Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS El Paso, TX

074 
WGUS64 KEPZ 091210
FFAEPZ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
610 AM MDT TUE AUG 9 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO...

.ABUNDANT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IS POISED TO MOVE BACK INTO
SOUTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO ON TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS MOISTURE WILL HELP
FUEL NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. THE FLASH FLOOD
THREAT MAY EXTEND INTO THURSDAY.

NMZ401>406-408-092200-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0002.160810T1200Z-160811T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIFF...BUCKHORN...GILA HOT SPRINGS...
MULE CREEK...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...HURLEY...FAYWOOD...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
LORDSBURG...RED ROCK...VIRDEN...ANTELOPE WELLS...ANIMAS...
HACHITA...CLOVERDALE...HILLSBORO...WINSTON
610 AM MDT TUE AUG 9 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS...LOWLANDS OF THE 
  BOOTHEEL...SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY...SOUTHERN 
  GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE...SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER 
  VALLEY...UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL AND UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY. 

* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT

* ABUNDANT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION 
  TUESDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL HELP FUEL NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND 
  THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY. MUCH OF THE AREA HAS ALREADY SEE A 
  FAIR AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION SO EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL COME 
  MORE QUICKLY. 

* EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL TO CAUSE RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL NORMALLY 
  DRY ARROYOS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. IN ADDITION EXCESSIVE 
  RUNOFF MAY IMPACT ISOLATED STRUCTURES NEAR STREAMS AND FLOOD 
  PRONE AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

ROGASH

876 
WGUS64 KEPZ 091713
FFAEPZ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1113 AM MDT TUE AUG 9 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO...

.ABUNDANT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IS MOVING BACK INTO SOUTHWESTERN
NEW MEXICO TODAY. THIS MOISTURE WILL HELP FUEL NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WHICH
COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT MAY EXTEND
INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

NMZ401>406-408-100115-
/O.EXT.KEPZ.FF.A.0002.160809T2100Z-160811T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIFF...BUCKHORN...GILA HOT SPRINGS...
MULE CREEK...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...HURLEY...FAYWOOD...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
LORDSBURG...RED ROCK...VIRDEN...ANTELOPE WELLS...ANIMAS...
HACHITA...CLOVERDALE...HILLSBORO...WINSTON
1113 AM MDT TUE AUG 9 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...ALL OFF GRANT AND HIDALGO COUNTIES AND THE WESTERN
  PORTION OF SIERRA COUNTY.

* FROM 3 PM MDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT

* ABUNDANT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IS MOVING INTO THE REGION TODAY
  WHICH WILL HELP FUEL NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON
  TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. MUCH OF THE AREA HAS ALREADY SEEN A
  FAIR AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION SO EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL COME MORE
  QUICKLY.

* EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL TO CAUSE RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL NORMALLY 
  DRY ARROYOS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. IN ADDITION EXCESSIVE 
  RUNOFF MAY IMPACT ISOLATED STRUCTURES NEAR STREAMS AND FLOOD 
  PRONE AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

321 
WGUS64 KEPZ 092125
FFAEPZ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
325 PM MDT TUE AUG 9 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS...

.ABUNDANT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IS MOVING BACK INTO SOUTHWESTERN
NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON. THIS MOISTURE WILL HELP FUEL NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. THE FLASH FLOOD
THREAT MAY EXTEND INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

NMZ407-409>417-TXZ418>424-101400-
/O.EXB.KEPZ.FF.A.0002.160810T0600Z-160811T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DEMING...COLUMBUS...
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...GARFIELD...HATCH...
RADIUM SPRINGS...LAS CRUCES...VADO...SUNLAND PARK...ALAMOGORDO...
TULAROSA...WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...CHAPARRAL...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...MESCALERO...TIMBERON...
MOUNTAIN PARK...CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...MAYHILL...
PINON...SACRAMENTO...CROW FLATS...DOWNTOWN EL PASO...
WEST EL PASO...UPPER VALLEY...EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO...
SOCORRO...FORT BLISS...HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...CORNUDAS...
DELL CITY...SALT FLAT...SIERRA BLANCA...FABENS...FORT HANCOCK...
TORNILLO...INDIAN HOT SPRINGS
325 PM MDT TUE AUG 9 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
EXPANDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO AND
  SOUTHWEST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...EL PASO AND
  HUDSPETH COUNTIES IN TEXAS AND OTERO, DONA ANA, LUNA AND EASTERN
  SIERRA COUNTIES IN NEW MEXICO.

