Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Special Weather Statements in 2016
Special Weather Statement, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this special weather statement at Jun 4, 2016, 4:06 PM EDT for Fulton County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 4, 2016, 4:06 PM EDT (20:06 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 4, 2016, 4:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 24 min
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
County Fulton County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 225 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -7 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 591 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 13 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 63 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 4, 4:03 PM EDT, 3 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 4, 4:03 PM EDT, 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 403 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016 .SYNOPSIS... An active pattern will persist over the weekend across the Keystone State with severe thunderstorm risk shifting from southwest Pennsylvania on Saturday to the eastern half of the Commonwealth for Sunday. Unsettled weather will continue into next week with periods of showers and temperatures near to below normal for early June. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... Visible satellite trends continue to show some breaks in the clouds especially across far south-central PA/along and south of the PA Turnpike, where storm coverage has been gradually increasing since 15z. Additional tstms are likely to develop over this area through late afternoon and may expand northward with time as strong heating occurs within a very moist environment characterized by surface dewpoints in the upper 60s. Sufficient instability and modest deep layer shear will continue to support risk for a few organized storm clusters capable of dmgg wind/hail. Locally heavy rainfall also remains a concern with PWs 1.5"+. Increasing WAA pattern/southwest LLJ and anomalous H85 moisture influx of high PW air /+2SD/ should support a broader coverage of showers/storms expanding northeast with warm front across central PA tonight. Model QPFs continue to capture this idea although amounts may be a underdone, with the risk for some areas of heavy rain to continue into tonight. NCAR ensemble shows most of the steadier rains lifting north late tonight into early Sunday morning with a relative min in POPS toward daybreak Sunday. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... *Scattered to numerous severe thunderstorms remain possible over the eastern 1/2 of Pennsylvania on Sunday June 5th. A shortwave trough crossing the Upper MS Valley into the Great Lakes region will assume a negative tilt as it moves from the OH Valley northeastward across the Mid Atlantic on Sunday. At the surface, low pressure will deepen to below 1000mb lifting northward across the lower Great Lakes into southern Ontario. A wind shift/surface trough will extend southward from the low and move across central PA during the afternoon and evening on Sunday. To the south of a warm front advancing into NY and southern New England, guidance suggests a stronger early-day surge of moisture and forcing coincident with strengthening deep layer flow ahead of the approaching negative tilt trough. The clouds/precipitation overnight into Sunday morning still could be a limiting factor for severe wx. Assuming this does not occur and boundary layer destabilization can be realized, rapidly strengthening vertical wind shear profiles and increasing speed shear aloft are favorable for organized severe storm clusters including a few supercells. The most recent update from SPC has expanded the ENH risk area over the eastern 1/3 of the CWA and highlights damaging winds as the primary hazard. That said a few tornadoes can not be ruled out if supercells can be sustained within a larger anticipated tstm cluster/QLCS convective mode. The main emphasis is that scattered to numerous severe thunderstorms are possible across portions of central and southeast PA Sunday afternoon and evening with hail, damaging winds and a few tornadoes possible. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... *Cooler and unsettled pattern for next Monday-Wednesday June 6-8th *Improving conditions with gradual warming trend likely by next weekend By early in the upcoming week, broad cyclonic flow beneath an anomalous eastern U.S. trough will keep an unsettled pattern in place into the middle of next week. Multiple pieces of energy embedded within the mean trough aloft may generate one or more periods of showers and possible afternoon thunderstorms - given strong diurnal component and relatively cool air aloft. High pressure builds into the area during the second half of next week likely bringing improving conditions. Additional pieces of energy aloft may bring more chances of showers late in the week. Near- to- below normal temperatures during the first half of next should gradually trend warmer by next weekend. && .AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Low VFR conditions will continue this afternoon. Brief reductions in vis/cig will remain possible in isolated-sct tstms which will continue to develop/expand nwd with time over the airspace. A broader area of showers is likely to spread northeast across the airspace early tonight before shifting out of the airspace into early Sunday morning. Look for conditions to trend lower overnight into MVFR and IFR range with slow improvement after sunrise Sunday. OUTLOOK... Sun...MVFR/IFR conds in the morning...gradual improvement by afternoon. Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon with severe storm risk over the ern 1/2 of the airspace. Mon-Wed...VFR with ocnl MVFR with scattered showers/isold PM tstms. Thu...VFR/No sig wx. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SYNOPSIS...Steinbugl NEAR TERM...Steinbugl SHORT TERM...Steinbugl LONG TERM...Lambert/Gartner AVIATION...Steinbugl
