Winter Weather Advisory 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

493 
WWUS41 KBUF 021904
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
204 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

NYZ007-008-022015-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160103T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
204 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS HAVE WEAKENED.

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-030315-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.160102T2300Z-160103T0500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA
204 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE...NIAGARA...ORLEANS AND GENESEE 
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND FREEZING DRIZZLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION AN INCH OR LESS TONIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS MAY BECOME SLICK. ONLY A SMALL BIT 
  OF FREEZING DRIZZLE CAN MAKE TRAVEL TRICKY.

$$

367 
WWUS41 KBUF 022031
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
331 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

NYZ007-008-030445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0001.160103T1000Z-160103T2100Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
331 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. 

* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR TWO LATE TONIGHT AND 5 TO 10 INCHES
  SUNDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S OVERNIGHT. HIGHS AROUND 30 
  SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL 
  RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITY AT TIMES. 
  THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4414 7523 4439 7581 4418 7631 4373 7613 
        4398 7517 
TIME 160103T1000Z-160103T1300Z
COORD...4408 7515 4385 7629 4350 7623 4342 7550 
        4360 7513 
TIME 160103T1300Z-160103T2100Z

$$

NYZ019-020-085-030445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0001.160103T1200Z-160104T0600Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
331 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES.
  GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE BOSTON HILLS
  AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. 

* TIMING...FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH OVERNIGHT SUNDAY
  NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES SUNDAY AND 1 TO 3 INCHES SUNDAY
  NIGHT...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 5 TO 9 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS AROUND 30 SUNDAY. LOWS 10 TO 15 SUNDAY 
  NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
  RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
  THIS INCLUDES PORTIONS OF THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY AND
  INTERSTATE 86. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006-030445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0001.160103T1300Z-160104T1800Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
331 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST
MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES SUNDAY...2 TO 4 INCHES SUNDAY
  NIGHT...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES MONDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 7
  TO 14 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S SUNDAY. LOWS 5 TO 10 
  ABOVE SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGHS 10 TO 15 MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL 
  RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITY AT TIMES. 
  THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4408 7515 4385 7629 4350 7623 4342 7550 
        4360 7513 
TIME 160103T1300Z-160103T2100Z
COORD...4348 7581 4363 7620 4341 7664 4324 7643 
        4328 7620 4316 7588 
TIME 160103T2100Z-160104T1800Z

$$

NYZ010-011-030445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0001.160103T0800Z-160103T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.160102T2300Z-160103T0500Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
331 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM EARLY 
  THIS EVENING THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW 
  ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY 
  MORNING.

* HAZARDS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE THIS EVENING.
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW DEVELOPING LAKE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW 1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT AND UP TO 2 INCHES
  SUNDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. LIGHT ICE
  ACCUMULATIONS THIS EVENING. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS HALF A MILE AT TIMES. 

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE MID 20S TONIGHT. IN THE MID 20S 
  SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS MAY BECOME SLICK. ONLY A SMALL BIT 
  OF FREEZING DRIZZLE CAN MAKE TRAVEL TRICKY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ012-030445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0001.160103T1200Z-160103T2200Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
331 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM EST SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING COUNTY. 

* TIMING...FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES SUNDAY MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER
  ELEVATIONS. 

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S SUNDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL 
  RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITY AT TIMES. 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-030445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.160103T2000Z-160104T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
331 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SUNDAY TO 1 PM
EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST
MONDAY.

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES SUNDAY...1 TO 3 INCHES SUNDAY
  NIGHT...AND AROUND AN INCH MONDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 3
  TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S SUNDAY. LOWS AROUND 15 SUNDAY 
  NIGHT. HIGHS AROUND 15 MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN
  SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITY AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-030445-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.160102T2300Z-160103T0500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
331 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA AND ORLEANS.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND FREEZING DRIZZLE.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS TONIGHT WITH
  LIGHT ICE ACCUMULATIONS. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...REDUCED TO A MILE OR TWO IN HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS MAY BECOME SLICK. ONLY A SMALL BIT 
  OF FREEZING DRIZZLE CAN MAKE TRAVEL TRICKY.

$$

481 
WWUS41 KBUF 030245
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
945 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

NYZ010-011-031045-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160103T0500Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0001.160103T0800Z-160103T1500Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
945 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM
EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.

