Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2016
Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Detroit, MI
NWS Detroit, MI issued this winter storm warning at Jan 9, 2016, 4:06 AM EST for Bay County, Midland County, Michigan. It took effect at Jan 9, 2016, 9:00 PM EST. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 9, 2016, 4:06 AM EST (09:06 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 9, 2016, 9:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 10, 2016, 3:56 AM EST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Detroit, MI
Counties Bay County, MI, Midland County, MI
The radar
The Detroit radar (KDTX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 439 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 164 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 194 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
745 WWUS43 KDTX 090906 WSWDTX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 406 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE SAGINAW VALLEY... MIZ047-048-091715- /O.UPG.KDTX.WS.A.0001.160110T0000Z-160110T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.WS.W.0001.160110T0000Z-160110T1700Z/ MIDLAND-BAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY 406 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE A SHARP CUT OFF BETWEEN THE HEAVY WET SNOW AND RAIN THIS EVENING. * RAIN WILL THEN TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW BY MIDNIGHT TO 2 AM. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON...GUSTING UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. * THE SNOWFALL TONIGHT MAY BE QUITE HEAVY...LEADING TO SOME POSSIBLE MINOR TREE DAMAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ MIZ053-091715- /O.UPG.KDTX.WS.A.0001.160110T0000Z-160110T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.160110T0000Z-160110T1700Z/ SAGINAW- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAGINAW 406 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE A SHARP CUT OFF BETWEEN THE SNOW AND RAIN LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH RAIN TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW BY LATE TONIGHT. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON...GUSTING UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. * THE SNOWFALL TONIGHT MAY BE QUITE HEAVY...LEADING TO SOME POSSIBLE MINOR TREE DAMAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ MIZ060-091715- /O.NEW.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.160110T0000Z-160110T1700Z/ SHIAWASSEE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OWOSSO 406 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE A SHARP CUT OFF BETWEEN THE SNOW AND RAIN LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH RAIN TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW BY LATE TONIGHT. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON...GUSTING UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. * THE SNOWFALL TONIGHT MAY BE QUITE HEAVY...LEADING TO SOME POSSIBLE MINOR TREE DAMAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ MIZ049-054-091715- /O.NEW.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.160110T0500Z-160110T2100Z/ HURON-TUSCOLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE...CARO 406 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE A SHARP CUT OFF BETWEEN THE SNOW AND RAIN OVERNIGHT WITH RAIN TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST AND GUST TO 40 MPH OR MORE INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. * THE SNOWFALL SUNDAY MORNING MAY BE HEAVY AND WET...LEADING TO SOME POSSIBLE MINOR TREE DAMAGE AS WIND GUSTS STEADILY INCREASE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ DG
4 follow-up statements
257 WWUS43 KDTX 091621 WSWDTX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 1121 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...HEAVY SNOW DEVELOPING OVER MIDLAND AND BAY COUNTIES TONIGHT... MIZ047-048-100100- /O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0001.160110T0000Z-160110T1700Z/ MIDLAND-BAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY 1121 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * THERE WILL BE A SHARP CUT OFF BETWEEN THE HEAVY WET SNOW AND RAIN THIS EVENING FROM WEST TO EAST. * RAIN WILL THEN TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW BY MIDNIGHT TO 2 AM. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON...GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL WILL BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. * THE HEAVY WET NATURE OF THE SNOW COULD LEAD TO MINOR TREE DAMAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ MIZ053-060-100100- /O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.160110T0000Z-160110T1700Z/ SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAGINAW...OWOSSO 1121 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE A SHARP CUT OFF BETWEEN THE SNOW AND RAIN LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH RAIN TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW BY LATE TONIGHT. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON...GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ MIZ049-054-100100- /O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.160110T0500Z-160110T2100Z/ HURON-TUSCOLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE...CARO 1121 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * THERE IS EXPECTED TO BE A SHARP CUT OFF BETWEEN THE SNOW AND RAIN OVERNIGHT WITH RAIN TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST AND GUST TO 40 MPH OR MORE INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ SF
