Winter Storm Watch 1, NWS Buffalo, NY

578 
WWUS41 KBUF 150421
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1121 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

NYZ003-013-014-021-151230-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0001.160216T0000Z-160217T0000Z/
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...
WELLSVILLE
1121 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...LIVINGSTON...ONTARIO...AND ALLEGANY 
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY MONDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY 
  EVENING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW MIXING WITH SOME SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW MIXED WITH SOME SLEET MAY RESULT IN VERY 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. THE WORST TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY 
  OCCUR AROUND THE TIME OF THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...LOW TO MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS A GREAT 
  DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO DOMINANT PRECIPITATION 
  TYPE WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR THE FREEZING MARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ004>008-151230-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0001.160216T0000Z-160216T1500Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...
WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1121 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON...AND 
  LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY MONDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY 
  MORNING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW MIXING WITH SLEET BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN 
  LATER TUESDAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW MIXED WITH SOME SLEET MAY RESULT IN VERY 
  DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. THE WORST TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY 
  OCCUR AROUND THE TIME OF THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...LOW TO MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS A GREAT 
  DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO DOMINANT PRECIPITATION 
  TYPE WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR THE FREEZING MARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-151230-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0001.160216T0000Z-160217T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1121 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA...ORLEANS...ERIE...GENESEE...WYOMING...
  CHAUTAUQUA...AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY MONDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY 
  EVENING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...7 TO 13 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW MAY RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS. THE WORST TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AROUND THE 
  TIME OF THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY 
  WITH RESPECT TO THE EXACT STORM TRACK WHICH WILL INFLUENCE THE 
  PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF THE HEAVIEST SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

CHURCH

328 
WWUS41 KBUF 150834
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
334 AM EST MON FEB 15 2016

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-151645-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.160216T0000Z-160217T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0001.160216T0000Z-160217T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
334 AM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TONIGHT...4 TO 7 INCHES
  TUESDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 8 TO 15 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS. THE WORST TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AROUND THE
  TIME OF THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003-013-014-151645-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.160216T0000Z-160217T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0001.160216T0000Z-160217T0000Z/
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
334 AM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TONIGHT...4 TO 7 INCHES
  TUESDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 7 TO 13 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS. THE WORST TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AROUND THE
  TIME OF THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ004>008-151645-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0001.160216T0000Z-160216T1500Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...
WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
334 AM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON...AND 
  LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 9 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MAY
  RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. THE WORST TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AROUND THE TIME OF THE TUESDAY MORNING
  COMMUTE.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...LOW TO MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS A GREAT 
  DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO DOMINANT PRECIPITATION 
  TYPE WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR THE FREEZING MARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

TMA

514 
WWUS41 KBUF 151413
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
913 AM EST MON FEB 15 2016

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-152215-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.160216T0000Z-160217T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
913 AM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER AND WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TONIGHT...4 TO 7 INCHES 
  TUESDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 8 TO 15 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS. THE WORST TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AROUND THE 
  TIME OF THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003-013-014-152215-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.160216T0000Z-160217T0000Z/
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
913 AM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...LIVINGSTON AND ONTARIO COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES TONIGHT...4 TO 7 INCHES 
  TUESDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 7 TO 13 INCHES.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS. THE WORST TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AROUND THE 
  TIME OF THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ004>008-152215-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.A.0001.160216T0000Z-160216T1500Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...
WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
913 AM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...OSWEGO...JEFFERSON...AND 
  LEWIS COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 9 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN 
  MAY RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. THE WORST 
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AROUND THE TIME OF THE TUESDAY 
  MORNING COMMUTE.

* FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...LOW TO MEDIUM. THERE REMAINS A GREAT 
  DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO DOMINANT PRECIPITATION 
  TYPE WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR THE FREEZING MARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE. IF YOU ARE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
REMAIN ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

&&

$$

CHURCH

404 
WWUS41 KBUF 151744
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1244 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

NYZ004>006-008-160145-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.160216T0000Z-160216T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.WS.W.0001.160216T0000Z-160217T0600Z/
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
1244 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND SOME FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA...OSWEGO...AND LEWIS
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING BEFORE CHANGING TO
  MAINLY RAIN DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL END WITH
  ANOTHER BURST OF SNOW TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE ENDING OVERNIGHT
  TUESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN WHICH MAY BE HEAVY AT
  TIMES TUESDAY. AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ALSO POSSIBLE
  DURING THE TRANSITION FROM SNOW TO RAIN.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING 4 TO 7 INCHES
  TONIGHT...THEN LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION WHERE PRECIPITATION
  CHANGES TO RAIN ON TUESDAY WITH SOME 2 TO 4 INCHES SNOW
  ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN WAYNE COUNTY. THEN ANOTHER 2
  TO 5 INCHES TUESDAY NIGHT AS PRECIPITATION CHANGES BACK TO SNOW.
  STORM TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES. 

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTALS AMOUNTS OF A TENTH TO A
  QUARTER OF AN INCH.

* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN THE HEAVIER
  SNOW.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
  WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. THE WORST
  TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AROUND THE TIME OF THE TUESDAY
  MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ007-160145-
/O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0001.160216T0000Z-160216T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.WS.W.0001.160216T0300Z-160217T0600Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
1244 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT BEFORE CHANGING TO MAINLY
  RAIN DURING THE DAY TUESDAY. FREEZING RAIN WILL PERSIST TUESDAY
  OVER THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY IN NORTHERN JEFFERSON
  COUNTY. PRECIPITATION WILL END WITH ANOTHER BURST OF SNOW
  TUESDAY EVENING BEFORE ENDING OVERNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW... WITH SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS FROM
  FREEZING RAIN IN NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY ALONG THE SAINT
  LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING 3 TO 5 INCHES
  OVERNIGHT...3 TO 5 INCHES TUESDAY...AND 3 TO 5 INCHES TUESDAY
  NIGHT... LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 11 INCHES.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTALS OF A HALF INCH TO AN INCH
  ACROSS NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER
  VALLEY.

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN THE HEAVY
  SNOW.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MAY
  RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. SIGNIFICANT ICE
  ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY MAY RESULT IN
  DOWNED TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES CAUSING POWER OUTAGES. THE
  WORST TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AROUND THE TIME OF THE TUESDAY
  MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE, OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-160145-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.160216T0000Z-160217T0000Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1244 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN NEW YORK.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING 4 TO 7 INCHES TONIGHT...6 TO
  12 INCHES TUESDAY... LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES
  WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 12 TO 18 INCHES EAST OF BUFFALO.

* WINDS...EAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS. THE WORST TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AROUND THE 
  TIME OF THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003-013-014-021-160145-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0001.160216T0000Z-160217T0000Z/
MONROE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...
WELLSVILLE
1244 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...MONROE...LIVINGSTON...ALLEGANY... AND ONTARIO
  COUNTIES.

* TIMING...HEAVY SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AND MAY TRANSITION TO
  A WINTRY MIX OR RAIN AT TIMES DURING THE DAY TUESDAY BEFORE
  FINISHING AS ALL SNOW LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING 3 TO 6 INCHES TONIGHT...6 TO
  12 INCHES TUESDAY... LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 9 TO 18 INCHES
  OVER THE NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE COUNTIES. SNOW AMOUNTS WILL
  TAPER OFF QUICKLY SOUTH AND EAST OF ROCHESTER WHERE MORE
  RAIN...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET FALL ON TUESDAY.

* ICE ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF A TENTH TO A QUARTER
  INCH.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS. THE WORST TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR AROUND THE 
  TIME OF THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS
EXPECTED. HEAVY SNOW AND/OR ICE WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING IN THE WARNING AREA YOU
SHOULD CHOOSE AN ALTERNATE ROUTE IF POSSIBLE...OR YOU SHOULD USE
EXTREME CAUTION IF TRAVEL IS UNAVOIDABLE.

IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE
THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY
VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND
USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT
BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES
AND WATER HEATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

CHURCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1240 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
THE COLDEST AIRMASS OF THE SEASON WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY.
LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO
WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO NEAR
AVERAGE EARLY NEXT WEEK. A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH A VARIETY OF WET SNOW...WINTRY MIX AND
RAIN.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
STRONG ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE DOWN ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK TODAY. RADAR IMAGERY IS NOT SHOWING ANY LAKE
EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS REMAINING...BUT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
SUGGESTS THERE ARE STILL A FEW SNOW SHOWERS RIGHT ALONG THE SOUTH
SHORE OF THE LAKE WHERE A CONVERGENCE ZONE IS FOUND AS THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW EVOLVES INTO A TEA KETTLE BAND. THE LAND BREEZE DRIVEN
CONVERGENCE MAY PRODUCE ANOTHER DUSTING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
LAKESHORE FROM MONROE TO WESTERN OSWEGO COUNTY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON
BEFORE PUSHING OFFSHORE LATE.

THE FRIGID TEMPERATURES FROM OVERNIGHT ARE CONTINUING A SLOW REBOUND
UNDER FULL SUNSHINE TODAY. WIND CHILL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DROPPED FOR
THE ENTIRE AREA NOW WITH THE INCREASE IN TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT
WINDS.

THE CORE OF THE COLDEST AIR STARTS TO RETREAT BY THIS AFTERNOON...
AND THIS WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO RECOVER TO THE HIGH SINGLE
NUMBERS TO AROUND 10 ACROSS WESTERN NY. THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL STAY
DEEPER INTO THE COLD AIR...WHERE HIGHS WILL BE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES
OF ZERO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
TWO SHORTWAVES SEEN ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
WILL BRING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE MONDAY AND TUESDAY
TIMEFRAME.

THIS FIRST WAVE...OVER NE/SD THIS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WILL SPREAD
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT AS IT PASSES BY.
THERMAL PROFILES ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT THAT ANY PRECIPITATION
THAT FALLS WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW. BY MONDAY NIGHT THERE IS A
LITTLE UNCERTAINTY CREEPING INTO THE FORECAST AS THE TOP OF THE
MOISTURE LAYER IS STRIPPED FROM THE SNOW DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE. THERE
WILL A LOW CHANCE FOR SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

THE SECOND WAVE...OVER SOUTHERN ALBERTA THIS SUNDAY MORNING WILL
DROP ACROSS THE ROCKIES SUNDAY...WHERE IT WILL THEN PICK UP A
SURFACE LOW FORMING OVER THE DEEP SOUTH. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL THEN
DEEPEN THE SURFACE LOW AS THE LOW TRACKS TOWARDS THE APPALACHIANS.
HERE IS WHERE UNCERTAINTY INCREASES. AS THE SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE
APPALACHIANS...IT MAY FORM A SECONDARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE
DELMARVA PENINSULA TUESDAY AS PER THE 00Z ECMWF. THE 00Z GFS TRACKS
DEEPENS THE SURFACE LOW TO THE WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS. ALSO THERE
IS MUCH UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW MUCH WARM AIR PUSHES NORTHWARD INTO
OUR REGION TUESDAY. LATEST SREF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE NEARLY SPLIT AS
TO THE P-TYPE...WHETHER PLAIN RAIN OR SNOW. FOR NOW WILL LEAN
TOWARDS MORE SNOW THAN RAIN...ON ACCOUNT FOR DYNAMIC COOLING
ASSOCIATED WITH A BAND OF PRECIPITATION FORMING ALONG A DECENT 850
HPA FRONTOGENETIC ZONE. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SUGGEST THAT THIS
FRONTOGENETIC BAND WILL FORM IN THE VICINITY OF THE GENESEE VALLEY
AND NORTHERN FINGER LAKES REGION. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY TO THE
TRACK...THERMAL PROFILES AND WHERE A HEAVIER BAND OF PRECIPITATION
MAY MATERIALIZE...WITH THE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY STORM SYSTEM
WILL MENTION FOR NOW THE POSSIBILITY FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE
HWO PRODUCT.

TUESDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE SURFACE LOW...MOISTURE WRAPPING BACK AROUND
THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES REGION WITHIN A COLD AIR ADVECTION REGIME
MAY BRING CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW THROUGH THE NIGHT.