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 4, 2:34 PM EDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 234 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016 PAZ004>006-010-011-017-051845- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-CLEARFIELD- 234 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ISOLATED STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE 40 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HAIL UP TO ONE INCH. THE RISK FOR TORNADOES IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. PAZ024-033-051845- CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- 234 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS 60 MPH OR GREATER AND HAIL UP TO 1 INCH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE AND MAY CAUSE RUNOFF ISSUES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ISOLATED STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE 40 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HAIL UP TO ONE INCH. THE RISK FOR TORNADOES IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. PAZ025>027-034-035-051845- BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-BEDFORD-FULTON- 234 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS 60 MPH OR GREATER AND HAIL UP TO 1 INCH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE AND MAY CAUSE RUNOFF ISSUES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS 60 MPH OR GREATER AND HAIL UP TO 1 INCH. ONE OR TWO WEAK...SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. PAZ012-018-019-037-041-042-045-046-051845- NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-TIOGA- NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING- 234 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE 40 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HAIL UP TO ONE INCH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE AND MAY CAUSE RUNOFF ISSUES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS 60 MPH OR GREATER AND HAIL UP TO 1 INCH. ONE OR TWO WEAK...SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. PAZ028-036-056-063-064-051845- JUNIATA-FRANKLIN-PERRY-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS- 234 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS 60 MPH OR GREATER AND HAIL UP TO 1 INCH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE AND MAY CAUSE RUNOFF ISSUES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS 60 MPH OR GREATER AND HAIL UP TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER. A FEW TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. PAZ049>053-057>059-065-066-051845- UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL- LEBANON-YORK-LANCASTER- 234 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE 40 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HAIL UP TO ONE INCH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE AND MAY CAUSE RUNOFF ISSUES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS 60 MPH OR GREATER AND HAIL UP TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER. A FEW TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. MS
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 4, 3:32 PM EDT, 34 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 332 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016 PAZ034-042000- BEDFORD PA- 332 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR PARTS OF BEDFORD COUNTY UNTIL 400 PM EDT... AT 330 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SHOWER NEAR CLEARVILLE AND EVERETT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS OCCURRING AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. UP TO AN INCH AND A HALF OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN THE LAST HOUR FROM THIS SHOWER. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... BREEZEWOOD...EVERETT AND CLEARVILLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3994 7843 4003 7841 4002 7821 3986 7829 TIME...MOT...LOC 1930Z 275DEG 11KT 3997 7837 DANGELO
Special weather statement, Jun 4, 4:06 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 406 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016 PAZ034-035-042030- BEDFORD PA-FULTON PA- 406 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016 ...A THUNDERSTORM WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT EASTERN BEDFORD AND WESTERN FULTON COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT... AT 404 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCINGVERYHEAVY RAIN NEAR CRYSTAL SPRINGS...MOVING VERY SLOWLY TO THE EAST AT 10 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. A WIND GUST IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH IS POSSIBLE. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... BREEZEWOOD AND CRYSTAL SPRINGS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY. && LAT...LON 3992 7833 4002 7829 3998 7809 3985 7817 TIME...MOT...LOC 2004Z 281DEG 8KT 3994 7826 DANGELO
The office that day
Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 3:32 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CTP | Bedford | 28 min |
| Jun 4, 5:26 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CTP | Bedford | 34 min |
| Jun 4, 6:03 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CTP | Somerset | 42 min |
| Jun 4, 6:34 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | CTP | Bedford, Fulton, Somerset | 3 hr |
| Jun 4, 6:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | CTP | Somerset | 43 min |
| Jun 4, 6:52 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Bedford, Somerset | 23 min |
| Jun 4, 7:16 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford | 29 min |
| Jun 4, 7:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Bedford | 3 hr |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Pennsylvania, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.