FREEZING DRIZZLE IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO OCCUR...THEREFORE THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. INFORMATION FOR THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOLLOWS...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES OVERNIGHT AND 1 TO 2 INCHES
  SUNDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY...AND
  VISIBILITIES WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-030345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160103T0500Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA
945 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.

FREEZING DRIZZLE IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO OCCUR...THEREFORE THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NYZ019-020-085-031045-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.160103T1200Z-160104T0600Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
945 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO
1 AM EST MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA...CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ERIE 
  COUNTIES. GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE 
  BOSTON HILLS AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH OVERNIGHT SUNDAY 
  NIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES SUNDAY AND 1 TO 3 INCHES SUNDAY
  NIGHT...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
  RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.
  THIS INCLUDES PORTIONS OF THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY AND
  INTERSTATE 86.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-008-031045-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.160103T1000Z-160103T2100Z/
JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
945 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM
EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS OVERNIGHT AND 5 TO 9 INCHES
  SUNDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES IN THE MOST
  PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW
  WILL RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND GREATLY REDUCED
  VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4422 7543 4437 7576 4412 7634 4401 7613 
        4378 7618 4384 7593 
TIME 160103T1000Z-160103T1300Z
COORD...4408 7515 4417 7534 4389 7625 4361 7620 
        4344 7654 4345 7555 4360 7513 
TIME 160103T1300Z-160103T2100Z

$$

NYZ006-031045-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0001.160103T1300Z-160104T1800Z/
OSWEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO
945 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SUNDAY TO
1 PM EST MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES SUNDAY...3 TO 5 INCHES SUNDAY
  NIGHT...AND AN INCH OR LESS MONDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF
  6 TO 10 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW
  WILL RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES AT
  TIMES. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4408 7515 4417 7534 4389 7625 4361 7620 
        4344 7654 4345 7555 4360 7513 
TIME 160103T1300Z-160103T2100Z
COORD...4346 7581 4354 7617 4343 7661 4325 7661 
        4328 7620 4316 7588 
TIME 160103T2100Z-160104T1800Z

$$

NYZ012-031045-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0001.160103T1200Z-160103T2200Z/
WYOMING-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARSAW
945 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 5 PM
EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WYOMING COUNTY.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE
  SNOWS.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
  RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-031045-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0002.160103T2000Z-160104T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN
945 PM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SUNDAY
TO 1 PM EST MONDAY...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY MONDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES SUNDAY...2 TO 4 INCHES SUNDAY
  NIGHT...AND AROUND AN INCH MONDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 4
  TO 7 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN
  SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

JJR/LEVAN/WCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1027 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY EAST OF THE LAKES WITH
SEASONABLY COLD AIR IN PLACE. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE
REGION LATER SUNDAY WITH SNOW SHOWERS AND MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST
OF THE LAKES. MONDAY WILL BE VERY COLD WITH WIDESPREAD LIGHT LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SOUTH OF THE LAKES BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS A RETURN
TO DRY WEATHER TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL THEN MODERATE TO ABOVE
NORMAL LATER NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO BE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY. SYNOPTICALLY...THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST
WILL BE A FAST MOVING CLIPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW WHICH WILL PASS
JUST NORTH OF THE LAKES LATER TONIGHT. DPVA AND WARM ADVECTION AHEAD
OF THIS LOW MAY PRODUCE SOME LIGHT SYNOPTIC SNOW ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY LATER TONIGHT OF LITTLE CONSEQUENCE. THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO
BRING GUSTY WINDS TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE WITH
SOME GUSTS OF 35-40 MPH ON THE NIAGARA FRONTIER.

OFF LAKE ERIE...

A WEAK BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW EXTENDING ACROSS NORTHERN ERIE IS
EXPECTED TO SETTLE JUST A LITTLE SOUTH TO BUFFALO AND THE AIRPORT
AROUND MIDDAY. WITH A STRONG INVERSION DEVELOPING TODAY THE
INTENSITY OF THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING.

TONIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW OFF THE LAKE MAY CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A FEW
FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OF LITTLE CONSEQUENCE ACROSS THE
NIAGARA FRONTIER. OF MORE CONCERN IS THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING
DRIZZLE. BY EARLY THIS EVENING THE LAYER BENEATH THE STRONG
INVERSION MAY BECOME TOO WARM TO SUPPORT ICE NUCLEI WITH COLUMN
TEMPERATURES ALL WARMER THAN ABOUT -8C. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE
HOVERING NEAR FREEZING...WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE.
FOR NOW HAVE INCLUDED PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE IN THE FORECAST. AN
ADVISORY MAY BE CONSIDERED LATER TODAY IF CONFIDENCE OF FREEZING
DRIZZLE INCREASES.

BY LATE TONIGHT THE MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL APPROACH. THE INCREASING
ASCENT AND MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD ALLOW FOR THE
INTRODUCTION OF ICE INTO THE CLOUD LAYER AGAIN...BRINGING AN END TO
FREEZING DRIZZLE BY SUNDAY MORNING. THIS MAY ALSO ALLOW FOR A BETTER
LAKE RESPONSE TOWARDS DAYBREAK SUNDAY...WITH EXPANDING LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SHOWERS FROM NEAR BUFFALO SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE LAKE ERIE
SHORE.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OFF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS BUT AS WITH THE ERIE ACTIVITY THE LOWERING
INVERSION WILL STEADILY WEAKEN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS REMAIN IN PLACE FOR NOW.

TONIGHT ANYTHING THAT REMAINS WILL BE FOUND MAINLY ACROSS
JEFFERSON AND NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY AS BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW REMAINS
SOUTHWESTERLY. INVERSION HEIGHTS REMAIN LOW MOST OF THE
NIGHT...WHICH WILL LIMIT ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY. THE ADDITION
OF SOME SYNOPTIC SCALE MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL PROBABLY EVOLVE THIS
INTO MORE OF A BROAD AREA OF LAKE ENHANCED SNOW OVERNIGHT...WITH
AN INCH OR TWO OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. UNLIKE NORTHEAST OF
LAKE ERIE... IT APPEARS MOISTURE WILL REMAIN JUST DEEP ENOUGH AND
CLOUD TEMPERATURES COLD ENOUGH TO PREVENT FREEZING DRIZZLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
IN THE SHORT TERM... WE WILL SEE A TRANSITION FROM LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
EAST OF THE LAKES ON SUNDAY TO SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO BY SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY. MONDAY WILL ALSO FEATURE OUR COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF
THE SEASON BEHIND AN ARCTIC FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE SUNDAY. ADDITIONAL
LAKE EFFECT HEADLINES WILL EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED IN THIS PERIOD...
BUT WILL ALLOW CURRENT HEADLINES TO PLAY OUT A BIT LONGER FIRST.

SETTING UP OUR WEATHER FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY... IS A SHARP WAVE
CURRENTLY NEAR THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES THAT WILL DIG INTO THE
NORTHEAST CONUS BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL SETUP A LONG
FETCH OF NORTHERLY FLOW FROM NEAR THE POLE DOWN INTO GREAT LAKES /
NORTHEAST CONUS BRINGING OUR FIRST GOOD ARCTIC AIRMASS OF THE SEASON.
AS HEIGHTS ALOFT LOWER IN ADVANCE OF THE WAVE SUNDAY MORNING AND
SYNOPTIC MOISTURE/LIFT INCREASE... EXPECT TO SEE A SURGE IN THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS EAST OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

ON LAKE ONTARIO...THE STEERING FLOW WILL TRANSITION FROM
SOUTHWESTERLY EARLY SUNDAY TO WESTERLY TO EVENTUALLY NORTH-NORTHWEST
BY LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING BEHIND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. AHEAD OF THE
ARCTIC FRONT... WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A SURGE IN SNOWFALL RATES ...
AND A ROUGHLY 6 TO 9 HOUR WINDOW WHERE THE BAND IS SEMI-STATIONARY
ON A WESTERLY FLOW EXPECT SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE
POSSIBLE... MAINLY CENTERED ON THE TUG HILL WHERE ADDED UPSLOPE FLOW
/ COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL HELP QPF AMOUNTS AND RATIOS.