934 WWUS43 KDTX 092008 WSWDTX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 308 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...HEAVY SNOW EXPECTED OVER MIDLAND AND BAY COUNTIES TONIGHT... MIZ047-048-100415- /O.EXT.KDTX.WS.W.0001.160110T0200Z-160110T1700Z/ MIDLAND-BAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY 308 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE FORECAST...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED NORTH OF MIDLAND AND BAY CITY. * RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO HEAVY WET SNOW LATE THIS EVENING AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE OVERNIGHT. THIS TRANSITION WILL FIRST OCCUR IN AND AROUND COLEMAN...EDENVILLE AND PINCONNING. * SNOWFALL RATES MAY EXCEED ONE INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER DAYBREAK SUNDAY MORNING. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON...GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL WILL BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. * THE HEAVY WET NATURE OF THE SNOW COULD LEAD TO MINOR TREE DAMAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ MIZ053-060-100415- /O.EXT.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.160110T0500Z-160110T1700Z/ SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAGINAW...OWOSSO 308 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST SUNDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST SUNDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE AROUND MERRILL AND FREELAND. * RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS EVENING. THE RAIN WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION TO SNOW DURING THE OVERNIGHT. THERE MAY BE SOME BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY WET SNOW. THE SNOW WILL END BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON...GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ MIZ049-054-100415- /O.EXT.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.160110T0800Z-160110T2100Z/ HURON-TUSCOLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE...CARO 308 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND SEBEWAING AND CASEVILLE. * RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS EVENING AND GRADUALLY TRANSITION TOWARD ALL SNOW DURING THE OVERNIGHT. THE SNOW MAY BRIEFLY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL END BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING...HOWEVER SOME BLOWING SNOW MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST AND GUST TO 40 MPH OR MORE INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ SC
533 WWUS43 KDTX 100326 WSWDTX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 1026 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW TONIGHT... MIZ047-048-101330- /O.CON.KDTX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160110T1700Z/ MIDLAND-BAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY 1026 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SUNDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE FORECAST...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED NORTH OF MIDLAND AND BAY CITY. * RAIN WILL TRANSITION TO HEAVY WET SNOW BETWEEN 10 PM AND MIDNIGHT. * SNOWFALL RATES MAY EXCEED ONE INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE SNOW WILL DECREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER DAYBREAK SUNDAY MORNING. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON...GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL WILL BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. * THE HEAVY WET NATURE OF THE SNOW COULD LEAD TO MINOR TREE DAMAGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ MIZ053-060-101330- /O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.160110T0500Z-160110T1700Z/ SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAGINAW...OWOSSO 1026 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SUNDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE AROUND MERRILL AND FREELAND. * RAIN WILL SLOWLY TRANSITION TO SNOW AFTER 11 PM TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE SOME BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY WET SNOW. THE SNOW WILL END BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST SUNDAY AFTERNOON...GUSTING UP TO 35 MPH AT TIMES. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ MIZ049-054-101330- /O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.160110T0800Z-160110T2100Z/ HURON-TUSCOLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE...CARO 1026 PM EST SAT JAN 9 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND SEBEWAING AND CASEVILLE. * RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING AND GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW OVERNIGHT. SNOW MAY BRIEFLY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL END BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING...HOWEVER SOME BLOWING SNOW MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST AND GUST TO 40 MPH OR MORE INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ HLO/SC
