Gale Warning 15, NWS Caribou, ME

421 
WHUS71 KCAR 260904
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
404 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

ANZ050>052-261715-
/O.EXP.KCAR.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160226T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KCAR.SC.Y.0027.160226T0904Z-160227T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT, ME TO SCHOODIC POINT, ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME OUT
25 NM-
INTRA COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME-
404 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST SATURDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HEWITT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1259 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK NORTH OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH A COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT. A WARM FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
1245 AM UPDATE: RAIN CHANGED TO SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE ALL THE
WAY INTO PISCATAQUIS COUNTY AS CAA HITTING THE REGION AS COLD
FRONT SLIDES ACROSS THE REGION. CAA WILL HIT THE CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST REGIONS IN THE NEXT FEW HRS W/RAIN BRIEFLY GOING TO SNOW.
HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THE NORTHERN 1/2 OF THE CWA AND STAYED
W/AROUND AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION. TEMPS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE
UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S ALREADY. ADJUSTED THE HRLY TEMPS/DEWPOINTS
TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS. LATEST FORECAST MINS LOOK OK ATTM W/LOW TO
MID 20S N AND W WHILE CENTRAL AND DOWNEAST SEE UPPER 20S TO AROUND
30. ALOT OF WATER ON THE ROAD AND COMBINATION OF SNOW AND COLD AIR
WILL LEAD TO A FREEZE-UP. WILL ISSUE A SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT(SPS) TO HIGHLIGHT THE THREAT.

SEE HYDROLOGY SECTION FOR FLOOD WATCH.

ORGNL DISC: IT HAS BEEN A VERY MILD DAY
TODAY WITH SEVERAL RECORD HIGHS BEING BROKEN, INCLUDING AT
CARIBOU, HOULTON, AND MILLINOCKET. READINGS HAVE TOPPED OUT IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S IN ALL BUT A FEW NORTHERN PROTECTED VALLEYS,
AND WITH NEAR 100 RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND A SOUTH BREEZE, THE SNOW
HAS BEEN DISAPPEARING IN A HURRY. THE MILD AIR OVER THE WET SNOW
HAS LED TO OCCASIONAL DENSE FOG MAINLY IN NORTHERN MAINE, AND HAVE
EXTENDED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY A FEW MORE HOURS FOR ZONES 1 AND
2.

