River Flood Warning 114, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

121 
WGUS84 KEWX 201348
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
848 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock Affecting Val Verde County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC465-201418-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0114.000000T0000Z-160821T1200Z/
/CMKT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
848 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Devils River At Pafford Crossing nr Comstock.
* At  8:15 AM Saturday the stage was 4.4 feet (1.3 meters).
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet (1.5 meters).
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 4.5 feet (1.3 meters). The river 
  will continue falling...and fall to 3.3 feet by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 5.0 feet...(1.5 meters), Minor lowland flooding one quarter mile 
  wide at Pafford Crossing covers most of the right bank. Turbulent flow above 
  Pafford Crossing to Amistad Reservoir can wash campers, automobiles, and 
  equipment downstream..

&& 



Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (feet):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (FT)
Location           STG  STG    STG   Day Time   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Pafford Crossing    4    5    4.4   Sat  8 AM   3.3   3.0   2.8   2.8   2.7


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts (meters):
                    BF  FLD  Observed           Forecast 7AM (M)
Location           STG  STG    STG   DAY TIME   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
 Pafford Crossing    1    2    1.3   Sat  8 AM   1.0   0.9   0.9   0.9   0.8


&&

LAT...LON 2968 10103 2971 10095 2966 10089 2956 10092
      2953 10100 2963 10097       

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
625 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.AVIATION...
A large area of showers with embedded thunderstorms continues
between Del Rio and the I-35 TAF sites. This complex has been
impacting Del Rio through the overnight hours. Should start to see
the leading edge of the light rain moving into the San Antonio
and Austin sites later this morning. Once the activity moves in,
rain should be in the area for the remainder of the TAF period.
Will most likely not see prevailing rain the entire time, but for
simplicity sake with the TAFs will prevail showers with vicinity
thunder to cover all the threats. Ceilings and visibilities will
most likely be MVFR for much of the period with some patches of
VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016/

..LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING CONCERNS TODAY AND SUNDAY...

SHORT TERM (Today through Sunday)...
A wet pattern is ongoing early this morning across parts of the
Rio Grande Plains and Edwards Plateau. Showers and storms will be
moving to the northeast throughout the day and affect the Hill
Country and both Austin and San Antonio metropolitan areas,
especially this afternoon. The majority of HiRes and medium-range
model guidance are in good agreement on continuing with rain
chances through late Sunday. The combination of above average
precipitable water values (2 to 2.4 inches...merging of eastern
Pacific and Gulf moisture), several mid- level disturbances
pushing off the Mexican mountains into the Rio Grande Plains and a
cold front pushing as far south as the Hill Country later this
evening is likely to promote localized heavy rain and flash
flooding. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for areas west of A
Georgetown to San Antonio to Pleasanton line. Parts of the Rio
Grande Plains have already received 2 to 6 inches of rainfall
since Friday afternoon. New rainfall amounts of 2 to 6 inches are
possible with isolated 10 inches through late Sunday across the
watch area. The time frame for the heaviest rains is expected to
be this evening through Sunday morning. Our confidence is high on
the potential of localized heavy rain and flash flooding.
Therefore, if you live nearby rivers, small creeks or low water
crossing, we urge to plan ahead and closely monitor and visit our
website for the latest weather information.

LONG TERM (Sunday Night through Friday)...
Showers and storms continue through Tuesday of next week as
lingering moisture persists across South-Central Texas. By Tuesday
night into Wednesday, the sub-tropical upper level ridge builds
across the southern states and dries things out across South-
Central Texas for the most parts. There is a slight chance for
rain across the coastal Plains on Thursday and Friday afternoons
as sea- breeze kicks in. Mostly cloudy to cloudy skies are
expected for the first part of next week with temperatures in the
80s and lower 90s. As moisture departs and dry conditions come
back by the middle of the week, temperatures will go back into the
lower to mid 90s the latter part of the work week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              87  73  84  72  88 /  60  60  70  60  40
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  87  74  84  73  89 /  60  60  70  60  40
New Braunfels Muni Airport     87  74  84  73  89 /  50  70  70  60  40
Burnet Muni Airport            84  71  82  71  86 /  60  70  70  40  40
Del Rio Intl Airport           87  74  85  73  88 /  70  70  60  60  40
Georgetown Muni Airport        85  72  82  72  87 /  60  60  70  50  40
Hondo Muni Airport             87  74  85  73  89 /  60  80  70  60  40
San Marcos Muni Airport        87  73  84  73  89 /  50  60  70  60  40
La Grange - Fayette Regional   91  75  87  75  91 /  40  50  60  40  40
San Antonio Intl Airport       87  74  85  73  89 /  50  70  70  60  40
Stinson Muni Airport           89  75  86  74  91 /  50  70  70  60  40

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Sunday evening for the following
counties: Atascosa...Bandera...Bexar...Blanco...Burnet...Comal...
Dimmit...Edwards...Frio...Gillespie...Hays...Kendall...Kerr...
Kinney...Llano...Maverick...Medina...Real...Travis...Uvalde...Val
Verde...Williamson...Zavala.

&&

Mesoscale/Aviation...Hampshire
Synoptic/Grids...TB3

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
403 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-211100-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
403 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT...MOST NUMEROUS ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS TO THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND THE HILL COUNTRY. SOME STORMS
COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6
INCHES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS WEST OF A
GEORGETOWN TO SAN ANTONIO TO PLEASANTON LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ENHANCED THROUGH MONDAY OVER AREAS WEST OF
I-35 WHERE TOTAL RAIN AMOUNTS BETWEEN SATURDAY AND MONDAY COULD
AVERAGE 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE. EAST OF I-35...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. FLOODING MAY
DEVELOP DUE TO THE ONGOING SATURATED SOILS LEADING TO FASTER
RUNOFF.

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE FOR AREAS WEST OF A
GEORGETOWN TO SAN ANTONIO TO PLEASANTON LINE THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER SPOTTERS AND
COCORAHS OBSERVERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
442 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 AM     FLASH FLOOD      DEL RIO                 29.38N 100.90W
08/20/2016                   VAL VERDE          TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TWO ROADS IN DEL RIO ARE IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600605

HAMPSHIRE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
615 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BRACKETTVILLE           29.32N 100.41W
08/20/2016                   KINNEY             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROADWAYS ARE FLOODED WITH DEBRIS IN BRACKETVILLE

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600606

HAMPSHIRE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
715 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       8 NNW DEL RIO           29.48N 100.95W
08/20/2016  M6.70 INCH       VAL VERDE          TX   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 7 AM

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600607

CVP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
716 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 NNE ROCKSPRINGS       30.10N 100.17W
08/20/2016  M6.19 INCH       EDWARDS            TX   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 7 AM

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600608

CVP