Alert archive / Ohio / Special Weather Statements in 2016
Special Weather Statement, NWS Cleveland, OH
NWS Cleveland, OH issued this special weather statement at Jul 13, 2016, 7:53 PM EDT for 8 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 37 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 13, 2016, 7:53 PM EDT (23:53 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 13, 2016, 8:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 37 min
- Issued by
- NWS Cleveland, OH
Counties Crawford County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Marion County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH
The radar
The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1008 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -40 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 795 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 13 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 10 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 11 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 13, 7:15 PM EDT, 38 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 7:15 PM EDT, 38 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 715 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure over the central and southern Appalachians will drift south and weaken. Meanwhile...cold front will move southeast toward the area Thursday. A trough of low pressure will move southeast across the area Friday. High pressure will then build east across the area over the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/... Convection has developed upstream as expected this evening with some warnings to our west. The best instability over the local area will occur over the next few hours, as will our best chance for severe storms. The bulk shear remains under 20kt, and though this will increase overnight the instability will inversely decline. A short wave, responsible for the convection over MO today, will drift over the region tonight. With some elevated instability there will be enough support for scattered showers and thunderstorms overnight and into morning. A few storms will have brief heavy rain (PW>1.6") and the potential for strong gusty winds (high DCAPE). Looking at a muggy night as dew points linger in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Prev Discussion... Have made minor changes for the overnight forecast and will keep the trend of increasing pops into the early evening mainly in the west with an expectation that scattered convection over Illinois and Indiana will become more numerous as it spreads into Ohio. This agrees with the reasoning from SPC. The wind shear is rather weak(less than 30 knots) but there is enough CAPE and DCAPE to support downburst formation in some of the stronger cells. Humid conditions will persist with dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... a cold front is expected to sag into the region during the afternoon and make rather slow progress to the southeast. Drying aloft is also expected to move into the region and this will allow some instability to form along with scattered convection. The timing and location is rather uncertain. The NAM appears to be suffering from rather intense convective feedback again and has been discounted. In any event...we expect scattered convection mainly during max diurnal heating time with just a lingering chance Thursday evening in the eastern counties. Drier and cool air will filter in later Thursday night and Friday. A surface trough will cross the area on Friday and then high pressure will build over the region on Saturday. 850 mb temperatures will cool to near 12C and produce seasonal temperatures on Saturday and Saturday night. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Relatively zonal and quick flow will bring system across the Great Lakes Sunday night into Monday. Trailing cold front looks to impact the local area on Monday with scattered showers/thunderstorms. Beyond Monday the ridge strengthens to our west and by mid week we may be on the eastern fringes of the the heat again. Will go with seasonal temps Monday and Tuesday and begin to bring them up for Wednesday. && .AVIATION /00Z Thursday THROUGH Monday/... Scattered TSRA across NW OH will gradually diminish this evening with the loss of daytime heating and moving into a less sheared environment. Storms moving across Illinois should also slowly diminish. Expect scattered showers with isolated TSRA into NW OH toward midnight local...then will move across forecast area overnight. Will continue to diminish as they move east so doubts as to how far east actually make it. More scattered TSRA tomorrow afternoon ahead of cold front that will move across the forecast area tomorrow. Location will depend on the timing of the front. For now just went VCTS across the southern taf sites tomorrow afternoon. Outlook...Areas of non-VFR possible Thursday in showers and thunderstorms. Non-VFR possible across ne OH/nw PA Friday. && .MARINE... A few rounds of showers/thunderstorms possible between this evening through Friday as system up across the midwest does not cross the lake until Friday. The south-southwest flow between 10 and 20 knots will make the waters just offshore choppy. The east end may be getting close to marginal small craft advisory conditions Thursday/Thursday night. A better chance may come on Friday as the winds shift more westerly for areas east of Cleveland. High pressure builds across the lake for Saturday and Sunday. The next front will be crossing the Great Lakes on Monday. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None. && SYNOPSIS...LaPlante NEAR TERM...Jamison/LaPlante SHORT TERM...LaPlante LONG TERM...Oudeman AVIATION...DJB MARINE...Oudeman
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 1:16 PM EDT, 6 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 116 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016 LEZ142>144-162>164-OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047-141730- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH-LUCAS-WOOD- OTTAWA-SANDUSKY-ERIE-HANCOCK-SENECA-HURON-WYANDOT-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND- ASHLAND-MARION-MORROW-KNOX- 116 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL OHIO AND NORTHWEST OHIO. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING MAINLY IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. LEZ061-145>149-165>169-OHZ010>014-020>023-031>033-038-089-PAZ001>003- 141730- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH- LAKE ERIE OPEN WATERS FROM CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY-LORAIN-CUYAHOGA- LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-MEDINA-SUMMIT-PORTAGE-TRUMBULL-WAYNE- STARK-MAHONING-HOLMES-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD- 116 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR LAKE ERIE...NORTH CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER THIS EVENING MAINLY IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 13, 7:53 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
753 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016
OHZ003-006>008-017-018-027-028-036-140030-
OTTAWA-HANCOCK-MARION-WYANDOT-LUCAS-WOOD-SANDUSKY-SENECA-CRAWFORD-
753 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MARION...SANDUSKY...WYANDOT...
OTTAWA...WOOD...LUCAS...HANCOCK...CRAWFORD AND SENECA COUNTIES...
AT 750 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE OVER
FINDLAY...TIFFIN...PROSPECT...AND NEAR BOWLING GREEN MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL OF TWO INCHES PER
HOUR COULD CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND MINOR PONDING ON ROADWAYS.
THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION THROUGH 900 PM. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER UPDATES.
LAT...LON 4116 8380 4172 8387 4173 8346 4162 8341
4150 8341 4146 8334 4150 8308 4073 8272
4071 8278 4071 8285 4068 8286 4064 8296
4043 8303 4048 8325 4051 8325 4051 8342
4068 8342 4071 8348 4082 8351 4082 8388
TIME...MOT...LOC 2350Z 221DEG 24KT 4113 8364
JAMISONThe office that day
Everything else NWS Cleveland, OH issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13, 7:22 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | CLE | 83 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Ohio, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.