Alert archive / Missouri / Wind Chill Advisories in 2016
Wind Chill Advisory 3, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this wind chill advisory at Dec 16, 2016, 3:12 PM CST for 37 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Kansas. It took effect at Dec 17, 2016, 9:00 PM CST. It was in force for 14 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 16, 2016, 3:12 PM CST (21:12 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 17, 2016, 9:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Dec 18, 2016, 11:25 AM CST
- In force
- 14 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
All 44 counties
Atchison County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Bates County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 748 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 428 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 292 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
927 WWUS43 KEAX 162112 WSWEAX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 312 PM CST FRI DEC 16 2016 ...FREEZING DRIZZLE...ACCUMULATING SNOW...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS EXPECTED... KSZ025-102-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-170515- /O.NEW.KEAX.WC.Y.0003.161218T0300Z-161218T1800Z/ /O.EXT.KEAX.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-161218T0300Z/ ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON- MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY- SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...WATHENA...ELWOOD...TROY... HIGHLAND...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...FAIRFAX...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY... ALBANY...STANBERRY...KING CITY...BETHANY...PRINCETON...MERCER... UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...QUEEN CITY...GREENTOP...DOWNING... GLENWOOD...MOUND CITY...OREGON...MAITLAND...FOREST CITY...CRAIG... SAVANNAH...COUNTRY CLUB VILLA...MAYSVILLE...STEWARTSVILLE... OSBORN...UNION STAR...CLARKSDALE...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT... TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH AIRPORT... ST. JOSEPH...CAMERON...PLATTSBURG...LATHROP...HAMILTON... BRAYMER...POLO...BRECKENRIDGE...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD... MARCELINE...MACON...LA PLATA 312 PM CST FRI DEC 16 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST SATURDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO NOON CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO NOON CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT NORTHERN MISSOURI WITH ACTIVITY CONTINUING OVERNIGHT BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SNOW SATURDAY MORNING. ALL ACTIVITY SHOULD COME TO AN END BY SATURDAY EVENING. * WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT...TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL APPROACH UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH BY SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SNOW. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FROM ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE LIKELY ON SATURDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS FOLLOWED BY ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS ROADWAYS AND TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * OTHER IMPACTS...THE LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL CAUSE FROST BITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054-170515- /O.NEW.KEAX.WC.Y.0003.161218T0300Z-161218T1800Z/ /O.EXT.KEAX.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-161218T0300Z/ MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY- CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS- JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...OSAWATOMIE...LOUISBURG... PLEASANTON...LA CYGNE...MOUND CITY...FORT LEAVENWORTH... LEAVENWORTH...LANSING...KANSAS CITY KANSAS...OVERLAND PARK... STANLEY...OLATHE...SHAWNEE...LENEXA...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY... RIVERSIDE...WEATHERBY LAKE...WESTON...GLADSTONE...LIBERTY... EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...LAWSON...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY... BRUNSWICK...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE... ODESSA...HIGGINSVILLE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...GLASGOW...NEW FRANKLIN...BELTON...RAYMORE... HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA... BOONVILLE...BUTLER...ADRIAN...RICH HILL...CLINTON...WINDSOR 312 PM CST FRI DEC 16 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST SATURDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO NOON CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO NOON CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES MAY TEMPORARILY WARM ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT IN SOME AREAS...ENDING THE INITIAL THREAT OF FREEZING DRIZZLE. HOWEVER...AS TEMPERATURES COOL SATURDAY MORNING...FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SNOW MID TO LATE MORNING SATURDAY. ALL ACTIVITY SHOULD COME TO AN END BY SATURDAY EVENING. * WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT...TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SNOW. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FROM TWO TO FOUR INCHES ARE LIKELY ON SATURDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS FOLLOWED BY ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS ROADWAYS AND TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * OTHER IMPACTS...THE LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL CAUSE FROST BITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ BLAIR
