Alert archive / South Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Charleston, SC

June 5, 20164 counties in South Carolina

NWS Charleston, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 5, 2016, 6:11 PM EDT for 4 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 64 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jun 5, 2016, 6:11 PM EDT (22:11 UTC)
Expired
Jun 5, 2016, 7:15 PM EDT
In force
64 min
Issued by
NWS Charleston, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Allendale County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Hampton County, SC

The radar

The Charleston,SC radar (KCLX), 41 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jun 5, 6:15 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG4 Se Crocketville, SCTREE REPORTED DOWN IN THE ROADWAY ON SANDY RUN ROAD AT THE INTERSECTION WITH HIGHWAY 63. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
Jun 5, 6:23 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG2 Nnw Islandton, SCTREE REPORTED DOWN IN THE ROADWAY ON ASHTON RD AT THE INTERSECTION WITH BUCKNER RD. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
Jun 5, 6:25 PM EDTTSTM WND DMG5 Ese Islandton, SCTREE REPORTED DOWN ON HIGHWAY 21 NEAR THE INTERSECTION WITH ROSALEE LANE. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 3 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 4 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2016-06-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 285 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2016-06-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 93 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
285 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-106 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1058 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
93 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

646 
WUUS52 KCHS 052211
SVRCHS
SCC005-029-035-049-052315-
/O.NEW.KCHS.SV.W.0039.160605T2211Z-160605T2315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
611 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF...
  HAMPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
  DORCHESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
  ALLENDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
  COLLETON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 715 PM EDT

* AT 611 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM NEAR ALLENDALE TO 10 MILES EAST OF HAMPTON...MOVING
  NORTH AT 45 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ALLENDALE...HAMPTON...LAKE WARREN STATE PARK...COLLETON...VARNVILLE...
  FAIRFAX...BRUNSON AND GIFFORD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF THIS IS NOT POSSIBLE...AVOID OPEN OUTDOOR
SPACES AND REMAIN LOW. STAY AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES AND
UTILITY POLES.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO.

&&

LAT...LON 3331 8055 3269 8090 3271 8097 3275 8102
      3273 8105 3285 8145 3296 8151 3301 8149
      3308 8161 3310 8161 3316 8154 3311 8137
      3312 8120 3303 8108 3310 8096 3306 8090
      3314 8088
TIME...MOT...LOC 2211Z 202DEG 39KT 3295 8126 3284 8095 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$
4 follow-up statements
834 
WWUS52 KCHS 052219
SVSCHS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
619 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

SCC005-029-035-049-052315-
/O.CON.KCHS.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160605T2315Z/
HAMPTON SC-DORCHESTER SC-ALLENDALE SC-COLLETON SC-
619 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR HAMPTON...DORCHESTER...ALLENDALE AND COLLETON COUNTIES...

AT 619 PM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR ALLENDALE TO 12 MILES EAST OF HAMPTON...MOVING
NORTH AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALLENDALE...HAMPTON...LAKE WARREN STATE PARK...COLLETON...VARNVILLE...
FAIRFAX...BRUNSON AND GIFFORD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO.

&&

LAT...LON 3331 8055 3269 8090 3271 8097 3275 8102
      3273 8105 3285 8145 3296 8151 3301 8149
      3308 8161 3310 8161 3316 8154 3311 8137
      3312 8120 3303 8108 3310 8096 3306 8090
      3314 8088
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 201DEG 38KT 3301 8123 3292 8092 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$
550 
WWUS52 KCHS 052237
SVSCHS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
637 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

SCC005-029-035-049-052315-
/O.CON.KCHS.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160605T2315Z/
HAMPTON SC-DORCHESTER SC-ALLENDALE SC-COLLETON SC-
637 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR HAMPTON...DORCHESTER...ALLENDALE AND COLLETON COUNTIES...

AT 637 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES NORTHWEST
OF WALTERBORO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALLENDALE...COLLETON...FAIRFAX...BRUNSON...REEVESVILLE...SYCAMORE...SMOAKS
AND LODGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO.