OFF LAKE ERIE... STEERING FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BE FAIRLY
WESTERLY ON A 265-275 DIRECTION. LAKE EFFECT SNOW RATES ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TO SURGE AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING WAVE/ARCTIC FRONT. THE
LAKE EFFECT BAND WILL BE MOST CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE BOSTON HILLS
SOUTH ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER... WITH THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS AND RATES EXPECTED ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LESS THAN OFF LAKE ONTARIO WITH A SHORTER PERIOD
OF WESTERLY FLOW BEFORE THE FLOW TURNS MORE NORTHWEST AND DIMINISHES
THE FETCH ACROSS LAKE ERIE.

BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON SUNDAY EXPECT THE ARCTIC FRONT TO SURGE
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. EXPECT THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO CAPTURE
THE LAKE ONTARIO LAKE EFFECT AND SHOVE IT SOUTHWARD INTO AREAS SOUTH
OF THE LAKE... WHICH COULD BRING A SHORT-LIVED BURST OF INTENSE
SNOWFALL RATES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE SUNDAY AFTERNOON... HAVE RAISED POPS TO
LIKELY FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA ... WITH SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS
AN INCH OR LESS. HOWEVER THE PART THAT CANNOT BE CONVEYED EASILY IN
THE FORECAST IS THAT THE SNOWFALL RATES COULD BE PARTICULARLY
IMPRESSIVE FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME WHEN THE FRONT PASSES. AS THE
FRONT GETS FARTHER SOUTH AWAY FROM THE LAKES... THIS IMPACT SHOULD
DECREASE.

BY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY... 850 MB TEMPERATURES DIVE TO ABOUT -
22C BRINGING ABOUT OUR COLDEST DAY YET THIS WINTER SEASON. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE LOWER TEENS ACROSS THE LAKE PLAINS
TO THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ON MONDAY. WITH SUCH
EXTREMELY COLD TEMPERATURES RUNNING ACROSS THE STILL ABNORMALLY WARM
LOWER GREAT LAKES... THIS NORTHERLY FLOW WILL PRODUCE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO CONTINUING INTO MONDAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORIES MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE
LAKE... AND COULD BE THE FIRST CHANCE THIS SEASON FOR MORE
SIGNIFICANT SNOWS FOR THE ROCHESTER AREA ACROSS TO WAYNE AND
NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES.

LOW TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN BE FROM AROUND ZERO IN THE NORTH COUNTRY
TO AROUND 10 IN THE LAKE PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT... WITH LAKE EFFECT
SNOWS SLOWLY TAPERING OFF SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO AS DRIER AIR
CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS EAST OF THE AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
WITH MODERATING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BRINGING TEMPERATURES BACK TO A
LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH A PERIOD OF DRY
WEATHER. THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION COMES IN THE FORM OF RAIN
LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

LOOKING FARTHER AHEAD... THERE REMAINS CLEAR SIGNALS IN THE LONGER
RANGE FORECASTS FROM THE GFS/EC AND CFS FOR TEMPERATURES TO TURN
BELOW NORMAL FROM ABOUT JANUARY 11 THROUGH THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE
MONTH. WITH LAKE TEMPERATURES STILL RUNNING ABNORMALLY WARM AFTER A
RECORD BREAKING WARM DECEMBER... A TURN TO BELOW OR MUCH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD SIGNAL AN INCREASE OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW
EVENTS AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW...MVFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL.

EAST OF LAKE ERIE...A MODEST BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW BETWEEN
KIAG AND KBUF THIS MORNING...WILL MAY SETTLE OVER KBUF FOR A FEW
HOURS AROUND MIDDAY WITH LOCAL IFR. THIS AFTERNOON THE SNOW SHOULD
WEAKEN AND BRING AN END TO MOST OF THE IFR.

TONIGHT A FEW SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND MVFR CIGS WILL PERSIST
NORTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR SOME FREEZING
DRIZZLE AS WELL WITH MOISTURE BECOMING SHALLOW...WITH SOME OF THIS
POSSIBLY IMPACTING KBUF AND KIAG.

EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE VCTY
OF KART. THE SNOW WILL WEAKEN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH CIGS/VSBYS GENERALLY IMPROVING TO MVFR. LATE TONIGHT LAKE
EFFECT SNOW MAY INCREASE AGAIN WITH IFR BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD
NEAR KART AFTER ABOUT 09Z.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW
EAST OF THE LAKES.
MONDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH SNOW SHOWERS AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW LIKELY.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH END SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH PERSISTENT LOW PRESSURE OVER QUEBEC AND
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE PLAINS KEEPING A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN
PLACE. A CLIPPER LOW WILL PASS JUST NORTH OF THE LAKES LATER TONIGHT
AND EARLY SUNDAY...FURTHER ENHANCING THE WINDS. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE LOWER LAKES LATER SUNDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTH
BEHIND THE FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BRING A RETURN TO LIGHTER
WINDS BY TUESDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
DECEMBER 2015 IS NOW IN THE BOOKS...AND WILL BE REMEMBERED AS A
RECORD WARM AND SNOWLESS MONTH.

AT BUFFALO...

THE MONTHLY TOTAL SNOW FOR DECEMBER WAS 1.0 INCH. THIS SETS A NEW
RECORD FOR THE LEAST SNOWY DECEMBER...BREAKING THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF
1.1 INCHES SET IN 1891 AND 1889.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR THE MONTH WAS 42.1 DEGREES. THIS SETS A
NEW RECORD FOR THE WARMEST DECEMBER...SHATTERING THE OLD RECORD OF
37.6 DEGREES SET IN 1923.

AT ROCHESTER...

THE MONTHLY TOTAL SNOW FOR DECEMBER WAS 2.3 INCHES. THIS SETS A NEW
RECORD FOR THE LEAST SNOWY DECEMBER...BREAKING THE PREVIOUS RECORD
OF 2.6 INCHES SET IN 1939 AND 1928.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR THE MONTH WAS 42.2 DEGREES. THIS SETS A
NEW RECORD FOR THE WARMEST DECEMBER...SHATTERING THE OLD RECORD OF
39.0 DEGREES SET IN 2006.

AT WATERTOWN...

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR THE MONTH WAS 39.6 DEGREES. THIS SETS A
NEW RECORD FOR THE WARMEST DECEMBER...SHATTERING THE OLD RECORD OF
35.7 DEGREES SET IN 1999.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ006>008.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ020.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LOZ030.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ042>045.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK/LEVAN
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/LEVAN
SHORT TERM...CHURCH
LONG TERM...CHURCH
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK/LEVAN
MARINE...HITCHCOCK/LEVAN
CLIMATE...HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
320 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

NYZ001-010-011-013-021-030830-
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ALLEGANY-
320 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-019-020-085-030830-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
320 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

ADDITIONAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EAST OF LAKE
ERIE ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WITH MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ002>005-014-030830-
ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
320 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS ARCTIC AIR SPREADS INTO THE REGION.
LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-030830-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
320 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY EAST OF
LAKE ONTARIO. MODERATE TO HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE TUG HILL REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-030830-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
320 AM EST SAT JAN 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE
ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1005 AM EST SAT JAN 02 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     SNOW             4 SSE LACONA            43.60N  76.04W
01/02/2016  M5.7 INCH        OSWEGO             NY   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

0900 AM     SNOW             1 SE ELMA CENTER        42.82N  78.62W
01/02/2016  M5.0 INCH        ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600062
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600063

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1012 AM EST SAT JAN 02 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     SNOW             2 SE GLENWOOD           42.60N  78.64W
01/02/2016  M5.0 INCH        ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600064

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1110 AM EST SAT JAN 02 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     SNOW             GLENFIELD               43.71N  75.43W
01/02/2016  M6.0 INCH        LEWIS              NY   COOP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600065

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1111 AM EST SAT JAN 02 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     SNOW             2 ENE COLDEN            42.65N  78.61W
01/02/2016  M7.8 INCH        ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600066

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1152 AM EST SAT JAN 02 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     SNOW             ATTICA                  42.81N  78.40W
01/02/2016  M9.3 INCH        WYOMING            NY   COOP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600067

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1153 AM EST SAT JAN 02 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     SNOW             ATTICA                  42.81N  78.40W
01/02/2016  M6.1 INCH        WYOMING            NY   COOP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

0700 AM     SNOW             E WEST SENECA           42.84N  78.74W
01/02/2016  M5.5 INCH        ERIE               NY   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600068
EVENT NUMBER BUF1600069

DK