EXPECT ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIPITATION THIS
EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH AND BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT AS IT MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. GENERALLY A QUARTER INCH OF
PRECIPITATION OR A LITTLE LESS. PRECIP WILL FALL AS RAIN AT
FIRST, BUT CHANGE TO SNOW LATE TONIGHT OVER THE NORTH WITH ABOUT
AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. WITH TEMPS DROPPING BELOW
FREEZING AND MANY ROADS NOT HAVING AN OPPORTUNITY TO DRY OUT,
BLACK ICE IS A CONCERN AS TEMPS FALL BACK BELOW FREEZING OVER THE
NORTH. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS SHOULD PERSIST TOMORROW MORNING, MAINLY
IN THE NORTH. COOLER WITH TEMPS NEAR STEADY IN THE MID TO UPPER
20S NORTH AND MID 30S SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY
CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES NORTH AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN MOVE EAST SATURDAY...WITH A WARM FRONT
CROSSING THE REGION LATER SATURDAY. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS SATURDAY...WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
LATE ACROSS NORTHWEST AREAS. ACROSS DOWNEAST AREAS
SATURDAY...EXPECT A MOSTLY SUNNY MORNING THEN A PARTLY SUNNY
AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY
NIGHT WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALONG WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS...WITH INCREASING CLOUDS DOWNEAST. THE COLD
FRONT WILL STALL SUNDAY...THOUGH EXACTLY WHERE THE FRONT STALLS IS
STILL UNCERTAIN. TEMPERATURES...CLOUD COVER AND SNOW SHOWER
CHANCES SUNDAY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL LOCATION OF THE
FRONT. TEMPERATURES SATURDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT NEAR NORMAL
LEVELS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DIVIDING COLD AIR TO THE NORTH FROM MILD AIR TO
THE SOUTH WILL BE ACROSS OUR REGION SUNDAY EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHES FROM THE GREAT LAKES. SNOW WILL SPREAD ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS AS THIS LOW APPROACHES WITH A MIX POSSIBLE IN CENTRAL AREAS
AND LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION DOWNEAST. THE FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR
EARLY MONDAY WILL BE IN DETERMINING WHERE THIS LOW TRACKS, AND
THEREFORE WHERE THE RAIN SNOW LINE WILL BE. LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS
THE SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL PART OF OUR AREA. THIS
MAY ALLOW PRECIPITATION TO REMAIN ALL SNOW OVER FAR NORTHWESTERN
AREAS WITH A WARMUP AND CHANGE TO RAIN ELSEWHERE AND JUST A FEW
SHOWERS DOWNEAST. A TRACK A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH, HOWEVER, WOULD
BRING A CHANGE TO RAIN EVERYWHERE. THE LOW WILL MOVE AWAY TO THE
EAST MONDAY AFTERNOON AS A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH THROUGH
THE AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER MONDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY TUESDAY. A STORM SYSTEM TRACKING TO OUR WEST WEDNESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT MAY BRING SNOW OR MIXED PRECIPITATION, POSSIBLY
CHANGING TO RAIN DEPENDING ON HOW FAR WEST THE SYSTEM TRACKS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NEAR TERM: IFR AND WORSE THROUGHOUT THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE DRAMATICALLY LATE TONIGHT AS DRIER AIR
MOVES IN. MOST AREAS EXCEPT PERHAPS FAR NORTHERN MAINE SHOULD BE
VFR BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM: GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY...THOUGH MVFR
CONDITIONS COULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS LATER
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VFR/MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY. OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: EXTENDED THE GALE WARNING THROUGH 4 AM AS WINDS STILL
HITTING 35 KTS ESPECIALLY OVER THE OUTER WATERS.
AN SCA WILL THEN BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE
WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. LIGHT FREEZING SPRAY IS
EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN PLACE. SNOW FALLING AS COLDER AIR
MOVING INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL BEGIN TO SLOW THINGS UP
OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY. RIVERS/STREAMS ARE HIGH W/SOME ICE MOVEMENT
ESPECIALLY ON THE KINGSBURY STREAM IN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. THREAT
FOR MINOR FLOODING INCLUDING ICE JAM FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE
SAINT JOHN...AROOSTOOK...PISCATAQUIS AND ALLAGASH RIVERS ALONG
WITH SMALLER STREAMS.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR MEZ001>006-010-031.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

NEAR TERM...HEWITT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
840 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

MEZ001>006-010-031-270145-
NORTHWEST AROOSTOOK-NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN SOMERSET-
NORTHERN PISCATAQUIS-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
CENTRAL PISCATAQUIS-SOUTHERN PISCATAQUIS-
840 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL MAINE...FAR
NORTHERN MAINE...NORTH CENTRAL MAINE...NORTHERN MAINE AND WEST
CENTRAL MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MEZ011-015>017-029-030-032-270145-
CENTRAL PENOBSCOT-SOUTHERN PENOBSCOT-INTERIOR HANCOCK-
CENTRAL WASHINGTON-COASTAL HANCOCK-COASTAL WASHINGTON-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
840 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL DOWNEAST MAINE...EAST
CENTRAL MAINE...EASTERN MAINE AND INTERIOR DOWNEAST MAINE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ050>052-270145-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EASTPORT, ME TO SCHOODIC POINT, ME OUT 25 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME OUT 25 NM-
INTRA COASTAL WATERS FROM SCHOODIC POINT, ME TO STONINGTON, ME-
840 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

VJN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
801 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

MEZ002-260415-
NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN...
MARS HILL
801 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...WATER PARTIALLY COVERING GARDINER CREEK ROAD THIS EVENING JUST
SOUTHWEST OF WASHBURN...

A REPORT FROM THE PUBLIC INDICATED THAT WATER FROM THE GARDINER
CREEK HAS RISEN ENOUGH TO COVER A PORTION OF THE GARDINER CREEK
ROAD TO A DEPTH OF SEVERAL INCHES JUST SOUTHWEST OF WASHBURN...
REDUCING TRAFFIC TO ONE LANE. MOTORISTS USING THIS ROAD OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS IN THE AREA OF THE WATER TOP OVER SHOULD SLOW DOWN
AND BE PREPARED TO STOP TO ALLOW TRAFFIC FROM THE OPPOSITE
DIRECTION EGRESS.

VJN