Flash Flood Warning 4, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
817 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR SVR WATCH NUMBER 40 UNTIL NOON.
ALSO...DECIDED TO GO WITH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT FOR
THE COASTAL COUNTIES AS WELL AS BEE...GOLIAD AND VICTORIA
COUNTIES. UPPER JET AND STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT
EAST...THE LATTER DOING SO BY NOON (HENCE THE WATCH TIL NOON).
UPDATES ARE OUT. SCA IS ON-GOING AND LOOKS OK FOR NOW (WILL LOOK
AT IT A BIT MORE BUT HAVE BIGGER FISH TO FRY FOR NOW).

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 548 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016/

DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION.

AVIATION...A MIX OF MVFR/VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS
MORNING ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TERMINALS. ADDITIONAL REDEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS UPPER
LOW REMAINS TO THE WEST AND COASTAL TROUGH DEVELOPS. HAVE
INCLUDED VCSH REMARKS FOR THE DAYTIME HOURS WITH SHRA REMARKS FOR
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LOW CIGS RETURN TONIGHT...BUT
CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE IFR CONDITIONS YET.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 413 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE THIS MORNING OVER THE WESTERN BRUSH COUNTRY AND RIO
GRANDE PLAINS. STORMS HAVE BEHAVED THUS FAR AND CURRENT THINKING
KEEPS THIS ACTIVITY BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 4AM. UPPER LOW BACK TO THE WEST WILL BE
THE MAIN FEATURE ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AT THE
SFC...TROUGH WILL HUG THE COASTLINE TODAY. THE TROUGH WILL COMBINE
WITH SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR RENEWED CONVECTION LATER TODAY AND
CONTINUING INTO TONIGHT. LAST FEW RUNS OF THE HRRR HAVE BEEN
SUGGESTING ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT BY MIDDAY OR SO AND WILL CARRY
HIGHEST POPS TODAY ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND. SOME MODERATE TO AT
TIMES HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. HIGHS TODAY WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE 70S IN MOST LOCATIONS. DECENT CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL OCCUR AGAIN ON THURSDAY AS UPPER LOW MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA. THREAT FOR A FEW STRONG STORMS/SMALL HAIL MAY
EXIST ON THURSDAY AS COLD CORE SWINGS THROUGH THE AREA.

LASTLY...A HIGH RISK RIP CURRENTS WILL EXIST TODAY ALONG AREA
BEACHES AS LONG PERIOD SWELLS COMBINE WITH ELEVATED SWELL
HEIGHTS.

MARINE...GUSTS DID NOT QUITE MAKE IT TO GALE FORCE OVER THE GULF
WATERS SO HAVE DROPPED THE GALE WARNING. HAVE REPLACED THE GALE
WARNING WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AS HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE OFFSHORE AND NEARSHORE WATERS.

LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
WILL FINALLY START TO KICK OUT OF NORTHERN MEXICO BY THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY AND WILL TRACK ACROSS TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY. ONCE THE
LOW GETS TO THE EAST OF THE REGION RAIN CHANCES WILL DROP OFF
QUICKLY. HAVE JUST SLIGHT TO LOW-END CHANCE POPS LINGERING FRIDAY
NIGHT...THEN DRY FROM SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODELS INDICATE
A SHORTWAVE DIVING ACROSS THE ROCKIES TO NORTH TEXAS ON SUNDAY...BUT
IT SHOULD REMAIN FAR ENOUGH NORTH TO NOT BRING RAIN CHANCES THIS FAR
SOUTH. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH THE NEXT
BROAD TROUGH SHIFTING WEST BY TUES/WED. MIN POSITION OF UPPER AND
SURFACE LOW WILL IMPACT THE DETAILS OF WIND/TEMP/DEWPOINT FORECAST
THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH NONE OF THE GUIDANCE REALLY MATCHING UP WELL
AT THIS POINT. IN GENERAL THOUGH...EXPECT COOLER MIN TEMPS
THURSDAY/FRIDAY NIGHTS WITH A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. MIN TEMPS START THE PERIOD SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL AND WILL ALSO GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    77  61  74  59  73  /  90  70  50  40  30
VICTORIA          75  62  74  55  73  /  90  80  50  40  40
LAREDO            77  57  73  55  71  /  50  40  70  40  30
ALICE             79  60  75  55  73  /  70  60  60  40  30
ROCKPORT          75  63  71  62  71  /  90  80  40  30  30
COTULLA           76  58  70  54  71  /  60  40  70  50  40
KINGSVILLE        79  60  76  56  74  /  80  60  50  40  30
NAVY CORPUS       74  64  74  62  72  /  90  70  40  30  30

