25...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:00 PM Thursday the stage was 806.9 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days... Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will fall below Flood Stage next Thursday afternoon. * The river is forecast to crest at 807.0 on early Friday morning during this 7-day period. * Impact Statement(s) - At 807.0 feet, Storm sewer valves at 175 bridge, 4th Street South and the Cemetery, are closed and portable pumps are set up. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu (month/day) 03/18 03/19 03/20 03/21 03/22 03/23 03/24 Hallock 806.7 806.0 805.2 804.3 803.5 802.7 801.9 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
935 WGUS83 KFGF 181512 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 1012 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2016 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County .Colder weather and little liquid precipitation over the next 7 days will allow the continued recession of the Two River River at Hallock. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-191512- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160324T1200Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160316T0345Z.160323T0600Z.NR/ 1012 AM CDT FRI MAR 18 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until Thursday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 806.6 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days... Moderate flooding is forecast. * Moderate Flood Stage is 806.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by early Wednesday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 807.0 feet, Storm sewer valves at 175 bridge, 4th Street South and the Cemetery, are closed and portable pumps are set up. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri (month/day) 03/19 03/20 03/21 03/22 03/23 03/24 03/25 Two Rivers River Hallock 805.9 804.9 803.9 802.7 801.8 800.8 799.9 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$ jk
586 WGUS83 KFGF 191443 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 943 AM CDT SAT MAR 19 2016 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-201443- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160325T0200Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160316T0345Z.160323T2000Z.NR/ 943 AM CDT SAT MAR 19 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until Thursday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 806.0 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by Wednesday afternoon. * Impact Statement(s) - At 806.0 feet, Moderate FLood Stage.Storm sewers start backing up.Storm sewer valve at T.H. 175 Bridge closed. Lift Pump inspected. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat (month/day) 03/20 03/21 03/22 03/23 03/24 03/25 03/26 Two Rivers River Hallock 805.5 804.5 803.7 802.4 801.2 800.6 800.4 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
987 WGUS83 KFGF 201442 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 942 AM CDT SUN MAR 20 2016 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County .This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-211442- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160325T0400Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160316T0345Z.160323T2200Z.NR/ 942 AM CDT SUN MAR 20 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until Thursday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 9:00 AM Sunday the stage was 805.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 4 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by Wednesday afternoon. * Impact Statement(s) - At 804.5 feet, Backup at Reach 2 Dike, Cemetery road at 6th St. S. - Shut Storm Valve. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun (month/day) 03/21 03/22 03/23 03/24 03/25 03/26 03/27 Two Rivers River Hallock 804.3 803.4 802.4 801.4 800.6 800.5 800.0 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
479 WGUS83 KFGF 211334 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 834 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2016 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County . Decreasing flows at Lake Bronson will keep the river receeding. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-221334- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160325T1200Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160316T0345Z.160324T0600Z.NR/ 834 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until Friday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 8:00 AM Monday the stage was 803.4 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by early Thursday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 804.5 feet, Backup at Reach 2 Dike, Cemetery road at 6th St. S. - Shut Storm Valve. && Daily 7am CDT/6am CST forecast stage in feet: Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon (month/day) 03/22 03/23 03/24 03/25 03/26 03/27 03/28 Two Rivers River Hallock 803.0 802.5 801.9 801.4 801.2 800.6 800.2 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
