Alert archive / Michigan / Gale Warnings in 2016
Gale Warning 9, NWS Detroit, MI
NWS Detroit, MI issued this gale warning at Feb 11, 2016, 3:51 PM EST. It took effect at Feb 12, 2016, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for 21 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 11, 2016, 3:51 PM EST (20:51 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 12, 2016, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 13, 2016, 10:00 AM EST
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Detroit, MI
The text
As transmitted.
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
4 follow-up statements
758 WHUS73 KDTX 120912 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 412 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...NORTHWEST GALES AND HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY EXPECTED FROM LATE TODAY INTO SATURDAY... .AN ARCTIC FRONT SLIDING THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL PRODUCE SNOW SQUALLS...AS STRONG WINDS ALOFT AND FRIGID AIR GLIDING OVER THE WARMER LAKE WATERS WILL CREATE UNSTABLE CONDITIONS...ALLOWING GALE FORCE WINDS TO DEVELOP OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE HURON. HIGH-END GALE FORCE GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED BY EVENING...LASTING INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW GALE FORCE SATURDAY MORNING...THEN DECREASE FURTHER THROUGH THE DAY AND FINALLY BECOME LIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE AREA. THE GALE FORCE WINDS COMBINED WITH LARGE WAVES AND FRIGID AIR WILL ALSO CREATE AREAS OF HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF LAKE HURON LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...LASTING THROUGH SATURDAY FOR THE SOUTHERN BASIN OF THE LAKE. LHZ361-362-122100- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0009.160212T1800Z-160213T0900Z/ /O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0003.160212T1800Z-160213T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 412 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST SATURDAY... * EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST SATURDAY. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 13 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 19 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST FRIDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST FRIDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARING AREA. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ421-441>443-122100- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0009.160212T1800Z-160213T1500Z/ /O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0003.160212T1800Z-160213T1500Z/ OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- 412 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST FRIDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST FRIDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARING AREA. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ363-462>464-122100- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0009.160212T1800Z-160213T1500Z/ /O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0003.160212T1800Z-160214T0300Z/ LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 412 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY... * EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 36 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST FRIDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 10 PM EST FRIDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARING AREA. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ DG
469 WHUS73 KDTX 122053 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 353 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...HIGH-END GALES AND HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT OVER LAKE HURON... .GALE FORCE WINDS THAT HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED OVER LAKE SUPERIOR AND NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN WILL SPREAD TO LAKE HURON LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS FRIGID AIR POURS IN BEHIND AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT. INSTABILITY GENERATED BY COLD AIR GLIDING OVER THE WARMER LAKE WATERS WILL ALLOW A CORE OF STRONGER WINDS ALOFT TO MIX TO THE LAKE SURFACE. HIGH-END GALE FORCE GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING AND WILL LAST INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW GALE FORCE SATURDAY MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS TO BUILD INTO THE GREAT LAKES...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT AS THE HIGH SETTLES IN OVERHEAD. THE STRONG AND PERSISTENT WINDS WILL ALSO ALLOW WAVE HEIGHTS TO REACH IN EXCESS OF 10 FEET OVER MUCH OF THE LAKE...AND COMBINED WITH THE WINDS AND COLD WILL GENERATE AREAS OF HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. WHILE WINDS WILL DECREASE TOMORROW...HIGH WAVES AND FRIGID TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAKE. STRONG INSTABILITY WILL ALSO PROVIDE SNOW SQUALLS OVER ALL OF THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT...LASTING THROUGH TONIGHT AND SATURDAY OVER LAKE HURON. THESE WILL BE LOCALLY INTENSE...REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE-QUARTER OF A MILE OR LESS. LHZ361-362-130900- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160213T0900Z/ /O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160213T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 353 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY... * EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 34 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 13 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 19 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 PM EST FRIDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST FRIDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARING AREA. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ421-441>443-131000- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160213T1500Z/ /O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160213T1500Z/ OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- 353 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 35 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 10 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 14 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 8 PM EST FRIDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 11 PM EST FRIDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARING AREA. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ363-462>464-131000- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160213T1500Z/ /O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160214T0300Z/ LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 353 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SATURDAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SATURDAY... * EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR UNTIL 10 PM EST SATURDAY. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 37 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 15 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 22 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 7 PM EST FRIDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 PM EST FRIDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARING AREA. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ HLO
