Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

July 8, 2016Oconee County, Walton County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Jul 8, 2016, 7:29 PM EDT for Oconee County, Walton County, Georgia. It was in force for 31 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 8, 2016, 7:29 PM EDT (23:29 UTC)
Expired
Jul 8, 2016, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
31 min
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA

Counties Oconee County, GA, Walton County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 101 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2016-07-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1505 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2016-07-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1505 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-78 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1079 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 8, 7:00 PM EDT, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 8, 7:00 PM EDT, 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
700 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 350 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016/

SHORT TERM /Tonight through Saturday Night/...
Current radar loop shows some isolated showers and thunderstorms
across Central and extreme North Georgia. The main area of
convection is still across Tennessee and Kentucky and moving
slowly south and east. the HiRes models are not in very good
agreement with the timing and intensity of this wave affecting GA
but they do agree that it will. Just looking at the way they
initialized it appears the 4kWRF has the best handle on this and
it shows the complex of thunderstorms moving into N GA around 22z-
23z. It also shows this complex diminishing as it moves south
into the area with very little remnants left over the area by 03z-
04z. This appears to fit well with SPCs Day 1 marginal risk
across North and eastern portions of the state. The HiRes models
seem to be in a little better agreement for Sat...showing
scattered showers and thunderstorms across the entire area as
next wave moves in with upper level West to Northwesterly flow.
Diurnally driven instabilities also increase across the area Sat
so this also matches well with SPCs day 2 outlook thinking of just
a General risk across the state.

Heat Index values are still expected to get into the 105-108
degree range Sat afternoon across portions of East Central GA.
Will need to issue another Heat advisory for a similar area as
today for Sat afternoon.

01

LONG TERM /Sunday through Friday/...
Made a few tweaks to the extended portion of the forecast.

An unsettled period of weather is expected from Sunday through early
next week. A weak boundary will remain situated across northern GA
through Monday/early Tuesday, but should become diffuse by the
middle of the week. The mid level flow will remain slightly nw/w
through the period...and perturbations in the flow are expected to
interact with the boundary...serving to focus scattered showers and
thunderstorms. PWATS at or above 2 inches are expected into
Tuesday...so any storms will be very efficient rainfall producers.

Ridging tries to build in for the middle part of the week. However,
models are keeping a weakness in the ridge overhead.

The highest pops should remain across northern GA through much of
the extended period. Have adjusted values slightly upward Sunday
through Tuesday.

NListemaa

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z Update...
VFR conditions expected to continue. Isolated showers/storms
around ATL will dissipate by later evening. Surface winds
diminishing to WSW around 5 kts or less for the overnight.
High level ceilings possible late tonight and early Saturday.
Chance for afternoon showers/storms on Saturday with surface winds
around 10 kts with gusts near 20 kts.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
Low confidence for effects of any evening showers/storms.
Medium to High confidence all other elements.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          75  98  74  94 /  20  20  30  40
Atlanta         76  95  75  91 /  10  30  30  50
Blairsville     68  89  67  86 /  30  30  30  50
Cartersville    74  94  72  89 /  10  30  40  50
Columbus        77  97  75  93 /  20  30  30  50
Gainesville     75  94  74  90 /  20  20  30  40
Macon           76  99  75  96 /  20  30  30  50
Rome            74  95  73  90 /  10  30  40  50
Peachtree City  74  95  73  91 /  10  30  30  50
Vidalia         76  98  76  96 /  20  20  30  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: Baldwin...Bibb...Bleckley...Crawford...Crisp...Dodge...
Dooly...Emanuel...Glascock...Greene...Hancock...Houston...
Jasper...Jefferson...Johnson...Jones...Laurens...Macon...
Monroe...Montgomery...Morgan...Oglethorpe...Peach...Pulaski...
Putnam...Sumter...Taliaferro...Telfair...Toombs...Treutlen...
Twiggs...Warren...Washington...Wheeler...Wilcox...Wilkes...
Wilkinson.

&&

AVIATION UPDATE...BDL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 8, 3:06 PM EDT, 4 hours 23 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 8, 7:29 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
729 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

GAZ037-047-049-090000-
MORGAN GA-OCONEE GA-WALTON GA-
729 PM EDT FRI JUL 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MORGAN...OCONEE AND
WALTON COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM EDT...

AT 729 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR MONROE...MOVING EAST
AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...UP TO 40 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING.  WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
MONROE...WATKINSVILLE...SOCIAL CIRCLE...NORTH HIGH
SHOALS...BOSTWICK... BETWEEN...GOOD HOPE...BISHOP...JERSEY...ATHENS-
CLARKE COUNTY... NICHOLASVILLE...GRATIS...BARNETT
SHOALS...FARMINGTON...CAMPTON...EBENEZER... STATE BOTANICAL GARDEN
OF GA...BOLD SPRINGS...PANNELL AND APALACHEE.

LAT...LON 3391 8376 3389 8376 3392 8368 3391 8365
      3393 8361 3392 8340 3389 8337 3387 8333
      3386 8333 3385 8330 3373 8331 3370 8340
      3365 8337 3369 8383 3370 8384 3391 8382
      3393 8380
TIME...MOT...LOC 2329Z 271DEG 29KT 3382 8367

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 8:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWhite13 min
Jul 8, 3:25 AM EDTHeat AdvisoryFFCBaldwin, Bibb, Bleckley, Crawford, Crisp, Dodge and 31 more17 hr
Jul 8, 7:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClarke, Oglethorpe28 min
Jul 8, 7:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCMorgan, Oconee, Walton34 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.