Alert archive / New York / Winter Weather Advisories in 2016
Winter Weather Advisory 1, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this winter weather advisory at Dec 31, 2015, 8:12 PM EST for Allegany County, New York. It was in force for 13 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 31, 2015, 8:12 PM EST (01:12 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 1, 2016, 9:39 AM EST
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
County Allegany County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 827 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 71 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 73 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 55 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
610
WWUS41 KBUF 010112
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
812 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
NYZ006>008-010915-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160103T0000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
812 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON...OSWEGO...AND LEWIS COUNTIES. GREATEST
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.
* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TONIGHT...4 TO 7 INCHES FRIDAY...
4 TO 8 INCHES FRIDAY NIGHT...3 TO 6 INCHES SATURDAY...AND AN
INCH OR LESS SATURDAY EVENING.
* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY AT
TIMES. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4393 7515 4380 7623 4339 7619 4342 7550
4360 7513
TIME 160101T0000Z-160101T1200Z
COORD...4389 7516 4408 7515 4401 7613 4360 7615
4371 7550
TIME 160101T1200Z-160101T1800Z
COORD...4387 7556 4378 7620 4354 7638 4343 7558
4359 7545
TIME 160101T1800Z-160102T0000Z
COORD...4361 7516 4366 7590 4343 7661 4330 7618
4331 7588 4348 7581 4346 7545
TIME 160102T0000Z-160102T1200Z
COORD...4365 7512 4386 7547 4383 7623 4363 7618
4346 7651 4342 7550
TIME 160102T1200Z-160103T0000Z
$$
NYZ021-010900-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.160101T0112Z-160101T0900Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
812 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY.
* LOCATIONS...ALLEGANY COUNTY.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
* HAZARDS...FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SNOW.
* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO AN INCH. ICE
ACCUMULATION AROUND A TRACE.
* IMPACTS...SNOW AND A LIGHT ICE GLAZE ON ROADWAYS WILL CAUSE
SLIPPERY SPOTS ON UNTREATED ROADS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO
BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK
PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ012-019-020-085-010915-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-160102T1700Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
812 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA...AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE BOSTON HILLS AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT...2 TO 4 INCHES FRIDAY...
3 TO 6 INCHES FRIDAY NIGHT...AND AN INCH OR LESS SATURDAY.
* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ010-010915-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.160101T0600Z-160101T1800Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
812 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM
EST FRIDAY...
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY...MAINLY FROM THE CITY OF
BUFFALO INTO THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SUBURBS.
* TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS OVERNIGHT AND 2 TO 4 INCHES
FRIDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.
* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ005-010915-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0016.160101T2200Z-160102T1500Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
812 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY...MAINLY NORTH OF CATO.
* TIMING...FROM LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
MORNING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.
* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...A MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY RESULT
IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY
WITH THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
&&
$$
TMA4 follow-up statements
057
WWUS41 KBUF 010431
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1131 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
NYZ006>008-011245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160103T0000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1131 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON...OSWEGO...AND LEWIS COUNTIES. GREATEST
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.
* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES OVERNIGHT...4 TO 8 INCHES
FRIDAY...4 TO 8 INCHES FRIDAY NIGHT...3 TO 6 INCHES
SATURDAY...AND AN INCH OR LESS SATURDAY EVENING.
* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY AT
TIMES. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4391 7516 4380 7620 4354 7638 4341 7619
4342 7550 4360 7513
TIME 160101T0000Z-160101T1200Z
COORD...4402 7516 4402 7559 4387 7628 4367 7620
4377 7552
TIME 160101T1200Z-160101T1800Z
COORD...4387 7556 4378 7620 4354 7638 4343 7558
4359 7545
TIME 160101T1800Z-160102T0000Z
COORD...4348 7581 4350 7536 4364 7527 4366 7611
4335 7668 4322 7587
TIME 160102T0000Z-160102T1200Z
COORD...4388 7544 4387 7622 4352 7623 4342 7550
4360 7513
TIME 160102T1200Z-160103T0000Z
$$
NYZ012-019-020-085-011245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-160102T1700Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1131 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA...AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE BOSTON HILLS AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES OVERNIGHT...2 TO 4 INCHES
FRIDAY...3 TO 6 INCHES FRIDAY NIGHT...AND AN INCH OR LESS
SATURDAY.
* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ010-011245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.160101T0600Z-160101T1800Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
1131 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY...MAINLY FROM THE CITY OF
BUFFALO INTO THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SUBURBS.
* TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS OVERNIGHT AND 2 TO 4 INCHES
FRIDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.
* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ021-010900-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160101T0900Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
1131 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
FRIDAY...
* LOCATIONS...ALLEGANY COUNTY.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.
* HAZARDS...FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SNOW.
* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS. ICE
ACCUMULATING AROUND A TRACE.
* IMPACTS...SNOW AND A LIGHT ICE GLAZE ON ROADWAYS WILL CAUSE
SLIPPERY SPOTS ON UNTREATED ROADS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ005-011245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0016.160101T2200Z-160102T1500Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
1131 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY...MAINLY NORTH OF CATO.
* TIMING...FROM LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE SATURDAY
MORNING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS.
* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...A MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY RESULT
IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY
WITH THE EXACT PLACEMENT OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
&&
$$
TMA537
WWUS41 KBUF 010849
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
349 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
NYZ006>008-011700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160103T0000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
349 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON...OSWEGO...AND LEWIS COUNTIES. GREATEST
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.
* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES TODAY...5 TO 10 INCHES
TONIGHT...3 TO 6 INCHES SATURDAY...AND AN INCH OR LESS SATURDAY
EVENING... RESULTING IN STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS ABOUT A FOOT OVER
LOWER ELEVATIONS AND ABOUT TWO FEET OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF THE TUG HILL.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY AT
TIMES. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4406 7516 4408 7548 4389 7625 4356 7616
4365 7512
TIME 160101T0600Z-160101T1200Z
COORD...4408 7515 4421 7548 4399 7617 4367 7620
4365 7554 4373 7513
TIME 160101T1200Z-160101T1800Z
COORD...4404 7516 4385 7623 4346 7623 4342 7550
4360 7513
TIME 160101T1800Z-160102T0000Z
COORD...4365 7515 4377 7594 4354 7622 4335 7673
4318 7587 4346 7581 4342 7550
TIME 160102T0000Z-160102T1200Z
COORD...4408 7515 4391 7643 4352 7620 4342 7550
4360 7513
TIME 160102T1200Z-160103T0000Z
$$
NYZ005-011700-
/O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0016.160101T2200Z-160102T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.160101T2200Z-160102T1200Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
349 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST SATURDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY...MAINLY NORTH OF CATO.
* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS... WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT.
* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ011-011700-
/O.EXA.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-160101T1800Z/
GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BATAVIA
349 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.
* LOCATIONS...GENESEE COUNTY...MAINLY SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE
COUNTY.
* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ021-011500-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160101T1500Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
349 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
* LOCATIONS...ALLEGANY COUNTY.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING.
* HAZARDS...FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SNOW.
* ACCUMULATIONS..SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS. ICE
ACCUMULATING AROUND A TRACE.
* IMPACTS...SNOW AND A LIGHT ICE GLAZE ON ROADWAYS WILL CAUSE
SLIPPERY SPOTS ON UNTREATED ROADS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ012-019-020-085-011700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-160102T1700Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
349 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA...AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE BOSTON HILLS AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES TODAY...3 TO 5 INCHES
TONIGHT...AND AN INCH OR LESS SATURDAY... RESULTING IN STORM
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
BANDS OF SNOW.
* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ010-011700-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-160101T1800Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BUFFALO
349 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY...MAINLY FROM THE CITY OF
BUFFALO INTO THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SUBURBS.
* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS THROUGH 6 AM AND 2 TO 4 INCHES
TODAY.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
CHURCH758
WWUS41 KBUF 011339
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
839 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
NYZ006>008-012145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160103T0000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
839 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON...OSWEGO...AND LEWIS COUNTIES. GREATEST
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.
* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES TODAY...5 TO 10 INCHES TONIGHT...
3 TO 6 INCHES SATURDAY...AND AN INCH OR LESS SATURDAY
EVENING....RESULTING IN STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS ABOUT A FOOT OVER
LOWER ELEVATIONS AND ABOUT TWO FEET OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF THE TUG HILL.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY AT
TIMES. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4408 7515 4421 7548 4399 7617 4367 7620
4365 7554 4373 7513
TIME 160101T1200Z-160101T1800Z
COORD...4404 7516 4385 7623 4346 7623 4342 7550
4360 7513
TIME 160101T1800Z-160102T0000Z
COORD...4365 7515 4377 7594 4354 7622 4335 7673
4318 7587 4346 7581 4342 7550
TIME 160102T0000Z-160102T1200Z
COORD...4408 7515 4391 7643 4352 7620 4342 7550
4360 7513
TIME 160102T1200Z-160103T0000Z
$$
NYZ012-019-020-085-012145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-160102T1700Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
839 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA...AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE BOSTON HILLS AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES TODAY...3 TO 5 INCHES
TONIGHT...AND AN INCH OR LESS SATURDAY... RESULTING IN STORM
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
BANDS OF SNOW.
* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ010-011-011800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-160101T1800Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
839 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY...MAINLY FROM THE CITY OF
BUFFALO INTO THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SUBURBS.
* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ005-012145-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.160101T2200Z-160102T1200Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
839 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY...MAINLY NORTH OF CATO.
* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS... WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT.
* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ021-011500-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160101T1500Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
839 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...
* LOCATIONS...ALLEGANY COUNTY.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING.
* HAZARDS...SNOW.
* ACCUMULATIONS..SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS. ICE
ACCUMULATING AROUND A TRACE.
* IMPACTS...SNOW AND A LIGHT ICE GLAZE ON ROADWAYS WILL CAUSE
SLIPPERY SPOTS ON UNTREATED ROADS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX
&&
$$214
WWUS41 KBUF 011439
WSWBUF
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
939 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
NYZ021-011545-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160101T1500Z/
ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WELLSVILLE
939 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.
$$
NYZ006>008-012245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.W.0018.000000T0000Z-160103T0000Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
939 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON...OSWEGO...AND LEWIS COUNTIES. GREATEST
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU.
* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES TODAY...5 TO 10 INCHES
TONIGHT...3 TO 6 INCHES SATURDAY...AND AN INCH OR LESS
SATURDAY EVENING....RESULTING IN STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS ABOUT A
FOOT OVER LOWER ELEVATIONS AND ABOUT TWO FEET OVER THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE TUG HILL.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
RESULT IN SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY AT
TIMES. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
EXPERIMENTAL CONTENT BELOW...DO NOT USE OPERATIONALLY
PLEASE SEE BELOW LINKS FOR MORE INFORMATION ON THIS EXPERIMENT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/POLYGON_PDD
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OS/NOTIFICATION/PNS15LAKE_EFFECT_SNOW.HTM
TO VIEW THE EXPERIMENTAL POLYGONS PLEASE SEE:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF/LESPOLYGON
COORD...4408 7515 4421 7548 4399 7617 4367 7620
4365 7554 4373 7513
TIME 160101T1200Z-160101T1800Z
COORD...4404 7516 4385 7623 4346 7623 4342 7550
4360 7513
TIME 160101T1800Z-160102T0000Z
COORD...4365 7515 4377 7594 4354 7622 4335 7673
4318 7587 4346 7581 4342 7550
TIME 160102T0000Z-160102T1200Z
COORD...4408 7515 4391 7643 4352 7620 4342 7550
4360 7513
TIME 160102T1200Z-160103T0000Z
$$
NYZ012-019-020-085-012245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-160102T1700Z/
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
939 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ERIE...WYOMING...CHAUTAUQUA...AND
CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. GREATEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE BOSTON HILLS AND CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE.
