Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

March 24, 2016Stewart County, Webster County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Mar 24, 2016, 6:04 PM EDT for Stewart County, Webster County, Georgia. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 24, 2016, 6:04 PM EDT (22:04 UTC)
Expired
Mar 24, 2016, 6:45 PM EDT
In force
41 min
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA

Counties Stewart County, GA, Webster County, GA

The radar

The Ft Rucker radar (KEOX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2016-03-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2016-03-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 175 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1350 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
175 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
263 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 24, 4:27 PM EDT, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 24, 4:27 PM EDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
427 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY CROSSING INTO WESTERN AL. OUT AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...A LINE OF SHOWERS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED AND
CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD.

CURRENTLY...THE HRRR IS THE ONLY HI-RES MODEL THAT HAS A DECENT
HANDLE ON THE CONVECTION. THE COVERAGE/STRENGTH OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS
DECREASED WITH SUBSEQUENT RUNS THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. THIS
SEEMS REASONABLE AS THE LATEST MESOANALYSIS HAS THE HIGHEST
INSTABILITY ALONG THE GULF COAST INTO SOUTHERN AL.

NOT TOO CONFIDENT ON THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE MAIN MID LEVEL FORCING REMAINS WELL TO THE
NORTH...WHILE ALL OF THE INSTABILITY IS ACROSS THE SOUTH. THINK
STRONG STORMS CONTINUE POSSIBLE...WITH AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM
POSSIBLE. THE PRIMARY MODE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

IF THE ACTIVITY DOWN SOUTH CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND CREEP
NORTHWARD...THE BEST CHANCES OF STRONG/ISOLD SEVERE WOULD BE DOWN TO
THE SOUTH LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. STILL NOT RULING OUT A
FEW STRONG STORMS...WITH AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM ALONG THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...BUT IT WILL BE A STRUGGLE TO MAINTAIN MOMENTUM WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING.

WITH THE MID LEVEL LOW/SHORTWAVE SHUNTING TO THE NORTHEAST AND
WEAKENING...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOW ITS SOUTHWARD PROGRESS
TONIGHT. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL GA
SOMETIME AFTER MIDNIGHT.

THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER THROUGH TOMORROW
AND TOMORROW NIGHT. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN THE VICINITY OF THIS FEATURE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. LESS COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING/SURFACE INSTABILITY.

NLISTEMAA

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS REMAIN IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT AND SHOW LITTLE
CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS LONG TERM FORECAST TRENDS. MINIMAL CHANGES
WERE MADE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST GRIDS WITH THIS CYCLE...PLEASE
SEE THE PREVIOUS LONG TERM FORECAST FORECAST DISCUSSION BELOW.

20

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
/ISSUED AT 418 AM EDT THU MAR 24 2016/
WHILE SHORT TERM FROPA SLOWS AND SETTLES NEAR THE FAR SOUTHEAST
PORTION OF THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...WE STAY IN SW
FLOW ALOFT AND ONLY A BRIEF PERIOD WITH QUIET CONDITIONS AS SFC
RIDGE RESULTS IN A RATHER WEAK HYBRID CAD WEDGE. STALLED
BOUNDARY/WEDGE FRONT PROGGED TO LIFT NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT
LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AS GULF MOISTURE OVERRUNNING AND
ISENTROPIC FORCING BRINGS WIDESPREAD SHOWER CHANCES AND TREND OF
THUNDER CHANCES NORTHWARD. MODELS NOW IN BETTER CONSENSUS WITH
FCST EVOLUTION OF DEVELOPING LOW TO TRACK ACROSS THE TN VALLEY
SUNDAY NIGHT THEN PUSH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SOUTHEASTWARD FOR
MONDAY. AS WITH THE LAST SEVERAL SYSTEMS...WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR
UPSTREAM GULF CONVECTION POTENTIALLY ROBBING US OF MOISTURE
TRANSPORT BUT FOR NOW LOOKS LIKE A GOOD BET FOR LIKELY POPS IN THE
SUNDAY TO SUNDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME. BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDER LOOKS
TO BE SUNDAY AFTERNOON GIVEN FCST CAPE...THOUGH BETTER SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT LOOKS TO BE WITH FROPA LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.
DIFFICULT TO SAY WHICH TIME WOULD BE MORE SUPPORTIVE OF STRONGER
CONVECTION AT THE MOMENT SO WILL KEEP MONITORING OF TRENDS.

OTHERWISE THIS SECOND SYSTEM IS FOLLOWED BY A STRONGER RIDGE SO NO
WORRIES OF A LINGERING BOUNDARY TO THE SOUTH FOR TUES/WED AND
SHOULD BE DRY AND PLEASANT. ACTIVE LONGWAVE PATTERN CONTINUES
THOUGH FOR END OF FCST PERIOD WITH MOISTURE ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE NEXT
FRONTAL SYSTEM STARTING TO INFLUENCE THE AREA WED NIGHT INTO
THURS...STARTED CHANCE POPS TREND ACCORDINGLY.