TEMPERATURE READINGS MONDAY WILL CLIMB TO NEAR THE FREEZING
MARK...WHILE ON TUESDAY THE AIRMASS WILL WARM TO A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE FREEZING.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
TRAILING THE TUESDAY STORM...LINGERING TROUGHINESS WILL KEEP CHANCES
FOR WINTER WEATHER IN PLACE MIDWEEK THEN A WAVY ZONAL PACIFIC MID-
LEVEL FLOW LOOKS TO SET UP ACROSS THE CONUS LATE IN THE WEEK. THIS
PACIFIC FLOW WILL EVENTUALLY SEAL OFF ANY ARCTIC AIR TO THE NORTH
WITH TEMPERATURES THEN WARMING TO ABOVE NORMAL. ON WEDNESDAY...A
TRAILING WEAK CLIPPER OR SURFACE TROUGH LOOKS TO CROSS THE GREAT
LAKES BRINGING A BRIEF SHOT OF COLDER AIR AND CHANCES FOR SOME LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS. THERE MAY EVEN BE SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT SOUTHEAST OF
THE LAKES INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS
BRIEFLY CLIMB TO BETWEEN 5 AND 10KFT.

DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY A RETURN TO ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES LATE IN THE WEEK AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS ACROSS
THE GREAT LAKES. THIS LATTER SYSTEM WILL ALSO BRING RENEWED
PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO OUR REGION...WITH ANY PRECIP LIKELY
CHANGING OVER FROM SNOW TO RAIN AS THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN WARMS ON
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY AN CHANGEOVER BACK TO CHANCES
OF SNOW SATURDAY WITH COOLER FLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE FROM
NORTH OF KROC TO NORTH OF KFZY WILL PRODUCE LOCAL IFR THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING OUT OVER THE LAKE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE VFR WILL PREVAIL FOR THE REST OF THE AREA UNDER CLEAR
SKIES.

WARM ADVECTION WILL SPREAD INCREASING AND LOWERING MID LEVEL CLOUDS
FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT. A WEAK
TROUGH WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY WITH A FEW SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS POSSIBLE WITH MAINLY VFR VSBY. VFR CIGS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WHERE SOUTHEAST DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL HELP KEEP
CIGS VFR. ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN EXPECT MVFR CIGS TO DEVELOP
MONDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH SNOW POSSIBLY MIXED
WITH RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
THURSDAY...MAINLY VFR.
FRIDAY...MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE LOWER LAKES AND BRINGS
DIMINISHING WINDS DURING THE DAY TODAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL TURN OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT THEN SOUTHERLY
MONDAY. A LOW CROSSING THE AREA TUESDAY WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO THE
WEST OR NORTHWEST BUT WINDS SPEEDS SHOULD STAY UNDER 20 KNOTS.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WATERTOWN SET A NEW RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF -37 THIS MORNING.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF -30 SET IN 1979.

THE LOW TEMPERATURE IN BUFFALO WAS -12...JUST MISSING THE PREVIOUS
RECORD LOW OF -13 SET IN 1943.

THE LOW TEMPERATURE IN ROCHESTER WAS -12...JUST MISSING THE
PREVIOUS RECORD LOW OF -14 SET IN 1979.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK/TMA
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK/TMA
SHORT TERM...THOMAS
LONG TERM...SMITH
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...HITCHCOCK/TMA
CLIMATE...HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1231 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

NYZ001>003-010>013-019>021-085-151745-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1231 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. THERE REMAINS A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TRACK
OF THIS SYSTEM AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE MARGINAL FOR WET SNOW
VERSUS A WINTRY MIX. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK...SIGNIFICANT
WET SNOW OR A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004>008-014-151745-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-ONTARIO-
1231 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY. THERE REMAINS A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TRACK
OF THIS SYSTEM AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE MARGINAL FOR WET SNOW
VERSUS A WINTRY MIX. DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK...SIGNIFICANT
WET SNOW OR A WINTRY MIX IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE
ONTARIO REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-151745-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
1231 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK