River Flood Warning 80, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

887 
WGUS84 KEWX 011528
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1028 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Medina River At LaCoste Affecting Medina County
  Medina River At Hwy 281 Affecting Bexar County
  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC325-020928-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0080.160602T0000Z-160605T0600Z/
/LACT2.1.ER.160602T0000Z.160602T1800Z.160604T1800Z.NO/
1028 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Medina River At LaCoste.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to creast at 16.1 feet around 1 pm on 
  Friday...which is above flood stage.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the slab elevation of 
  the Knights of Columbus building just below the bridge over Pearsall Road 
  (Farm to Market 2536). Numerous low bridges and crossings over the Medina 
  River are flooded and dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon


&&

LAT...LON MISSING


$$

TXC029-020928-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0070.160603T1415Z-160604T2230Z/
/SAAT2.1.ER.160603T1415Z.160604T0000Z.160604T1030Z.NO/
1028 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Medina River At Hwy 281.
* At  9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage by 10 am Friday 
  morning and continue to rise to near 20.7 feet by 7 pm Friday evening. The river 
  is expected to fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the Farm to Market 1937
  bridge floor..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Hwy 281            16   20    9.3   Wed 09 AM  12.7  19.7  19.8  12.6   4.8


&&

LAT...LON 2922 9857 2929 9857 2926 9835 2919 9838


$$

TXC029-493-020928-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-160604T0000Z/
/ELMT2.1.ER.160602T0447Z.160602T1800Z.160603T1200Z.NO/
1028 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

 The flood warning continues for the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At  9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 32.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage by midnight on Thursday
  and continue to rise to near 36.2 feet by 1 pm Thursday afternoon. The river is
  expected to fall below flood stage by 7 am Friday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding inundates crop and pastureland 
  below San Antonio to below Floresville..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Elmendorf          33   35   32.2   Wed 09 AM  35.8  35.0  33.0  31.4  30.0


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

BMW/SBS

346 
WGUS84 KEWX 021438
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
938 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Medina River At LaCoste Affecting Medina County
  Leon Creek At I-35 Affecting Bexar County
  Medina River At Hwy 281 Affecting Bexar County
  Salado Creek At Salado Creek At Loop 13 Affecting Bexar County
  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC325-030838-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-160607T0600Z/
/LACT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160603T0600Z.160606T1800Z.NO/
938 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Medina River At LaCoste.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level is expected to rise to around 17.7 feet during
  the early morning hours on Friday.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding threatens homes and 
  businesses near Von Ormy. Many secondary and primary roads and low bridges in 
  the flood plain are flooded and very dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue


&&

LAT...LON MISSING


$$

TXC029-030000-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-160603T0000Z/
/LKST2.1.ER.160602T1456Z.160602T1600Z.160602T1800Z.NO/
938 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Leon Creek At I-35.
* At  8:15 AM Thursday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise above flood stage by late Thursday morning
  and continue to rise to crest around 15.2 feet by early Thursday afternoon.
  After that...the river level is expected to fall quickly and could go below
  flood stage shortly after reaching the crest height.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches secondary and 
  primary roads and low bridges above Kelly USA to below I-35. Flow approaches 
  mobile homes at Camargo Park near the Missions Baseball Park..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 I-35               13   15   12.4   Thu 08 AM   9.7   7.1   5.9   5.3   5.2


&&

LAT...LON 2946 9869 2950 9867 2942 9856 2926 9847
      2926 9856 2941 9864             

$$

TXC029-030838-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0089.160602T1936Z-160604T0630Z/
/SAAT2.1.ER.160602T1936Z.160603T0600Z.160603T1830Z.NO/
938 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Medina River At Hwy 281.
* At  8:15 AM Thursday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise rapidly above flood stage by Thursday
  afternoon and continue to rise to crest around 23.5 feet during the early
  morning hours on Friday. After that, the river level is expected to fall
  below flood stage early afternoon on Friday.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding floods secondary roads and 
  bridges making them dangerous to traffic..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Hwy 281            16   20   14.8   Thu 08 AM  22.8  13.9  10.6  11.0   8.5


&&

LAT...LON 2922 9857 2929 9857 2926 9835 2919 9838


$$

TXC029-030631-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-160603T0631Z/
/SACT2.1.ER.160602T1731Z.160602T1800Z.160602T1831Z.NO/
938 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Salado Creek At Loop 13.
* At  8:15 AM Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise above flood stage by late morning
  and crest around 18.3 feet shortly after the noon hour. After that, it will
  quickly fall and is expected to go below flood stage in the afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches numerous access and 
  secondary roads and low bridges..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Salado Creek At    15   18   15.3   Thu 08 AM   7.9   6.6   6.5   6.5   6.5


&&

LAT...LON 2946 9845 2946 9838 2924 9840 2926 9847


$$

TXC029-493-030838-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0090.160602T1546Z-160604T1817Z/
/ELMT2.3.ER.160602T1546Z.160603T0000Z.160604T0617Z.NO/
938 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

 The flood warning continues for the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 29.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise quickly Thursday morning and is expected
  to rise above flood stage and continue to crest around 48 feet by early Thursday
  evening. After that...the river level is expected to fall below flood stage by
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 48.0 feet...Major flooding near Elmendorf to above Goliad State 
  Park isolates livestock, damages crops and roads, floods oil field tank 
  batteries, pump jacks, irrigation pumps, and any equipment in the flood plain.
  Flooding is widespread..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Elmendorf          33   35   29.4   Thu 08 AM  43.3  33.0  25.9  22.6  21.0


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

sbs

559 
WGUS84 KEWX 021924
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
224 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Leon Creek At I-35 Affecting Bexar County
  Salado Creek At Salado Creek At Loop 13 Affecting Bexar County
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Medina River At LaCoste Affecting Medina County
  Medina River At Hwy 281 Affecting Bexar County
  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas..
  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC325-031324-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-160607T1500Z/
/LACT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160603T0600Z.160607T0300Z.NO/
224 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Medina River At LaCoste.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 17.5 feet after 
  midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding threatens homes and 
  businesses near Von Ormy. Many secondary and primary roads and low bridges in 
  the flood plain are flooded and very dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue


&&

LAT...LON MISSING


$$

TXC029-021954-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-160603T0000Z/
/LKST2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
224 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Leon Creek At I-35.
* At  2:15 PM Thursday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 13.8 feet this evening.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches secondary roads and low
  bridges above Kelly USA to below I-35. The Westover Drive bridge floor floods 
  at Leon creek..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 I-35               13   15   13.2   Thu 02 PM  11.9   7.5   5.7   5.2   5.1


&&

LAT...LON 2946 9869 2950 9867 2942 9856 2926 9847
      2926 9856 2941 9864             

$$

TXC029-031324-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0089.160602T1923Z-160604T0836Z/
/SAAT2.1.ER.160602T1613Z.160603T0600Z.160603T2036Z.NO/
224 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Medina River At Hwy 281.
* At  2:15 PM Thursday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.8 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding floods secondary roads and 
  bridges making them dangerous to traffic..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Hwy 281            16   20   21.1   Thu 02 PM  22.6  14.2  10.8  10.9   8.5


&&

LAT...LON 2922 9857 2929 9857 2926 9835 2919 9838


$$

TXC029-021954-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0092.000000T0000Z-160603T0631Z/
/SACT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
224 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Salado Creek At Salado Creek At Loop 13.
* At  2:15 PM Thursday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 16.9 feet. The river will 
  fall to 7.8 feet by .
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches numerous access and 
  secondary roads and low bridges..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Salado Creek At    15   18   16.5   Thu 02 PM   7.8   6.5   6.5   6.5   6.5


&&

LAT...LON 2946 9845 2946 9838 2924 9840 2926 9847


$$

TXC029-493-031323-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-160604T1948Z/
/ELMT2.2.ER.160602T1438Z.160603T0600Z.160604T0748Z.NO/
224 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday the stage was 41.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 42.7 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding inundates and damages crop 
  and pastureland below San Antonio to below Floresville. Numerous roads and 
  bridges are flooded. Oil well pump jacks and irrigation pumps are flooded and 
  damaged..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Elmendorf          33   35   41.3   Thu 01 PM  41.3  33.6  27.3  23.1  21.2


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

TXC255-031323-
/O.CON.KEWX.FL.W.0100.160603T1712Z-160605T0336Z/
/FCTT2.1.ER.160603T1712Z.160604T0600Z.160604T1536Z.NO/
224 PM CDT THU JUN 2 2016

The flood warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At  2:15 PM Thursday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and continue to 
  rise to near 19.5 feet by early Saturday morning. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned in low 
  areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower areas of Goliad State Park 
  downstream flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Falls City          6   17    7.3   Thu 02 PM  13.1  18.5   4.8   3.0   2.3


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790

bmw


$$

368 
WGUS84 KEWX 030911
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
411 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Medina River At LaCoste Affecting Medina County
  Medina River At Hwy 281 Affecting Bexar County
  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC325-040311-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-160608T0600Z/
/LACT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160603T1200Z.160607T1800Z.NO/
411 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Medina River At LaCoste.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 17.6 feet this 
  morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding threatens homes and 
  businesses near Von Ormy. Many secondary and primary roads and low bridges in 
  the flood plain are flooded and very dangerous..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue


&&

LAT...LON MISSING


$$

TXC029-040310-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-160604T1237Z/
/SAAT2.2.ER.160602T1613Z.160603T1200Z.160604T0037Z.NO/
411 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Medina River At Hwy 281.
* At 3:15 AM Friday the stage was 26.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.7 feet by this morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Major flooding puts the Farm to Market 1937 bridge 
  floor under eight feet of water. Flow approaches homes downstream near Losoya.
  Livestock are cut off and potentiallly drowned in the flood plain..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
  Hwy 281           16   20   26.6   Fri  3 AM  26.7  14.7  11.4  11.1   8.7


&&

LAT...LON 2922 9857 2929 9857 2926 9835 2919 9838


$$

TXC029-493-040310-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-160606T0900Z/
/ELMT2.2.ER.160602T1438Z.160603T1200Z.160605T2100Z.NO/
411 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At 3:30 AM Friday the stage was 44.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 45.1 feet by this morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding inundates and damages crop 
  and pastureland below San Antonio to below Floresville. Numerous roads and 
  bridges are flooded. Oil well pump jacks and irrigation pumps are flooded and 
  damaged..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
  Elmendorf         33   35   44.0   Fri  3 AM  45.1  40.9  36.0  34.0  32.9


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

TXC255-040310-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0100.160603T1106Z-160605T1516Z/
/FCTT2.2.ER.160603T1106Z.160604T0600Z.160605T0316Z.NO/
411 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At 3:15 AM Friday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this morning and continue
  to rise to near 23.5 feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below
  flood stage by tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned in low 
  areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower areas of Goliad State Park 
  downstream flood..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
  Falls City         6   17   14.1   Fri  3 AM  17.9  23.0  10.9   5.1   3.4


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790


$$

487 
WGUS84 KEWX 031634
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1134 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Medina River At LaCoste Affecting Medina County
  Medina River At Hwy 281 Affecting Bexar County
  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC325-041034-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-160608T0900Z/
/LACT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160603T1800Z.160607T2100Z.NO/
1134 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Medina River At LaCoste.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 17.1 feet this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding threatens homes and 
  businesses near Von Ormy. Many secondary and primary roads and low bridges in 
  the flood plain are flooded and very dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed


&&

LAT...LON MISSING


$$

TXC029-041033-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-160604T1632Z/
/SAAT2.2.ER.160602T1613Z.160603T0815Z.160604T0432Z.NO/
1134 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Medina River At Hwy 281.
* At 11:15 AM Friday the stage was 26.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Major flooding puts the Farm to Market 1937 bridge 
  floor under eight feet of water. Flow approaches homes downstream near Losoya.
  Livestock are cut off and potentiallly drowned in the flood plain..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Hwy 281            16   20   26.2   Fri 11 AM  17.3  12.8  12.0  10.5   6.8


&&

LAT...LON 2922 9857 2929 9857 2926 9835 2919 9838


$$

TXC029-493-041033-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-160606T1500Z/
/ELMT2.2.ER.160602T1438Z.160603T1445Z.160606T0300Z.NO/
1134 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 44.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding inundates crop and 
  pastureland below San Antonio to below Floresville. Roads and bridges in the 
  flood plain are flooded. Pump jacks and oil field tank batteries flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Elmendorf          33   35   44.8   Fri 10 AM  40.2  36.6  34.4  33.4  32.5


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

TXC255-041033-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-160605T1500Z/
/FCTT2.2.ER.160603T1326Z.160604T0600Z.160605T0300Z.NO/
1134 AM CDT FRI JUN 3 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At 11:15 AM Friday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.3 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned in low 
  areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower areas of Goliad State Park 
  downstream flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Falls City          6   17   18.3   Fri 11 AM  21.1  12.6   7.0   5.3   3.6


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790

BMW


$$

843 
WGUS84 KEWX 040753
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
253 AM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Medina River At LaCoste Affecting Medina County
  Medina River At Hwy 281 Affecting Bexar County
  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
  Cibolo Creek Near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC325-050153-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-160608T2100Z/
/LACT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160604T1200Z.160608T0900Z.NO/
253 AM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Medina River At LaCoste.
* At 2 AM Saturday the stage was 16.2 feet  
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest near 16.3 feet this morning.
  Minor flooding ia occurring and minor flooding is forecast. 
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the slab elevation of 
  the Knights of Columbus building just below the bridge over Pearsall Road 
  (Farm to Market 2536). Numerous low bridges and crossings over the Medina 
  River are flooded and dangerous..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
Medina at Lacoste   15   15   16.2  Sat   2 AM  16.3  16.0  15.8  15.4  14.9 

&&

LAT...LON MISSING


$$

TXC029-050153-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-160605T2224Z/
/SAAT2.2.ER.160602T1613Z.160603T0815Z.160605T1024Z.NO/
253 AM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Medina River At Hwy 281.
* At 2:15 AM Saturday the stage was 23.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to slowly fall to below flood stage by early 
  tomorrow.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding floods secondary roads and 
  bridges making them dangerous to traffic..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
  Hwy 281           16   20   23.0   Sat 02 AM  22.9  19.6  14.8  13.0   9.5


&&

LAT...LON 2922 9857 2929 9857 2926 9835 2919 9838


$$

TXC029-493-050153-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-160606T2145Z/
/ELMT2.2.ER.160602T1438Z.160603T1445Z.160606T0945Z.NO/
253 AM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At  2:30 AM Saturday the stage was 43.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding inundates and damages crop 
  and pastureland below San Antonio to below Floresville. Numerous roads and 
  bridges are flooded. Oil well pump jacks and irrigation pumps are flooded and 
  damaged..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
  Elmendorf         33   35   43.3   Sat 02 AM  43.2  39.7  34.7  32.9  32.4


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

TXC255-050153-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0100.000000T0000Z-160605T2111Z/
/FCTT2.2.ER.160603T1326Z.160604T1200Z.160605T0911Z.NO/
253 AM CDT SAT JUN 4 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Cibolo Creek Near Falls City.
* At  2:15 AM Saturday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.5 feet by this morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned in low 
  areas below Stockdale to below Panna Maria. Lower areas of Goliad State Park 
  downstream flood..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
  Falls City         6   17   22.2   Sat 02 AM  22.5  15.5   9.1   5.1   3.5


