Severe Thunderstorm Warning 198, NWS Kansas City, MO

304 
WWUS53 KEAX 250303
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1003 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

MOC101-107-250312-
/O.CAN.KEAX.SV.W.0198.000000T0000Z-160825T0330Z/
LAFAYETTE MO-JOHNSON MO-
1003 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE AND
NORTHEASTERN JOHNSON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3878 9349 3907 9348 3915 9284 3875 9295
TIME...MOT...LOC 0302Z 261DEG 26KT 3898 9320 

$$

MOC053-089-159-195-250330-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0198.000000T0000Z-160825T0330Z/
PETTIS MO-COOPER MO-SALINE MO-HOWARD MO-
1003 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN PETTIS...WESTERN COOPER...SOUTHERN SALINE AND WEST
CENTRAL HOWARD COUNTIES...

AT 1002 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHEAST
OF HOUSTONIA...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF MARSHALL...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARSHALL...SWEET SPRINGS...LA MONTE...PILOT GROVE...HOUSTONIA...
NELSON...HUGHESVILLE...BLACKWATER...ARROW ROCK AND CLIFTON CITY.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 IN MISSOURI BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 64 AND
94.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3878 9349 3907 9348 3915 9284 3875 9295
TIME...MOT...LOC 0302Z 261DEG 26KT 3898 9320 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MELL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
648 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 327 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

Well-advertised cold front is currently draped across southeastern NE
into west-central IA, aiding in blossoming up convection. Out ahead
of the frontal boundary, residing within the warm sector is this
forecast area. Despite showers and cloud cover that has persisted
throughout much of the day, plentiful instability is available and
coincides with increasing 0-6km shear values. Additionally, ample
moisture has been pooling in with PWATs approaching 2 inches, perhaps
exceeding the 2 inch mark by later this evening. LL lapse rates have
been much better today as compared to yesterday across the southern
half of the forecast area. To bring it all together, severe threat
looks to be on track to pan out this afternoon into the evening hours
with the primary hazard continuing to be gusty to damaging winds.
Hail and perhaps a brief tornado cannot be ruled out, with hail found
in any stronger storm that may develop and be able to maintain a
decently organized updraft.

As the sun sets and diurnal heating is lost, the severe threat could
persist into the late evening hours but overall, the event will
transition into more of a hydro situation that bears watching. As
aforementioned, PWAT values are more than sufficient to allow for
efficient rain producers and combining the available moisture with
training of storms yields the opportunity for locations to experience
flooding issues, despite the relatively high flash flood guidance for
many locations. Parallel flow riding over the front as it slows and
eventually stalls will allow for continued firing of convection over
the same locations tonight. Models have been trending further
southward with the bullseye and given the current observational
trends, have agreed with this assessment, thereby prompting the Flash
Flood Watch to be expanded to include the KC metro area. Much of the
main activity should diminish by sunrise Thursday as the nocturnal
LLJ winds down, although showers and storms may very well persist
into the mid-morning hours.

For the remainder of the forecast period, it continues to remain
unsettled looking with perhaps another round of moderate to heavy
rainfall to happen tomorrow night. Ridging to the south and east is
allowing for perturbations to ride its periphery right across the
local region and southerly to southwesterly flow to allow for a
continued source of moisture advecting in. Temperatures throughout
the rest of the week into next week look to remain near normal for
this time of year with the coolest day forecast for Friday behind the
front that'll wash out to the south of the area.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 645 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

Expecting a large area of strong convection with heavy rains to
affect northern and west central MO and eastern KS this evening into
early Thursday morning. As the storms congeal expect widespread MVFR
ceilings/visibilities with the stronger storms as well as brief
periods of IFR ceilings. The convection should weaken as it exits
into northeast and east central MO by the pre-dawn hours.

Widespread VFR ceilings likely in the 6-8K ft range should govern
most of the morning into the afternoon hours with scattered
convection ramping up over east central KS and west central MO during
the latter portion of the afternoon.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for KSZ025-102>105.

MO...Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for MOZ001>008-
     011>017-020>025-028>033-037.

&&

Discussion...lg
Aviation...MJ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
554 AM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-251100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
554 AM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY WITH STORMS
 PERSISTING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THERE IS A THREAT OF SEVERE
 WEATHER WITH THE STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT MAINLY NORTH OF THE
MISSOURI RIVER. STRONG WINDS...HEAVY RAIN...AND FLOODING ARE THE
PRIMARY HAZARDS.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

 SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
 THURSDAY...LASTING THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.THE PROLONGED NATURE OF THIS PERIOD OF STORMS WILL INCREASE
FLOODING CONCERNS EACH DAY.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE
ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
810 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0736 PM     TSTM WND DMG     OLATHE                  38.89N 94.81W
08/24/2016                   JOHNSON            KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND POWER POLES BLOWN DOWN AT HWY 169 AND 159TH.

&&

APIETRYC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
819 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     4 N PLEASANT HILL       38.84N 94.27W
08/24/2016                   JACKSON            MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            VIEWED FROM THE NWS OFFICE

&&

APIETRYC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
849 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 PM     TSTM WND GST     8 N PLEASANT HILL       38.90N 94.27W
08/24/2016  E65 MPH          JACKSON            MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            NUMEROUS SMALL TO MEDIUM BRANCHES DOWN.

&&

APIETRYC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
920 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0918 PM     TSTM WND GST     STANLEY                 38.85N 94.67W
08/24/2016  M73 MPH          JOHNSON            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            73 MPH MEASURED GUST

&&

APIETRYC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
931 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

MOZ022-023-030-031-250300-
LIVINGSTON MO-RAY MO-CALDWELL MO-CARROLL MO-
931 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CARROLL...
SOUTHWESTERN LIVINGSTON...NORTHEASTERN RAY AND SOUTHEASTERN CALDWELL
COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 PM CDT...

AT 931 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
POLO...OR 10 MILES EAST OF LAWSON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRAYMER...POLO...COWGILL...LUDLOW AND KNOXVILLE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT FOR
NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3972 9370 3947 9358 3939 9407 3951 9413
TIME...MOT...LOC 0231Z 249DEG 26KT 3949 9403

CUTTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
932 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0811 PM     HAIL             4 WNW GRANDVIEW         38.91N 94.61W
08/24/2016  M0.75 INCH       JOHNSON            KS   PUBLIC

            DIME SIZED HAIL

&&

APIETRYC