Severe Thunderstorm Warning 208, NWS Kansas City, MO

358 
WWUS53 KEAX 292328
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
628 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

MOC197-300000-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0208.000000T0000Z-160830T0000Z/
SCHUYLER MO-
628 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR SCHUYLER COUNTY...

AT 628 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR QUEEN
CITY...OR 9 MILES SOUTH OF LANCASTER...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.
THE ORIGINAL STORM HAS COLLAPSED AND A NEW STORM HAS FORMED JUST
SOUTHWEST OF THE ORIGINAL STORM.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LANCASTER...QUEEN CITY...DOWNING AND GLENWOOD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4047 9235 4035 9235 4034 9243 4035 9250
      4048 9270 4058 9257 4059 9252
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 056DEG 5KT 4039 9248 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JULY

858 
WWUS53 KEAX 292337
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
637 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

MOC197-300000-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0208.000000T0000Z-160830T0000Z/
SCHUYLER MO-
637 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN SCHUYLER COUNTY...

AT 637 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GREENTOP...OR
11 MILES SOUTH OF LANCASTER...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
QUEEN CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4041 9238 4035 9235 4034 9243 4035 9250
      4040 9258 4046 9247
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 035DEG 6KT 4036 9247 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JULY

048 
WWUS53 KEAX 292354
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
654 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

MOC197-300004-
/O.EXP.KEAX.SV.W.0208.000000T0000Z-160830T0000Z/
SCHUYLER MO-
654 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SCHUYLER COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM CDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 4041 9238 4035 9235 4034 9243 4035 9250
      4040 9258 4046 9247
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 130DEG 17KT 4036 9247 

$$

JULY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
410 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 409 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

Tail end of August continues to look rather wet, at least for the
next couple of days. Scattered thunderstorms are bubbling up today
across the region as the boundary layer heats up and reaches the
convective temperature. Thus far, the lack of organizing shear has
meant that storms this afternoon are going up and raining themselves
out, pushing out a little outflow boundary that helps the next set
of storms to get going. Expectations for the rest of the afternoon
are that much of the bubbling activity will subside as the sun sets
and we lose our insolation. However, stepping back to look at the
bigger picture, a shortwave trough is noted exiting the Four Corners
region northeast into the Central Plains today, which will help focus
the nocturnal jet across central Kansas with a notable warm air wing
of convection expected to lift north through northern Missouri
overnight.

For Tonight...scattered thunderstorms are expected to persist well
into the overnight hour with the help of persistent warm air
advection. Current set of model runs, plus satellite and radar data,
all point at the bubbling afternoon storms fading out this evening
with remnant storms congealing into a small complex in southeast
Nebraska. With precipitable water values running around 2 inches, and
0-6KM shear values topping out between 15 and 20 knots, expectations
are that the advertised activity for overnight would be favorable for
flash flooding up across extreme northeast Kansas into far Northwest
Missouri as any storms tonight will be efficient rain makers. As a
result, have issued a flash flood watch for parts of extreme
northeast Kansas and far northwest Missouri to go tonight through the
day Tuesday.

Speaking of Tuesday...storms may be ongoing Tuesday morning from
overnight activity that was fueled by the nocturnal jet, or some
outflow feature from activity in Nebraska overnight. Either way,
more storm activity is expected to spread across the region during
the day Tuesday with a lot of focus on northern Missouri. As a
result, kept flash flood warning going out through 00Z Wednesday.

Wednesday...storms will settle south with a possible boundary across
central Missouri --from Tuesday's activity-- that will likely result
in, at a minimum, part of a day of thunderstorm activity. These
storms will likely bring still more heavy rain.

After Wednesday...with a frontal boundary settling south we will
finally dry out the region for a few days as precipitable water
values fall to less than 1 inch, which will be a nice change from
the humidity of late. This will result in a few days of cooler
temperatures --highs in the 70s to lower 80s--. Next big chance for
storms then looks to arrive early next work week.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 103 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

VFR conditions will likely prevail at all the terminals over the next
24 hours, though there will be a threat of VCTS late this afternoon
and evening. Confidence is not high enough to warrant including a
TEMPO or FM group in the TAF sites at this time owing to the poor
predictability of today's storms. Expect any stormy activity today
to fade this evening with the loss of day time heating, but will have
to watch for another round of storms later Tuesday.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for KSZ025-102.

MO...Flash Flood Watch through Tuesday evening for MOZ001-002-011-012-
     020.

&&

Discussion...Cutter
Aviation...Cutter

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
526 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-301030-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
526 AM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH THE BEST
CHANCES OCCURRING DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A COUPLE
STORMS MAY BE STRONG WITH GUSTY DOWNBURST WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
AREAWIDE. LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY WEATHER HAZARD
WITH THESE STORMS.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
554 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

MOZ005-292330-
HARRISON MO-
554 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL HARRISON
COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

AT 552 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR NEW HAMPTON TO 6 MILES EAST OF BETHANY.
THE STORMS WERE DRIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AT 5-10 MPH. WHEN THEY
COLLAPSE THEY WILL LIKELY SEND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES IN ALL DIRECTIONS.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BETHANY...RIDGEWAY...NEW HAMPTON...MOUNT MORIAH AND MARTINSVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 IN MISSOURI BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 85 AND
103.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 4015 9376 4016 9422 4042 9422 4042 9377
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 135DEG 13KT 4032 9412 4026 9390

JULY