* TIMING...THROUGH LATE SATURDAY MORNING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES TODAY...3 TO 5 INCHES TONIGHT...
AND AN INCH OR LESS SATURDAY...RESULTING IN STORM TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT BANDS
OF SNOW.
* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ010-011-011800-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-160101T1800Z/
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA
939 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY...MAINLY FROM THE CITY OF
BUFFALO INTO THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SUBURBS.
* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES.
* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$
NYZ005-012245-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0032.160101T2200Z-160102T1200Z/
NORTHERN CAYUGA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FAIR HAVEN
939 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY...
* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTY...MAINLY NORTH OF CATO.
* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.
* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOST
PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS...WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT.
* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A HALF MILE AT TIMES.
* IMPACTS...LOCALIZED BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PRODUCE
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.
REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX
&&
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Dec 31, 7:40 PM EST, 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 31, 7:40 PM EST, 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
740 PM EST THU DEC 31 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
COLDER AIR MOVING ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL SUPPORT
A LONG-DURATION LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT EAST OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO. OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE EFFECT REGIONS...EXPECT A MOSTLY DRY
STRETCH OF WEATHER INTO THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES MUCH CLOSER TO
SEASONAL AVERAGES.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS CONTINUING THE EAST OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO. LOCAL 00Z SOUNDINGS ALONG WITH AIRCRAFT SOUNDINGS
INDICATING 850 MB TEMPERATURES RUNNING AROUND -9C ACROSS THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES. THIS CREATES A LAKE TO 850 MB TEMPERATURE
DIFFERENCE OF 15C TO 16C WHICH WOULD NORMALLY PRODUCE QUITE A
STRONG LAKE RESPONSE. HOWEVER...A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AND STRONG
CAP ABOVE THIS COLD LAYER IS INHIBITING FREE LIFT WITHIN THE LAKE
EFFECT ENVIRONMENT AND KEEPING THE SNOW BANDS RATHER LIMITED FOR
THE TIME BEING.
A WAVE IN THE UPPER FLOW WILL APPROACH THE EASTERN LAKES BETWEEN
06Z AND 12Z WHICH WILL MOVE THE LAKE BAND TO THE NORTH...
AFFECTING THE SOUTHTOWNS OF THE BUFFALO METRO AREA AND ALSO
AFFECTING WATERTOWN EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. A RETURN TO A WESTERLY
FLOW ACROSS THE LAKES DURING FRIDAY AFTERNOON WILL DROP THE LAKE
BANDS BACK TO THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE OFF LAKE ERIE AND THE CENTRAL
TO SOUTHERN TUG HILL PLATEAU EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.
THE PERSISTENT FLOW OF COLD AIR ACROSS THE REGION WILL DROP
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES TO LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S FOR MOST
LOCATIONS...IN THE LOW 30S IMMEDIATELY DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO AND ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES. TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL NOT
RISE MUCH WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE LOWER 30S ACROSS THE LAKE PLAINS
AND URBAN AREAS AND THE MID TO UPPER 20S FOR THE HILLS OF THE
SOUTHERN TIER AND THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.
&&
.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS WE START THE NEW YEAR...THE UPPER LEVEL JET PATTERN ACROSS NORTH
AMERICA WILL BECOME MORE REMINISCENT OF WHAT WE EXPERIENCED LAST
JANUARY. THIS CHANGE WILL TAKE PLACE AS THE EFFECTS OF EL NINO WILL
TAKE A BREAK WITH RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE CONTINENT
LEADING TO TEMPORARY BLOCKING IN THE FORM OF A DEEP CLOSED LOW OVER
THE LABRADOR SEA. WHILE THIS WILL NOT LEAD TO BRUTALLY COLD
WEATHER...IT WILL CERTAINLY ALLOW FOR ENOUGH COLD AIR TO MAKE IT INTO
THE GREAT LAKES REGION TO AT LEAST MAKE IT FEEL LIKE WINTER...