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8081 3294 8104 3290 8144 3301 8149
      3308 8161 3310 8161 3316 8154 3311 8137
      3312 8120 3303 8108 3310 8096 3306 8090
      3314 8088 3331 8055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 214DEG 36KT 3308 8081 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$
567 
WWUS52 KCHS 052252
SVSCHS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
652 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

SCC049-052301-
/O.CAN.KCHS.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160605T2315Z/
HAMPTON SC-
652 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR HAMPTON COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3300 8072 3303 8105 3300 8137 3308 8161
      3310 8161 3316 8154 3311 8137 3312 8120
      3304 8109 3310 8096 3306 8090 3314 8088
      3331 8055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 202DEG 33KT 3316 8077 

$$

SCC005-029-035-052315-
/O.CON.KCHS.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160605T2315Z/
DORCHESTER SC-ALLENDALE SC-COLLETON SC-
652 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR DORCHESTER...ALLENDALE AND COLLETON COUNTIES...

AT 651 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES WEST OF
SAINT GEORGE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. ALSO, THESE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE A HISTORY OF
         WIND DAMAGE  INCLUDING DOWNED TREES. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALLENDALE...COLLETON...REEVESVILLE...SYCAMORE...SMOAKS...LODGE...WILLIAMS
AND ULMER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO.

&&

LAT...LON 3300 8072 3303 8105 3300 8137 3308 8161
      3310 8161 3316 8154 3311 8137 3312 8120
      3304 8109 3310 8096 3306 8090 3314 8088
      3331 8055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 202DEG 33KT 3316 8077 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$
601 
WWUS52 KCHS 052309
SVSCHS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
709 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

SCC005-029-035-052319-
/O.EXP.KCHS.SV.W.0039.000000T0000Z-160605T2315Z/
DORCHESTER SC-ALLENDALE SC-COLLETON SC-
709 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR DORCHESTER...ALLENDALE AND
COLLETON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM EDT...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
CHARLESTON.

LAT...LON 3300 8072 3303 8105 3300 8137 3308 8161
      3310 8161 3316 8154 3311 8137 3312 8120
      3304 8109 3310 8096 3306 8090 3314 8088
      3331 8055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 202DEG 39KT 3316 8077 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 5, 4:26 PM EDT, 1 hour 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 5, 4:26 PM EDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston SC
426 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will become stationary to the west tonight and
Monday, stalling near the coast Tuesday. Tropical low pressure
will move northeast along the southeast coast Monday Night, then
shifts northeast of the area Tuesday. High pressure will then
return for the middle and latter part of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
Extensive cloud cover has cut down on the earlier favorable
thermodynamic environment in most areas. As a result the
potential for severe weather, although is is still possible, for
many of us the situation might be transitioning to more of a
heavy rain threat within the totally saturated atmosphere. As a
result heavy rains have been mentioned in the local products and
grids.

Convection is growing in areal coverage with cooling cloud tops
and aligned parallel with the mean steering flow. An abundance of
moisture with Pwat up 2 inches and good transport of MLCAPE in
excess of 2000 J/kg support the potential for moderate flooding,
with even an isolated risk of flash flooding, as rainfall rates of
2.5 to 3" per hour are possible. Probabilities are greater inland
near the sea breeze boundary, but later this evening the heavier
rains will push back toward the coast. If this occurs in
conjunction with high tide around 8-10 pm the flooding potential
would be enhanced, especially in metro Charleston and metro
Savannah.

The better risk for severe weather into this evening now looks to
be in the pie slice near and north of Claxton and Savannah
northward to the west of I-95 in SC for locations which have not
yet been worked over. It's these sections that have the best
instability and shear and will still have a little more time for
more destabilization to occur. DCAPE is not as high as earlier
predicted since of the extensive cloudiness, but as per SPC meso-
analysis it is still as high as 900 J/kg. This suggests that there
is a risk for isolated damaging wind gusts where storms organize
due to the shear. Marginally severe hail cannot be entirely ruled
out due to sufficient CAPE in the hail growth zone. There isn't
much shear in the 0-1 km layer, so the potential for tornadoes is
extremely low, but non-zero given a plethora of boundary mergers
and collisions.

Coverage of Pops is in the likely range, 60-70%, but future
adjustments into the categorical range will be required based on
radar trends. Although the loss of heating will allow for a
decrease in strength of the convection, at least scattered
showers and t-storms will continue through the night with mid
level impulses to move through.

The diurnal temp curve has been altered to account for where the
more concentrated areas of convection will occur, but in the endlows
tonight will be fairly similar everywhere, mainly in the lower and
middle 70s.

