River Flood Warning 8, NWS Charleston, SC

907 
WGUS82 KCHS 250214
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
914 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

SCC015-043-089-260214-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will remain nearly steady or slowly fall.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
          3320 7951 3329 7976         

$$

GAC267-279-260213-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0008.160225T1400Z-000000T0000Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.160225T1400Z.160227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by late Thursday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 12.4 feet by Saturday morning. Additional 
  rises are possible thereafter.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

388 
WGUS82 KCHS 251514
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1014 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

SCC015-043-089-261514-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1014 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 12.0 feet by early
  Sunday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
          3320 7951 3329 7976         

$$

GAC267-279-261513-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160228T1200Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.160227T0000Z.160227T1200Z.160228T0000Z.NO/
1014 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 9 AM Thursday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, the river is forecast to rise above flood stage by Friday
  evening and continue to rise to near 11.1 feet by Saturday morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

465 
WGUS82 KCHS 260256
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
956 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

SCC015-043-089-270256-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
956 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 12.4 feet by early
  Sunday afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
          3320 7951 3329 7976         

$$

GAC267-279-270255-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.160226T1200Z.160227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
956 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 9 PM Thursday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast, rise above flood stage by Friday morning and continue to 
  rise to near 11.2 feet by Saturday morning.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

437 
WGUS82 KCHS 261505
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1005 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

SCC015-043-089-271505-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1005 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 12.5 feet by early
  Sunday afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
          3320 7951 3329 7976         

$$

GAC267-279-271505-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160229T1500Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.160226T0930Z.160227T1800Z.160229T0300Z.NO/
1005 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 9 AM Friday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 12.1 feet by early Saturday 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday night.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

853 
WGUS82 KCHS 270257
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
957 PM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

SCC015-043-089-280257-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
957 PM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 13.0 feet by early
  Monday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
          3320 7951 3329 7976         

$$

GAC267-279-280257-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160229T1800Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.160226T0930Z.160228T0000Z.160229T0600Z.NO/
957 PM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 11.4 feet by Saturday 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Monday 
  morning.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

061 
WGUS82 KCHS 271441
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
941 AM EST SAT FEB 27 2016

SCC015-043-089-281441-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
941 AM EST SAT FEB 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 8 AM Saturday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 13.1 feet by 
  Tuesday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
          3320 7951 3329 7976         

$$

GAC267-279-281441-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160228T1930Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.160226T0930Z.160227T1800Z.160228T0730Z.NO/
941 AM EST SAT FEB 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will remain near 11.3 feet through this afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

975 
WGUS82 KCHS 280130
FLSCHS

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
830 PM EST SAT FEB 27 2016

SCC015-043-089-290130-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
830 PM EST SAT FEB 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 7 PM Saturday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue rising to near 13.1 feet by early
  Tuesday afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
          3320 7951 3329 7976         

$$

GAC267-279-290129-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160301T0000Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.160226T0930Z.160228T0600Z.160229T1200Z.NO/
830 PM EST SAT FEB 27 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 11.5 feet by early Sunday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

164 
WGUS82 KCHS 281423
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
923 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2016

SCC015-043-089-291423-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
923 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 8 AM Sunday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will rise to near 12.6 feet by this afternoon 
  then begin a slow fall through Monday before remaining nearly steady 
  through mid week.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
          3320 7951 3329 7976         

$$

GAC267-279-291423-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160301T1200Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.160226T0930Z.160228T0900Z.160301T0000Z.NO/
923 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 9 AM Sunday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will begin to fall later today and drop below flood
  stage Monday evening.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

337 
WGUS82 KCHS 290153
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
853 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016

SCC015-043-089-010153-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
853 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will remain steady or slowly fall.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
          3320 7951 3329 7976         

$$

GAC267-279-010153-
/O.EXT.KCHS.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160301T1800Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.160226T0930Z.160228T0900Z.160301T0600Z.NO/
853 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river is expected to drop below flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

172 
WGUS82 KCHS 291449
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
949 AM EST MON FEB 29 2016

SCC015-043-089-011449-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
949 AM EST MON FEB 29 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 12.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will remain nearly steady or slowly fall.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
          3320 7951 3329 7976         

$$

GAC267-279-011448-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160301T1800Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.160226T0930Z.160228T0900Z.160301T0600Z.NO/
949 AM EST MON FEB 29 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast, the river is expected to remain near flood stage through
  this evening. 
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

967 
WGUS82 KCHS 010156
FLSCHS


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
856 PM EST MON FEB 29 2016

SCC015-043-089-020156-
/O.CON.KCHS.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/JAMS1.3.ER.151103T1930Z.160107T0145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
856 PM EST MON FEB 29 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Santee River Near Jamestown.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall.
* At 12.0 feet, several dirt logging roads are impassable.