6 follow-up statements
544 WWUS43 KEAX 170423 WSWEAX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1023 PM CST FRI DEC 16 2016 ...FREEZING DRIZZLE...ACCUMULATING SNOW...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS EXPECTED... KSZ025-102-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-171230- /O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-161218T0300Z/ /O.CON.KEAX.WC.Y.0003.161218T0300Z-161218T1800Z/ ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON- MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY- SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...WATHENA...ELWOOD...TROY... HIGHLAND...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...FAIRFAX...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY... ALBANY...STANBERRY...KING CITY...BETHANY...PRINCETON...MERCER... UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...QUEEN CITY...GREENTOP...DOWNING... GLENWOOD...MOUND CITY...OREGON...MAITLAND...FOREST CITY...CRAIG... SAVANNAH...COUNTRY CLUB VILLA...MAYSVILLE...STEWARTSVILLE... OSBORN...UNION STAR...CLARKSDALE...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT... TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH AIRPORT... ST. JOSEPH...CAMERON...PLATTSBURG...LATHROP...HAMILTON... BRAYMER...POLO...BRECKENRIDGE...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD... MARCELINE...MACON...LA PLATA 1023 PM CST FRI DEC 16 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST SATURDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO NOON CST SUNDAY... * TIMING...FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT NORTHERN MISSOURI OVERNIGHT BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SNOW SATURDAY MORNING. ALL ACTIVITY SHOULD COME TO AN END BY SATURDAY EVENING. * WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT...TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL APPROACH UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH BY SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SNOW. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FROM ONE TO THREE INCHES ARE LIKELY ON SATURDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS FOLLOWED BY ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS ROADWAYS AND TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * OTHER IMPACTS...THE LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL CAUSE FROST BITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054-171230- /O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-161218T0300Z/ /O.CON.KEAX.WC.Y.0003.161218T0300Z-161218T1800Z/ MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY- CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS- JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...OSAWATOMIE...LOUISBURG... PLEASANTON...LA CYGNE...MOUND CITY...FORT LEAVENWORTH... LEAVENWORTH...LANSING...KANSAS CITY KANSAS...OVERLAND PARK... STANLEY...OLATHE...SHAWNEE...LENEXA...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY... RIVERSIDE...WEATHERBY LAKE...WESTON...GLADSTONE...LIBERTY... EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...LAWSON...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY... BRUNSWICK...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE... ODESSA...HIGGINSVILLE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...GLASGOW...NEW FRANKLIN...BELTON...RAYMORE... HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA... BOONVILLE...BUTLER...ADRIAN...RICH HILL...CLINTON...WINDSOR 1023 PM CST FRI DEC 16 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST SATURDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM SATURDAY TO NOON CST SUNDAY... * TIMING...PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES MAY TEMPORARILY WARM ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT IN SOME AREAS... ENDING THE INITIAL THREAT OF FREEZING DRIZZLE. HOWEVER...AS TEMPERATURES COOL SATURDAY MORNING...FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SNOW MID TO LATE MORNING SATURDAY. ALL ACTIVITY SHOULD COME TO AN END BY SATURDAY EVENING. * WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT...TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SNOW. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS FROM TWO TO FOUR INCHES ARE LIKELY ON SATURDAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS FOLLOWED BY ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS ROADWAYS AND TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * OTHER IMPACTS...THE LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL CAUSE FROST BITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