* FROM MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT

* ABUNDANT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IS MOVING INTO THE REGION THIS
  EVENING WHICH WILL HELP FUEL NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
  TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THESE STORMS WILL BE EFFICIENT AT
  CREATING VERY HEAVY RAIN WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.

* EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL TO CAUSE RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL NORMALLY 
  DRY ARROYOS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. IN ADDITION EXCESSIVE 
  RUNOFF MAY IMPACT ISOLATED STRUCTURES NEAR STREAMS AND FLOOD 
  PRONE AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

NMZ401>406-408-101400-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160811T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIFF...BUCKHORN...GILA HOT SPRINGS...
MULE CREEK...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...HURLEY...FAYWOOD...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
LORDSBURG...RED ROCK...VIRDEN...ANTELOPE WELLS...ANIMAS...
HACHITA...CLOVERDALE...HILLSBORO...WINSTON
325 PM MDT TUE AUG 9 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...ALL OF GRANT AND HIDALGO AND THE WESTERN PART OF SIERRA
  COUNTY.

* THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT

* ABUNDANT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IS MOVING INTO THE REGION 
  TODAY WHICH WILL HELP FUEL NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
  ON TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. MUCH OF THE AREA HAS ALREADY SEEN 
  A FAIR AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION SO EXCESSIVE RUNOFF WILL COME 
  MORE QUICKLY. 

* EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL TO CAUSE RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL NORMALLY 
  DRY ARROYOS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. IN ADDITION EXCESSIVE 
  RUNOFF MAY IMPACT ISOLATED STRUCTURES NEAR STREAMS AND FLOOD 
  PRONE AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

133 
WGUS64 KEPZ 101320
FFAEPZ

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
720 AM MDT WED AUG 10 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS...

.ABUNDANT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO FLOW INTO
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THIS MOISTURE WILL HELP FUEL
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. THE FLASH FLOOD
THREAT MAY EXTEND INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-102200-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160811T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIFF...BUCKHORN...GILA HOT SPRINGS...
MULE CREEK...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...HURLEY...FAYWOOD...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
LORDSBURG...RED ROCK...VIRDEN...ANTELOPE WELLS...ANIMAS...
HACHITA...CLOVERDALE...DEMING...COLUMBUS...HILLSBORO...WINSTON...
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...GARFIELD...HATCH...
RADIUM SPRINGS...LAS CRUCES...VADO...SUNLAND PARK...ALAMOGORDO...
TULAROSA...WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...CHAPARRAL...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...MESCALERO...TIMBERON...
MOUNTAIN PARK...CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...MAYHILL...
PINON...SACRAMENTO...CROW FLATS...DOWNTOWN EL PASO...
WEST EL PASO...UPPER VALLEY...EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO...
SOCORRO...FORT BLISS...HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...CORNUDAS...
DELL CITY...SALT FLAT...SIERRA BLANCA...FABENS...FORT HANCOCK...
TORNILLO...INDIAN HOT SPRINGS
720 AM MDT WED AUG 10 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE 
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NEW MEXICO...CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN... 
  EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET...EASTERN 
  BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS...LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL...NORTHERN 
  DONA ANA COUNTY...OTERO MESA...SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 
  FEET...SIERRA COUNTY LAKES...SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA 
  VALLEY...SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY...SOUTHERN 
  GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE...SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN... 
  SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY...SOUTHWEST 
  DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN...UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL...UPPER GILA 
  RIVER VALLEY AND WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 
  FEET. IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS...EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY... 
  NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS...RIO GRANDE 
  VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES...RIO 
  GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY...SALT BASIN... 
  SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS AND WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY. 