&&

LAT...LON 3347 8002 3354 7998 3325 7937 3321 7938
          3320 7951 3329 7976         

$$

GAC267-279-010226-
/O.CAN.KCHS.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160301T1800Z/
/REDG1.1.ER.160226T0930Z.160228T0900Z.160229T1330Z.NO/
856 PM EST MON FEB 29 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Ohoopee River Near Reidsville.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 8 AM Monday.
* Forecast, the river will continue to fall to 10.8 feet by Wednesday
  morning.
* At 11.0 feet, water enters the back yards of some homes in the Joy 
  Bluff community.

&&

LAT...LON 3216 8225 3217 8217 3205 8212 3190 8207
          3192 8217 3204 8221         

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
746 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING...MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THEN OFFSHORE LATE IN THE DAY. COOL
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THURSDAY...PERSISTING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
EARLY MORNING UPDATE...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR INTERIOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
AND ALLENDALE COUNTY IN SOUTH CAROLINA UNTIL 10 AM. THE DIURNAL
MINIMUM FOR INSTABILITY HAS WORKED TO LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF WIND
THAT HAS BEEN ABLE TO MIX TO THE SURFACE THUS FAR THIS
MORNING...BUT THE SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES NONETHELESS. AS THE SUN
RISES AND MODEST SURFACE HEATING ENSUES...THE SEVERE RISK MAY
INCREASE...AND EXTENSION AND EXPANSION OF THE WATCH REMAINS
POSSIBLE.

TODAY...THE BIG FORECAST CONCERN TODAY IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA. A VERY DYNAMIC SYSTEM WILL IMPACT
THE AREA WITH A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW LIFTING
ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS MORNING AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY
THIS AFTERNOON...ALL WHILE DEEPENING. AS A RESULT...A STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE DAY.
MEANWHILE...IMPRESSIVE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL OCCUR AS A 50-60 KT
LOW LEVEL JET OVERSPREADS THE AREA THIS MORNING INTO EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WHILE THE NOSE OF A 135 KT UPPER LEVEL JET PUSHES INTO
THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

THE RECENT TREND OF THE MODELS TO SPEED UP THE EASTWARD
PROGRESSION OF THE CONVECTION SEEMS TO BE PANNING OUT AS THE
LEADING EDGE HAS ALREADY SHIFTED INTO FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. THE BULK OF THE STRONGER CONVECTION SHOULD BEGIN
TO MOVE INTO FAR INLAND AREAS PRIOR TO DAYBREAK...SHIFT TOWARD THE
I-95 CORRIDOR BY MID-MORNING...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST BY LATE MORNING/MIDDAY. THIS WILL ALSO BE THE
TIMING OF THE BEST SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL. SOME OF THE HIGH
RESOLUTION MESOSCALE MODELS ARE NOW SUGGESTING THAT A DRY SLOT
WILL DEVELOP IN WAKE OF THIS INITIAL CONVECTION...BUT THEN ANOTHER
LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ORGANIZE UPSTREAM THEN
STRENGTHEN AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE I-95 CORRIDOR EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND TOWARD THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST AROUND MID
AFTERNOON.

AS FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...THIS APPEARS TO BE A HIGH
SHEAR LOW CAPE EVENT IN THE MAKING. SURFACE BASED CAPE VALUES
ARE MODERATELY UNSTABLE AS THEY COULD REACH UPWARDS OF 800-1200
J/KG...BUT THE SHEAR IS WHATS MOST IMPRESSIVE. A BACKED LOW LEVEL
FLOW AND RAPIDLY INCREASING WINDS ALOFT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO 0-3KM
HELICITY VALUES UPWARDS OF 400-600 M2/S2...SUGGESTING AN INCREASED
THREAT OF TORNADOES. IN ADDITION...SHERB VALUES REACH A VALUE NEAR
1.3 ACCORDING TO MANY MODELS...AND RESEARCH INDICATES THAT
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER IS MORE LIKELY WITH A SHERB ABOVE 1.
GIVEN THESE PARAMETERS...THE SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THAT THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PLACED THE AREA IN SEEMS
PRUDENT. THE BEST TIMING FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE 7
AM TO 2 PM TIME FRAME...BUT IF THE DRY SLOT ALLOWS FOR ADDITIONAL
DESTABILIZATION AHEAD OF THE SECONDARY LINE OF CONVECTION...THEN
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT COULD EXTEND THROUGH 4 OR 5 PM FOR AREAS
EAST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA. GIVEN THE
IMPRESSIVE WIND FIELDS ALOFT...ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS TO 70 MPH. IN ADDITION...THERE IS A
DECENT TORNADO THREAT GIVEN THE HIGH STORM RELATIVE HELICITY
VALUES.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON
EVEN OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION...AS DAYTIME HEATING ALLOWS FOR DEEP
MIXING TO DEVELOP. AS THE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT GET BROUGHT DOWN TO
THE SURFACE...EXPECT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40
MPH AT TIMES. AS A RESULT...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
WHOLE FORECAST AREA FROM 10 AM TO 6 PM THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD WARM TO HIGHS IN THE MID 70S FOR MOST AREAS AWAY FROM THE
IMMEDIATE COAST.