792 WWUS43 KEAX 171034 WSWEAX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 434 AM CST SAT DEC 17 2016 ...FREEZING DRIZZLE...ACCUMULATING SNOW...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS EXPECTED... KSZ025-102-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-172200- /O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-161218T0300Z/ /O.CON.KEAX.WC.Y.0003.161218T0300Z-161218T1800Z/ ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON- MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY- SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...WATHENA...ELWOOD...TROY... HIGHLAND...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...FAIRFAX...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY... ALBANY...STANBERRY...KING CITY...BETHANY...PRINCETON...MERCER... UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...QUEEN CITY...GREENTOP...DOWNING... GLENWOOD...MOUND CITY...OREGON...MAITLAND...FOREST CITY...CRAIG... SAVANNAH...COUNTRY CLUB VILLA...MAYSVILLE...STEWARTSVILLE... OSBORN...UNION STAR...CLARKSDALE...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT... TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH AIRPORT... ST. JOSEPH...CAMERON...PLATTSBURG...LATHROP...HAMILTON... BRAYMER...POLO...BRECKENRIDGE...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD... MARCELINE...MACON...LA PLATA 434 AM CST SAT DEC 17 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST SUNDAY... * TIMING...FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT NORTHERN MISSOURI THIS MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO SNOW BY LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. ALL ACTIVITY SHOULD COME TO AN END LATER THIS EVENING. * WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT...TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO FOUR INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY. ICE ACCUMULATION FOLLOWED BY SNOW WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS ROADWAYS AND TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * OTHER IMPACTS...THE LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL CAUSE FROST BITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054-172200- /O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-161218T0300Z/ /O.CON.KEAX.WC.Y.0003.161218T0300Z-161218T1800Z/ MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY- CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS- JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...OSAWATOMIE...LOUISBURG... PLEASANTON...LA CYGNE...MOUND CITY...FORT LEAVENWORTH... LEAVENWORTH...LANSING...KANSAS CITY KANSAS...OVERLAND PARK... STANLEY...OLATHE...SHAWNEE...LENEXA...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY... RIVERSIDE...WEATHERBY LAKE...WESTON...GLADSTONE...LIBERTY... EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...LAWSON...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY... BRUNSWICK...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE... ODESSA...HIGGINSVILLE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...GLASGOW...NEW FRANKLIN...BELTON...RAYMORE... HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA... BOONVILLE...BUTLER...ADRIAN...RICH HILL...CLINTON...WINDSOR 434 AM CST SAT DEC 17 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST SUNDAY... * TIMING...PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE AREA THIS MORNING BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO STEADY SNOW LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALL ACTIVITY SHOULD COME TO AN BY LATE TONIGHT. * WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT...TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH WILL WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS TRAVEL THIS MORNING. TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO FOUR INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS FOLLOWED BY ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS ROADWAYS AND TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * OTHER IMPACTS...THE LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL CAUSE FROST BITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
711 WWUS43 KEAX 172133 WSWEAX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 333 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2016 KSZ025-102-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-180545- /O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-161218T0300Z/ /O.CON.KEAX.WC.Y.0003.161218T0300Z-161218T1800Z/ ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON- MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY- SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...WATHENA...ELWOOD...TROY... HIGHLAND...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...FAIRFAX...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY... ALBANY...STANBERRY...KING CITY...BETHANY...PRINCETON...MERCER... UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...QUEEN CITY...GREENTOP...DOWNING... GLENWOOD...MOUND CITY...OREGON...MAITLAND...FOREST CITY...CRAIG... SAVANNAH...COUNTRY CLUB VILLA...MAYSVILLE...STEWARTSVILLE... OSBORN...UNION STAR...CLARKSDALE...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT... TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH AIRPORT... ST. JOSEPH...CAMERON...PLATTSBURG...LATHROP...HAMILTON... BRAYMER...POLO...BRECKENRIDGE...