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* ABUNDANT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO FLOW INTO SOUTHERN
  NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THIS MOISTURE WILL HELP FUEL NUMEROUS
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
  ISOLATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
  WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT MAY
  EXTEND INTO EARLY FRIDAY.

* EXPECT HEAVY RAINFALL TO CAUSE RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL NORMALLY 
  DRY ARROYOS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS. IN ADDITION EXCESSIVE 
  RUNOFF MAY IMPACT ISOLATED STRUCTURES NEAR STREAMS AND FLOOD 
  PRONE AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

ROGASH

873 
WGUS64 KEPZ 102110
FFAEPZ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
310 PM MDT WED AUG 10 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR
SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST TEXAS...

.ABUNDANT DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IS IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THIS MOISTURE WILL HELP FUEL SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
0.5 TO 1 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WHICH
COULD LEAD TO SOME ISOLATED FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREA AND FLOOD
PRONE REGIONS. THE THREAT OF WIDE SPREAD FLASH FLOODING WILL
LESSON BY THURSDAY.

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-110600-
/O.EXT.KEPZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160811T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLIFF...BUCKHORN...GILA HOT SPRINGS...
MULE CREEK...SILVER CITY...LAKE ROBERTS...KINGSTON...
FORT BAYARD...MIMBRES...HURLEY...FAYWOOD...GRANT COUNTY AIRPORT...
LORDSBURG...RED ROCK...VIRDEN...ANTELOPE WELLS...ANIMAS...
HACHITA...CLOVERDALE...DEMING...COLUMBUS...HILLSBORO...WINSTON...
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...DERRY...SPACEPORT...GARFIELD...HATCH...
RADIUM SPRINGS...LAS CRUCES...VADO...SUNLAND PARK...ALAMOGORDO...
TULAROSA...WHITE SANDS MONUMENT...CHAPARRAL...OROGRANDE...
WHITE SANDS RANGE HEADQUARTERS...MESCALERO...TIMBERON...
MOUNTAIN PARK...CLOUDCROFT...SUNSPOT...APACHE SUMMIT...MAYHILL...
PINON...SACRAMENTO...CROW FLATS...DOWNTOWN EL PASO...
WEST EL PASO...UPPER VALLEY...EAST AND NORTHEAST EL PASO...
SOCORRO...FORT BLISS...HUECO TANKS...LOMA LINDA...CORNUDAS...
DELL CITY...SALT FLAT...SIERRA BLANCA...FABENS...FORT HANCOCK...
TORNILLO...INDIAN HOT SPRINGS
310 PM MDT WED AUG 10 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS...INCLUDING THE
  FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NEW MEXICO...GRANT, HIDALGO, SIERRA, DONA
  ANA AND OTERO COUNTIES...AND IN TEXAS...EL PASO AND HUDSPETH
  COUNTIES.

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT

* ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE WAS IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW
  MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THIS MOISTURE WILL HELP FUEL SCATTERED
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
  0.5 TO 1 INCH WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE
  WHICH COULD LEAD TO ISOLATED FLOODING. THE THREAT OF WIDE SPREAD
  FLASH FLOODING WILL LESSON BY THURSDAY.