TONIGHT...THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH OFFSHORE EARLY THIS
EVENING...WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS IN ITS WAKE. A TIGHT SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL KEEP WINDS
ELEVATED THROUGH THE NIGHT...BUT GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW
ADVISORY CRITERIA. LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER TO MID
40S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THURSDAY...ALOFT A LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL BE SITUATED ALONG THE EAST
COAST. AT THE SURFACE STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL BE NORTH OF NEW
ENGLAND...MOVING INTO CANADA. MEANWHILE A BROAD AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING ACROSS THE PLAINS. THE INTERACTION BETWEEN
THESE TWO SURFACE FEATURES WILL GENERATE A STEEP PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS OUR AREA. THIS WILL BE ENHANCED DUE TO COLD AIR ADVECTION AND
MIXING FROM DAYTIME HEATING. WIND ADVISORIES FOR PARTS OF THE AREA
MIGHT BE NEEDED DURING THE DAY. WINDS WILL EASE IN THE EVENING AS
THE GRADIENT LESSENS. THE WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...DRY AND COOL WEATHER WILL PREVAIL. HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY WILL SHIFT TO THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY SATURDAY. ALOFT A LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL REMAIN
OVER THE EAST COAST DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. A DISTURBANCE WITHIN
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL REINFORCE THIS TROUGH AS IT PASSES OVER
THE EAST COAST ON SATURDAY. WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. SATURDAY NIGHT WILL
SHIFT OVER OR NEAR OUR AREA BY SUNDAY AND THEN MOVE OFFSHORE SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER IN THE
LONG TERM. EXPECT DRY CONDITIONS WITH NORMAL TEMPERATURES. MODELS
HINT AT A WEAK FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY. THEIR ARE
LARGE DISCREPANCIES IN THE TIMING SO LEANED MORE TOWARDS A DRY
FORECAST FOR NOW.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
TODAY...LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF SHOWERS
APPROACHING THE AREA....PRIMARILY AT KCHS. PERIODS OF MVFR OR LOWER
CONDITIONS WILL ENSUE AS SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS PUSH THROUGH
THE REGION THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. CONVECTIVE WIND GUSTS TOPPING
40 KT MAY BE POSSIBLE AS THE MAIN LINE OF CONVECTION MOVES THROUGH
MID-TO-LATE-MORNING. BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...A STRONG DRY SLOT
ALOFT MAY BREAK UP CLOUDS FOR A WHILE BUT THE MAIN ISSUE WILL BE
STRONG GUSTY SW WINDS REACHING 25 KT AT TIMES WITH GUSTS UP TO 35
KT EXPECTED. A SECOND ROUND OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE
THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AS A SECONDARY LINE OF
STORMS APPROACH THE AREA. VFR CONDITIONS WILL FILL IN AT BOTH
TERMINALS THIS EVENING.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...WINDY CONDITIONS AND/OR LOW LEVEL WIND
SHEAR WILL OCCUR THROUGH THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR WILL PREVAIL.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY AND TONIGHT...DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
LATE THIS MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. IMPRESSIVE WIND
FIELDS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THIS MORNING AND
THIS AFTERNOON...THEN WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED DUE TO STRONG
COLD AIR ADVECTION IN WAKE OF THE FRONT TONIGHT. A GALE WARNING
TAKES EFFECT THIS MORNING FOR THE CHARLESTON COUNTY WATERS AND
OUTER GEORGIA WATERS...WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OTHER WATERS INCLUDING CHARLESTON HARBOR. IT SHOULD BE NOTED
THAT CHARLESTON HARBOR MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A GALE
WARNING...BUT CONFIDENCE WAS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO DO IT JUST YET.
A SOLID 25-30 KT IS EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND THEN IN THE MORE WESTERLY FLOW BEHIND IT TONIGHT. THERE
IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 KT AND EVEN A WATERSPOUT. THE
MAIN TIME PERIOD FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BEGIN AROUND 7-9 AM AND
CONTINUE THROUGH 1-3 PM.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL GRADUALLY
LESSEN THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...LEADING TO EASING WINDS AND SUBSIDING SEAS. THE HIGH WILL
SHIFT TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY...THE SOUTHEAST
U.S. SATURDAY NIGHT...OVER OR NEAR OUR AREA BY SUNDAY AND THEN MOVE
OFFSHORE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THIS DOMINANT FEATURE IN THE LONG
TERM WILL CAUSE WINDS TO BE UNDER 15 KT LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH SEAS RANGING FROM 1-3 FT.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
BLOW-OUT TIDES...THE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW BEHIND THE COLD FRONT
WILL LEAD TO LIKELY BLOW-OUT TIDES TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT OR
FRIDAY...MAINLY NEAR AND DURING THE LOW TIDE. TIDES COULD REACH AS
LOW AS -2.0 T0 -2.5 FT MLLW...WHICH ARE LEVELS THAT COULD POSE A
HAZARD TO NAVIGATION.

