Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2016
Lake Effect Snow Warning 4, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this lake effect snow warning at Feb 12, 2016, 1:11 PM EST for Warren County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Feb 12, 2016, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 11 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 12, 2016, 1:11 PM EST (18:11 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 12, 2016, 7:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 13, 2016, 6:24 AM EST
- In force
- 11 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
County Warren County, PA
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 133 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 700 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 89 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 69 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 200 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
446 WWUS41 KCTP 121811 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 111 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 PAZ004-131000- /O.UPG.KCTP.WC.A.0001.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.WC.W.0001.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.LE.W.0004.160213T0000Z-160214T0300Z/ WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARREN 111 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY. A WIND CHILL WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND CHILL WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WIND CHILL WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * HAZARD TYPES...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES BY SATURDAY MORNING WITH ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL OVER 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SNOWBELT OF NORTHWEST WARREN COUNTY. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL ALSO OCCUR. * TIMING...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL BRING A LINE OF DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALLS TO THE REGION BETWEEN 5 AND 8 PM THIS EVENING...POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THE VERY COLD AIRMASS BLOWING OVER LAKE ERIE WILL GENERATE PERSISTENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW OF VARYING INTENSITY. * WIND CHILLS...20 TO 30 DEGREES BELOW ZERO LIKELY EARLY. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN JUST 15 TO 30 MINUTES. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN DOWN TO AROUND 10 BELOW ZERO SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE- EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ PAZ005-131000- /O.UPG.KCTP.WC.A.0001.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.WC.W.0001.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.LE.Y.0004.160213T0000Z-160214T0300Z/ MCKEAN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BRADFORD 111 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY. A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY. THE WIND CHILL WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 3 INCHES BY SATURDAY MORNING...WITH ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMULATION EXPECTED DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL ALSO OCCUR. * TIMING...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL BRING A LINE OF DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALLS TO THE REGION BETWEEN 5 AND 8 PM THIS EVENING...POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THE VERY COLD AIRMASS BLOWING OVER LAKE ERIE WILL GENERATE FREQUENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY. * WIND CHILLS...20 TO 30 DEGREES BELOW ZERO LIKELY. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN JUST 15 TO 30 MINUTES. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN DOWN TO AROUND 10 BELOW ZERO SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV... POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG C...T...P...W...X. && && $$ PAZ006-037-041-042-131000- /O.UPG.KCTP.WC.A.0001.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.WC.W.0001.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ POTTER-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...MANSFIELD...WELLSBORO... TROUT RUN 111 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WIND CHILL WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILLS...FALLING TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 BELOW ZERO BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY THEN STAYING IN THAT RANGE RIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...POTENTIAL FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN 15 TO 30 MINUTES. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH TONIGHT...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN DOWN TO AROUND 10 BELOW ZERO SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && && $$ PAZ010-017-024-033-131000- /O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.160213T0000Z-160214T0300Z/ /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0002.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ ELK-CLEARFIELD-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...DUBOIS... CLEARFIELD...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 111 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST SATURDAY. * LOCATIONS...THE ALLEGHENY PLATEAU AND LAUREL HIGHLANDS. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 3 INCHES BY SATURDAY MORNING...ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW. ADDITIONAL LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. * TIMING...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL BRING A LINE OF DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALLS TO THE REGION BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM THIS EVENING...POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THE VERY COLD AIRMASS BLOWING OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL BE LIFTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...GENERATING FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY. * WIND CHILLS...FALLING TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 BELOW ZERO BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY THEN STAYING IN THAT RANGE RIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN JUST 15 TO 30 MINUTES. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH INTO THIS EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN DOWN TO AROUND 10 BELOW ZERO SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && && $$ PAZ019-025>028-034>036-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-131000- /O.EXB.KCTP.WC.Y.0002.160213T2200Z-160214T1600Z/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATE COLLEGE...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON... MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...BEDFORD... MCCONNELLSBURG...CHAMBERSBURG...LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT... LEWISBURG...SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN... BLOOMSBURG...BERWICK...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY... POTTSVILLE...LEBANON...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER 111 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILLS...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. * TIMING...LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA ARE POSSIBLE IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS...FALLING TO BETWEEN 5 BELOW AND 5 ABOVE ZERO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && && $$ PAZ011-012-018-131000- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0002.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIUM...RENOVO...PHILIPSBURG 111 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILLS...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. * TIMING...EARLY SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA ARE POSSIBLE IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO...FALLING TO THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ LAMBERT/HAGNER/GARTNER
2 follow-up statements
189 WWUS41 KCTP 130331 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1031 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 PAZ004-131545- /O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160214T0300Z/ /O.CON.KCTP.WC.W.0001.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARREN 1031 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SATURDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * HAZARD TYPES...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES BY SATURDAY MORNING WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ON SATURDAY. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL OVER 10 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SNOWBELT OF NORTHWEST WARREN COUNTY. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL ALSO OCCUR. * TIMING...NOW THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THE HEAVIEST SNOW COULD FALL LATE SATURDAY. * WIND CHILLS...AS LOW AS 20 TO 30 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN JUST 15 TO 30 MINUTES. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN DOWN TO AROUND 10 BELOW ZERO SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TO THE REGION BETWEEN 7 PM AND 10 PM A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE- EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ PAZ005-131545- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.W.0001.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ /O.CON.KCTP.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160214T0300Z/ MCKEAN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BRADFORD 1031 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SATURDAY... ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 3 INCHES BY SATURDAY MORNING...WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY EVENING. STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL ALSO OCCUR. * TIMING...NOW THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. SOME OF THE HEAVIEST SNOW COULD FALL LATE SATURDAY. * WIND CHILLS...AS LOW AS 20 TO 30 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN JUST 15 TO 30 MINUTES. * WINDS...NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN DOWN TO AROUND 10 BELOW ZERO SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO CTP.STORMREPORTS@NOAA.GOV... POSTING TO THE NWS STATE COLLEGE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG C...T...P...W...X. && $$ PAZ006-037-041-042-131545- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.W.0001.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ POTTER-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...MANSFIELD...WELLSBORO... TROUT RUN 1031 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILLS...FALLING TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 BELOW ZERO BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY THEN STAYING IN THAT RANGE RIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN 15 TO 30 MINUTES. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH TONIGHT...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN DOWN TO AROUND 10 BELOW ZERO SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ PAZ010-017-024-033-131545- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-160214T0300Z/ /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0002.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ ELK-CLEARFIELD-CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...DUBOIS... CLEARFIELD...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 1031 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST SATURDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE ALLEGHENY PLATEAU AND LAUREL HIGHLANDS. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 3 INCHES BY SATURDAY MORNING...ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW. ADDITIONAL LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. STORM TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST VALUES ON THE RIDGES OF SOMERSET AND CAMBRIA COUNTIES. * TIMING...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL CREATE HEAVY SNOW SQUALLS EARLY TONIGHT...POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. THE VERY COLD AIRMASS BLOWING OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL BE LIFTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...GENERATING FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY. * WIND CHILLS...FALLING TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 BELOW ZERO BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY THEN STAYING IN THAT RANGE RIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN JUST 15 TO 30 MINUTES. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH EARLY TONIGHT SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...THEN DOWN TO AROUND 10 BELOW ZERO SATURDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ PAZ011-012-018-131545- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0002.160213T0900Z-160214T1600Z/ CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIUM...RENOVO...PHILIPSBURG 1031 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILLS...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. * TIMING...EARLY SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA ARE POSSIBLE IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO SATURDAY...FALLING TO THE SINGLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ PAZ019-025>028-034>036-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-131545- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0002.160213T2200Z-160214T1600Z/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATE COLLEGE...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON... MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...BEDFORD... MCCONNELLSBURG...CHAMBERSBURG...LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT... LEWISBURG...SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN... BLOOMSBURG...BERWICK...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY... POTTSVILLE...LEBANON...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER 1031 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILLS...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. * TIMING...LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA ARE POSSIBLE IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO TEENS SATURDAY...FALLING TO BETWEEN 5 BELOW AND 5 ABOVE ZERO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$
232 WWUS41 KCTP 131124 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 624 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 PAZ004-132330- /O.CAN.KCTP.LE.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160214T0300Z/ /O.CON.KCTP.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160214T1600Z/ WARREN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARREN 624 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * TIMING...NOW THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * WIND CHILLS...AS LOW AS 20 TO 30 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. * IMPACTS...FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN POSSIBLE IN JUST 15 TO 30 MINUTES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ PAZ005-132330- /O.CAN.KCTP.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160214T0300Z/ /O.CON.KCTP.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160214T1600Z/ MCKEAN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BRADFORD 624 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * TIMING...NOW THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * WIND CHILLS...AS LOW AS 20 TO 30 DEGREES BELOW ZERO. * IMPACTS...FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN POSSIBLE IN JUST 15 TO 30 MINUTES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ PAZ010-017-132330- /O.CAN.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-160214T0300Z/ /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160214T1600Z/ ELK-CLEARFIELD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...DUBOIS... CLEARFIELD 624 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. * LOCATIONS...THE ALLEGHENY PLATEAU. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * TIMING...NOW THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * WIND CHILLS...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO WITH THE LOWEST READINGS TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...POTENTIAL FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN JUST 15 TO 30 MINUTES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ PAZ006-037-041-042-132330- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160214T1600Z/ POTTER-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...MANSFIELD...WELLSBORO... TROUT RUN 624 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILLS...15 AND 20 BELOW ZERO TODAY AND AROUND 25 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN 15 TO 30 MINUTES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ PAZ024-033-132330- /O.EXT.KCTP.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-160214T0000Z/ /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160214T1600Z/ CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 624 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILLS...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO TODAY. 20 TO 25 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES. * TIMING...THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THE DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL LAST THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED AND HAZARDOUS ROAD CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH POTENTIAL FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN JUST 15 TO 30 MINUTES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ PAZ011-012-018-132330- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160214T1600Z/ CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-NORTHERN CENTRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EMPORIUM...RENOVO...PHILIPSBURG 624 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS OF PENNSYLVANIA. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILLS...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. * TIMING...THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA ARE POSSIBLE IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ PAZ019-025>028-034>036-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-132330- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0002.160213T2200Z-160214T1600Z/ SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON- CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STATE COLLEGE...ALTOONA...HUNTINGDON... MOUNT UNION...LEWISTOWN...MIFFLINTOWN...BEDFORD... MCCONNELLSBURG...CHAMBERSBURG...LOCK HAVEN...WILLIAMSPORT... LEWISBURG...SELINSGROVE...DANVILLE...SUNBURY...SHAMOKIN... BLOOMSBURG...BERWICK...