Alert archive / Montana / Red Flag Warnings in 2016

Red Flag Warning 5, NWS Billings, MT

August 2, 201617 counties in Montana; 4 counties in Wyoming

NWS Billings, MT issued this red flag warning at Aug 2, 2016, 3:15 AM MDT for 17 counties in Montana; 4 counties in Wyoming. It took effect at Aug 2, 2016, 3:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 30 hr. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 2, 2016, 3:15 AM MDT (09:15 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 2, 2016, 3:00 PM MDT
Expired
Aug 3, 2016, 9:06 PM MDT
In force
30 hr
Issued by
NWS Billings, MT
All 21 counties

Big Horn County, MT, Carbon County, MT, Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Gallatin County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, Madison County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Park County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Sweet Grass County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Wheatland County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT, Big Horn County, WY, Johnson County, WY, Sheridan County, WY, Washakie County, WY

The radar

The Billings radar (KBLX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 2, 3:30 PM MDTHAIL 117 Sw Ekalaka, MT
Aug 2, 4:45 PM MDTHAIL 0.758 S Ekalaka, MT
Aug 2, 5:45 PM MDTHAIL 0.7516 Sse Ekalaka, MT
Aug 3, 9:50 AM MDTNON-TSTM WND GST 58Buffalo, WYKBYG ASOS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Riverton, WY (KRIW), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 279 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Riverton, WY at 00:00Z on 2016-08-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 31 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Riverton, WY at 00:00Z on 2016-08-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 35 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
31 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
3914 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

151 
WWUS85 KBYZ 020915
RFWBYZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
315 AM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

WYZ284-022115-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0002.160802T1800Z-160803T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.160802T2100Z-160804T0600Z/
BIGHORN NATIONAL FOREST-
315 AM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
MDT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
MDT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

* IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY 
  DRY THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND 
  POTENTIALLY NEW FIRE STARTS. A COLD FRONTAL PASSSAGE FOLLOWED BY 
  GUSTY WINDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT 
  OF NEW FIRES AND ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR WEDNESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 284.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...BIG HORN...JOHNSON...SHERIDAN...WASHAKIE.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY 
  INTO THE EVENING...AND POSSIBLY AGAIN WEDNESDAY. THESE STORMS 
  WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND LITTLE RAINFALL.

* HUMIDITY: AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES: IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. 

* WIND: SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

MTZ127-128-022115-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.160803T1600Z-160804T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.160802T2100Z-160804T0600Z/
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
315 AM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
MDT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
MDT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

* IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY 
  DRY THUNDERSTORMS LATE TODAY WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND 
  POTENTIALLY NEW FIRE STARTS. A COLD FRONTAL PASSSAGE FOLLOWED BY 
  GUSTY WINDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT 
  OF NEW FIRES AND ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 127 AND 128.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN CENTRAL MT...GOLDEN VALLEY...MUSSELSHELL.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...YELLOWSTONE.

* COLD FRONT: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING INTO 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING USHERING IN GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH EXPECTED WEDNESDAY.

* HUMIDITY: AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT TODAY AND IN THE TEENS WEDNESDAY.

* TEMPERATURES: IN THE MID 90S TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

MTZ123>126-022115-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0002.160802T1800Z-160804T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.160802T2100Z-160804T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-
STILLWATER COUNTY-BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
315 AM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
MDT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
MDT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

* IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY 
  DRY THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND 
  POTENTIALLY NEW FIRE STARTS. A COLD FRONTAL PASSSAGE FOLLOWED BY 
  GUSTY WINDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT 
  OF NEW FIRES AND ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 123...124...125 AND
   126.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN CENTRAL MT...WHEATLAND.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...CARBON...PARK...STILLWATER...SWEET GRASS.
   IN SOUTHWEST MT...GALLATIN.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR LATE TODAY
  INTO THE EVENING.

* COLD FRONT: LATE THIS EVENING. 

* WIND: WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ON 
  WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. 

* HUMIDITY: AS LOW AS 10 PERCENT TODAY AND IN THE TEENS WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

MTZ130-132-133-022115-
/O.UPG.KBYZ.FW.A.0003.160803T1600Z-160804T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.160803T1200Z-160804T0600Z/
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
315 AM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

* IMPACTS: A FRONTAL PASSSAGE IS EXPECTED EARLY WEDNESDAY FOLLOWED BY 
  GUSTY WINDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITIES
  THESE CONDITIONS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND POSSIBLY NEW 
  FIRE STARTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.  

