Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 30, 2016Morton County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Jun 30, 2016, 9:46 PM CDT for Morton County, Kansas. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 30, 2016, 9:46 PM CDT (02:46 UTC)
Expired
Jun 30, 2016, 10:30 PM CDT
In force
44 min
Issued by
NWS Dodge City, KS

County Morton County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 173 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2016-07-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1093 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2016-07-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 2 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1093 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-12 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1956 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 30, 6:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 6:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 55 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
651 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

...Updated for aviation discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2016

A shortwave trough is rounding the ridge into central Colorado and
will migrate across western Kansas tonight. Very good moisture is
also upsloping into Colorado and western Kansas ahead of this
feature. Model QPF forecast suggest 1 to 2 inch rain amounts west of
Dodge City in areas where heavy rains have fallen past few days.
Flash flood guidance is 1 to 2 inches and WPC also is highlighting
that area in a moderate risk of heavy rainfall. Precipitable water
forecast is also high from 1.5 to around 2 inches. So with these factors
in place, and a forecast of an Mesoscale Convective Complex (MCS)
coming out of Colorado tonight, will go ahead with a Flash Flood
Watch for Scott, Hamilton, Kearny, Finney, Stanton, Grant, and
Haskell for tonight. Some low end severe weather may also occur far
west with quarter size hail or smaller and strong winds. However the
main concern is the possibility of flash flooding and heavy
rainfall. Will keep high rainfall chances going from west to east
overnight with this forecast MCS. Overnight lows will be in the mid
to upper 60s with increasing clouds. Winds will become light east to
southeasterly.

For Friday, the MCS will be moving east of the area in the morning
with some partial clearing west to east. A frontal boundary will be
just south of southwest Kansas with continued good moist upslope
flow with a continued chance for mainly afternoon thunderstorms.
Highs will be only around 80 from Dodge City and north, and around
90 near the Oklahoma border and southeast winds of 12 to 25 mph.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 312 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2016

For the period of Friday night into next Thursday, several upper
level shortwaves traverse the Central Plains into Sunday morning
with good chances for more storms. Then for Monday, 4th of July,
into Thursday upper level ridging and warming moves back into the
Central Plains with little if any chances for rainfall.

Highs in the 80s warm back into the mid to upper 90s by mid week
next week. Lows warm from the 60s to around 70.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 647 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2016

Thunderstorms will move out of Colorado across western Kansas
overnight and affect KGCK/KDDC berween 04 and 14z. Upslope flow
and thunderstorm outflow may combine to yield IFR or low MVFR CIGS
by 12z at these two sites. A slow improvement in CIGS can be
expected after 14z with daytime heating.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  66  83  66  85 /  70  60  50  50
GCK  66  82  65  81 /  80  50  60  50
EHA  64  90  67  85 /  90  30  40  50
LBL  66  90  67  88 /  80  40  40  50
HYS  65  78  61  77 /  50  50  70  60
P28  69  86  68  92 /  60  60  40  40

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch until 5 AM CDT /4 AM MDT/ Friday for KSZ043-
061>063-074>076.

&&

SHORT TERM...Kruse
LONG TERM...Kruse
AVIATION...Finch
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 4:12 AM CDT, 17 hours 34 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
412 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-010915-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
412 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016 /312 AM MDT THU JUN 30 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THIS MORNING.
A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH HAIL
UP TO GOLF BALLS AND WINDS OVER 60 MPH BEING THE MAIN CONCERN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS SOUTHWEST
KANSAS. THERE WILL BE AN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RISK, PERHAPS LEADING
TO SOME FLOODING IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL
BE MARGINAL GIVEN THE WEAKENING DEEP LAYER SHEAR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 30, 6:33 PM CDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
633 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

KSZ074-010015-
STANTON KS-
633 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN STANTON COUNTY UNTIL
715 PM CDT...

AT 632 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5
MILES SOUTH OF MANTER...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ARE LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JOHNSON CITY AND MANTER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3740 10172 3740 10195 3755 10202 3758 10173
TIME...MOT...LOC 2332Z 175DEG 15KT 3745 10185

TURNER
Special weather statement, Jun 30, 7:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
615 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2016

KSZ061-010100-
HAMILTON KS-
615 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN HAMILTON COUNTY UNTIL 700
PM MDT...

AT 613 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES SOUTH OF HOLLY...OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF COOLIDGE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE LIKELY. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS
IS POSSIBLE.

TORRENTIAL...LOCALLY FLOODING RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COOLIDGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3817 10204 3824 10197 3782 10181 3776 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 237DEG 17KT 3792 10213

TURNER
Special weather statement, Jun 30, 7:57 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
657 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2016

KSZ061-010145-
HAMILTON KS-
657 PM MDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HAMILTON COUNTY UNTIL 745 PM
MDT...

AT 656 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING SEVERAL STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING WESTERN HAMILTON COUNTY.

WIND GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH ARE LIKELY. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS IS
POSSIBLE.

TORRENTIAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING
POSSIBLE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SYRACUSE AND COOLIDGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3826 10204 3826 10189 3795 10161 3778 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0056Z 227DEG 14KT 3797 10199

TURNER
Special weather statement, Jun 30, 8:52 PM CDT, 54 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
852 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

KSZ084-010230-
MORTON KS-
852 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MORTON COUNTY UNTIL
930 PM CDT...

AT 851 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ELKHART...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 MPH AND HAIL TO ONE HALF INCH ARE POSSIBLE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELKHART AND WILBURTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 10198 3714 10189 3703 10162 3699 10167
TIME...MOT...LOC 0151Z 219DEG 11KT 3696 10193

TURNER
Special weather statement, Jun 30, 9:46 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
946 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

KSZ084-010330-
MORTON KS-
946 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL MORTON COUNTY UNTIL 1030
PM CDT...

AT 945 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5
MILES NORTH OF WILBURTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF DIMES AND WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

TORRENTIAL HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WILBURTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3703 10172 3713 10191 3726 10181 3716 10162
TIME...MOT...LOC 0245Z 214DEG 14KT 3715 10177

TURNER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 30, 7:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDDCHamilton45 min
Jun 30, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton27 min
Jun 30, 7:57 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDDCHamilton48 min
Jun 30, 8:52 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDDCMorton38 min
Jun 30, 10:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDDCClark36 min
Jul 1, 6:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDDCMeade47 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.