Severe Thunderstorm Warning 114, NWS Dodge City, KS

502 
WWUS53 KDDC 262356 RRA
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
656 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSC083-135-270006-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0114.000000T0000Z-160527T0030Z/
NESS KS-HODGEMAN KS-
656 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NESS AND NORTH
CENTRAL HODGEMAN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IS CANCELLED. 

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3825 9970 3807 9979 3811 9991 3818 10005
      3836 9998
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 207DEG 22KT 3832 9982 

$$

TURNER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
146 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...Updated Short term and Long term discussions...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Thu May 26 2016

Severe thunderstorms can be expected late today and early this
evening east of dry line which now appears that is will be located
near or east of Dodge City and Meade late day. Severe
thunderstorms can also be expected north of a warm
front/stationary front that will extend from roughly Garden City
to Dodge City to around the Larned areas. Conditions are favorable
late this afternoon and early tonight for any storm that does
develop to rapidly intensify with hail up to 3 inches and strong
damaging winds likely. A few tornadoes will also be possible. At
this time this more favorable area for tornadoes be south of
Dighton to Dodge City to Ashland line.

On Friday an upper level trough will cross the West Central High
Plains and a cold front will drop south into western Kansas. As
this upper level system crosses western Kansas late day and early
Friday night there will once again be a chance for strong to
severe thunderstorms along a dry line which currently appears to
be located in central Kansas late day. Scattered thunderstorms are
also possible late day and into the overnight period north of the
cold front as it drops south out into southwest Kansas. Highs
south of the cold front still look to be warm and should range
from 80 to 85 degrees. northwest of this front highs will average
close to 10 degrees cooler.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Thu May 26 2016

On Saturday ans the first upper trough will lift northeast into
the Mississippi Valley as a westerly down slope flow develops
across the central Rockies. This will result in a surface trough
of low pressure deepening along the lee of the Rockies and warming
in the 900mb to 850mb level. Based on these temperatures at 0z
Sunday will continue to favor highs in the low to possibly mid 80s
near the Colorado border. Further east northeast there will be
more clouds early in the day with even a slight chance for a few
lingering showers across north central Kansas. These clouds will
move east during the afternoon and temperatures here should climb
back to around 80.

On Sunday the surface pressures will continue to fall along the
lee of the Rockies as another upper level trough begins to cross
the southwestern United States. One upper level disturbance is
still forecast by both the GFS and ECMWF to move from the base of
this eastward moving upper level trough and into the Central
Plains late Sunday. This will result in a chance for scattered
thunderstorms for western Kansas late Sunday and Sunday night.

The chance for thunderstorms will continue through at least the
first half of the work week as the southern branch upper level
trough crosses the southwest United States and a northern branch
upper wave moves east towards the northern and central Rockies.

A persistent southeast flow early next week across western Kansas
will keep advecting some low level moisture back into western
Kansas. This will not only favor improving chances for
thunderstorms next week but also the lows early next week are
expected to be unseasonably warm. The latest CRExtendedFcst_Init
may be a little on the cool side but at this time the trend is
there so will not stray far. During the day early next week it
will be warm and muggy with highs mainly in the upper 70s to mid
80s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1217 PM CDT Thu May 26 2016

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon
across western Kansas. The area more favorable for convection
between 21z and 00z being around DDC and from 00z to 03z around HYS.
GCK may have a few storms between 18z and 21z but at this time it
appears that a VCTS may cover the storms at this location.
Several surface boundaries will be located in the GCK and DDC
areas through this evening which will be keep the surface winds
variable and at 10 knots or less. At HYS winds will be primarily
from the east at around 10 knots. VFR conditions can be expected
late today and early tonight outside these thunderstorms. After
midnight some status and possibly areas of fog will given the
moisture profiles from the NAM BUFR soundings.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  83  57  80  54 /  50  20  30  30
GCK  86  54  76  51 /  20  30  40  30
EHA  86  51  74  51 /  10  20  30  10
LBL  88  52  79  52 /  20  20  20  20
HYS  76  59  80  55 /  40  40  50  50
P28  87  65  83  59 /  50  50  30  40

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Burgert
LONG TERM...Burgert
AVIATION...Burgert

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1027 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-271000-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
1027 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016 /927 AM MDT THU MAY 26 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HAIL OF AROUND 3 INCHES AND
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY TONIGHT EAST
OF HIGHWAY 283. AREA MORE FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TORNADOES WILL BE
EAST OF DODGE CITY AND SOUTH OF HAYS.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED FOG RISK.
  LIMITED FIRE WEATHER RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN FRIDAY AS AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW MOVES INTO KANSAS. SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
LIKELY, ALTHOUGH SOME HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS MAY OCCUR.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN EACH DAY FROM SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. THE ENVIRONMENT IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WEATHER, BUT A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE.

HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  FRIDAY...
  LIMITED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK.

  SATURDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

  SUNDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

  MONDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

  TUESDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

  WEDNESDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT FOR
EAST OF HIGHWAY 283. LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE NORTH OF A DIGHTON TO DODGE CITY LINE.

&&

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
513 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSZ078-088-262300-
FORD KS-CLARK KS-
513 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN FORD AND CENTRAL
CLARK COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

AT 513 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3
MILES NORTHEAST OF ACRES...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ASHLAND...CLARK STATE LAKE AND ACRES.

LAT...LON 3704 9977 3710 9998 3732 9996 3755 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 200DEG 36KT 3715 9984

RBURG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
530 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0518 PM     HAIL             6 ENE ENSIGN            37.69N 100.14W
05/26/2016  E0.88 INCH       FORD               KS   PUBLIC

&&

AW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
613 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     HAIL             4 NE HOWELL             37.83N 100.14W
05/26/2016  E1.75 INCH       FORD               KS   PUBLIC

&&

AW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
614 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0602 PM     HAIL             7 NNW ACRES             37.20N 99.93W
05/26/2016  E1.00 INCH       CLARK              KS   STORM CHASER

&&

AW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
633 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             1 E JETMORE             38.08N 99.88W
05/26/2016  E1.00 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
643 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     HAIL             5 W ASHLAND             37.19N 99.86W
05/26/2016  E1.25 INCH       CLARK              KS   STORM CHASER

&&

AW