&&

LAT...LON 2914 9803 2917 9794 2894 9780 2892 9790


$$

162 
WGUS84 KEWX 050739
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
239 AM CDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Medina River At LaCoste Affecting Medina County
  San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
  San Antonio River Near near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC325-060139-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-160608T1500Z/
/LACT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160605T1200Z.160608T0300Z.NO/
239 AM CDT SUN JUN 5 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Medina River At LaCoste.
* At  01:00 AM Sunday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is cresting now and will slowly fall to below flood
  stage Tuesday night.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the slab elevation of 
  the Knights of Columbus building just below the bridge over Pearsall Road 
  (Farm to Market 2536). Numerous low bridges and crossings over the Medina 
  River are flooded and dangerous..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
Medina at LaCoste  15   15   15.7    Sun 1 AM   15.5  15.3  15.1  14.8  14.2

&&

LAT...LON MISSING


$$

TXC029-493-060139-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0090.000000T0000Z-160606T0730Z/
/ELMT2.2.ER.160602T1438Z.160603T1445Z.160605T1930Z.NO/
239 AM CDT SUN JUN 5 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At  1:30 AM Sunday the stage was 37.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding inundates crop and pastureland 
  below San Antonio to below Floresville..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
  Elmendorf         33   35   37.0   Sun 01 AM  36.0  33.2  30.5  26.3  24.9


&&

LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
      2894 9813 2915 9825             

$$

TXC255-060139-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-160607T0208Z/
/FACT2.1.ER.160604T1857Z.160605T1200Z.160606T1408Z.NO/
239 AM CDT SUN JUN 5 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the San Antonio River Near near Falls City.
* At  2:15 AM Sunday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.3 feet by early this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Monday late morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Flooding significantly damages irrigation pumps, oil 
  field pump jacks and tank batteries and equipment. Livestock in flood prone 
  areas are cut off and potentially drowned. There is significant damage to crop
  lands in season..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
  near Falls City    6   12   14.7   Sun 02 AM  15.3  12.5   6.8   4.1   3.2


&&

LAT...LON 2894 9813 2899 9804 2897 9782 2876 9764
      2872 9770 2889 9786             

$$

844 
WGUS84 KEWX 060855
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
355 AM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Medina River At LaCoste Affecting Medina County
  San Antonio River Near near Falls City Affecting Karnes County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC325-070255-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-160607T0900Z/
/LACT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.160606T1200Z.160606T2100Z.NO/
355 AM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the Medina River At LaCoste.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to have a maximum value of 15.2 feet this 
  morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the slab elevation of 
  the Knights of Columbus building just below the bridge over Pearsall Road 
  (Farm to Market 2536). Numerous low bridges and crossings over the Medina 
  River are flooded and dangerous..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
Medina at LaCoste   15   15   15.0    Mon 1 AM  15.2  14.7  14.3  14.1  13.7   

&&

LAT...LON MISSING


$$

TXC255-070255-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0105.000000T0000Z-160607T0900Z/
/FACT2.1.ER.160604T1857Z.160605T1845Z.160606T2100Z.NO/
355 AM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

 The flood warning continues for
  the San Antonio River Near near Falls City.
* At  3:15 AM Monday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Flooding significantly damages irrigation pumps, oil 
  field pump jacks and tank batteries and equipment. Livestock in flood prone 
  areas are cut off and potentially drowned. There is significant damage to crop
  lands in season..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
  near Falls City    6   12   14.4    Mon 3 AM  13.7   8.7   4.8   3.6   3.2


&&

LAT...LON 2894 9813 2899 9804 2897 9782 2876 9764
      2872 9770 2889 9786             

$$

217 
WGUS84 KEWX 061438
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
938 AM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Medina River At LaCoste Affecting Medina County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC325-061508-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-160607T0900Z/
/LACT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
938 AM CDT MON JUN 6 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Medina River At LaCoste.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage with a maximum 
  value of 14.7 feet this afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the slab elevation of 
  the Knights of Columbus building just below the bridge over Pearsall Road 
  (Farm to Market 2536). Numerous low bridges and crossings over the Medina 
  River are flooded and dangerous..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat


&&

LAT...LON MISSING


$$

27/BMW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1226 AM CDT WED JUN 1 2016

.AVIATION...
SHRA/TSRA are developing well N of KDRT while other SHRA/TSRA are
over the Big Bend region. These will move across the Rio Grande
and Edwards Plateau area overnight to near the I-35 corridor early
Wednesday morning. Additional development of SHRA/TSRA is possible
midday thru evening. Have mentioned VCTS/VCSH at the TAF sites for
those time periods. MVFR CIGS will form across South Central Texas
in the next few hours and lower to IFR by Wednesday morning. CIGS
will then slowly rise to VFR by early afternoon. VRBL winds around
5 kts across the east and SEly 5 to 10 kts in the west will become
all SEly on Wednesday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 801 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016/

UPDATE...
Rain has nearly all moved off to the east with only a few showers
developing west of San Antonio. The atmosphere is fairly worked
over and we think the chances for any more rain this evening are
lower than we previously expected. Have lowered the POPs for the
rest of the evening. Temperatures across the eastern half of the
area are rain cooled and with the sun almost down can't see any
recovery. So, have also lowered the low temperatures. Still
expecting precip to develop overnight with locally heavy rain
possible.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 653 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016/

AVIATION...
This TAF period is a tricky one with ongoing high chances for
convection in the next 24 hours. Showers and thunderstorms should
be over in Austin and San Antonio for the rest of the evening and
VFR conditions should prevail. There is a weakening area of
showers in Mexico that may move across the river, but at this time
that does not look likely. So, DRT should remain VFR through the
evening. In Austin and San Antonio, CIGs will drop to MVFR and
then IFR overnight. Have included TSRA after 06Z or 07Z until
mid-morning Wednesday. This is likely too long a period of rain,
but can't pin down exact timing right now. CIGs should improve
starting late morning reaching VFR by early afternoon. Convection
is possible during the day Wednesday, but have not included any in
TAFs.

AT DRT CIGs will drop to MVFR around 10z and chances for
convection will begin at that time. CIGs will improve to VFR by
around 15Z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 328 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016/

SHORT TERM (Tonight through Wednesday Night)...
The first of many heavy rain episodes and storm complexes is
currently passing through the CWA. The evolution of this system,
which is a combination of high instability, high PWAT, mesoscale
boundary interactions, and upper level shortwave disturbances will
be indicative of the next few days.

Hi-resolution models have been essentially guessing at how to
handle convective initiation and coverage over the last several
days...and with the exception of a decent HRRR handling of today's
activity, have not improved. Thus, basically the forecast has
heavily favored the synoptic models in conjunction with
collaboration with neighbors and regional offices.

Looking west of the current convection...IR satellite is showing
convection enhancing across New Mexico and south of the Big Bend
region. Believe this area will be round number 2 of heavy rain
potential overnight tonight. While this round will not have the
benefit of the higher instability from this afternoon, and a
somewhat worked over atmosphere, would expect this activity out
west to evolve into a mature MCS and move east into at least the
western half of the CWA late tonight into tomorrow morning.

There may be a lull in activity between the Wednesday morning
activity but it will likely only be brief as the atmosphere
destabilizes again into the afternoon and yet another shortwave
swings northeast across...again...the Big Bend and Edwards
Plateau.

It is extremely difficult to hone in on specific amounts
in any particular region, but given the antecedent conditions that
have been well advertised, the flash flooding risk will be
significant between now and Wednesday night.

LONG TERM (Thursday through Tuesday)...
The heavy rain and flooding threats continue Thursday as the main
upper low responsible for all of these shortwave disturbances
enters the state. By Thursday morning, focused upper level lift
associated with the right entrance region of the upper low will be
positioned from Del Rio to Waco. This, coupled with the same
moisture and instability considerations to today and Wednesday
will likely be our most significant heavy rainfall threat.