Some patchy fog and low stratus might be a concern later tonight
due to the wet grounds.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Monday: Concerns increasing for a substantial heavy rain event
initiating as the tropical depression or perhaps even tropical
cyclone over the eastern Gulf of Mexico shift n and ne toward the
Florida Big Bend area. Extremely deep moisture with pwats in excess
of 2.3 to 2.4 inches advects over south Georgia and eventually
across se South Carolina by late day. This deep moisture ahead of
both the tropical depression and a stalled cold front to the west. A
75 to 100 kt 250 mb jet extending from north Georgia into the mid
Atlc region puts the forecast area in a fairly broad difluent region
aloft. Upper forcing will increase further later in the day and the
result should be increasing coverage of rain and tstms during the
afternoon. We have introduced rain heavy at times spreading south to
north. Widespread clouds will temper instability and the severe risk
but we will have to watch for some increasing shear across south
Georgia as the low level flow backs late day. Highs should be pinned
back into the mid 80s many areas give the clouds and rains breaking
out.

Monday Night: The tropical system will mingle with upper dynamics
producing enhancements to the rainfall potential Monday Night. We
pondered a flash flood watch at this stage and collaborated with WFO
JAX and just a bit higher agreement between the GFS and ECMWF was
needed before a watch is issued. We have increasing confidence that
a flash flood watch will eventually be required. It is still unclear
what the structure of the tropical depression/cyclone will take on
once it shifts ne along or just off the coast by late Monday Night.
Models continue to suggest that significant wind potential along
land-based areas is mainly low but the eventual strength and track
of the low will determine our impacts. A slightly further northward
track would place southeast Georgia at a more enhanced risk for
stronger south flow.

The 12Z ECMWF timing was a tad slower than the GFS at the 12Z
Tuesday time frame positioning the low ejecting off the Savannah
River Entrance just to the south of Charleston. Our total QPF
now ranging from 3-4 inches along coastal zones and 2-3 inches
inland will probably be underdone if the ECMWF prog pans out and
the model have been very persistent with it's run to run consistency.

Tuesday: The weather will improve quickly by midday as the low
quickly shifts ne and off the North Carolina Coast. Rains should
taper off after mid morning with skies clearing a good bit by the
afternoon. We raised high temps substantially to show some lower 90s
in downsloping nw flow on the back-side of the ejecting tropical
system.

Wednesday: High pressure centered over the middle Mississippi Valley
will slowly build southeastward. The periphery of this high will be
dominating the weather for our forecast area. We expect dry
conditions, seasonable temperatures, and lower dew points in the
lower to mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Models are in good agreement showing high pressure moving from the
middle Mississippi Valley Wednesday night into the Southeast on
Thursday. This high is forecasted to move offshore Friday and
Saturday while another high develops over the Lower Mississippi
Valley. The area will be dry with temperatures gradually increasing
each day.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Isolated to scattered SHRA/TSRA will form on the sea breeze
boundary near the terminals early in the period, before convective
clusters with a better chance for direct impacts and flight
restrictions occur late this afternoon and evening. At least
periodic MVFR weather will occur, and any TSRA does have the
potential to produce heavy rains and strong winds along with a
chance for IFR conditions. While the bulk of the SHRA/TSRA will
end by around 02-03z Monday, isolated SHRA/TSRA may persist nearby
the rest of the night, before chances increase again Monday in
advance of tropical low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico. While not
explicitly shown in the 18z forecast, there is the risk for some
low stratus/light fog and IFR or lower conditions late tonight
into Monday morning.

Extended Aviation Outlook: Flight restrictions are likely Monday
into Tuesday due to the passage of a tropical storm system that
should deliver widespread heavy rainfall through the coastal
corridor. VFR conditions are expected to return later Tuesday and
continue through mid week.

&&

.MARINE...
Through early this evening: With enhancement from the sea breeze
the southerly gradient wind has surged into the 15-20 kt range.
Parts of the waters in and near Charleston Harbor will
occasionally bump up near 25 kt, but not enough to result in the
issuance of a Small Craft Advisory.

Late evening and tonight: Atlantic high pressure is still
struggling to hold on as a cold front crosses over the
Appalachians and begins to stall. Meanwhile, tropical low pressure
will move through the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico around
the sub-tropical Atlantic ridge. Provided convection that moves
offshore doesn't interrupt the pattern too much, south and
southwest winds will be as high as 15 or 20 kt and gusty. Seas
will average 3-4 ft, although a few 5 footers will occasionally
impact the far outer GA waters near the western wall of the Gulf
Stream.