* EXPECT ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL TO CAUSE RUNOFF THAT WILL FILL
  NORMALLY DRY ARROYOS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND FLOOD PRONE
  AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
259 PM MDT MON AUG 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
We will see scattered mountain and isolated lowland thunderstorms
again this evening. For Tuesday through Thursday we will see
increasing chances of thunderstorms, some possible producing
flash flooding. Temperatures on Tuesday will not be as warm as
Monday, and could be a few degrees below normal for Wednesday and
Thursday. We will dry out some for Friday and Saturday, but rain
chances begin to increase again for Sunday and Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Upper level high pressure will again, some what, limit our
convection this evening, but changes are a'coming. Currently a
weak area of upper level high pressure was keeping a weak lid on
our convection, much as we have seen the last couple of days. We
will again see some very warm temperatures this afternoon so I
know that the moisture and above normal temperatures will do their
best to get some thunderstorms up and going. After today things
will begin to change. Just to our south lurks abundant deep
tropical moisture from tropical systems Earl and Javier. Starting
on Tuesday that moisture will begin to move up to the north.
Initially it will move into Southeast Arizona but by Wednesday
morning we will see deep tropical moisture across at least the
western zones. For now I have gone with a flash flood watch for
Grant and Hidalgo counties and the eastern slopes of the Black
Range. By late on Wednesday an upper level trough will approach
the region from the west and that will help push the deep
tropical moisture directly into our area, so we may need to
spread the flash flood watch further to the east for Thursday.

For Friday and Saturday on the back side of the upper trough we
will briefly see some drier air work into the region. Our
precipitable water values start out near 1.2 inches tonight and
then peak at 1.5 to 1.6 for Thursday afternoon before backing off
some to 1.2 for Friday and Saturday. We will see a slight down
turn in pops for Friday and Saturday as the "drier" air moves
in, but the GFS indicates that the drying trend will be temporary
as more moisture moves back in for Sunday and Monday. It looks
like we will again see a good chance for rain for the start of
next week because in addition to the increased moisture the GFS is
bringing a weak east push into the area which could help focus
convection. Right now the GFS is forecasting some very significant
rainfall totals, but the ECMWF is not nearly as bullish. For now
I will continue with the somewhat drier ECMWF solution.

Temperatures will be on a bit of a roller coaster this week as we
will be near 100 in the lowlands today. Then as the moisture
begins to move in we will see slightly cooler highs on Tuesday.
For Wednesday and Thursday's highs will depend on how much rain
and cloud cover there. For now I will go a few degrees below
normal which is not as dramatic as the GFS which is around 10
degrees below normal. Temperatures warm back up to seasonal
averages for Friday and Saturday before dipping back below normal
for Sunday and Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...Valid 09/00Z-10/00Z.
High pressure aloft will bring mostly vfr conditions with SCT070 and
SCT-BKN120. However sufficient moisture will flow into the region
for a few areas MVFR or isolated areas of IFR ceilings and
visibilities in showers and thunderstorms...mainly from 20z to 03z.
Wind gusts to 50 mph and heavy rains possible with any storms.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
High pressure aloft will bring above normal temperatures today and
Tuesday but sufficient moisture will flow into the region for mainly
isolated lowland and scattered mountain showers and thunderstorms.
Tuesday night...Wednesday and Thursday high pressure to the east and
low pressure west will combine transport very abundant moisture from
a tropical disturbance into southern New Mexico and west Texas
resulting in an increase in showers and thunderstorms along with
cooler temperatures. Heavy rains with possible flooding may occur
over a few locations Wednesday and Thursday. Thunderstorms may
diminish in coverage Friday and Saturday as drier air moves into the
region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                 74  97  71  91 /  20  20  40  30
Sierra Blanca           69  94  67  90 /  20  20  30  30
Las Cruces              69  95  67  88 /  20  20  40  40
Alamogordo              70  96  68  91 /  20  30  30  30
Cloudcroft              49  70  47  67 /  30  50  50  50
Truth or Consequences   69  93  66  84 /  30  20  30  40
Silver City             62  86  60  78 /  30  50  40  70
Deming                  68  95  66  86 /  30  30  40  70
Lordsburg               66  93  64  82 /  30  40  40  70
West El Paso Metro      73  97  70  90 /  20  20  40  30
Dell City               69  97  67  93 /  10  20  30  30
Fort Hancock            73  98  70  94 /  20  20  30  30
Loma Linda              69  92  65  87 /  20  20  40  30
Fabens                  72  98  69  93 /  20  20  30  30
Santa Teresa            71  96  69  90 /  20  20  40  30
White Sands HQ          71  95  69  88 /  30  20  40  40
Jornada Range           64  95  63  88 /  20  30  40  40
Hatch                   69  95  67  87 /  20  30  40  40
Columbus                69  96  67  87 /  30  20  40  70
Orogrande               70  95  69  90 /  20  20  30  30
Mayhill                 54  80  53  77 /  30  50  40  40
Mescalero               55  82  52  78 /  30  50  40  50
Timberon                53  80  51  76 /  30  50  40  40
Winston                 58  85  55  77 /  40  60  50  70
Hillsboro               65  93  62  85 /  40  50  40  70
Spaceport               66  93  64  85 /  20  20  40  40
Lake Roberts            55  86  52  78 /  40  60  40  70
Hurley                  63  89  60  81 /  30  40  40  70
Cliff                   58  93  58  82 /  30  40  40  70
Mule Creek              56  90  55  79 /  30  30  30  70
Faywood                 64  92  61  83 /  30  40  40  70
Animas                  67  93  65  82 /  30  30  40  70
Hachita                 66  94  65  84 /  30  40  40  70
Antelope Wells          65  91  63  81 /  30  40  40  70
Cloverdale              63  86  59  75 /  30  40  40  70