962 WHUS73 KDTX 130911 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 411 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...NORTHWEST GALES TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THIS MORNING... .A GALE WARNING CONTINUES FOR SOUTH HALF OF LAKE HURON THIS MORNING AS JUST ENOUGH THERMAL TROUGHING/GRADIENT PERSISTS. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BELOW GALE FORCE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOWEVER...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES...BECOMING LIGHT TONIGHT AS THE CENTER OF THE HIGH SETTLES OVER LOWER MICHIGAN. WHILE WINDS WILL DECREASE...HIGH WAVES AND FRIGID TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH THIS EVENING OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAKE. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND INCREASE ON SUNDAY AS THE HIGH EXITS EAST...BUT GENERALLY TOPPING OUT AROUND 20 KNOTS....INTO MONDAY. LHZ361-362-131015- /O.EXP.KDTX.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160213T0900Z/ /O.EXP.KDTX.UP.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160213T0900Z/ LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 411 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. $$ LHZ421-441>443-131500- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160213T1500Z/ /O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160213T1500Z/ OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- 411 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 7 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 10 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EST SATURDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARING AREA. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ LHZ363-462>464-132100- /O.CON.KDTX.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160213T1500Z/ /O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160214T0300Z/ LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 411 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 28 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 11 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 16 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 6 AM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 4 AM EST SATURDAY. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARING AREA. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ DG
493 WHUS73 KDTX 131448 MWWDTX URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 948 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .WINDS HAVE SUBSIDED BELOW GALE FORCE THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. WINDS WILL THEN BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT AS THE CENTER OF THE HIGH SETTLES OVER LOWER MICHIGAN. WHILE WINDS WILL DECREASE...HIGH WAVES AND FRIGID TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH THIS EVENING OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAKE. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND INCREASE ON SUNDAY AS THE HIGH EXITS EAST...BUT GENERALLY TOPPING OUT AROUND 20 KNOTS....INTO MONDAY. LHZ421-441>443-131600- /O.EXP.KDTX.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160213T1500Z/ /O.EXP.KDTX.UP.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160213T1500Z/ OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI- HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI-PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- 948 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. * EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. THE GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 23 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 28 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 5 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 7 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST SATURDAY. $$ LHZ363-462>464-140300- /O.EXP.KDTX.GL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-160213T1500Z/ /O.CON.KDTX.UP.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160214T0300Z/ LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 948 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THE GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. * WIND AND WAVES: DURING THE GALE WARNING...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 26 KNOTS FROM THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 33 KNOTS. THE LARGEST EXPECTED SIGNIFICANT WAVES WILL BE 8 FEET WITH A POTENTIAL MAXIMUM WAVE HEIGHT OF 11 FEET. * TIMING: THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST SATURDAY WITH THE LARGEST WAVES EXPECTED AROUND 9 AM EST SATURDAY. * EXPECT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO OCCUR UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. REFER TO THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR GREATER DETAIL. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MEANS HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY ACCUMULATE ON VESSELS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO NAVIGATION. IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS NOT TRAINED TO OPERATE IN THESE CONDITIONS OR VESSELS NOT PROPERLY EQUIPPED TO DO SO...REMAIN IN PORT OR AVOID THE WARING AREA. && $$ DRK
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 11, 1:01 PM EST, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 1:01 PM EST, 2 hours 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
101 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016
.AVIATION...
NORTHWEST FLOW OFF LAKE MICHIGAN WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE LAKE
EFFECT CLOUDS AND EVEN A FEW FLURRIES TODAY. CEILINGS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN HAVE MAINLY SETTLED INTO LOW VFR...WITH SOME
POCKETS OF HIGH-END MVFR AT FNT AND PTK...CLOSER TO THE LAKE. FLOW
ACROSS THE LAKE WILL WEAKEN AND TURN MORE WESTERLY THIS EVENING.
THIS WILL MOST LIKELY ALLOW CEILINGS TO SCATTER OUT AS WE ALSO
ADVECT SOME LOW-LEVEL DRY AIR INTO THE AREA. THERE IS POTENTIAL
HOWEVER AS THE WINDS SHIFT FOR CLOUDS RELEASING OFF THE LAKE OVER
SOUTHWEST MICHIGAN TO STREAM OVERHEAD AND KEEP CEILINGS INTACT FOR A
FEW MORE HOURS...PARTICULARLY FROM PTK NORTH. OTHERWISE...ADDITIONAL
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ARRIVING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL DROP CEILINGS
BACK TO MVFR LATE FRIDAY MORNING. THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SNOW
SHOWERS. WESTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO GUST UP TO 30 KNOTS TOMORROW
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
FOR DTW...VFR CEILINGS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL TODAY WITH POCKETS OF
MVFR EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLOSER TO LAKE MICHIGAN AND NORTH OF DTW.