Thunderstorms: Convection from over land areas will start to move
into the GA nearshore waters late afternoon and early evening, but
should stay inland from the rest of the waters during this time.
Steering flow however is back to the coast, so inland convection
will move into all coastal waters during the evening and into
tonight. Some of the storms, especially early, will be strong to
severe with wind gusts in excess of 35 or 45 kt, heavy rains and
frequent lightning.

Monday into Tuesday: Tropical depression located over the south-
central Gulf of Mexico is forecast to track into the Florida Big
Bend region Monday evening and then off the southeast Georgia and
southern South Carolina by 12Z on Tuesday. Shifts in this track
north or south will play significant ramifications in the impacts
for the coastal waters monday night and early Tuesday. We continue
to ramp winds up over the Georgia waters to the south of the low and
tropical headlines may be issued later today and tonight. Hazardous
conditions may develop over portions of the marine area as the
surface low moves through. Seas should increase to 10 to 14 ft out
closer to the Gulf Stream later Monday Night.

Global models quickly lift the system away on Tuesday Night and
continue to show improving conditions off the Georgia and South
Carolina Coast.

Wednesday and Thursday: N to NE flow is likely as high pres
builds from the NW. Sub advisory conditions are expected.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
The area is poised to observe another round of shallow to moderate
coastal flooding with this evening's high tide cycle. Expect peak
tide levels of 7.3-7.6 ft MLLW in Charleston Harbor with 9.3-9.6
ft MLLW at Fort Pulaski. A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in
effect until 12am for all coastal zones, with the exception of
Tidal Berkeley.

The biggest impacts will occur in downtown Charleston where road
closures are certain. Water could also cover portions of Highway
80 between Wilmington Island and Tybee Island. Beach erosion can
also occur given that this will be the 5th evening in a row with
coastal flooding. Keep in mind that if heavy rains are ongoing
around the time of the 9-10 pm high tide that the situation will
be further aggravated.

The risk for coastal flooding will persist through mid-week, due
to lingering effects of the Perigean Spring Tides and then the
potential influences from an approaching tropical low through the
middle of next week. Additional Coastal Flood Advisories will
likely be required.

&&

.EQUIPMENT...
6-hourly soundings will continue in support of NHC tropical
cyclone operations. Special soundings will continue until further
notice.

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to midnight EDT
     tonight for GAZ117-119-139-141.
SC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 7 PM this evening to midnight EDT
     tonight for SCZ048>051.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...
MARINE...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
EQUIPMENT...
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 5, 4:59 PM EDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
459 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

GAZ087-088-099>101-114>116-118-137-138-140-SCZ040-042>045-047-052-
062100-
JENKINS-SCREVEN-CANDLER-BULLOCH-EFFINGHAM-TATTNALL-EVANS-
INLAND BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-LONG-INLAND LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-
ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-INLAND BERKELEY-
INLAND JASPER-TIDAL BERKELEY-
459 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA INTO THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS LARGE HAIL.
IN ADDITION...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MODERATE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL OCCUR. LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL
PERSIST UNTIL 9 PM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD WATCHES OR WARNINGS BE ISSUED
FOR YOUR LOCATION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...TV OR YOUR
LOCAL NEWS SOURCE FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

TROPICS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND MOVE
ONSHORE ALONG THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA MONDAY EVENING. THE SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO BRUSH SOUTH GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
POSSIBLY STILL AS A TROPICAL STORM. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. COASTAL HAZARDS COULD ALSO OCCUR...INCLUDING AN ENHANCED
RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS... BUILDING SURF AND GUSTY WINDS. THE DEGREE
OF IMPACTS WILL BE HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON THE EXACT TRACK THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA TAKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

GAZ117-119-139-141-SCZ048>051-062100-
COASTAL BRYAN-COASTAL CHATHAM-COASTAL LIBERTY-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-CHARLESTON-COASTAL JASPER-
459 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING...