&&

.EPZ Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...Flash Flood Watch from Wednesday morning through late Wednesday
     night for NMZ401>406-408.

TX...None.
&&

Brice/Rogash

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1125 AM MDT MON AUG 8 2016

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-091730-
UPPER GILA RIVER VALLEY-SOUTHERN GILA HIGHLANDS/BLACK RANGE-
SOUTHERN GILA FOOTHILLS/MIMBRES VALLEY-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/LOWER GILA RIVER VALLEY-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
EASTERN BLACK RANGE FOOTHILLS-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES-
NORTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY-SOUTHERN DONA ANA COUNTY/MESILLA VALLEY-
CENTRAL TULAROSA BASIN-SOUTHERN TULAROSA BASIN-
WEST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS BELOW 7500 FEET-OTERO MESA-
WESTERN EL PASO COUNTY-EASTERN/CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY-
NORTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS/HUECO MOUNTAINS-SALT BASIN-
SOUTHERN HUDSPETH HIGHLANDS-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN EL PASO/WESTERN HUDSPETH COUNTIES-
RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF EASTERN HUDSPETH COUNTY-
1125 AM MDT MON AUG 8 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
WE WILL SEE ANOTHER DAY OF VERY WARM WEATHER WITH SCATTERED
MOUNTAIN AND ISOLATED LOWLAND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWLAND TEMPERATURES
WILL APPROACH THE TRIPLE DIGIT MARK. THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO
DEVELOP WILL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
STARTING TUESDAY OUR RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE AS
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES BACK INTO THE REGION. THE WILL BE AN
INCREASE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING STARTING FIRST TUESDAY NIGHT FOR
HIDALGO AND GRANT COUNTIES THEN SPREADING ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA
ON WEDNESDAY AND INTO THURSDAY. FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WE WILL
SEE A DOWN TURN IN OUR RAIN CHANCES BEFORE MOISTURE BEGINS TO
RETURN ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
154 PM MDT MON AUG 8 2016

NMZ405-406-082045-
UPLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL NM-LOWLANDS OF THE BOOTHEEL NM-
154 PM MDT MON AUG 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN HIDALGO COUNTY UNTIL
245 PM MDT...

AT 153 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6
MILES EAST OF CLOVERDALE...OR 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF ANTELOPE WELLS...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLOVERDALE...CAMP GARZA...GERONIMO PASS AND ANIMAS PEAK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3154 10905 3172 10889 3151 10864 3138 10897
      3150 10905
TIME...MOT...LOC 1953Z 239DEG 49KT 3146 10881

NOVLAN