FAIRLY GOOD CONFIDENCE WITH CEILINGS BELOW 5000 FEET...BUT THERE MAY
BE A FEW BREAKS AS TYPICALLY CONSISTENT WITH LAKE EFFECT. A FEW
FLURRIES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND A SHIFT IN
FLOW OVER THE LAKE FROM NORTHWEST TO WEST SHOULD ALLOW LOW CLOUDS TO
SCATTER OUT THIS EVENING. APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL THEN PULL
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE BACK INTO THE AREA TOMORROW MORNING...DROPPING
CEILINGS BACK TO MVFR AND PROVIDING A CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS.
//DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...
* MEDIUM FOR CEILING AOB 5KFT THROUGH 01Z TONIGHT.
* LOW FOR CROSSWIND THRESHOLDS AFTER 15Z FRIDAY.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED 330 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016
DISCUSSION...
DEPARTURE OF LARGE SCALE MOISTURE HAS SET THE STAGE FOR DRY CYCLONIC
FLOW AND A PARTLY CLOUDY START TO THE DAY. CLOUDS WILL BE LIMITED TO
INDIVIDUAL LAKE EFFECT BANDS WHICH WILL PERIODICALLY AFFECT MOST
AREAS, PARTICULARLY THE SUPERIOR-HURON BAND PRESENTLY OVER THE
CENTRAL CWA. INTENSITY OF THE LAKE RESPONSE HAS BEEN INSUFFICIENT TO
GENERATE ANYTHING MORE THAN FLURRIES IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN AND
EXPECT THAT TO BE THE CASE THROUGH THE DAY. STRONGLY CONFLUENT
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL DRIVE HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE UPPER MS
VALLEY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY DURING THE DAY, TURNING THE FLOW
ANTICYCLONIC OVER LAKE MICHIGAN. THIS WILL RELEASE THE LAKE TROUGH
AND ITS REMNANTS WILL QUICKLY TRANSLATE ACROSS THE CWA DURING THE
DAY. EXPECTING LITTLE MORE THAN AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AND A FEW
FLURRIES AS THIS OCCURS. COLD AIRMASS FEATURING 850MB TEMPS -20C AT
12Z THIS MORNING WILL SUPPORT A SLIGHT DOWNWARD NUDGE IN HIGH TEMPS
COMPARED TO YESTERDAY...UPPER TEENS TO AROUND 20.
BY TONIGHT, LOCAL SURFACE WINDS WILL BE FEELING THE EFFECTS OF THE
BAFFIN ISLAND EXPRESS, ALREADY DISLODGED FROM ITS ORIGIN AT PRESS
TIME THIS MORNING. THE INCREASING GRADIENT AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
DEEPENS OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES AND INCREASING CLOUDS FROM THE
PLAINS WILL LIMIT LOW TEMP POTENTIAL. HOWEVER, NOT EXPECTING
PARTICULARLY THICK CLOUD COVER AND THE GRADIENT WILL NOT BE
STRENGTHENING UNTIL LATE, SO A NARROW WINDOW FOR DECOUPLING 00-06Z
AND SUBSEQUENT LOWER TEMPS WILL BE A SHORT TERM ISSUE TO MONITOR.
FRIDAY THEN GETS INTERESTING AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND DEEP LAYER
CONVERGENCE IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD POLAR LOW. MODEST MOISTURE
ADVECTION FROM THE WEST WILL RAISE 850MB SPECIFIC HUMIDITY FROM 0.3
G/KG OVER LAKE MICHIGAN TONIGHT TO AROUND 1.1 G/KG BY MID-MORNING
FRIDAY. THIS WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO ACTIVATE THE LAKE AS 0-1KM THETA-
E LAPSE RATES FALL TO -3 TO -5C C/KM. LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS WILL BE
ENHANCED BY LARGE SCALE SUPPORT AND THE LAKE PLUME WILL POTENTIALLY
BE ENTRAINED INTO THE FRONTAL ZONE AS IT WORKS THROUGH THE AREA. AT
LEAST CHC POPS ARE WARRANTED, BUT THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A SHORT-
LIVED HIGHER INTENSITY SNOW ALONG THE FRONT BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
CONFIDENCE IN MEASURABLE PRECIP IS HIGHER OVER THE FAR EASTERN THUMB
WHERE PROXIMITY TO THE EASTWARD-MOVING SURFACE LOW WILL PROVIDE
AMPLE LOW-LEVEL SUPPORT FOR SNOW SHOWERS REGARDLESS...LIKELY POPS IN
PLACE HERE.