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA INTO THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS LARGE HAIL.
IN ADDITION...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MODERATE FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL OCCUR. LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL
PERSIST UNTIL 9 PM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD WATCHES OR WARNINGS BE ISSUED
FOR YOUR LOCATION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...TV OR YOUR
LOCAL NEWS SOURCE FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

TROPICS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND MOVE
ONSHORE ALONG THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA MONDAY EVENING. THE SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO BRUSH SOUTH GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
POSSIBLY STILL AS A TROPICAL STORM. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. COASTAL HAZARDS COULD ALSO OCCUR...INCLUDING AN ENHANCED
RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS...COASTAL FLOODING...BUILDING SURF AND
GUSTY WINDS. THE DEGREE OF IMPACTS WILL BE HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON
THE EXACT TRACK THE LOW PRESSURE AREA TAKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ330-350-352-354-374-062100-
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM...INCLUDING
GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
459 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS INTO THIS EVENING. A FEW OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
COULD BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE WITH WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 OR 45
KNOTS. THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS BETWEEN 6 PM AND 12
AM TONIGHT.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD WATCHES OR WARNINGS BE ISSUED
FOR YOUR LOCATION. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...TV OR YOUR
LOCAL NEWS SOURCE FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION FROM THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

TROPICS...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND MOVE
ONSHORE ALONG THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA MONDAY EVENING. THE SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO BRUSH SOUTH GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA...
POSSIBLY STILL AS A TROPICAL STORM. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND
WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 5, 5:34 PM EDT, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
534 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0504 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S GUYTON              32.31N  81.39W
06/05/2016                   EFFINGHAM          GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TWO TREES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HWY 17 WITH
            POUND ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1600296

JMC
Local storm report, Jun 5, 5:35 PM EDT, 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
535 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S CLYO                32.44N  81.28W
06/05/2016                   EFFINGHAM          GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HWY 119 N WITH
            LEHIGH CIRCLE. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1600297

JMC
Special weather statement, Jun 5, 5:42 PM EDT, 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
542 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

GAZ087-088-100-052245-
BULLOCH GA-SCREVEN GA-JENKINS GA-
542 PM EDT SUN JUN 5 2016

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF BULLOCH...JENKINS AND
SCREVEN COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM EDT...

AT 541 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR BUTTS TO NEAR
NEWINGTON...AND MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...STRONG WINDS 45 TO 55 MPH.

  IMPACT...EXPECT MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
MILLEN...SYLVANIA...MIDDLEGROUND...BUTTS...PORTAL...HILTONIA...OLIVER AND
ROCKY FORD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. YOU CAN ALSO EMAIL YOUR
REPORT TO NWS.CHARLESTONSC@NOAA.GOV.

&&

LAT...LON 3289 8212 3292 8208 3292 8195 3295 8186
      3295 8182 3291 8176 3300 8163 3252 8152
      3250 8154 3247 8154 3254 8203 3261 8200
      3266 8208 3281 8215
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 193DEG 30KT 3267 8202 3257 8154
Local storm report, Jun 5, 5:51 PM EDT, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
551 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WNW GARNETT           32.62N  81.28W
06/05/2016                   HAMPTON            SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE REPORTED DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF WEBB AVE
            WITH AUGUSTA STAGE COACH RD. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON
            RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1600298

JMC
Local storm report, Jun 5, 5:54 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
554 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SHIRLEY                 32.66N  81.31W
06/05/2016                   HAMPTON            SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE REPORTED DOWN IN THE 4000-BLOCK OF AUGUSTA STAGE
            COACH RD. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1600299

JMC
Local storm report, Jun 5, 6:03 PM EDT, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
603 PM EDT SUN JUN 05 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     HAIL             2 E SHAWNEE             32.47N  81.37W
06/05/2016  M1.00 INCH       EFFINGHAM          GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER-SIZE HAIL... ESTIMATED
            SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 MPH OR GREATER WITH STRONGER
            GUSTS... AND SIGNIFICANT WATER PONDING ON GRASSY
            SURFACES.

0521 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E SHAWNEE             32.47N  81.37W
06/05/2016                   EFFINGHAM          GA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER-SIZE HAIL... ESTIMATED
            SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 MPH OR GREATER WITH STRONGER
            GUSTS... AND SIGNIFICANT WATER PONDING ON GRASSY
            SURFACES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1600300
EVENT NUMBER CHS1600301

JMC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 5, 3:33 AM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryCHS20 hr
Jun 5, 3:08 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCHSBeaufort, Colleton97 min
Jun 5, 3:27 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCHSBerkeley, Colleton, Dorchester93 min
Jun 5, 5:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCHSAllendale, Hampton, Jasper53 min
Jun 5, 5:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCHSJasper37 min
Jun 5, 5:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCHSBeaufort, Hampton, Jasper55 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Carolina, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.