Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
900 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

.UPDATE...
Increased precipitation across central GA associated with
Tropical Storm Colin will continue through tonight. Have
increased pops across the area to reflect current trends. Will
continue to monitor as this first main rain band moves northward
as it appears it should stay fairly organized through the day.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 750 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016/

SHORT TERM /Today through Tuesday/...
Current radars show generally light showers over central GA at
this time. A front has stalled over extreme north GA with
dissipating showers. However...this old boundary will help
trigger additional showers and scattered thunderstorms over most
of north GA today with rainfall less than one inch.

The main focus for the next 24 hours is TS Colin in the eastern
Gulf of Mexico. Colin should move over north FL this evening
passing over Jacksonville after midnight...then heading up the
GA/SC coast on Tuesday. Typical abundant tropical moisture will
flow north into GA in advance of this storm with high PWs of 2.5
to 2.9 inches in southeast GA and north FL. Expect widespread
showers and scattered thunderstorms over central GA later today
and tonight. Rainfall amounts of around one inch from Columbus
and Macon to near 3 inches in Vidalia and Lyons will be possible.
Only localized ponding in low lying areas is expected so no flood
watch is needed at this time.

High pressure will build into the state on Tuesday with drier air
and near seasonable temperatures. Used a blend of the MET/MAV MOS
guidances.

16

LONG TERM /Tuesday Night through Sunday/...
Long range models show good agreement with dry high pressure
building over the region and dominating the forecast through the
weekend. The initial period will start out a bit cooler than
normal as a cool dome of high pressure pushes south of Canada and
settles over the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys by Wednesday and
Wednesday night. Then the warm up begins as the upper ridge builds
over the southeast... and along with abundant sunshine... pushes
daytime temperatures into the lower 90s by Friday... then mid and
upper 90s over the weekend. Despite the warmer than normal
temperatures... it appears the current record high temperatures
for the four climate sites appear to be safe over the weekend at
this time...but will continue to monitor this potential closely.

AVIATION...
12Z Update...
TS Colin will help spread rain back into the TAF sites today.
Ceilings and visibilities should generally be VFR...except lowering
to MVFR in showers and thunderstorms by this afternoon. A light
southeast wind will prevail becoming light and variable or calm
tonight. A cold front will move through early Tuesday with clearing
and a northwest wind around 10 kts.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Confidence medium on all elements

16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          81  67  89  61 /  80  40   0   0
Atlanta         82  68  87  63 /  70  40   0   0
Blairsville     80  60  82  54 /  40  30   0   0
Cartersville    84  64  87  58 /  40  30   0   0
Columbus        82  70  90  66 / 100  40   0   0
Gainesville     81  66  86  60 /  50  40   0   0
Macon           80  69  90  63 / 100  90   5   0
Rome            85  63  87  58 /  30  20   0   0
Peachtree City  81  66  88  58 /  90  40   0   0
Vidalia         80  71  90  67 / 100 100  30   5

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....Deese
AVIATION...01

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1031 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-071445-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1031 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT SAGS
INTO NORTH GEORGIA AND TROPICAL STORM COLIN MOVES ACROSS THE
EASTERN GULF TODAY AND ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA TONIGHT. THE
INCREASING TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH WILL BRING A THREAT OF
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN... WITH THE GREATEST RAINFALL GENERALLY
EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM COLUMBUS TO WASHINGTON
WHERE 1.0 TO 3.0 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 0.5 TO 1.0 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE. ALTHOUGH BRIEF
PONDING ALONG LOW LYING... FLOOD PRONE AREAS ARE POSSIBLE... NO
WIDESPREAD FLOOD PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OTHERWISE... A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING... ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA... WITH
BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH... LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND OCCASIONAL
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING BEING THE MAIN THUNDERSTORM THREATS
THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THERE COULD BE A FEW LINGERING THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN
PARTS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA EARLY ON TUESDAY. OTHERWISE... HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED BUT SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED
TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO
WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1142 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

GAZ039-049>051-059>062-061645-
TALIAFERRO GA-MORGAN GA-JASPER GA-GREENE GA-PUTNAM GA-WILKES GA-
HANCOCK GA-WARREN GA-
1142 AM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TALIAFERRO...SOUTHERN MORGAN...
NORTHEASTERN JASPER...GREENE...NORTHERN PUTNAM...SOUTHERN WILKES...
NORTHERN HANCOCK AND NORTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 PM
EDT...

AT 1141 AM EDT...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR BUCKHEAD TO NEAR NORWOOD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 15 MPH.

  HAZARD...HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
           IS LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR
           POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER
           COVERS THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE
EATONTON...WASHINGTON...GREENSBORO...MONTICELLO...CRAWFORDVILLE...UNI
ON POINT...WHITE PLAINS...SILOAM...SHADY
DALE...NORWOOD...BUCKHEAD...SHARON... CAMAK...PHOENIX...REYNOLDS
PLANTATION...LIBERTY...SPRINGFIELD...ALEXANDER STEPHENS
PARK...HARMONY AND SANDY CROSS.

LAT...LON 3366 8251 3365 8252 3365 8254 3364 8256
      3365 8258 3363 8258 3364 8259 3363 8261
      3363 8262 3362 8262 3361 8265 3345 8259
      3331 8369 3351 8363 3376 8256 3364 8248
TIME...MOT...LOC 1541Z 246DEG 15KT 3353 8338 3354 8268

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1233 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

GAZ089-061730-
MUSCOGEE GA-
1233 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MUSCOGEE COUNTY
UNTIL 130 PM EDT...

AT 1231 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY WERE LOCATED
OVER MUICH OF NORTHWEST MUSCOGEE COUNTY INCLUDING NORTH PARTS OF
COLUMBUS AREA. BE PREPARED FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN
FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

  HAZARD...HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
           IS LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR
           POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER
           COVERS THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE NORTH PARTS OF
COLUMBUS...BIBB CITY...COLUMBUS METROPOLITAN AIRPORT...GREEN ISLAND
HILLS...ROSE HILL AND LAUREL HILLS.

LAT...LON 3261 8492 3258 8490 3258 8483 3246 8500
      3252 8500 3256 8504 3258 8507 3260 8508
TIME...MOT...LOC 1631Z 239DEG 49KT 3257 8494

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
250 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

GAZ046>048-061930-
NEWTON GA-ROCKDALE GA-WALTON GA-
250 PM EDT MON JUN 6 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN NEWTON...NORTHEASTERN
ROCKDALE AND WESTERN WALTON COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

AT 249 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR LAKEVIEW ESTATES...OR
NEAR CONYERS. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH CELL TRAINING
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

  HAZARD...HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS
           IS LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR
           POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER
           COVERS THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
CONYERS...MONROE...SOCIAL CIRCLE...WALNUT GROVE...BETWEEN...JERSEY...
MILSTEAD...GUM CREEK...BIG HAYNES CREEK PARK AND YOUTH.

LAT...LON 3368 8402 3376 8401 3385 8373 3368 8370
TIME...MOT...LOC 1849Z 207DEG 3KT 3375 8396