Alert archive / New Mexico / Special Weather Statements in 2016
Special Weather Statement, NWS El Paso, TX
NWS El Paso, TX issued this special weather statement at May 18, 2016, 3:03 PM MDT for Doña Ana County, New Mexico. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 18, 2016, 3:03 PM MDT (21:03 UTC)
- Expired
- May 18, 2016, 3:45 PM MDT
- In force
- 42 min
- Issued by
- NWS El Paso, TX
County Doña Ana County, NM
The radar
The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 57 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 961 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 60 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 140 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 143 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 18, 1:38 PM MDT, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 18, 1:38 PM MDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 138 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2016 .SYNOPSIS... Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue into the early evening hours across the area. A few storms will become severe with large hail and gusty winds expected. Thunderstorms will taper off after midnight. A few showers or a thunderstorm will be possible again on Thursday, mainly over the higher terrain of Grant, Sierra, and Otero Counties. Drier weather will prevail Friday and through the weekend, with warm and breezy conditions returning. && .DISCUSSION... CORRECTED FOR TEMP/POP TABLE ONLY. Water Vapor imagery shows upper low currently over east-central Arizona with trailing trough and associated vort lobe to its south. Expect thunderstorm coverage to increase rapidly over the next 2 to 3 hours as this vort lobe moves into southeastern New Mexico. Various convection-allowing models including WRF runs from the University of Arizona and Texas Tech suggest multicell and supercell storms developing in a NW to SE arc by 20z, with cells moving NE to ENE. Already seeing some cells developing over the Black Range and west of Las Cruces, but the main "wave" of storms will likely develop further to the SW...perhaps where a few showers are now developing in Hidalgo County. 18z sounding continues to show steep mid-level lapse rates and strong deep-layer shear. Warm nose around 700 mb that was present at 12z has eroded significantly. As temperatures aloft continue to drop ahead of the upper low...lapse rates will steepen. Cap will erode quickly as low/mid-level clouds dissipate. Main threat continues to be large hail and to a lesser extent, wind. Storms will mainly shift east of the Rio Grande after dark...with activity diminishing to a few showers after midnight. The upper low will weaken into an open trough and shift east of the area tomorrow afternoon. A few pop-up convective showers or a thunderstorm will remain a risk into tomorrow, mainly over northern areas as a weak trough embedded in NW flow drifts through the area. We will transition back to a dry pattern with breezy to windy conditions heading into the weekend. && .AVIATION...19/00Z-20/00Z. Upper low/trough will be moving across the region over the next 24 hrs. Areas east of Rio Grande will be active to start period through 03Z with P6SM SCT-BKN050-070 BKN120-150 SCT-NMRS 1-3SM TSRAGS with wind gusts to 50KTS. From 03Z-18Z and for remainder of the area P6SM SCT-BKN040-060 with isolated to scattered -SHRA BKN020-030. After 15Z P6SM SCT-BKN060-080 with isolated to scattered -TSRA BKN040-060 over east and mountain areas. Winds generally east 5-15G25KTS thru 15Z before shifting to the west AOB 12KTS. && .FIRE WEATHER... Upper level trough will be moving across the region over the next day with some strong to severe storms possible through the early evening. On the back side of this system, flow will become more zonal for a day before becoming southwest going into early next week. This will generally keep dry conditions over the area but with increasing winds, especially starting Sunday and continuing through the first part of next week. There could be several days of critical conditions during this time as temperatures climb back into the mid 80s to lower 90s and relative humidities drop into the single digits to lower teens. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... El Paso 55 80 61 89 / 50 10 0 0 Sierra Blanca 52 78 56 86 / 50 10 0 0 Las Cruces 49 77 53 85 / 50 10 0 0 Alamogordo 50 76 55 85 / 60 20 0 0 Cloudcroft 37 56 42 64 / 70 40 20 0 Truth or Consequences 51 75 54 83 / 60 20 10 0 Silver City 44 72 49 78 / 30 20 0 0 Deming 48 77 53 86 / 30 10 0 0 Lordsburg 48 80 54 87 / 20 10 0 0 West El Paso Metro 56 79 61 88 / 50 10 0 0 Dell City 48 78 50 87 / 50 10 0 0 Fort Hancock 54 82 57 90 / 50 10 0 0 Loma Linda 50 75 56 83 / 50 10 0 0 Fabens 53 81 56 89 / 40 10 0 0 Santa Teresa 51 79 56 87 / 50 10 0 0 White Sands HQ 54 76 58 86 / 50 20 0 0 Jornada Range 46 76 52 85 / 50 30 0 0 Hatch 50 78 53 86 / 50 20 0 0 Columbus 52 80 56 88 / 30 10 0 0 Orogrande 52 77 55 86 / 50 20 0 0 Mayhill 39 63 45 73 / 70 40 10 0 Mescalero 41 64 44 73 / 60 30 10 0 Timberon 38 63 41 71 / 60 40 10 0 Winston 37 68 40 76 / 60 50 20 0 Hillsboro 46 74 50 82 / 50 30 0 0 Spaceport 48 75 53 83 / 50 20 0 0 Lake Roberts 34 72 39 79 / 50 30 0 0 Hurley 42 73 47 80 / 30 20 0 0 Cliff 40 77 45 84 / 30 20 0 0 Mule Creek 35 75 40 82 / 30 20 0 0 Faywood 44 74 48 81 / 40 20 0 0 Animas 50 80 53 88 / 20 0 0 0 Hachita 48 80 53 88 / 20 0 0 0 Antelope Wells 49 81 53 87 / 20 0 0 0 Cloverdale 46 77 50 82 / 20 10 0 0 && .EPZ Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NM...None. TX...None. && 25-Hardiman / 26-Grzywacz
Hazardous weather outlook, May 18, 6:36 AM MDT, 8 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM 636 AM MDT WED MAY 18 2016 NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-191245- UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE- SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY- SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL- UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN- EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES- NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY- CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN- WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET- SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET- EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA- WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY- NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN- SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES- RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY- 636 AM MDT WED MAY 18 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT IT WILL BE AN ACTIVE WEATHER DAY. AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASED MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA TO HELP FUEL SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING STRONG WINDS AND HAIL. THE THREAT FOR STRONG STORMS WILL LESSON BY LATE EVENING BUT OUR RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY MORNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WE WILL BE DRIER AND WARMER ON THURSDAY AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. THE WEEKEND WILL BE DRY WITH BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS. WE MAY SEE SOME FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ON SUNDAY. THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WILL CONTINUE OUR SUNNY WARM WEATHER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO OUR OFFICE VIA OUR 800 SPOTTER PHONE NUMBER OR VIA TWITTER USING OUR HANDLE @NWSELPASO
