Small Craft Advisory 13, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

209 
WHUS74 KCRP 022043
MWWCRP

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
243 PM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

...STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON...

.HAZARDOUS SEAS AND STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW REMAIN ACROSS THE
OFFSHORE WATERS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH AND
SUBSIDE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS OVER THE BAYS AND
NEARSHORE WATERS HAVE ALREADY DIMINISHED.

GMZ230-235-250-255-022145-
/O.EXP.KCRP.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-160202T2100Z/
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-
243 PM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. 

$$

GMZ270-275-030000-
/O.EXT.KCRP.SC.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-160203T0000Z/
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
243 PM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

* WINDS: NORTH WIND 20 TO 25 KNOTS BECOMING 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES/SEAS: SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR SEAS OF 7 FEET OR GREATER ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...
ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID
NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS. MARINERS SHOULD PAY CLOSE
ATTENTION TO THE MARINE FORECAST...AND CONSIDER WIND AND SEA
CONDITIONS IN PLANNING.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
546 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...NOTE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CONDITIONS NEAR THE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING.
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AREAWIDE BEFORE NOON THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE TAF PERIOD. MODERATE N/NW FLOW MID MORNING/EARLY AFTN
BECOMING LIGHT BY EVENING/EARLY TNGT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 543 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...CONCUR WITH THE GFS
DETERMINISTIC WITH PREDICTS THE UPPER DISTURBANCE OVER THE SRN
PLAINS TO LIFT NORTHEAST TODAY WHILE ANOTHER SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER
THE ROCKIES AND MOVES ACRS THE SRN PLAINS WEDNESDAY. THE FIRST
SYSTEM HAS CONTRIBUTED TO THE FRONT MOVG OFFSHORE AND THE NEXT
DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN REINFORCING SFC HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE CWA/MSA WEDNESDAY. COLDER TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY WITH READINGS IN THE 40S AND 60S RESPECTIVELY.

MARINE...OWING TO THE CURRENT PROXIMITY OF THE FRONT...WIND
SPEEDS HAVE FALLEN SIGNIFICANTLY. ONLY MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW
EXPECTED LATER TODAY IN RESPONSE TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. WL
MAINTAIN THE CURRENT SCA OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS UNTIL 15Z TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE HIGH SEAS.

FIRE WEATHER...WILL ISSUE AN RFD OWING TO VERY LOW MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND WIND. SUSTAINED WIND GUSTS NOT
EXPECTED TO REACH 20-24 MPH YET FREQUENT GUSTS MAY.

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD WITH THE
PASSAGE OF SEVERAL COLD FRONTAL BOUNDRIES...AS A BROAD TROUGH
PERSISTS OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. AN UPPER LOW WILL BRING A
CHANCE FOR RAIN ON SATURDAY.

PERIOD BEGINS WITH REINFORCING SFC RIDGE SETTLING INTO THE NW GULF
INDUCING SCA CONDITIONS. LOW TEMPS COULD BRIEFLY APPROACH FREEZING
ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA WITH LOWER 40S ALONG
IMMEDIATE COAST. SUNNY BUT COOL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THURSDAY
WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. OVERCAST CONDITIONS RETURN
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS POS/TILT UPPER LOW MOVES INTO SOUTHERN ARIZONA.
THIS LOW AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS
SATURDAY NIGHT (PER GFS)...BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN...AND
SCA'S TO THE GULF WATERS ONCE AGAIN. STILL SOME TIMING ISSUES WITH
THIS PASSING LOW AS ECMWF IS CONSIDERABLY FASTER THAN THE GFS...AND
THUS RAIN COULD END SOONER. EXPECT CLEARING SKIES AND COOL
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST
MONDAY NIGHT WITH COOL DRY AIR SURGING INTO THE NW GULF IN ITS
WAKE...RESULTING IN YET ANOTHER BRIEF PERIOD OF SCA'S.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    78  45  65  38  61  /  10   0   0   0   0
VICTORIA          74  40  61  34  59  /  10   0   0   0   0
LAREDO            76  43  68  41  63  /   0   0   0   0   0
ALICE             78  42  66  37  62  /  10   0   0   0   0
ROCKPORT          72  47  63  40  59  /  10   0   0   0   0
COTULLA           74  41  64  36  62  /   0   0   0   0   0
KINGSVILLE        79  43  66  37  62  /  10   0   0   0   0
NAVY CORPUS       73  49  63  44  59  /  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT
     ARANSAS OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

WC/87...AVIATION

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
555 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-031200-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
555 AM CST TUE FEB 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE COASTAL
WATERS UNTIL 900 AM CST THIS MORNING.

AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR THE RIO GRANDE
PLAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER THE GULF WATERS
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AND AGAIN SATURDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING.

ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

87/75