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN SOUTHEAST MT FIRE ZONES...130...132.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT AND NORTHWEST SD FIRE ZONE....133.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN NORTHWEST SD...HARDING.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT...CARTER...CUSTER...FALLON...ROSEBUD...TREASURE.

* COLD FRONT: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING 
  USHERING IN A SHARP CHANGE TO GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY: 15 TO 20 PERCENT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

MTZ129-022115-
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.160802T2100Z-160804T0600Z/
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIGHORN CANYON REC AREA-
315 AM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
MDT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT
MDT WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY 
  DRY THUNDERSTORMS LATE TODAY WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND 
  POTENTIALLY NEW FIRE STARTS. A COLD FRONTAL PASSSAGE FOLLOWED BY 
  GUSTY WINDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT 
  OF NEW FIRES AND ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 129.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...BIG HORN...CARBON...YELLOWSTONE.

* COLD FRONT: SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

* WIND: NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ON WEDNESDAY.

* HUMIDITY: AS LOW AS 11 PERCENT TODAY. FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

MTZ131-WYZ274-022115-
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.160803T1200Z-160804T0600Z/
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
315 AM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS: A FRONTAL PASSSAGE IS EXPECTED EARLY WEDNESDAY FOLLOWED BY 
  GUSTY WINDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. COMBINED WITH LOW HUMIDITIES
  THESE CONDITIONS WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND POSSIBLY NEW 
  FIRE STARTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.  

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY FIRE ZONE....274.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT FIRE ZONE....131.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...SHERIDAN.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...BIG HORN.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT...POWDER RIVER...ROSEBUD...TREASURE.

* COLD FRONT: 

* WIND: NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* HUMIDITY: AS LOW AS 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
6 follow-up statements
286 
WWUS85 KBYZ 022108
RFWBYZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
308 PM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

MTZ123>129-WYZ284-031100-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160804T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-
STILLWATER COUNTY-BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIGHORN CANYON REC AREA-
BIGHORN NATIONAL FOREST-
308 PM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...

* IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY DRY
  THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR
  AND POTENTIALLY NEW FIRE STARTS. A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
  OVERNIGHT...FOLLOWED BY GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF
  NEW FIRES AND ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR WEDNESDAY.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY FIRE ZONE....284.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT FIRE ZONES...123...124...125...126...127
                                    128...129.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN CENTRAL MT...GOLDEN VALLEY...MUSSELSHELL...WHEATLAND.
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...BIG HORN...JOHNSON...SHERIDAN...WASHAKIE.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...BIG HORN...CARBON...PARK...STILLWATER
                         SWEET GRASS...YELLOWSTONE.
   IN SOUTHWEST MT...GALLATIN.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
  EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND LITTLE
  RAINFALL.

* HUMIDITY: AS LOW AS 10 TO 15 PERCENT. 

* TEMPERATURES: 80S IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH 70S IN THE
  MOUNTAINS. 

* COLD FRONT: A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT...
  USHERING IN GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WEDNESDAY AND
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

MTZ130>133-WYZ274-031100-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.160803T1200Z-160804T0600Z/
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
308 PM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...STRONG GUSTY 
  WINDS...AND WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT WILL CREATE ERRATIC 
  FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY FIRE ZONE....274.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT FIRE ZONES...130...131...132.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT AND NORTHWEST SD FIRE ZONE....133.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...SHERIDAN.
   IN NORTHWEST SD...HARDING.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...BIG HORN.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT...CARTER...CUSTER...FALLON...POWDER RIVER
                     ROSEBUD...TREASURE.

* COLD FRONT: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING 
  USHERING IN A SHARP CHANGE TO GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY: AS LOW AS 10 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
770 
WWUS85 KBYZ 030329
RFWBYZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
929 PM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

MTZ123>129-WYZ284-031530-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160804T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-
STILLWATER COUNTY-BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIGHORN CANYON REC AREA-
BIGHORN NATIONAL FOREST-
929 PM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...

* IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES AND MAINLY DRY
  THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING WILL PRODUCE ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR
  AND POTENTIALLY NEW FIRE STARTS. A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
  OVERNIGHT...FOLLOWED BY GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF
  NEW FIRES AND ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR WEDNESDAY. 

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY FIRE ZONE....284.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT FIRE ZONES...123...124...125...126...127
                                    128...129.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN CENTRAL MT...GOLDEN VALLEY...MUSSELSHELL...WHEATLAND.
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...BIG HORN...JOHNSON...SHERIDAN...WASHAKIE.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...BIG HORN...CARBON...PARK...STILLWATER
                         SWEET GRASS...YELLOWSTONE.
   IN SOUTHWEST MT...GALLATIN.

* THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS 
  EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND LITTLE 
  RAINFALL.

* HUMIDITY: AS LOW AS 10 TO 15 PERCENT.

* TEMPERATURES: 80S IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...WITH 70S IN THE
  MOUNTAINS. 

* COLD FRONT: A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT... 
  USHERING IN GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WEDNESDAY AND 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

MTZ130>133-WYZ274-031530-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.160803T1200Z-160804T0600Z/
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
929 PM MDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* IMPACTS: LOW HUMIDITIES...HOT TEMPERATURES...STRONG GUSTY
  WINDS...AND WIND SHIFT WITH A COLD FRONT WILL CREATE ERRATIC
  FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY FIRE ZONE....274.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT FIRE ZONES...130...131...132.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT AND NORTHWEST SD FIRE ZONE....133.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...SHERIDAN.
   IN NORTHWEST SD...HARDING.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...BIG HORN.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT...CARTER...CUSTER...FALLON...POWDER RIVER
                     ROSEBUD...TREASURE.

* COLD FRONT: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING 
  USHERING IN A SHARP CHANGE TO GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY: AS LOW AS 10 TO 15 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
691 
WWUS85 KBYZ 030931
RFWBYZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
331 AM MDT WED AUG 3 2016

MTZ123>129-WYZ284-032145-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160804T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-
STILLWATER COUNTY-BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIGHORN CANYON REC AREA-
BIGHORN NATIONAL FOREST-
331 AM MDT WED AUG 3 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

* IMPACTS: A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS MORNING...BRISK NORTHWEST
  WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL CREATE ERRATIC
  FIRE BEHAVIOR THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY FIRE ZONE....284.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT FIRE ZONES...123...124...125...126...127
                                    128...129.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN CENTRAL MT...GOLDEN VALLEY...MUSSELSHELL...WHEATLAND.
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...BIG HORN...JOHNSON...SHERIDAN...WASHAKIE.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...BIG HORN...CARBON...PARK...STILLWATER
                         SWEET GRASS...YELLOWSTONE.
   IN SOUTHWEST MT...GALLATIN.

* COLD FRONT: A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...
  USHERING IN GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

* WIND: WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40 MPH.

* AFTERNOON HUMIDITY: IN THE TEENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

MTZ130>133-WYZ274-032145-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.160803T1200Z-160804T0600Z/
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
331 AM MDT WED AUG 3 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

* IMPACTS: A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS MORNING...BRISK NORTHWEST
  WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL CREATE ERRATIC FIRE
  BEHAVIOR THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY FIRE ZONE....274.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT FIRE ZONES...130...131...132.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT AND NORTHWEST SD FIRE ZONE....133.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...SHERIDAN.
   IN NORTHWEST SD...HARDING.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...BIG HORN.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT...CARTER...CUSTER...FALLON...POWDER RIVER
                     ROSEBUD...TREASURE.

* COLD FRONT: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING USHERING
  IN A SHARP CHANGE FROM SOUTH WINDS TO GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* AFTERNOON HUMIDITY: 15 TO 20 PERCENT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
887 
WWUS85 KBYZ 031544
RFWBYZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
944 AM MDT WED AUG 3 2016

MTZ123>129-WYZ284-040345-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160804T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-
STILLWATER COUNTY-BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIGHORN CANYON REC AREA-
BIGHORN NATIONAL FOREST-
944 AM MDT WED AUG 3 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

* IMPACTS: GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES THROUGH THIS
  EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY FIRE ZONE....284.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT FIRE ZONES...123...124...125...126...127
                                    128...129.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: IN CENTRAL MT...GOLDEN
  VALLEY...MUSSELSHELL...WHEATLAND. IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...BIG
  HORN...JOHNSON...SHERIDAN...WASHAKIE. IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...BIG
  HORN...CARBON...PARK...STILLWATER SWEET GRASS...YELLOWSTONE. IN
  SOUTHWEST MT...GALLATIN.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 TO 45 MPH.

* AFTERNOON HUMIDITY: IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

MTZ130>133-WYZ274-040345-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160804T0600Z/
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
944 AM MDT WED AUG 3 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

* IMPACTS: A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON...GUSTY
  NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY FIRE ZONE....274.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT FIRE ZONES...130...131...132.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT AND NORTHWEST SD FIRE ZONE....133.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...SHERIDAN.
   IN NORTHWEST SD...HARDING.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...BIG HORN.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT...CARTER...CUSTER...FALLON...POWDER RIVER
                     ROSEBUD...TREASURE.