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD... MARCELINE...MACON...LA PLATA 333 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST SUNDAY... * TIMING...PERIODS OF MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOULD COME TO AN END LATER THIS EVENING. * WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW...WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS ROADWAYS AND TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * OTHER IMPACTS...THE LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL CAUSE FROST BITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$ KSZ057-060-103>105-MOZ028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054-180545- /O.CON.KEAX.WW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-161218T0300Z/ /O.CON.KEAX.WC.Y.0003.161218T0300Z-161218T1800Z/ MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY- CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS- JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...OSAWATOMIE...LOUISBURG... PLEASANTON...LA CYGNE...MOUND CITY...FORT LEAVENWORTH... LEAVENWORTH...LANSING...KANSAS CITY KANSAS...OVERLAND PARK... STANLEY...OLATHE...SHAWNEE...LENEXA...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY... RIVERSIDE...WEATHERBY LAKE...WESTON...GLADSTONE...LIBERTY... EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...LAWSON...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY... BRUNSWICK...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE... ODESSA...HIGGINSVILLE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...GLASGOW...NEW FRANKLIN...BELTON...RAYMORE... HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA... BOONVILLE...BUTLER...ADRIAN...RICH HILL...CLINTON...WINDSOR 333 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST SUNDAY... * TIMING...PERIODS OF MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. SNOW SHOULD COME TO AN END BEFORE MIDNIGHT. * WIND CHILL VALUES...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL FALL TO 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT...TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH BLOWING SNOW...WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS ROADWAYS AND TRAVEL CONDITIONS. * OTHER IMPACTS...THE LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL CAUSE FROST BITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
178 WWUS43 KEAX 180412 WSWEAX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1012 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2016 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-181800- /O.CON.KEAX.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-161218T1800Z/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...OSAWATOMIE... LOUISBURG...PLEASANTON...LA CYGNE...MOUND CITY...WATHENA... ELWOOD...TROY...HIGHLAND...FORT LEAVENWORTH...LEAVENWORTH... LANSING...KANSAS CITY KANSAS...OVERLAND PARK...STANLEY...OLATHE... SHAWNEE...LENEXA...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...FAIRFAX...MARYVILLE... GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...KING CITY...BETHANY... PRINCETON...MERCER...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...QUEEN CITY... GREENTOP...DOWNING...GLENWOOD...OREGON...MAITLAND...FOREST CITY... CRAIG...SAVANNAH...COUNTRY CLUB VILLA...MAYSVILLE... STEWARTSVILLE...OSBORN...UNION STAR...CLARKSDALE...GALLATIN... JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE... ST. JOSEPH AIRPORT...ST. JOSEPH...CAMERON...PLATTSBURG... LATHROP...HAMILTON...BRAYMER...POLO...BRECKENRIDGE... CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MARCELINE...MACON...LA PLATA... PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...RIVERSIDE...WEATHERBY LAKE...WESTON... GLADSTONE...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...LAWSON... CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...BRUNSWICK...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...ODESSA...HIGGINSVILLE...LEXINGTON... CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...GLASGOW...NEW FRANKLIN... BELTON...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG... SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...ADRIAN...RICH HILL...CLINTON... WINDSOR 1012 PM CST SAT DEC 17 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY... * TIMING...BRUTALLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. * WIND CHILL VALUES...WILL FALL TO 15 TO 30 BELOW ZERO LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT...THE LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL CAUSE FROST BITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
821 WWUS43 KEAX 180813 WSWEAX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 213 AM CST SUN DEC 18 2016 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-181800- /O.CON.KEAX.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-161218T1800Z/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...OSAWATOMIE... LOUISBURG...PLEASANTON...LA CYGNE...MOUND CITY...WATHENA... ELWOOD...TROY...HIGHLAND...FORT LEAVENWORTH...LEAVENWORTH... LANSING...KANSAS CITY KANSAS...OVERLAND PARK...STANLEY...OLATHE... SHAWNEE...LENEXA...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...FAIRFAX...MARYVILLE... GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...KING CITY...BETHANY... PRINCETON...MERCER...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...QUEEN CITY... GREENTOP...DOWNING...GLENWOOD...OREGON...MAITLAND...FOREST CITY... CRAIG...SAVANNAH...COUNTRY CLUB VILLA...MAYSVILLE... STEWARTSVILLE...OSBORN...UNION STAR...CLARKSDALE...GALLATIN... JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE... ST. JOSEPH AIRPORT...ST. JOSEPH...CAMERON...PLATTSBURG... LATHROP...HAMILTON...BRAYMER...POLO...BRECKENRIDGE... CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MARCELINE...MACON...LA PLATA... PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...RIVERSIDE...WEATHERBY LAKE...WESTON... GLADSTONE...