SOMETHING THAT HAS BEEN MISSING FOR MUCH OF THIS COLD WEATHER
SEASON. THAT BEING SAID...OUR MAIN CONCERN DURING THIS TIME FRAME
WILL BE AN ON GOING LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT EAST OF BOTH LAKES.
A RELATIVELY COLD CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL KEEP ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS IN PLACE EAST OF
BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF FRIDAY
NIGHT...A CAP OF ROUGHLY 10K FT AND A FAIR AMOUNT OF SYNOPTIC
MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT SNOWFALL RATES OF A HALF TO ONE INCH PER HOUR
ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN TIER...WHILE A LONGER FETCH AND LESS
SHEAR WILL PROMOTE RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES AN HOUR NEAR THE TUG
HILL PLATEAU. THE STRONGER LAKE RESPONSE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO COULD
ALSO INCLUDE SOME THUNDER AND LIGHTNING...BUT WHILE FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMICS WILL BE IN PLACE FOR ELECTRIFICATION...THIS WILL BE
FAIRLY LATE IN THE LAKE SNOW EVENT. CLIMATOLOGY SHOWS THAT THE PRIME
TIME FOR THUNDERSNOW IS DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE EVENT WHEN THE
COLUMN IS THE 'WARMEST' AND THE CAP IS HIGHEST.
AS WE PROGRESS THROUGH THE WEE HOURS OF SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH THE
ENSUING DAY...THE CAP IS FORECAST TO LOWER TO BETWEEN 5 AND 7K FT
WHILE SUPPORTING MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE STRIPPED AWAY. THE LAKE
SNOWS WILL WEAKEN AND DRIFT NORTH IN THE PROCESS...ENDING UP NEAR
BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN BY THE END OF THE DAY. OTHERWISE...IT WILL BE
BRISK AND CHILLY ACROSS THE REGION WITH MINS IN THE 20S AND SATURDAY
AFTERNOON MAX TEMPS NEAR FREEZING. 36 HOUR LAKE SNOW TOTALS THROUGH
THE DAY SATURDAY WILL RANGE FROM A FOOT NEAR THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE TO
BETWEEN TWO AND THREE FEET NEAR AND JUST SOUTH OF THE TUG HILL.
SATURDAY NIGHT...A ROBUST SHORTWAVE WILL PLOW SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES TO LAKE ONTARIO. THIS WILL TEND TO REIGNITE THE
WEAKENED LAKE BANDS WHILE PUSHING THEM BACK TO THE SOUTH...DEEP
INTO THE SOUTHERN TIER AND TO THE SOUTHERN SLOPES OF THE TUG HILL
RESPECTIVELY. MEANWHILE THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL HAVE
NOTHING MORE THAN SOME FLURRIES.
A SECOND SHORTWAVE WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
ON SUNDAY...WHILE AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM SRN
ONTARIO. CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS PATTERN WILL ENCOURAGE
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS OVER ALL OF WRN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK...
WITH LAKE ENHANCED SNOW SHOWERS FROM KROC TO KSYR. MAX TEMPS IN MOST
AREAS WILL BE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF FREEZING.
THE COLDEST WEATHER OF THE WINTER SEASON WILL THEN SETTLE ACROSS THE
REGION IN THE WAKE OF THE ARCTIC FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS
COLD AIRMASS WILL UNDOUBTABLY LEAD TO SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS...WITH A NORTHERLY UPSLOPE FLOW ENHANCING THE ACTIVITY
MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE THE CASE FOR THE
COUNTIES BORDERING THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO. HIGH TEMPS
MONDAY WILL ONLY RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TO
BETWEEN 20 AND 25 ACROSS THE WRN COUNTIES.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
...FAIR WEATHER WITH THE RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES...