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR GAZ087-088-
     099>101-114>119-137>141.
SC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR SCZ040-042>045-
     047>052.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY FOR AMZ352.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR AMZ350-
     374.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR AMZ350-374.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST THURSDAY FOR AMZ354.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY FOR AMZ330.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...CEB/JAQ
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...JAQ
MARINE...JAQ
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
842 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-042>045-047>052-251345-
JENKINS-SCREVEN-CANDLER-BULLOCH-EFFINGHAM-TATTNALL-EVANS-
INLAND BRYAN-COASTAL BRYAN-INLAND CHATHAM-COASTAL CHATHAM-LONG-
INLAND LIBERTY-COASTAL LIBERTY-INLAND MCINTOSH-COASTAL MCINTOSH-
ALLENDALE-HAMPTON-INLAND COLLETON-DORCHESTER-INLAND BERKELEY-
INLAND JASPER-BEAUFORT-COASTAL COLLETON-CHARLESTON-COASTAL JASPER-
TIDAL BERKELEY-
842 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND
SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE
AREA TODAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THERE IS ALSO A LOW RISK OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO.
THE GREATEST THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED BETWEEN NOON
AND 4 PM. THIS IS A DEVELOPING SITUATION AND PEOPLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ330-251345-
CHARLESTON HARBOR-
842 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
WITH STRONG WINDS. THERE IS ALSO A LOW RISK OF ISOLATED
WATERSPOUTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ350-251345-
WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO EDISTO BEACH SC OUT 20 NM-
842 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
WITH STRONG WINDS AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ352-354-251345-
WATERS FROM EDISTO BEACH SC TO SAVANNAH GA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA OUT 20 NM...INCLUDING
GRAYS REEF NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
842 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
WITH STRONG WINDS AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

AMZ374-251345-
WATERS FROM SAVANNAH GA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GA EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
842 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
WITH STRONG WINDS AND ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
904 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

SCZ044-045-050-052-241500-
DORCHESTER SC-INLAND BERKELEY SC-TIDAL BERKELEY SC-CHARLESTON SC-
904 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CHARLESTON...BERKELEY
AND DORCHESTER COUNTIES UNTIL 1000 AM EST...

AT 904 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SUMMERVILLE TO NEAR
NORTH CHARLESTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHARLESTON...NORTH CHARLESTON...SUMMERVILLE...GOOSE CREEK...HANAHAN...
MONCKS CORNER...LADSON AND ARCHDALE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE
YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. YOU CAN ALSO EMAIL YOUR
REPORT TO CHS.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV.

&&

LAT...LON 3349 7995 3345 7988 3340 7986 3337 7980
      3338 7979 3332 7974 3332 7970 3329 7962
      3276 7996 3300 8026 3351 8002 3350 8002
      3351 8001
TIME...MOT...LOC 1404Z 204DEG 57KT 3298 8019 3285 8001

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
907 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0904 AM     TSTM WND GST     CHARLESTON AIRPORT      32.90N  80.04W
02/24/2016  M54 MPH          CHARLESTON         SC   ASOS

            A 47 KNOT WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT THE CHARLESTON
            INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1600114

BSH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
926 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

SCZ045-050-052-241530-
INLAND BERKELEY SC-TIDAL BERKELEY SC-CHARLESTON SC-
926 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CHARLESTON AND
BERKELEY COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM EST...

AT 926 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR MAYBANK BRIDGE TO
FOLLY BEACH...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHARLESTON...NORTH CHARLESTON...MOUNT PLEASANT...GOOSE CREEK...HANAHAN...
MCCLELLANVILLE...DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON AND ISLE OF PALMS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REPORT DAMAGE DIRECTLY TO THE CHARLESTON NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-888-383-2024 WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. YOU CAN ALSO EMAIL YOUR
REPORT TO CHS.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV.

&&

LAT...LON 3309 7934 3300 7936 3300 7949 3304 7952
      3301 7958 3294 7962 3293 7959 3296 7957
      3291 7957 3286 7969 3281 7972 3275 7985
      3279 7991 3281 7992 3268 7989 3264 7995
      3277 8011 3328 7961 3325 7948 3314 7927
TIME...MOT...LOC 1426Z 210DEG 60KT 3277 8006 3265 7990