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...LAWSON... CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...BRUNSWICK...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...ODESSA...HIGGINSVILLE...LEXINGTON... CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...GLASGOW...NEW FRANKLIN... BELTON...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG... SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...ADRIAN...RICH HILL...CLINTON... WINDSOR 213 AM CST SUN DEC 18 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY... * TIMING...DANGEROUS WINDCHILLS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING BEFORE RISING ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. * WIND CHILL VALUES...15 TO 30 BELOW ZERO WILL BE COMMON THIS MORNING. * MAIN IMPACT...THE LOW WIND CHILL VALUES WILL CAUSE FROST BITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. && $$
752 WWUS43 KEAX 181725 WSWEAX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1125 AM CST SUN DEC 18 2016 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-181830- /O.CAN.KEAX.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-161218T1800Z/ ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...OSAWATOMIE... LOUISBURG...PLEASANTON...LA CYGNE...MOUND CITY...WATHENA... ELWOOD...TROY...HIGHLAND...FORT LEAVENWORTH...LEAVENWORTH... LANSING...KANSAS CITY KANSAS...OVERLAND PARK...STANLEY...OLATHE... SHAWNEE...LENEXA...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...FAIRFAX...MARYVILLE... GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...KING CITY...BETHANY... PRINCETON...MERCER...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...QUEEN CITY... GREENTOP...DOWNING...GLENWOOD...OREGON...MAITLAND...FOREST CITY... CRAIG...SAVANNAH...COUNTRY CLUB VILLA...MAYSVILLE... STEWARTSVILLE...OSBORN...UNION STAR...CLARKSDALE...GALLATIN... JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE... ST. JOSEPH AIRPORT...ST. JOSEPH...CAMERON...PLATTSBURG... LATHROP...HAMILTON...BRAYMER...POLO...BRECKENRIDGE... CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MARCELINE...MACON...LA PLATA... PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...RIVERSIDE...WEATHERBY LAKE...WESTON... GLADSTONE...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...LAWSON... CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...BRUNSWICK...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...ODESSA...HIGGINSVILLE...LEXINGTON... CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...GLASGOW...NEW FRANKLIN... BELTON...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG... SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...ADRIAN...RICH HILL...CLINTON... WINDSOR 1125 AM CST SUN DEC 18 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL HAS CANCELLED THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MODERATE THIS MORNING, AND WITH WIND SPEEDS RELAXING, DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS HAVE ENDED. STILL, AIR TEMPERATURES REMAIN BETWEEN 5 BELOW TO THE SINGLE DIGITS. ANY PROLONGED PERIOD OUTDOORS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THE BODY IF NOT PROPERLY PROTECTED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Dec 16, 11:15 AM CST, 3 hours 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 16, 11:15 AM CST, 3 hours 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1115 AM CST Fri Dec 16 2016
.Discussion...
Issued at 336 AM CST FRI DEC 16 2016
...MAJOR WINTER IMPACTS POSSIBLE TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND...
Quite a lot to get to this morning...so we might as well dive right
in. First things first with initial concerns focused on freezing
drizzle potential today as the first in a series of lead shortwaves
targets the area. Regional radar mosaic showing plenty of light
returns across south-central Kansas and north-central Oklahoma in a
developing warm air advection regime. Biggest concerns going forward
today revolve around just how warm our area will get this afternoon
as stout cloud cover and wet-bulb thermal effects remain factors as
we move forward. Fcst soundings from across the area continue to show
poor boundary layer saturation this morning and any developing
drizzle will first have to moisten the lwr column before reaching the
surface. Took a gamble with temp trends today in an attempt to show a
cooler than model guidance fcst as the two above concerns could very
well keep things cooler than operational model guidance suggests.
Under this scenario...freezing drizzle would have the potential of
impacting a good portion of our fcst area to include the KC Metro
before temps finally warmed above freezing late this afternoon as
warm air nudges into the area from the south. In response to the
potential cooler temps...have elected to extend the winter wx
advisory further south to account for minor glaze icing concerns on
untreated surfaces. While we don't anticipate widespread icing
(maybe a glaze or slightly better)...the potential exists for impacts
on local roadways...especially bridges and overpasses. With clouds
and precip around the region today...high temps will be limited to
the upper 20s up north...with mid (maybe upper) 30s south of the
Route 50 corridor.