A STRONG ASIAN/NORTH PACIFIC JET...TYPICALLY ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG
EL NINO EVENTS...WILL RETURN DURING THIS PERIOD. THIS HIGH POWERED
WIND CURRENT WILL DIRECT SEVERAL STRONG SHORTWAVES INTO THE PACIFIC
COAST WHERE A BROAD LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL ONCE AGAIN BECOME
ESTABLISHED. MEANWHILE...DOWNSTREAM RIDGING WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
EASTERN PORTION OF THE COUNTRY. THIS SCENARIO WILL OPEN THE DOOR FOR
PACIFIC AIR TO FLOOD ACROSS THE COUNTRY...THUS SUPPORTING A STEADY
DAY TO DAY WARMING TREND ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL
SEND THE MERCURY BACK TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS. MAX TEMPS BY
MID WEEK WILL BE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF 40 (NORMS ARND 30).
THE MILDER WEATHER WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY FAIR CONDITIONS...AS
ANOMALOUSLY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT FROM THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES ON TUESDAY TO WELL OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST FOR THURSDAY.
LOOKING FURTHER DOWN THE ROAD...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE RIGHT INTO/THROUGH THE ENSUING WEEKEND (JAN 9-10).
&&
.AVIATION /01Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A LONG DURATION LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT EAST OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND
ONTARIO WILL RAMP UP TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS WILL BE MAINLY LOCATED DUE EAST OF THE LAKES AND THIS
SHOULD KEEP THE MAIN AVIATION IMPACTS AWAY FROM KBUF...KIAG AND
KROC. EXPECT CEILINGS OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT TO VARY BETWEEN UPPER
MVFR AND LOWER VFR CATEGORIES. THE LAKE BAND WILL LIFT NORTH A BIT
LATE TONIGHT AND PLACE KBUF BRIEFLY IN MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS.
KART SHOULD REMAIN ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE LAKE SNOWS THROUGH
TONIGHT...WITH CIGS RIGHT NEAR THE MVFR/VFR THRESHOLD OF 3KFT THEN
THE LAKE BAND WILL LIFT NORTH A BIT AND PLACE KART IN IFR/LIFR
CONDITIONS ON FRIDAY MORNING.
KJHW WILL REMAIN IFR THROUGH TONIGHT FROM CIGS ALONE IN THE MOIST
UPSLOPE FLOW. EXPECT IFR VSBYS AT KJHW IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW ON
FRIDAY MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON.
OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
AND LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND... THE LOWER GREAT LAKES WILL BE
CAUGHT BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE TO
THE WEST WHICH WILL PROMOTE A STIFF WEST-SOUTHWEST WIND ACROSS THE
LAKES. A LENGTHY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH
SUNDAY...AND MAY EVEN NEED TO BE EXTENDED BEYOND THAT EVENTUALLY.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
NYZ006>008.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR NYZ005.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
NYZ010.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST SATURDAY FOR NYZ012-
019-020-085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY FOR
LOZ043>045.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LOZ042.
&&
SYNOPSIS...CHURCH/WCH
NEAR TERM...TMA/WCH
SHORT TERM...RSH
LONG TERM...RSH
AVIATION...TMA/WCH
MARINE...CHURCH/WCHHazardous weather outlook, Dec 31, 5:16 AM EST, 14 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 516 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015 NYZ006>008-011030- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS- 516 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ001>004-011-013-014-021-011030- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY- 516 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ005-011030- NORTHERN CAYUGA- 516 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ012-019-020-085-011030- WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE- 516 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST SATURDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ010-011030- NORTHERN ERIE- 516 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-011030- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 516 AM EST THU DEC 31 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF HITCHCOCK
Nearby
Winter Weather Advisories in New York, 2016Every winter weather advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.