445 WWUS43 KDTX 100856 WSWDTX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 356 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016 ...SNOW TO BECOME INCREASINGLY WIDESPREAD EARLY THIS MORNING... MIZ047-048-101700- /O.CAN.KDTX.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160110T1700Z/ /O.EXA.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160110T1700Z/ MIDLAND-BAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY 356 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY MID MORNING BEFORE SNOW TAPERS OFF TO FLURRIES. * PERIODS OF SNOW WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA DURING THE COURSE OF THE MORNING. * GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 PM WITH USHER IN MUCH COLDER AIR THIS MORNING WITH THE TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE 20S. * WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND GUST TO 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON PRODUCING WIND CHILLS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ MIZ055-061-062-101700- /O.EXA.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160110T2100Z/ SANILAC-GENESEE-LAPEER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDUSKY...FLINT...LAPEER 356 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * RAIN WILL GRADUALLY CHANGE TO SNOW EARLY THIS MORNING WITH SNOW CONTINUING INTO MIDDAY. THERE MAY BE A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF HEAVY...WET SNOW DURING THE MORNING. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST AND GUST TO 35 MPH OR MORE THIS AFTERNOON. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ MIZ053-060-101700- /O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160110T1700Z/ SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAGINAW...OWOSSO 356 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BEFORE SNOW TAPERS OFF TO FLURRIES LATER THIS MORNING. * PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A FEW HOUR PERIOD OF HEAVY...WET SNOW POSSIBLE. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST AND GUST TO 35 MPH OR MORE THIS AFTERNOON. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ MIZ049-054-101700- /O.CON.KDTX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160110T2100Z/ HURON-TUSCOLA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE...CARO 356 AM EST SUN JAN 10 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * ANY REMAINING RAIN WILL STEADILY MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW EARLY THIS MORNING AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH MIDDAY. A SEVERAL HOUR PERIOD OF HEAVY...WET SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE AS NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASE. * MUCH COLDER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S UNDER NORTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH. WINDS WILL THEN TURN NORTHWEST AND INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 MPH OR MORE BY MIDDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LAKE HURON SHORELINE. WIND CHILLS WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL MAY BE ADVERSELY IMPACTED DUE TO SNOW COVERED AND SLICK ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. * PREPARE...PLAN...AND STAY INFORMED. VISIT HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/RR8 && $$ DG
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 9, 3:52 AM EST, 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 3:52 AM EST, 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
352 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
.DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON STRENGTH AND TRACK OF STRONG LOW
PRESSURE WHICH WILL ORGANIZE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY
IN RESPONSE TO A RATHER STRONG SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE EJECTING
OUT OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND PHASING INTO QUICKLY AMPLIFYING
NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY PIVOTS SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES/EASTERN CANADA. THIS LOW
WILL DEEPEN QUICKLY AS THIS PROCESS ENSUES THIS EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY AS THE LOW FULLY
MATURES AS IT LIFTS INTO QUEBEC.
THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ALLOW A BROAD AREA OF DEFORMATION
PRECIPITATION TO EXPAND NORTH TO NORTHEAST INTO THE AREA THIS
EVENING INTO TONIGHT...WITH SOME OF THIS LIFT LINGERING INTO
SUNDAY...PARTICULARLY OVER THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE FORECAST
AREA.
GIVEN THE FAST MOVEMENT OF THIS LOW...AND RATHER MILD BOUNDARY LAYER
CONDITIONS AS THE PRECIPITATION EXPANDS INTO THE AREA...THE AREA OF
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL MOST LIKELY BE CONFINED TO
PARTS OF THE SAGINAW VALLEY BY MID/LATE EVENING. EVEN HERE...SURFACE
TEMPERATURES AROUND 35F WILL LIMIT SNOW ACCUMULATION EARLY ON UNTIL
DYNAMIC COOLING ALLOWS FOR TEMPERATURES TO SETTLE CLOSER TO 32F BY
LATE EVENING. FEEL THIS PROCESS WILL OCCUR RAPIDLY ENOUGH TO ALLOW
FOR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ON THE ORDER OF 6 INCHES GIVEN THE RAPID
DEEPENING THE SYSTEM WILL BE EXPERIENCING ATTM. HENCE...WILL UPGRADE
MIDLAND AND BAY COUNTIES TO A WARNING FROM THIS EVENING INTO SUNDAY
MORNING...WITH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY BORDERING THIS WARNING FOR
THE REST OF THE SAGINAW VALLEY AS RAIN CHANGES TO SNOW SEVERAL HOURS
LATER AND LIMITS SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BY A FEW INCHES.