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT, WINDS WILL RAMP UP SIGNIFICANTLY OVER LAKE
HURON IN RESPONSE TO DEVELOPING INSTABILITY. ALTHOUGH THIS
INSTABILITY WILL NOT BE PRESENT OVER LAND AREAS, THE ONSHORE FETCH
IN HURON WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE BORDERLINE WIND ADVISORY
LEVEL GUSTS TO 45 MPH ALONG THE IMMEDIATE SHORELINE. UPDATED HWO TO
MENTION POTENTIAL FOR A WIND HEADLINE FOR JUST HURON COUNTY.
STRONG COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT WILL FORCE TEMPERATURE DOWN
TO WITHIN 5 DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF 0 DEPENDING ON LOCATION. WIND
CHILLS FROM ROUGHLY 10PM FRIDAY NIGHT TO 7AM SATURDAY MORNING WILL
BE IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD OF -15F/WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA.
ADVISORY-LEVEL WIND CHILLS LIKELY TO HANG ON A LITTLE LONGER IN THE
THUMB, PARTICULARLY IN HURON COUNTY WHERE CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW MAY
DRIVE THE WC TOWARD BORDERLINE WARNING CRITERIA. THE WIND CHILL WILL
REMAIN BELOW ZERO AT ALL LOCATIONS FOR ALL OF SATURDAY. POTENTIAL
FOR A SOLID RADIATING SCENARIO ON SATURDAY NIGHT. DUSTED OFF GEM
GUIDANCE AS IT TENDS TO EXCEL WHEN COLD POTENTIAL IS MAXIMIZED BY
SNOWCOVER, CALM WIND, ETC. TRENDED THE FORECAST COLDER TO AROUND -5F
SATURDAY NIGHT...LOW SINGLE DIGITS IN DETROIT CITY.
MARINE...
ARCTIC AIR CONTINUES TO SPILL INTO THE GREAT LAKES TODAY ON MODERATE
NORTHWEST WIND. A HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
DURING THE MORNING FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LAKE
HURON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE NEARSHORE
WATERS OF SOUTHERN LAKE HURON THROUGH THE DAY. BANDS OF SNOW SQUALLS
WILL BE NUMEROUS THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTH SECTIONS OF THE LAKE
THROUGH THE DAY UNTIL DIRECTION BACKS TOWARD THE WEST MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. THESE HARSH MARINE CONDITIONS WILL EASE LATER TODAY AND
TONIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH LAKE
HURON AND LOWER MICHIGAN FRIDAY. A GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT AS THIS
FRONT WILL LIKELY BRING A ROUND OF HIGH END NORTHWEST GALES AND
POSSIBLY ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TO THE OPEN WATERS OF
LAKE HURON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE WIND WILL DROP BELOW GALES
SATURDAY BUT REMAIN MODERATE IN STRENGTH UNTIL HIGH PRESSURE ARRIVES
SATURDAY NIGHT AND DRIFTS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY.
&&
.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LAKE HURON...GALE WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING FOR
LHZ363-421-441>443-462>464.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LHZ441>443.
GALE WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT FOR
LHZ361-362.
LAKE ST CLAIR...NONE.
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...NONE.
&&
AVIATION.....HLO
DISCUSSION...JVC
MARINE.......BT
YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE
AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 3:32 AM EST, 12 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 332 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016 MIZ047-048-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-120845- MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-LAPEER- ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE- 332 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE WIND CHILL WILL FALL TO -10 TO -20 DEGREES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AS GUSTY WINDS FUNNEL VERY COLD AIR INTO THE AREA. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR SOME OR ALL OF THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT. LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-120845- LAKE ST. CLAIR- MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI- LAKE HURON FROM 5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LT BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON POINT MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM STURGEON POINT TO ALABASTER MI BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- OUTER SAGINAW BAY SW OF ALABASTER TO PORT AUSTIN MI TO INNER SAGINAW BAY-INNER SAGINAW BAY SW OF POINT AU GRES TO BAY PORT MI- PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI-HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI- PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI- LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORE- 332 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE HURON AND LAKE ST CLAIR. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNINGS, SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES, AND GALE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT. SEE THE FORECAST FOR DETAIL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY GALE WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT. SEE THE FORECAST FOR DETAIL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT. MIZ049-120845- HURON- 332 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED ON FRIDAY NIGHT FOR LOCATIONS NEAR THE SHORELINE IN HURON COUNTY DUE TO STRONG WINDS OVER LAKE HURON. THE WIND CHILL WILL FALL TO -10 TO -20 DEGREES FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AS GUSTY WINDS FUNNEL VERY COLD AIR INTO THE AREA. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT. YOU CAN OBTAIN YOUR LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/DETROIT (ALL LOWER CASE).
The office that day
Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 4:58 AM EST | Gale Watch | DTX | 11 hr | |
| Feb 11, 3:51 PM EST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | DTX | 54 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.