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 18, 2:17 PM MDT, 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX 217 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2016 NMZ409-410-412-182100- SIERRA COUNTY LAKES NM-CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN NM- NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY NM- 217 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN DONA ANA AND EAST CENTRAL SIERRA COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM MDT... AT 217 PM MDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM ON RADAR 11 MILES WEST OF NORTHRUP LANDING...OR 26 MILES WEST OF WHITE SANDS NATIONAL MONUMENT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... NORTHRUP LANDING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && LAT...LON 3283 10661 3296 10673 3316 10639 3288 10638 TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 240DEG 18KT 3290 10661 GRZYWACZ
Local storm report, May 18, 2:28 PM MDT, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
228 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0210 PM HAIL 2 NW LEASBURG 32.46N 106.90W
05/18/2016 M0.75 INCH DONA ANA NM TRAINED SPOTTER
PENNY SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.
&&
EVENT NUMBER EPZ1600205
LANEYSpecial weather statement, May 18, 2:44 PM MDT, 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX 244 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2016 NMZ401-402-182130- SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE NM-UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY NM- 244 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN GRANT COUNTY UNTIL 330 PM MDT... AT 244 PM MDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM ON RADAR 9 MILES NORTH OF BUCKHORN...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHWESTERN GRANT COUNTY. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LAT...LON 3321 10853 3308 10852 3308 10876 3321 10878 TIME...MOT...LOC 2044Z 262DEG 10KT 3318 10870 GRZYWACZ
Local storm report, May 18, 2:48 PM MDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
248 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0212 PM HAIL 1 WNW LEASBURG 32.46N 106.90W
05/18/2016 M1.00 INCH DONA ANA NM PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORT OF QUARTER SIZED HAIL NEAR LEASBURG.
&&
EVENT NUMBER EPZ1600206
LANEYSpecial weather statement, May 18, 2:48 PM MDT, 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX 248 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2016 NMZ404-405-182130- LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL NM- SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY NM- 248 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL HIDALGO COUNTY UNTIL 330 PM MDT... AT 247 PM MDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM ON RADAR 6 MILES EAST OF ROAD FORKS...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LORDSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LORDSBURG... INTERSTATE 10 THROUGH HIDALGO COUNTY. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LAT...LON 3210 10890 3228 10894 3237 10868 3210 10861 TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 258DEG 5KT 3221 10884 GRZYWACZ
Special weather statement, May 18, 3:03 PM MDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
303 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2016
NMZ407-411-182145-
SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY NM-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN NM-
303 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN DONA ANA AND
SOUTHEASTERN LUNA COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM MDT...
AT 303 PM MDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM ON
RADAR 15 MILES EAST OF COLUMBUS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KILBOURNE HOLE.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 3179 10751 3219 10722 3202 10690 3178 10721
3178 10750
TIME...MOT...LOC 2103Z 216DEG 31KT 3180 10738
GRZYWACZThe office that day
Everything else NWS El Paso, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 1:25 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Doña Ana | 50 min |
| May 18, 2:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 52 min |
| May 18, 2:17 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | 43 min | |
| May 18, 2:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Sierra | 42 min |
| May 18, 2:44 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Grant | 46 min |
| May 18, 2:48 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Hidalgo | 42 min |
| May 18, 3:08 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Sierra | 52 min |
| May 18, 3:11 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Sierra | 49 min |
| May 18, 3:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 43 min |
| May 18, 3:28 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Grant | 47 min |
| May 18, 3:43 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Doña Ana | 47 min |
| May 18, 3:50 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 40 min |
| May 18, 3:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 49 min |
| May 18, 3:59 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Otero | 46 min |
| May 18, 4:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Luna | 40 min |
| May 18, 4:11 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Doña Ana | 49 min |
| May 18, 4:15 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Grant | 45 min |
| May 18, 4:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana | 51 min |
| May 18, 4:35 PM MDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EPZ | Doña Ana | 3 hr |
| May 18, 4:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Luna | 38 min |
| May 18, 4:40 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Otero | 50 min |
| May 18, 4:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EPZ | Doña Ana, Luna | 50 min |
| May 18, 4:59 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Otero | 46 min |
| May 18, 5:02 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Sierra | 43 min |
| May 18, 5:11 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | 49 min | |
| May 18, 5:25 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | Otero | 50 min |
| May 18, 4:38 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | El Paso | 67 min |
| May 18, 4:57 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | EPZ | El Paso | 48 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in New Mexico, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.