While initial wave ejects to the east overnight...precip chances
south of Route 36 should gradually come to an end this evening.
Models still suggest precip should persist through the night for
areas north of Route 36 as additional shortwave energy approaches
from the northwest and region largely remains north of approaching
sfc low. With temps still expected to be subfreezing...see no reason
to alter inherited winter wx advisory for the two northern tiers of
counties.
Fcst becomes much more interesting as we go through the day on
Saturday as cold air rapidly overspreads the region following the
passage of the main cold front Saturday morning. Models beginning to
converge on what may be a wintery scenario for much of the area as
deformation band snowfall appears increasingly possible out ahead of
main 700-hPa trough axis which will pass Saturday night. What makes
this case increasingly worrisome is the very cold temperatures which
will accompany any snowfall...with snow ratios on the order of 20 and
maybe 25:1 as temps quickly plummet into the teens and possibly upper
single digits. Model cross sections through the snowband show
sloping regions of frontogenesis with omega maxed out at over 20
ubars/sec immediately above...with the -15C isotherm smack-dab in the
middle of the omega max. Furthermore...theta-e contours indicate
convective instability aloft which combined with frontogenetical
forcing...could lead to very effect snowfall production if current
model projections come to fruition. Right now...GFS/ECMWF/Canadian-
Global agree favorably with main heavy QPF axis extending in a
southwest-northeast fashion directly over the KC Metro. Current fcst
this morning calls for 3-4" of snow before all is said and
done...however with expected snowfall ratios due to very cold
temps...this morning's fcst could be undercutting totals by an inch
or two. For what its worth...local BUFKIT Cobb output suggests close
to 8" for both MCI and MKC. To be clear...these totals are still very
preliminary and models are just beginning to converge on a solution.
Hopefully confidence will increase as we get closer to event start
time but if current model signals are maintained...additional winter
headlines will most certainly be needed.
Of tertiary concern this morning...very cold temps/windchills
expected across the region Saturday night and Sunday. If snow does
fall and skies clear as currently anticipated...many will be waking
up to subzero temperatures Sunday morning thanks to a fresh blanket
of snowfall. Windchill headlines will likely be needed to round out
the weekend.
Following this...warmer air begins to move back into the area on
Monday with dry conditions pretty much persisting through the holiday
week.
&&
.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1113 AM CST FRI DEC 16 2016
See no reason to deviate from prevailing IFR conditions. Upstream
observations even suggest visibility may need to be lowered in the
next few hours as higher rate of freezing drizzle moves into the
area. Low cigs continue overnight along with wind shift. Another
round of freezing drizzle Sat AM, changing to snow.
&&
.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for KSZ025-
057-060-102>105.
MO...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for
MOZ020>025-028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054.
Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST Saturday for MOZ001>008-
011>017.
&&
Discussion...32
Aviation...BlairHazardous weather outlook, Dec 16, 4:43 AM CST, 10 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 443 AM CST FRI DEC 16 2016 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-171045- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS- ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER- HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON- CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON- RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS- COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 443 AM CST FRI DEC 16 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA NORTH OF A PAOLA TO MACON LINE TODAY. LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATION WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 36 HOWEVER, NORTH OF HIGHWAY 36 FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY INTO TONIGHT WITH AS MUCH AS A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY SATURDAY MORNING FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW WITH A LARGE SWATH OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA INCLUDING THE KC METRO. SNOW WILL COME TO AN END BY SATURDAY NIGHT. SUNDAY MORNING, DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS OF 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO WILL AFFECT THE ENTIRE AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL ONLY REACH THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS TO THE MIDDLE TEENS. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO
Nearby
Wind Chill Advisories in Missouri, 2016Wind Chill Advisories in Kansas, 2016Every wind chill advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.