619 WGUS83 KFGF 220032 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 732 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2016 ...The flood warning has been extended for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County . Decreasing releases out of Lake Bronson will keep the river receeding. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-231232- /O.EXT.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160326T1200Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160316T0345Z.160325T0600Z.NR/ 732 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2016 The Flood Warning continues for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. * At 7:00 PM Monday the stage was 802.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and during the next 7 days...Minor flooding is forecast. * Minor Flood Stage is 802.0 feet. * Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below Flood Stage by early Friday morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 802.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage for Minor flooding. NWS starts to issue Flood Warnings and 7-day river level forecasts. Hallock Dam spillway at Gilbert Park is closed to the Public. Culvets with flappers are checked. Bankfull Stage. && Daily 7pm CDT/6pm CST forecast stage in feet: Date Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon (month/day) 03/22 03/23 03/24 03/25 03/26 03/27 03/28 Hallock 802.3 802.2 802.0 801.7 801.3 800.8 800.3 LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
818 WGUS83 KFGF 220849 FLSFGF FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND 349 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016 ...The flood warning is now cancelled for these river locations in Minnesota... * Hallock...on the Two Rivers River...in Kittson County .The river stage has receded below flood stage and is expected to continue to fall. Therefore...the warning is cancelled. This forecast is for a 7-day period...the highest stage indicated may not reflect the crest for this event. Forecasts are updated daily and stage values will change as new weather and river information is used. River forecasts usually use 24 hours of expected precipitation but depending on the situation it may include precipitation expected through the next 72 hours. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Safety message...turn around, don't drown... - Don't travel through flooded areas! - Persons in the warned area need to take steps to protect life and property. if necessary move to a higher and safer location. - Persons living in the Red River Basin should monitor river levels while the river is in...or near...flood. For more information...go to the AHPS/River section on our web page at: www.weather.gov/grandforks && MNC069-220919- /O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160326T1200Z/ /HLLM5.2.SM.160313T2345Z.160316T0345Z.160322T0600Z.NR/ 349 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016 The Flood Warning is cancelled for... * ...Hallock...on the Two Rivers River. * At 3:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 801.8 feet. * Fell below Flood Stage at 1:00 AM Tuesday. * Forecast...the river will continue to fall to 801.6 feet by Wednesday mid-morning. * Impact Statement(s) - At 802.0 feet, Flood Warning Stage for Minor flooding. NWS starts to issue Flood Warnings and 7-day river level forecasts. Hallock Dam spillway at Gilbert Park is closed to the Public. Culverts with flappers are checked. Bankfull Stage. && DAILY 1 AM CDT/MIDNIGHT CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET: Date Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue (month/day) 03/23 03/24 03/25 03/26 03/27 03/28 03/29 Two Rivers River Hallock 801.6 801.6 801.5 801.3 801.1 800.6 M LAT...LON 4888 9719 4873 9713 4867 9662 4885 9667 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 13, 9:46 AM CDT, 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 13, 9:46 AM CDT, 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 946 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 946 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 MAIN IMPACT FOR TODAY APPEARS TO BE DENSE FOG WHICH HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS NORTH EAST NORTH DAKOTA. MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AREA ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE SURFACE TROUGH (LOCATED ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING). HRRR AND RAP GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAT TEMPS WILL RISE A BIT BY NOON AND DENSE FOG WILL IMPROVE...WITH RAPID IMPROVEMENT AS WIND SHIFTS MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. ISSUED A SPS TO INCREASE AWARENESS OF THE SITUATION...BUT HELD OFF ON A DENSE FOG ADVISORY CONSIDERING THE EXPECTED SHORTER NATURE. THERE IS A WORRY THAT MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL OFFSET ANY TEMPERATURE RISE AND CONTINUE DENSE FOG AHEAD OF THE SFC TROUGH...WHICH DOES NOT MOVE INTO THIS REGION UNTIL MID-LATE AFTERNOON. IF CONDITIONS DO NOT START IMPROVING BY 11AM MAY NEED TO CONSIDER A DENSE FOG ADVISORY. RAIN SHOWERS MOST LIKELY EAST OF THE VALLEY...ALTHOUGH COVERAGE LIKELY LIMITED. MOST AREAS ACROSS THE REGION WILL LIKELY EXPERIENCE DRIZZLE AND LOW CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAY. UPDATE ISSUED AT 648 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 MADE A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO POPS AS RAIN HAS STARTED TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN CWA...BUT THE MAIN CHANGE WAS TO ADD SOME PATCHY FOG. SOME LOWERED VIS FROM THE SHEYENNE VALLEY UP TOWARDS KDVL...AND EVEN EAST TOWARDS THE RED RIVER VALLEY. SREF PROBABILITIES OF LOWER VISIBILITY HANDLE THIS PRETTY WELL SO FOLLOWED THE TREND OF FOG IN THAT AREA THROUGH ABOUT 15Z. MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING MOSTLY EAST WITH THE QPF...BUT THERE ARE SOME LIGHT RADAR RETURNS IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY SO CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT SOME DRIZZLE. THUS KEPT POPS GOING. && .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 332 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 HOW FAR WEST RAIN WILL GO TONIGHT AND TOMORROW WILL BE THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUE FOR THE PERIOD. MAIN UPPER TROUGH IS STILL WELL TO THE SOUTH...BUT WV LOOP AND MODEL ANALYSIS HAS A DECENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING THROUGH EASTERN SD. RAIN HAS ALREADY STARTED AT ELBOW LAKE...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL COME IN FROM THE WEST LATER TODAY AS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT SETS UP AHEAD OF THE NORTHERN BRANCH UPPER TROUGH. THE SHORT RANGE MODELS HAVE THE PRECIP STAYING IN OUR FAR EASTERN TIER...BUT THE GLOBAL RUNS ARE A BIT FURTHER WEST OVER THE RED RIVER VALLEY...PARTICULARLY THE GFS. COMPROMISED AND KEPT HIGHEST POPS AND QPF IN THE EAST BUT HAVE THE MENTION OF SHOWERS GOING TOWARDS THE RED RIVER VALLEY...WHICH GIVEN CURRENT RADAR TRENDS SEEMS REASONABLE. THE RAIN AND CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPS LOWER THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS...WITH THE EAST STAYING IN THE LOW 50S EVEN WITH A VERY MILD START BUT SOME LOW 60S POSSIBLE IN THE WEST. THE PRECIP WILL HEAD OFF TO THE EAST TONIGHT AS THE WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVES OUT OF THE AREA. THE SFC TROUGH THAT MOVED IN DURING THE DAY WILL BEGIN TO WASH OUT AS ANOTHER TROUGH REFORMS OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. ONLY A SLIGHT DECREASE IN DEW POINTS AND THERE WILL BE LINGERING CLOUDS SO KEPT LOWS PRETTY MILD. A FEW OF THE MODELS BRING ANOTHER WEAK LEAD SHORTWAVE OUT DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY...WITH THE NAM IN PARTICULAR BREAKING OUT SOME PRECIP OVER OUR NORTHWESTERN COUNTIES. IT SEEMS TO BE AN OUTLIER...BUT GIVEN ANY WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST FLOW COULD SET SOMETHING OFF AND TO BLEND WITH NEIGHBORS INCLUDED SOME LOW POPS IN OUR NORTHWEST. HIGHS WILL AGAIN BE VERY WARM IN THE UPPER 50S TO 60S WITH SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW. .LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 332 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL BECOME MORE ACTIVE AS A LARGE CUT OFF UPPER LOW WOBBLES INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS DURING THE PERIOD. THERE IS A LOT OF VARIATION IN EXACTLY HOW THE MODELS HANDLE THIS SYSTEM. THE GFS IS FASTER BRINGING IN THE INITIAL WARM AIR PRECIP MONDAY NIGHT BUT THEN DRY SLOTS US LATER WHILE THE ECMWF HAS THE ELONGATED SFC TROUGH LINGERING OVER THE AREA. THE NAM TRACKS MUCH FURTHER SOUTH WITH THE SFC LOW...BRINGING US RIGHT IN THE DEFORMATION ZONE AND PRODUCING A LOT MORE SNOW WITH THE COLDER AIR BEHIND IT. WITH THE HIGH LEVEL OF UNCERTAINTY WILL LEAN TOWARDS A GFS AND ECMWF BLEND WHICH WOULD HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THIS PERIOD THAN THE LIMITED AREA NAM. SOME SNOW MAY MIX IN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT BUT AT THIS POINT WILL HAVE MOSTLY RAIN. THE