THEREAFTER...COLDER AIR WILL GRADUALLY OOZE EASTWARD THROUGH THE
FORECAST AREA AND CHANGE RAIN TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY. BETWEEN THE EXPANDING LIGHT/MODERATE AREA OF SNOW
OVERNIGHT AND INCREASING WINDS BY SUNDAY MORNING...WILL ALSO ISSUE A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE THUMB AS CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY
DETERIORATE RATHER QUICKLY LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING AND
REMAIN DIFFICULT AS STRONG WINDS FUNNELING ALONG THE LAKE HURON
SHORELINE ARE SLOW TO EASE AND AT LEAST PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW
CONTINUE INTO EARLY/MID AFTERNOON. FURTHER SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
REST OF THE AREA...MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN RAIN WITH
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY ON THE ORDER OF 1 OR 2
INCHES...AND PROBABLY LESS THAN THAT FROM DETROIT SOUTH WHERE
TEMPERATURES WILL HOLD AT 40F WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
MUCH COLDER CONDITIONS WILL SET UP FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST AS
STRONG CLIPPER SYSTEM PIVOTS INTO AREA MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY AND
MAINTAIN RATHER DEEP UPPER TROUGH OVER AREA. OTHER THAN A RATHER
WIDESPREAD PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW WITH THIS SYSTEM...GENERALLY EXPECT
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS AS LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY FROM LAKE
MICHIGAN WILL BE RATHER ACTIVE GIVEN THE DEGREE OF COLD AIR
FUNNELING THROUGH THE AREA AND THE RELATIVELY MILD LAKE TEMPERATURES
GIVEN THE MILD WINTER TO THIS POINT. GENERALLY EXPECT TEMPERATURES
TO OSCILLATE IN THE TEENS AND 20S DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST.
&&
.MARINE...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY LIFTING THROUGH THE CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES WILL VACATE THE AREA TO THE NORTH TODAY. WINDS WILL STAY
FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH THE DAY AS A RESULT OF WARM STABLE AIR ALOFT
BROUGHT IN BY THIS SYSTEM. THIS WILL CHANGE LATER TONIGHT AND
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AS A SECOND LOW LIFTS THROUGH THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES. A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT AND NORTHERLY WINDS USHERING
IN A MUCH COLDER AIRMASS WILL LEAD TO HIGH END GALES ACROSS MUCH OF
THE LAKE HURON BASIN. GALES WILL ALSO SPREAD FURTHER SOUTH TO LAKE
ST CLAIR AND LAKE ERIE. A GALE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL
MARINE ZONES TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS RAMP UP IN WINDS. FREEZING SPRAY
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS WE HEAD INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL BACK
TO WESTERLY MONDAY MORNING BUT WILL REMAIN ELEVATED IN THE 20 TO 30
KNOT RANGE.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
A PERIOD OF LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE WILL LINGER TODAY BEFORE THE NEXT
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS IS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE WITH ORIGINS FROM
THE DEEP SOUTH THUS IT WILL BRING AMPLE MOISTURE UP INTO THE REGION.
PRECIPITATION WILL START OFF AS RAIN TONIGHT BEFORE COLD AIR SURGES
IN FROM THE NORTH QUICKLY CHANGING IT OVER TO SNOW BY SUNDAY
MORNING. HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE SAGINAW
VALLEY AREA...TAPERING OFF HEADING SOUTHWARD. PRECIPITATION TOTALS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE HALF AN INCH TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH
RANGE DURING THIS TIMEFRAME BUT WILL BE FOR THE COMBINATION OF RAIN
AND SNOW. TEMPERATURES PLUMMETING INTO THE TEENS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING WILL FREEZE ANY LEFTOVER STANDING WATER.
&&
.AVIATION...ISSUED 1205 AM EST SAT JAN 9 2016
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING THROUGH THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER TONIGHT. HIGH CONFIDENCE WITH LIFR
CEILINGS PREVAILING FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT AS SOUTHERLY WINDS
CONTINUE TO USHER IN AN INCREASINGLY MILD AND MOIST AIRMASS. VLIFR
CEILINGS-VIS AT 200FT-1/4SM SHOULD BECOME LESS PREVALENT OVER THE
NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS SOUTHERLY WINDS AND RAIN SHOWERS INCREASE LOW-
LEVEL MIXING. A LITTLE UNCERTAIN HOW VISIBILITIES/CEILINGS WILL
RESPOND AFTER SHOWERS MOVE OUT AROUND 9Z...BUT THINK THE SOUTHERLY
WINDS SHOULD KEEP AREA TERMINALS FROM FALLING BACK DOWN TO VLIFR
DESPITE DRIZZLE. COLDER AIR ARRIVING IN THE 200-3000 FR LAYER WILL
WEAKEN A LOW-LEVEL INVERSION BY LATE MORNING...ALLOWING CEILINGS TO
RISE INTO THE 500-1500 FOOT RANGE. BEST CHANCE TO BREAK ABOVE 1000
FEET WILL BE AT THE DETROIT-AREA TERMINALS. MAY STILL SEE SOME
DRIZZLE AROUND THROUGH THE DAY...BUT OVERALL CONDITIONS SHOULD BE
DRIER WITH IMPROVING VISIBILITIES.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIFT INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING RENEWED CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS
DURING THE EARLY EVENING...WITH MORE STEADY RAIN AND A POSSIBLE
RETURN TO IFR CEILINGS DEVELOPING AFTER 00Z. A STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA BETWEEN 5-12Z SUNDAY MORNING...USHERING
IN STRONG NORTH WINDS AND COLDER AIR WHICH WILL CHANGE RAIN OVER TO
SNOW.