At the surface, the EURO and GFS both indicate the development of
a surface low over West Texas and pushes southeast along the Rio
Grande River. This will...yet again...provide a surface based
focus to additional heavy rain development Thursday afternoon and
as the main upper low begins to slow in its movement and becomes
more stagnant, could potentially result in training heavy rainfall
as well. This round could persist through Friday morning before
the heavy rain potential begins to finally wane Friday
evening...if the upper low does indeed move east as progged.

As a result...QPF values have further increased, now expected the
potential for 4-7 inches between now and Friday morning but with
the potential for some areas to reach as high as 15 inches before
this event is over with. If this estimate comes to fruition, flash
flooding impacts will be severe. And with so much uncertainty in
the positioning of certain variables, it is not possible to
highlight any one particular area for this threat. So all persons
in South Central Texas should prepare for the prospect of flash
flooding, perhaps extreme flash flooding, and make plans to be
potentially impacted.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              69  80  66  81  66 /  80  70  60  60  40
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  68  80  66  81  65 /  80  70  70  60  40
New Braunfels Muni Airport     68  80  66  82  65 /  80  70  70  60  40
Burnet Muni Airport            66  78  64  79  64 /  80  70  60  60  40
Del Rio Intl Airport           69  84  66  85  66 /  80  60  40  30  20
Georgetown Muni Airport        67  79  64  80  64 /  80  70  60  60  40
Hondo Muni Airport             68  82  65  83  65 /  80  70  60  50  30
San Marcos Muni Airport        68  79  65  81  65 /  80  70  70  60  40
La Grange - Fayette Regional   70  80  68  81  67 /  80  80  70  60  40
San Antonio Intl Airport       69  81  67  82  67 /  80  70  60  60  40
Stinson Muni Airport           70  82  68  83  67 /  80  70  60  60  40

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for the following
counties: Atascosa...Bandera...Bastrop...Bexar...Blanco...Burnet...
Caldwell...Comal...De Witt...Dimmit...Edwards...Fayette...Frio...
Gillespie...Gonzales...Guadalupe...Hays...Karnes...Kendall...Kerr...
Kinney...Lavaca...Lee...Llano...Maverick...Medina...Real...Travis...
Uvalde...Val Verde...Williamson...Wilson...Zavala.

&&

Mesoscale/Aviation...04
Synoptic/Grids...Runyen

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
259 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-012000-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
259 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR ALL
OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING RAINFALL
RATES OF OVER 2 INCHES PER HOUR IN SOME CASES WHICH WILL RESULT IN
RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF FLASH FLOODING. ADDITIONALLY...RAPID RISES TO
ALREADY ELEVATED RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

THERE WILL ALSO BE A RISK FOR SOME LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
WITH THESE STORMS. HOWEVER...THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE FLASH
FLOODING AND THE THREAT IS SIGNIFICANT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A CONTINUED ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY
WITH NUMEROUS ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY
RAINFALL POSSIBLE EACH DAY. ENHANCED CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY
RAINS ARE EXPECTED EARLY WEDNESDAY THROUGH LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY MORNING. BETWEEN TODAY AND FRIDAY...MOST AREAS ARE
EXPECTED TO RECEIVE BETWEEN 4 AND 7 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH ISOLATED
TOTALS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE WET PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO THIS WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LOW BECOMES ALMOST
STATIONARY OVER TEXAS.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN AND FLOOD THREAT FOR THIS WEEK...A
FEW STORMS WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY COULD BRIEFLY BECOME SEVERE
WITH HAIL UP TO 1 INCH AND 60 MPH WINDS POSSIBLE. PLEASE STAY
TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES AS IMPACTS FROM POTENTIAL HAZARDS BECOME
MORE CLEAR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

TB3