* COLD FRONT: COLD FRONT WILL CROSS EASTERN ZONES THROUGH EARLY
  AFTERNOON USHERING IN A SHARP CHANGE FROM SOUTH WINDS TO GUSTY
  NORTHWEST WINDS.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* AFTERNOON HUMIDITY: IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
576 
WWUS85 KBYZ 032045
RFWBYZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
245 PM MDT WED AUG 3 2016

MTZ123>129-WYZ284-040600-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160804T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-
STILLWATER COUNTY-BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIGHORN CANYON REC AREA-
BIGHORN NATIONAL FOREST-
245 PM MDT WED AUG 3 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

* IMPACTS: GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE
  ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY FIRE ZONE....284.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT FIRE ZONES...123...124...125...126...127
                                    128...129.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN CENTRAL MT...GOLDEN VALLEY...MUSSELSHELL...WHEATLAND.
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...BIG HORN...JOHNSON...SHERIDAN...WASHAKIE.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...BIG HORN...CARBON...PARK...STILLWATER
                         SWEET GRASS...YELLOWSTONE.
   IN SOUTHWEST MT...GALLATIN.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. WINDS
  SLOWLY DECREASING AFTER SUNSET.

* HUMIDITY: IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$

MTZ130>133-WYZ274-040600-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160804T0600Z/
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
245 PM MDT WED AUG 3 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

* IMPACTS: GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL CREATE
  ERRATIC FIRE BEHAVIOR AND NEW FIRE STARTS.

* AFFECTED AREA: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY FIRE ZONE....274.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT FIRE ZONES...130...131...132.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT AND NORTHWEST SD FIRE ZONE....133.

* COUNTIES AFFECTED: 
   IN NORTH CENTRAL WY...SHERIDAN.
   IN NORTHWEST SD...HARDING.
   IN SOUTH CENTRAL MT...BIG HORN.
   IN SOUTHEAST MT...CARTER...CUSTER...FALLON...POWDER RIVER
                     ROSEBUD...TREASURE.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY: IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG
WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES CAN
CONTRIBUTE TO EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR.

&&

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS
510 
WWUS85 KBYZ 040306
RFWBYZ

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
906 PM MDT WED AUG 3 2016

MTZ123>133-WYZ274-284-040415-
/O.CAN.KBYZ.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160804T0600Z/
GALLATIN NATIONAL FOREST-WHEATLAND COUNTY/SWEET GRASS COUNTY-
STILLWATER COUNTY-BEARTOOTH RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-
GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY/MUSSELSHELL COUNTY-YELLOWSTONE COUNTY-
CROW INDIAN RESERVATION/BIGHORN CANYON REC AREA-
NORTHERN ROSEBUD/NORTHERN TREASURE COUNTIES-
NORTHERN CHEYENNE INDIAN RESERVATION/ASHLAND RANGER DISTRICT
CUSTER NATL FOREST-CUSTER COUNTY-
SIOUX RANGER DISTRICT CUSTER NATIONAL FOREST-SHERIDAN COUNTY-
BIGHORN NATIONAL FOREST-
906 PM MDT WED AUG 3 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BILLINGS HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING.

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB OVERNIGHT...WHILE WINDS
CONTINUE TO DECREASE. DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE NO
LONGER EXPECTED...THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

$$


HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/BILLINGS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Billings, MT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Aug 1, 8:36 PM MDT, 6 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 1, 8:36 PM MDT, 6 hours 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Billings MT
836 PM MDT MON AUG 1 2016

.UPDATE...

Current visible satellite imagery shows a substantial smoke plume
from central Idaho, as well as fires near Missoula and Jackson.
Generally westerly flow around 700 mb will push patchy smoke into
the western foothills and mountains overnight. Tomorrow, winds
increase out of the southeast ahead of a developing lee side
trough. These winds look to be a bit stronger than previously
forecast so wind speed was increased over the Plains tomorrow
afternoon to around 20 mph out of the southeast. Other than those
changes the forecast remains largely unchanged for tonight. High
pressure will remain in place over the area, with clear skies and
temperatures ranging from the mid 50s to near 60. Walsh

&&

.SHORT TERM...valid for Tue and Wed...

Quiet weather is in store for tonight with upper ridging and
a dry airmass in place. The ridge shifts E during Tue. and SW flow
with a few shortwaves moves into the western zones in the
afternoon. Bufkit soundings showed high-level moisture and
inverted-v profiles W of KBIL. Kept the slight chance of thunder
for areas W of KBIL and expanded it a bit further E. These storms
will likely be mostly dry with gusty winds. Precipitable waters
increase to an inch over the far eastern zones Tue. afternoon due
to a SE low-level jet that strengthens with time. Bufkit soundings
showed increasing shear and CAPES in the evening and SPC had a
Marginal Risk for the E. So, held off the severe wording until the
evening in the E.