FOR DTW...DROPS TO VLIFR WILL BECOME LESS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT HOUR
OR TWO AS RAIN AND INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS CREATE MORE MIXING IN
THE LOWEST LAYER OF THE ATMOSPHERE. IMPROVEMENT TO CEILINGS IS
EXPECTED IN THE 13-17Z TIMEFRAME TOMORROW AS COOLER AIR ALOFT
ARRIVES AND WEAKENS THE INVERSION. LATEST MODEL DATA INDICATES
CEILINGS SHOULD RISE TO LOW-END MVFR BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH IN
CEILINGS OVERALL TOMORROW. VISIBILITIES SHOULD IMPROVE DRAMATICALLY
HOWEVER AS DRIER AIR ARRIVES AT THE SURFACE. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE
ARRIVING SATURDAY EVENING WILL THEN RENEW CHANCES FOR RAIN AND DROP
CEILINGS BACK TO IFR OR EVEN LIFR AGAIN OVERNIGHT.
//DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...
* HIGH FOR CEILINGS AOB 5000 FEET THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
* LOW FOR CIGS/VSBYS FALLING BELOW 200FT AND/OR 1/2SM THE
REMAINDER OF TONIGHT.
* HIGH FOR PRECIPITATION TYPE AS RAIN THROUGH 11Z SUNDAY MORNING.
&&
.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY FOR
MIZ047-048.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY
FOR MIZ049-054.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY
FOR MIZ053-060.
LAKE HURON...GALE WARNING FROM 4 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR LHZ361>363-
462>464.
GALE WARNING FROM 4 AM TO 11 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LHZ421-422-441>443.
LAKE ST CLAIR...GALE WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 11 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LCZ460.
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...GALE WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 11 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ444.
&&
DISCUSSION...DG
MARINE.......DRK
HYDROLOGY....DRK
AVIATION.....HLO
YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 8, 3:56 PM EST, 12 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 356 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016 MIZ047-048-053-092100- MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW- 356 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SAGINAW VALLEY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THERE IS A WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST URGENT WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE FOR DETAILS. MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT. MIZ049-054-055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-092100- HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON- OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE- 356 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED /WITH UP TO 4 POSSIBLE ACROSS THE THUMB/. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL THEN USHER IN MUCH COLDER AIR DURING THE DAY SUNDAY. ALL OF THIS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRENGTHENING STORM SYSTEM FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION ON SUNDAY. MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AS A FAST MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT. LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-092100- LAKE ST. CLAIR- MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI- LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 356 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT FOR ALL MARINE AREAS AND SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING FOR LAKE HURON. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT. YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE). SC
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 8, 10:13 PM EST, 5 hours 53 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 1013 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016 MIZ047-048-053-090600- MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY...SAGINAW 1013 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016 ...LOCALLY DENSE FOG THROUGH VERY EARLY MORNING... WIDESPREAD FOG...WITH VISIBILITIES AROUND ONE MILE OR LESS...WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE SAGINAW VALLEY THROUGH THE LATE EVENING. FOG WILL BECOME LOCALLY DENSE...WITH POCKETS OF VISIBILITY AS LOW AS ONE-QUARTER OF A MILE. VISIBILITIES ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE AROUND 1 AM AS SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASE AND RAIN SHOWERS MOVE BACK INTO THE AREA. MOTORISTS SHOULD ANTICIPATE REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITIES TONIGHT. SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW MORE TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. HLO
The office that day
Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 3:51 AM EST | Gale Warning | DTX | 48 hr | |
| Jan 9, 4:06 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | DTX | Bay, Genesee, Huron, Lapeer, Livingston, Macomb and 9 more | 33 hr |
| Jan 9, 9:43 AM EST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | DTX | 42 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2016Every winter storm warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.