Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2016
Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS
NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Jun 30, 2016, 6:33 PM CDT for Stanton County, Kansas. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 30, 2016, 6:33 PM CDT (23:33 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 30, 2016, 7:15 PM CDT
- In force
- 42 min
- Issued by
- NWS Dodge City, KS
County Stanton County, KS
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 167 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 34 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -302 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1393 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -4 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -37 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 30, 3:14 PM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 3:14 PM CDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 314 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016 ...Updated for Long Term... .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday) Issued at 300 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2016 A shortwave trough is rounding the ridge into central Colorado and will migrate across western Kansas tonight. Very good moisture is also upsloping into Colorado and western Kansas ahead of this feature. Model QPF forecast suggest 1 to 2 inch rain amounts west of Dodge City in areas where heavy rains have fallen past few days. Flash flood guidance is 1 to 2 inches and WPC also is highlighting that area in a moderate risk of heavy rainfall. Precipitable water forecast is also high from 1.5 to around 2 inches. So with these factors in place, and a forecast of an Mesoscale Convective Complex (MCS) coming out of Colorado tonight, will go ahead with a Flash Flood Watch for Scott, Hamilton, Kearny, Finney, Stanton, Grant, and Haskell for tonight. Some low end severe weather may also occur far west with quarter size hail or smaller and strong winds. However the main concern is the possibility of flash flooding and heavy rainfall. Will keep high rainfall chances going from west to east overnight with this forecast MCS. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 60s with increasing clouds. Winds will become light east to southeasterly. For Friday, the MCS will be moving east of the area in the morning with some partial clearing west to east. A frontal boundary will be just south of southwest Kansas with continued good moist upslope flow with a continued chance for mainly afternoon thunderstorms. Highs will be only around 80 from Dodge City and north, and around 90 near the Oklahoma border and southeast winds of 12 to 25 mph. .LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday) Issued at 312 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2016 For the period of Friday night into next Thursday, several upper level shortwaves traverse the Central Plains into Sunday morning with good chances for more storms. Then for Monday, 4th of July, into Thursday upper level ridging and warming moves back into the Central Plains with little if any chances for rainfall. Highs in the 80s warm back into the mid to upper 90s by mid week next week. Lows warm from the 60s to around 70. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon) Issued at 1152 AM CDT Thu Jun 30 2016 Moist upslope flow will continue into tonight with an MCS likely coming out of Colorado and across most of western Kansas. Current indications suggest around 08-10Z for KGCK and KDDC, and slightly later for KHYS. Severe storms appear to be marginal, but the most concern is with strong outflow of 30-50kt, small hail, and very heavy downpours. Vsbys could be also greatly reduced in the strongest storms. Some low level stratus could follow the MCS for a few hours. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 66 83 66 85 / 70 60 50 50 GCK 66 82 65 81 / 80 50 60 50 EHA 64 90 67 85 / 90 30 40 50 LBL 66 90 67 88 / 80 40 40 50 HYS 65 78 61 77 / 50 50 70 60 P28 69 86 68 92 / 60 60 40 40 && .DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ this evening through late tonight for KSZ043-061>063-074>076. && SHORT TERM...Kruse LONG TERM...Kruse AVIATION...Kruse
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 4:12 AM CDT, 14 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 412 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016 KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-010915- TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN- PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA- PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER- 412 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016 /312 AM MDT THU JUN 30 2016/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS THIS MORNING. A BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH HAIL UP TO GOLF BALLS AND WINDS OVER 60 MPH BEING THE MAIN CONCERN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS. THERE WILL BE AN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RISK, PERHAPS LEADING TO SOME FLOODING IN SOME LOCATIONS. THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL BE MARGINAL GIVEN THE WEAKENING DEEP LAYER SHEAR. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 30, 6:33 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 633 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016 KSZ074-010015- STANTON KS- 633 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN STANTON COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM CDT... AT 632 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF MANTER...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ARE LIKELY. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... JOHNSON CITY AND MANTER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. && LAT...LON 3740 10172 3740 10195 3755 10202 3758 10173 TIME...MOT...LOC 2332Z 175DEG 15KT 3745 10185 TURNER
The office that day
Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 10:55 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Hamilton | 50 min |
| Jun 29, 11:12 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Hamilton | 48 min |
| Jun 29, 11:33 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Hamilton | 42 min |
| Jun 30, 12:16 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Kearny, Stanton | 59 min |
| Jun 30, 1:01 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Grant, Haskell, Seward, Stevens | 59 min |
| Jun 30, 1:34 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Meade | 56 min |
| Jun 30, 2:35 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | DDC | Meade | 55 min |
| Jun 30, 3:28 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | DDC | Finney, Grant, Hamilton, Haskell, Kearny, Scott and 1 more | 13 hr |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.