CLOUDS AND PRECIP SHOULD KEEP LOWS MILD BUT HIGHS ON TUESDAY WILL BE NOT AS WARM AS PREVIOUS DAYS...ONLY IN THE 40S AND LOW 50S BUT STILL ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES. WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...UPPER LOW WILL LIKELY BE ELONGATED EAST TO WEST FROM UPPER MIDWEST THROUGH NORTHERN GREAT LAKES TO START THE PERIOD...WITH EARLIER STEADY PCPN BECOMING MORE INTERMITTENT WED/THU. AIRMASS SHOULD BE WARM ENOUGH TO PROVIDE MOSTLY RAIN...ESPECIALLY DURING DAYLIGHT HOURS AND OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. A MIX OF SNOW WOULD BE MORE LIKELY BY WED NIGHT/THU. A BREAK IN PCPN IS LIKELY BY FRI WITH INDICATION OF THE NEXT WAVE INCREASING CHANCES AGAIN ON SATURDAY. TEMPS WILL DIP BELOW FREEZING WED NIGHT AND SUBSEQUENT NIGHTS...WITH DAYTIME HIGHS EASING BACK TO NEAR AVERAGE SEASONAL VALUES THU AND FRI. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING) ISSUED AT 648 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 LOW STRATUS AND SOME FOG HAS ENTERED THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE SOUTH...WITH IFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS AT ALL BUT KTVF WHICH IS MVFR AND KBJI WHICH IS VFR. THE BETTER CONDITIONS AT THE EASTERN TAF SITES WILL NOT LAST LONG AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO POUR IN FROM THE SOUTH AND RAINFALL OR SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THOSE SITES LATER IN THE MORNING. LOWERED VIS AT THE WESTERN TAF SITES SHOULD IMPROVE SOMEWHAT...AND KDVL COULD GO VFR FOR A TIME LATER THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE STRATUS SHOULD BE HANGING AROUND THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD FROM THE RED RIVER VALLEY EASTWARD...AND THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF FOG REFORMING AGAIN LATER TONIGHT AT KTVF AND KBJI. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 KTS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. && .FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...NONE. MN...NONE. && UPDATE...TG SHORT TERM...JR LONG TERM...JR/WJB AVIATION...JR
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 13, 5:47 AM CDT, 4 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 547 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-141100- WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS- WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE- EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN- SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN- WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER- PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON- GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT- RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY- 547 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY A LARGE STORM SYSTEM MOVING IN WILL BRING MOSTLY RAIN TO THE REGION TUESDAY AND BEYOND. HOWEVER...WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES BEGINNING TO COMING IN...SOME SNOW MIXING IN STARTING EARLY MORNING WEDNESDAY IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH AND IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF ANY SNOW WILL ACCUMULATE...BUT BE PREPARED FOR A POSSIBLE RETURN TO WINTER WEATHER FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. JR
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Mar 13, 9:06 AM CDT, 1 hour before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND 906 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-054-131630- TOWNER-CAVALIER-PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY- NELSON-GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES- WESTERN WALSH COUNTY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CANDO...LANGDON...CAVALIER...WALHALLA... DRAYTON...PEMBINA...NECHE...ST. THOMAS...FORT TOTTEN...MADDOCK... LEEDS...MINNEWAUKAN...DEVILS LAKE...GRAFTON...PARK RIVER... NEW ROCKFORD...LAKOTA...MCVILLE...ANETA...TOLNA...GRAND FORKS... COOPERSTOWN...FINLEY...HOPE...MAYVILLE...HILLSBORO...HATTON... PORTLAND...VALLEY CITY...EDINBURG...ADAMS...LANKIN 906 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 ...AREAS OF DENSE FOG ACROSS EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA... AREAS OF DENSE FOG HAVE DEVELOPED OVER MANY PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO UNDER ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. THE FOG WILL IMPROVE BY EARLY AFTERNOON. USE CAUTION IF TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY NEAR INTERSECTIONS AND RAILROAD CROSSINGS. BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY DETERIORATING VISIBILITIES. TG
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Minnesota, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.