The upper low seen on water vapor imagery off the S BC coast this
afternoon, moves into NW MT by 12Z Wed. Diffluence precedes the
low and the system's cold front moves through W MT by 06Z
Wednesday. The front was forecast to move through KBIL before 12Z,
then through the rest of the area by 18Z. Bufkit WRF/GFS showed
winds in the 20s and 30s in the column behind the front which will
create windy conditions on Wed. across the N half of the area.
Airmass quickly dries out behind the front, so just had PoPs in
the E on Wednesday. Kept Wed. night dry behind the front.

The threat of dry thunderstorms will be over the W and NE Bighorns
on Tue., along with low humidities and temperatures in the 90s. On
Wed., the frontal passage, gusty NW winds and low humidities will
create hazardous fire weather conditions. Thus will issue a Fire
Weather Watch for the above conditions. Arthur

.LONG TERM...valid for Thu...Fri...Sat...Sun...Mon...

Surface high pressure to the east of a 500 mb shortwave ridge
axis should dominate the weather on Thursday with clear skies,
calm winds, and relatively cool air with high temperatures in the
80s.

On Friday, upper ridge axis begins to push eastward a bit,
allowing for a more southerly flow to dominate the region. This
flow should allow high temperatures to rise a few degrees from
Thursday's readings. Could see a few thunderstorms develop over
southwestern/far southern zones as southwesterly flow aloft kicks
in behind ridge axis.

Southwesterly flow pattern continues for Saturday through Monday,
with scattered thunderstorms possible across south central and
southeastern Montana and north central Wyoming. High temperatures
should generally be in the 80s to lower 90s Sat-Mon.

Potential is there for breezy conditions over southeastern
Montana on Saturday as surface pressure gradient tightens between
a surface trough east of the mountains and surface high pressure
over the north central Plains. These winds should be
southeasterly...and thus transport moist air to SE MT...keeping
dewpoints and relative humidities high enough to avoid fire
weather problems. RMS/Arthur
&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail tonight. Southeast winds just above
the surface will increase from Billings east into the Dakotas and
may result in some areas of low level wind shear from midnight
through 9 am. Chambers

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS...

    Tue     Wed     Thu     Fri     Sat     Sun     Mon
-----------------------------------------------------------
BIL 060/095 064/086 055/083 057/089 061/090 061/091 061/089
    01/U    21/N    11/U    11/B    22/T    22/T    22/T
LVM 049/095 052/083 045/084 048/088 053/088 052/090 051/087
    02/T    21/N    11/U    11/B    22/T    22/T    22/T
HDN 059/098 062/089 052/085 055/092 061/092 060/093 060/090
    01/U    21/U    11/U    11/B    22/T    22/T    22/T
MLS 061/097 066/087 056/082 058/092 064/089 062/091 064/090
    02/T    21/N    11/U    11/U    22/T    22/T    22/T
4BQ 061/098 067/089 055/083 058/091 061/088 060/091 062/092
    02/T    22/T    10/U    11/U    22/T    22/T    22/T
BHK 056/092 062/087 053/080 054/088 059/084 058/085 059/086
    02/T    22/T    10/U    11/U    22/T    22/T    22/T
SHR 055/097 060/091 050/084 053/089 057/090 057/091 057/090
    01/U    21/B    11/U    12/T    22/T    22/T    22/T

&&

.BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...Fire Weather Watch in effect from Tuesday afternoon through
      Wednesday evening FOR ZONES 123>126.
     Fire Weather Watch in effect from Wednesday morning through
      Wednesday evening FOR ZONES 127-128-130-132-133.
WY...Fire Weather Watch in effect from Tuesday afternoon through
      Tuesday evening FOR ZONE 284.

&&

weather.gov/billings

The office that day

Everything else NWS Billings, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 3:13 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZCarter32 min
Aug 2, 3:58 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZCarter32 min
Aug 2, 4:29 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZCarter31 min
Aug 2, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter62 min
Aug 2, 5:14 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZCuster31 min
Aug 2, 5:25 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZPowder River65 min
Aug 2, 5:40 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZCarter65 min
Aug 2, 5:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCarter, Powder River25 min
Aug 2, 5:54 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZFallon36 min
Aug 2, 5:11 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZSheridan64 min

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Montana, 2016Red Flag Warnings in Wyoming, 2016Every red flag warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.