DESPITE THE ACTIVE PERIOD...TEMPS FOR THE MOST PART STAY SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT. SATURDAY IS WARMEST PERIOD WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S ACROSS MAJORITY OF AREA...AND MONDAY NIGHT IS COOLEST
BEHIND AFOREMENTIONED FROPA WITH LOWS IN LOW TO MID 40S BUT STILL
NOT LOW ENOUGH TO RAISE FROST/FREEZE CONCERNS.

BAKER

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
ACTIVE RADAR JUST TO THE WEST. THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS WILL BE DOMINATED BY THE LINES OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE. THE HI-RES MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT WITH
TIMING...WITH THE FIRST LINE COMING THROUGH IN THE EARLY EVENING
AND THE SECOND OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...AM CONCERNED THAT THIS WILL
ACTUALLY OCCUR WITH THE CURRENT RADAR PRESENTATION. WINDS WILL
REMAIN ON THE WEST SIDE. ALSO...AFTER ANY PRECIP IFR CLOUDS ARE
LIKELY...BREAKING OUT BY MID MORNING TOMORROW.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MED CONFIDENCE ON CONVECTION.
MED CONFIDENCE REMAINING ELEMENTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          58  74  49  76 /  90  30  10  10
ATLANTA         55  69  50  74 / 100  20  10  10
BLAIRSVILLE     50  66  42  70 / 100  20  10  10
CARTERSVILLE    51  68  42  73 / 100  20  10   5
COLUMBUS        59  73  53  77 / 100  30  30  20
GAINESVILLE     54  70  48  71 / 100  20  10  10
MACON           63  74  53  76 /  80  40  30  20
ROME            49  67  41  73 / 100  10  10   5
PEACHTREE CITY  56  70  45  75 / 100  20  20  10
VIDALIA         66  76  61  75 /  50  50  30  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...NLISTEMAA
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...NLISTEMAA
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 24, 5:35 PM EDT, 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
535 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-251100-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
535 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA. SOME STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE THIS EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT WITH THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
ALREADY DEVELOPED ACROSS NORTH AND PARTS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA. THESE
WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...ENDING FROM THE NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

A FEW STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA COULD BE SEVERE WITH THE MAIN
THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. THE AREA OF CONCERN IS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM COLUMBUS TO MACON TO
LOUISVILLE...AND GENERALLY THROUGH 10 PM TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL
GEORGIA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SUBMIT REPORTS OF ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
THROUGH THE WEB BY GOING TO WEATHER.GOV/ATLANTA.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 24, 5:45 PM EDT, 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
545 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016

GAZ102-242230-
STEWART GA-
545 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN STEWART COUNTY UNTIL
630 PM EDT...

AT 545 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER EUFAULA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...40 TO 50 MPH WIND...PEA SIZED HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
           GROUND LIGHTNING.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
LUMPKIN...OMAHA...SANFORD...PROVIDENCE CANYON STATE PARK...WESTVILLE AND
TROUTMAN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
NOAA WEATHER RADIO...WEATHER.GOV OR ORTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3193 8480 3192 8481 3192 8491 3195 8496
      3198 8496 3198 8501 3197 8504 3199 8504
      3199 8506 3209 8504 3213 8506 3218 8501
      3220 8497 3221 8498 3222 8498 3196 8465
      3192 8466 3192 8477
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 220DEG 28KT 3192 8516

16
Special weather statement, Mar 24, 6:04 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
604 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016

GAZ102-103-242245-
WEBSTER GA-STEWART GA-
604 PM EDT THU MAR 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEBSTER AND EASTERN STEWART
COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM EDT...

AT 603 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
LUMPKIN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

  HAZARD...40 TO 50 MPH WIND...PEA SIZED HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
           GROUND LIGHTNING.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
LUMPKIN...PRESTON...RICHLAND...WESTON...SEMINOLE...BROOKLYN...CHARLES...
CHURCH HILL...LOUVALE...WESTVILLE...KIMBROUGH...CENTERPOINT...LEVERETTS...
DUMAS AND CHAMBLISS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. CONTINUE TO MONITOR
NOAA WEATHER RADIO...WEATHER.GOV OR ORTHER MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
STATEMENTS OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS ON THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3192 8466 3219 8497 3221 8497 3222 8493
      3223 8492 3223 8482 3222 8481 3223 8480
      3223 8462 3219 8459 3219 8457 3218 8456
      3217 8454 3213 8453 3213 8446 3210 8443
      3193 8444 3192 8447
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 225DEG 37KT 3192 8486

16

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 24, 5:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCStewart45 min
Mar 24, 6:26 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCSumter49 min
Mar 24, 7:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCrisp, Dooly43 min
Mar 24, 7:41 PM EDTHigh Wind WarningFFCClayton, Coweta, DeKalb, Fayette, Fulton, Gwinnett and 2 more11 min
Mar 24, 7:52 PM EDTHigh Wind WarningFFCClayton, Coweta, DeKalb, Fayette, Fulton, Gwinnett and 2 more94 min
Mar 24, 7:59 PM EDTWind AdvisoryFFCChattahoochee, Harris, Lamar, Marion, Meriwether, Muscogee and 10 more87 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.