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 8 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: ARANSAS...CALHOUN...KLEBERG...NUECES.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ARANSAS...BEE...CALHOUN...GOLIAD...KLEBERG...NUECES...
     REFUGIO...SAN PATRICIO...VICTORIA.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT
     20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

GW/86...SHORT TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
603 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

TXZ229>234-239>247-101215-
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
603 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG GULF FACING
BEACHES.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS. SOME
STORMS MAY BE STRONG THIS MORNING WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL REMAIN HIGH ON THURSDAY ALONG GULF
FACING BEACHES.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A FEW STRONG STORMS
ARE POSSIBLE...BUT WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT
THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-101215-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
603 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE NEARSHORE AND
OFFSHORE WATERS TODAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE MIDDLE TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE DURING THE DAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
441 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

TXZ229-091115-
LA SALLE-
441 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN LA SALLE COUNTY...

AT 441 AM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LOS ANGELES...OR
13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DILLEY...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN LA
SALLE COUNTY.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY CAN RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI .

LAT...LON 2846 9890 2848 9912 2864 9915 2865 9882
TIME...MOT...LOC 1041Z 193DEG 31KT 2856 9898

HART

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
552 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

TXZ239-091215-
WEBB-
552 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN WEBB COUNTY...

AT 551 AM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES EAST OF RIO
BRAVO...OR 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAREDO...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RANCHITOS LAS LOMAS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY CAN RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI .

LAT...LON 2727 9933 2732 9937 2729 9941 2728 9944
      2780 9934 2773 9904 2727 9917
TIME...MOT...LOC 1151Z 193DEG 38KT 2731 9933

HART

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
619 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

TXZ239-091245-
WEBB-
619 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WEBB COUNTY...

AT 618 AM CST...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES SOUTH OF FORT EWELL SITE TO 11
MILES NORTHWEST OF LAS PALMAS. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AT 50 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AGUILARES...MIRANDO CITY AND RANCHITOS LAS LOMAS.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY CAN RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI .

LAT...LON 2727 9933 2732 9938 2794 9931 2805 9903
      2806 9885 2727 9902
TIME...MOT...LOC 1218Z 196DEG 44KT 2792 9909 2709 9938

HART

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
631 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

TXZ242-243-091330-
NUECES-KLEBERG-
631 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NUECES AND KLEBERG
COUNTIES...

AT 629 AM CST...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR RICARDO TO 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAN
MANUEL. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AT 45 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS POTENTIALLY IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CORPUS CHRISTI...KINGSVILLE...ROBSTOWN...DRISCOLL...CORPUS CHRISTI
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...BISHOP...CALALLEN...FLOUR BLUFF...CORPUS CHRISTI
COUNTRY CLUB...MALAQUITE BEACH...RIVIERA BEACH...KINGS CROSSING GOLF
COURSE...CLARKWOOD...CHRISTUS SPOHN HOSPITAL SOUTH...MUSTANG ISLAND
STATE PARK...DRISCOLL CHILDRENS HOSPITAL...COLE PARK...BANQUETE...
DOWNTOWN CORPUS CHRISTI AND PADRE ISLES COUNTRY CLUB.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY CAN RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI .

LAT...LON 2726 9798 2726 9802 2791 9777 2771 9708
      2728 9735 2727 9737 2724 9737 2726 9745
      2725 9749 2724 9749 2724 9750 2723 9754
      2724 9763 2728 9765 2726 9773 2728 9776
      2728 9778 2725 9783 2724 9792 2721 9798
TIME...MOT...LOC 1229Z 191DEG 40KT 2740 9777 2672 9804

HART

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
822 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

TXZ230>232-091445-
MCMULLEN-BEE-LIVE OAK-
822 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL MCMULLEN...
NORTHWESTERN LIVE OAK AND NORTHWESTERN BEE COUNTIES...

AT 821 AM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SIMMONS...OR 7
MILES SOUTH OF CHOKE CANYON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
THREE RIVERS...CHOKE CANYON...NELL...SIMMONS...PAWNEE...CALLIHAM...
ESSEVILLE AND WHITSETT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST FOR
SOUTH TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2868 9797 2827 9828 2837 9841 2864 9830
      2876 9814
TIME...MOT...LOC 1421Z 208DEG 35KT 2840 9831

HART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
850 AM CST WED MAR 09 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0848 AM     FLASH FLOOD      CORPUS CHRISTI          27.75N 97.42W
03/09/2016                   NUECES             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            C.C. POLICE REPORTED FLOODING ON 286 AND CALLAHAN,
            STAPLES STREET AT SIX POINTS, STAPLES STREET AND
            FURHMANN, AND INTERSTATE 37 NORTHBOUND AT MESQUITE.

&&

GWILK