Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
326 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Monday Night/...
Things are getting started a bit latter than yesterday but we are
beginning to see some isolated showers and thunderstorms across
the area this afternoon. Expecting these storms to continue to
develop through 00z Mon then diminish through 04z with the loss
of daytime heating. We appear to be getting cut off from the
better instability and available atmospheric energy as the better
convective activity occurs over southern AL and Central MS. The
storms over southern AL are moving Northeastward...So if they
hold together and move into our CWA...this may be our best
opportunity of seeing any SWAs or warning issued this
afternoon/evening.

Moisture will continue to increase across the area as another
wave moves in from the gulf and into north and central GA monday.
Keeping pops across the area Monday in the 40-50 percent range as
we stay in this typical summertime diurnally driven convective
pattern.

Its still going to be a very warm day with daytime highs
in the 90s...but heat indices continue to stay below heat advisory
thresholds so will not be issuing a statement for Monday. All in
all we should see another day of afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms with some isolated strong to severe storms
occurring.

01

.LONG TERM /Tuesday through Sunday/...
No major changes to the long term forecast needed.

In the mid levels...a weakness in the ridge/shear axis will remain
across the cwfa for much of the period. By the weekend, the flow
aloft should return to a more zonal pattern. At the surface, a low
pressure trough should remain situated across northern/northeast GA
through the period. With the combination of the shear axis in the
mid level and the trough at the surface, convection should tend to
focus along these features for much of the week. Pops remain in
chance range during the day...with isolated chances lingering into
the overnight.

Temps should remain at or slightly above normal for the period.

NListemaa

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
Some isolated showers have begun popping up across the region this
afternoon. Will see increased activity across the state with the
best chances for the TAF sites to be affected between 20z-24z.
Winds expected to stay out of the West to Northwest in the 10kts
or less range. Will see some higher gust in and around convective
activity this afternoon and Monday afternoon. Ceilings and VSBYs
expected to stay VFR through the period.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          71  93  72  93 /  30  40  30  30
Atlanta         73  91  73  90 /  50  50  30  30
Blairsville     65  86  66  85 /  20  50  40  50
Cartersville    70  91  71  88 /  40  50  40  40
Columbus        74  94  75  93 /  50  50  30  30
Gainesville     72  90  72  89 /  30  50  30  40
Macon           73  94  72  95 /  50  50  20  20
Rome            70  91  71  89 /  40  50  40  50
Peachtree City  71  91  70  90 /  50  50  30  30
Vidalia         75  95  75  95 /  30  30  20  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....NListemaa
AVIATION...01

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1048 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-111200-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1048 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND LINGER INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE...
PARTICULARLY OVER WESTERN GEORGIA. ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO ISOLATED
SEVERE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING... WITH THE MAIN THREATS
BEING GUSTY WINDS... FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
531 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

GAZ049-050-102200-
MORGAN GA-GREENE GA-
531 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN MORGAN AND NORTHWESTERN
GREENE COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM EDT...

AT 530 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR MADISON. THIS STORM
WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING.  WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
MADISON...BUCKHEAD...GRESHAMVILLE AND APALACHEE.

LAT...LON 3371 8333 3355 8326 3354 8346 3368 8350
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 065DEG 3KT 3362 8342

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
546 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

GAZ107-108-102215-
WILCOX GA-PULASKI GA-
546 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN WILCOX AND
SOUTHWESTERN PULASKI COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM EDT...

AT 546 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR PINEVIEW...OR 12 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF HAWKINSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING.  WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
PINEVIEW AND FINLEYSON.

LAT...LON 3206 8355 3209 8361 3219 8360 3214 8347
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 205DEG 4KT 3212 8358

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
552 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

GAZ080-081-093-094-102230-
MACON GA-TAYLOR GA-CRAWFORD GA-PEACH GA-
552 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MACON...SOUTHEASTERN
TAYLOR...SOUTHERN CRAWFORD AND SOUTHWESTERN PEACH COUNTIES UNTIL 630
PM EDT...

AT 552 PM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF IDEAL TO NEAR MARSHALLVILLE TO 6
MILES NORTHEAST OF MONTEZUMA...AND MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING.  WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
MARSHALLVILLE...REYNOLDS...POTTERVILLE...GARDEN VALLEY...SAINT
LOUIS... HICKS...NAKOMIS AND WINCHESTER.

LAT...LON 3261 8418 3262 8397 3246 8385 3234 8396
      3240 8405 3241 8417
TIME...MOT...LOC 2152Z 197DEG 12KT 3247 8416 3247 8403 3237 8394

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
625 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

GAZ083-084-102300-
TWIGGS GA-WILKINSON GA-
625 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN TWIGGS AND SOUTHERN
WILKINSON COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 625 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR DANVILLE...OR NEAR
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING.  WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
DANVILLE...ALLENTOWN AND DISTRICT PATH.

LAT...LON 3262 8341 3277 8315 3264 8312 3256 8328
      3254 8337
TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 261DEG 12KT 3259 8336

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
627 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

GAZ076-102245-
JEFFERSON GA-
627 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY
UNTIL 645 PM EDT...

AT 627 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER LOUISVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING.  WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
LOUISVILLE...STELLAVILLE AND MATTHEWS.

LAT...LON 3315 8227 3307 8229 3295 8227 3290 8235
      3302 8250 3328 8229 3326 8226 3323 8223
TIME...MOT...LOC 2227Z 222DEG 18KT 3302 8237

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
633 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

GAZ097-109-102300-
DODGE GA-LAURENS GA-
633 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN DODGE AND SOUTHWESTERN
LAURENS COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM EDT...

AT 633 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR EASTMAN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING.  WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
DEXTER...CADWELL...RENTZ AND PLAINFIELD.

LAT...LON 3222 8313 3228 8318 3247 8307 3228 8286
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 224DEG 17KT 3227 8313