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...HERSHEY... POTTSVILLE...LEBANON...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...LANCASTER 624 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS. * WIND CHILLS...10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. * TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA ARE POSSIBLE IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Feb 12, 11:29 AM EST, 1 hour 42 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 12, 11:29 AM EST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1129 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 .SYNOPSIS... AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHWESTERN PENN THIS EVENING...AND PUSH ACROSS THE SUSQ VALLEY SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL BE FOLLOWED BY THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON JUST IN TIME FOR VALENTINES WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE STATE LATE IN THE WEEKEND...THEN A STRENGTHENING STORM WILL LIFT UP THE EAST COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER/THICKEN-UP THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS WAA OVERSPREADS THE AREA IN ADVANCE OF UPPER LOW /POLAR VORTEX/ PLUNGING SOUTH FROM JAMES BAY. NEAR TERM MDLS CONTINUE TO INDICATE ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL RESULT IN SOME PATCHY LGT SNOW DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTN AND EARLY EVENING...PRODUCING SOME MEAGER ACCUMS OF LESS THAN AN INCH. SW FLOW AHEAD OF APPROACHING ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL DRAW SLIGHTLY MILDER AIR INTO THE REGION...AND MID AFTERNOON MAX TEMPS WILL LIKELY RANGE FROM THE UTEENS OVR THE ALLEGHENY PLATEAU...TO THE M20S ACROSS THE SUSQ VALLEY. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... ARCTIC FRONT WILL PLOW SE ACROSS CENTRAL PA THIS EVENING...LIKELY ACCOMPANIED BY A ROUND OF SNOW SQUALLS. STEEP LOWER TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RTS AND STRONG FORCING AHEAD OF MID LVL SHORTWAVE SHOULD SUPPORT A BAND OF SQUALLS ENTERING THE NW MTNS ARND 00Z AND EXITING THE EASTERN COUNTIES LATE AT NIGHT. BRIEF WHITEOUT CONDS WILL LIKELY CREATE TRAFFIC/TRAVEL PROBLEMS THIS EVENING ACROSS THE NW COUNTIES AND POSSIBLY FURTHER SE LATE TONIGHT. CAN/T RULE OUT A RUMBLE OF THUNDER ACROSS THE NW MTNS BTWN 00Z-03Z SAT...WHERE MDLS INDICATE A BIT OF CAPE. ELSEWHERE...HAVE REMOVED MENTION OF THUNDER BASE ON LATEST SPC GUIDANCE AND LACK OF ANY CAPE IN MDL DATA. 00Z NCAR ENSEMBLE SUGGESTS THE HEAVIEST SQUALLS WILL FALL OVR THE N MTNS...CLOSEST PATH OF SHORTWAVE. HAVE OPTED TO FOREGO ANY ADVISORIES FOR SNOW AT THIS POINT...AS LATEST SPC SSEO AND NCAR ENSEMBLE OUTPUT INDICATE SNOW AMTS FROM FRONT AND FOLLOWING LAKE EFFECT WILL FALL SHORT OF ADVISORY CRITERIA. PLAN TO COVER THE TRAVEL HAZARD FROM EVENING SQUALLS IN THE HWO AND FOLLOW UP WITH SPS AS THE EVENT UNFOLDS THIS EVENING. ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL POUR INTO THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY NW WINDS...WHICH WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS ACROSS AT LEAST THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN MTNS. CURRENT WIND/TEMP GRIDS RESULTING IN MARGINAL WCHILL WARNING READINGS OF ARND -25F ACROSS THE N MTNS SAT AM THRU SUN AM. THUS...WITH SUCH BORDERLINE NUMBERS...WILL KEEP WATCH INTACT AND DEFER WARNING/ADVISORY DECISION TO THE DAY SHIFT. FURTHER SOUTH...HAVE ISSUED WCHILL ADVISORY ALONG THE ALLEGHENY PLATEAU...WHERE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR WCHILLS BTWN 15F-25F. GEFS MEAN 8H TEMPS BTWN -22F AND -25F SHOULD SUPPORT HIGH TEMPS SATURDAY NO GREATER THAN ARND 0F OVR THE NW MTNS TO THE MTEENS ACROSS THE LOWER SUSQ VALLEY. DRY ARCTIC AIR MASS SHOULD PRECLUDE SIG LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL PA SATURDAY. HOWEVER...LK HURON CONNECTION SHOULD SHOULD FOCUS THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE NW WARREN CO AND THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS...WHERE AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR SO SEEMS LIKELY BASED ON NCAR MESOSCALE ENSEMBLE. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... *IMPACT WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS: FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS FOR VALENTINES WEEKEND. POTENTIAL WINTER STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK. POLAR VORTEX DIVING INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL DELIVER THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON WITH ARCTIC BLAST INTO CENTRAL PA LATE SAT-SUN. THE GLOBAL MODELS AND ENSEMBLES KEEP A MEAN TROUGH IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN US INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE MOST NOTABLE FEATURE DURING THE PERIOD WILL BE A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING UP THE EAST COAST ON TUESDAY. THE LATEST 12/00Z MODEL GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED WEST WITH THE LOW TRACK...BUT THERE IS STILL A DECENT SPREAD. AT THIS TIME PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM APPEARS LIKELY MON-TUE BUT THE TRACK WILL ULTIMATELY DETERMINE PRECIPITATION TYPE. NEXT WEEK SHOULD END ON A MILDER NOTE. THE COLDEST TEMPS/WCHILLS EXPECTED SAT NIGHT OVR THE AREA...AS 8H TEMP ANOMALIES OF NEAR 3SD BLW CLIMO GRAZE THE AREA. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM ARND ZERO IN THE LOWER SUSQ VALLEY TO -10F IN THE NORTHWEST MTNS. THE FRIGID TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS /-10 TO -25 BELOW ZERO/ WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK FOR FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA. MAY NEED TO ADD COUNTIES TO THE CURRENT WIND CHILL ADVISORYF FOR SAT NIGHT. A MODERATION (WARMING TREND) IS EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE MODEL SPREAD HAS NARROWED A BIT CONCERNING A POTENTIAL WINTER STORM SYSTEM IMPACTING THE MID ATLC/NORTHEAST NEXT MON-TUE. LATEST GEFS AND ECENS INDICATING A SFC LOW TRACK ACROSS EASTERN PA IS MOST LIKELY...WHICH WOULD FAVOR RAIN ACROSS ALL BUT PERHAPS THE W MTNS. CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ON PTYPES ACROSS WESTERN PA...BUT NOW DEFINITELY FAVORS RAIN ACROSS THE EAST. ALL THE MODELS ARE SIGNALING A SIGNIFICANT QPF EVENT...AND THEREFORE HAVE INCREASED POPS IN THE LKLY RANGE FOR MON NGT-TUESDAY. && .AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... MOST OF CENTRAL PA WILL CONTINUE TO BE VFR INTO THE MID AFTERNOON. W/SW WINDS WILL BE 10 MPH OR LESS MUCH OF THE DAY. TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOLLOWED BY A BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR. AHEAD OF THAT...SOME WAA LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP DURING THE MID-LATE AFTERNOON...BRINGING GENERALLY MVFR REDUCTIONS TO CIGS/VSBY. WHEN ARCTIC AIR ARRIVES /REACHING NW MTNS BY 00Z/... MORE SIG SNOW SHOWERS/SQUALLS WILL BRING PERIODS OF LIFR/VLIFR IN THIS EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING - ESP OVER THE NW HALF OF CWA. THESE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS...AND THESE BRISK WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY. DOWNSLOPE FLOW KICKS IN LATE TONIGHT...BRINGING IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IN MOST PLACES. WESTERN HIGHER TERRAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SEE RESTRICTIONS IN SNOW SHOWERS/BLOWING SNOW/UPSLOPE FLOW INTO THE WEEKEND. OUTLOOK... SAT...WINDY. SHSN/REDUCED VIS POSS W MTNS...MAINLY AM. SUN...NO SIG WX EXPECTED. MON...PM SNOW POSSIBLE. MON NIGHT AND TUE...SNOW LIKELY NW HALF OF PENN...WITH RAIN OR SNOW IN THE SE. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WIND CHILL WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR PAZ004>006-037-041-042. WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY FOR PAZ010>012-017-018-024-033. && SYNOPSIS...FITZGERALD/LAMBERT NEAR TERM...LAMBERT SHORT TERM...FITZGERALD LONG TERM...FITZGERALD/STEINBUGL AVIATION...LAMBERT/RXR
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 12, 6:18 AM EST, 6 hours 53 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 618 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 PAZ019-025>028-034>036-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-131130- SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON- FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-MONTOUR- NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND- ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 618 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SNOW SQUALLS. POOR VISIBILITY AND A QUICK COATING OF SNOW COULD ACCOMPANY THE SQUALLS AND MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. FRIGID TEMPERATURES AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL BRING AN INCREASED RISK OF FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. A STORM SYSTEM LIFTING UP THE EAST COAST COULD POTENTIALLY BRING HEAVY RAIN OR SNOW TO CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. PAZ004>006-037-041-042-131130- WARREN-MCKEAN-POTTER-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN- 618 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND CHILL WATCH. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION THIS EVENING...ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SNOW SQUALLS. POOR VISIBILITY AND A QUICK COATING OF SNOW COULD ACCOMPANY THE SQUALLS AND MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND CHILL WATCH. A STORM SYSTEM LIFTING UP THE EAST COAST COULD POTENTIALLY BRING HEAVY RAIN OR SNOW TO CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. PAZ010>012-017-018-024-033-131130- ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-CAMBRIA- SOMERSET- 618 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND CHILL ADVISORY. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT...ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SNOW SQUALLS. POOR VISIBILITY AND A QUICK COATING OF SNOW COULD ACCOMPANY THE SQUALLS AND MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND CHILL ADVISORY. A STORM SYSTEM LIFTING UP THE EAST COAST COULD POTENTIALLY BRING HEAVY RAIN OR SNOW TO CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 12, 11:22 AM EST, 1 hour 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1122 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW GLEN HAZEL DAM 41.56N 78.60W
02/12/2016 M1.0 INCH ELK PA CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW KINZUA 41.90N 79.12W
02/12/2016 M2.0 INCH WARREN PA CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW SOMERSET 40.00N 79.08W
02/12/2016 M1.1 INCH SOMERSET PA CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW WARREN 41.84N 79.15W
02/12/2016 M1.0 INCH WARREN PA CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW BRADFORD 4W 41.95N 78.73W
02/12/2016 M1.0 INCH MCKEAN PA CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW CHANDLERS VALLEY 41.93N 79.30W
02/12/2016 M2.0 INCH WARREN PA CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW KANE 41.68N 78.80W
02/12/2016 M2.0 INCH MCKEAN PA CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW WINDBER 40.29N 78.78W
02/12/2016 M1.3 INCH SOMERSET PA CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
0800 AM SNOW RIDGWAY 41.42N 78.75W
02/12/2016 M1.0 INCH ELK PA CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
EVENT NUMBER CTP1601261
EVENT NUMBER CTP1601262
EVENT NUMBER CTP1601263
EVENT NUMBER CTP1601264
EVENT NUMBER CTP1601265
EVENT NUMBER CTP1601266
EVENT NUMBER CTP1601267
EVENT NUMBER CTP1601268
EVENT NUMBER CTP1601269
HAGNERThe office that day
Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 4:35 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | CTP | Adams, Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Cameron, Centre and 22 more | 54 hr |
| Feb 12, 1:11 PM EST | Lake Effect Snow Advisory | CTP | McKean | 17 hr |
| Feb 12, 1:11 PM EST | Wind Chill Warning | CTP | Lycoming, McKean, Potter, Sullivan, Tioga, Warren | 46 hr |
| Feb 12, 1:11 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | CTP | Cambria, Clearfield, Elk, Somerset | 26 hr |
| Feb 12, 1:22 PM EST | Wind Advisory | CTP | Adams, Bedford, Blair, Centre, Clinton, Columbia and 17 more | 28 hr |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2016Every lake effect snow warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.